Chapter 1032: One Dollar Auction Trap

"No, I can't. Ren Xia said categorically: "This is to cut off Yu Haijing's back road." ”

Zhou Zhou hurriedly said, "Let's talk about it in detail." ”

"This reason is obvious, if Yu Haijing finds that your father has no oil and water on him, he may withdraw from it, that is, contact the marriage contract with your father, and go outside to find other prey. After a pause, Ren Xia continued: "Of course, this may be a good thing for your Zhou family in a short period of time, after all, there is no loss, but if Yu Haijing succeeds in others, it is not impossible to retaliate against the Zhou family, after all, she feels that she has paid a lot in the Zhou family." What's more, your father will still continue to be infatuated with Yu Haijing, so the problem has not been fundamentally solved, and I want to fundamentally solve the existence of Yu Haijing. ”

"Understood. Zhou Zhou is indeed very smart, and he can see through a little: "As long as the outside world generally knows that Yu Haijing is engaged to my father, even if the marriage contract is in contact, it will be difficult for Yu Haijing to find new prey in a short period of time, and he will inevitably go through a long window period." After all, no rich man is willing to accept a discarded object that someone else has just played, and he must wait until everyone gradually forgets the marriage contract between my father and Yu Haijing. Women are fleeting, Yu Haijing is not young, if you don't hurry up and get a vote, as you get older, it will be more difficult to find prey in the future. ”

"That's the truth. Ren Xia nodded slowly: "If Yu Haijing contacts the marriage contract with your father, the outside world will speculate about whether there is something wrong with Yu Haijing, so who dares to take over immediately when Yu Haijing is looking for new prey?"

"That's it. Zhou Zhou still had a question that he didn't understand: "What does it matter what you just said, the one-dollar auction trap?"

"The truth you just said, Yu Haijing herself must be more clear, since Yu Haijing can't break the marriage contract with your father, then she can only get enough benefits from your father. So since your father doesn't have enough assets, what should he do?" After a pause, Ren Xia put forward word by word: "She can really only invest resources to help your father make his career bigger and stronger, and then take back all the principal and interest." ”

"You still haven't answered me, what's the deal with the one-dollar auction trap?"

"This is a well-known psychological experiment and a game science experiment, which originated from the famous economist Martin Shubik at Yale University. Ren Xia explained to Zhou Zhou in detail: "Martin Shubik did such an experiment in class, that is, a public auction of one dollar, is a real dollar, which can be taken out and spent immediately, but it is just an ordinary dollar, not a commemorative banknote or a dollar with special significance, just a very common one-dollar banknote on the market." The auction rules are a five-cent starting bid, with each increase being at least five cents, with the highest bidder receiving the dollar, and both the highest and second-highest bidders paying their bids. That is, the highest bidder gets a dollar, and the second highest bidder gets a dollar but gets nothing, and guess how much that dollar ends up selling?"

"It's just over a dollar. Zhou Zhou replied as a matter of course: "The person with the highest bid, as long as he buys this dollar for less than a dollar, he can earn a few cents." The next highest bidder will also have to shell out a few dozen cents, which will not add up to more than two dollars. ”

"Wrong!" Ren Xia shook his head slowly: "This economist has done many experiments, and the final transaction price is between twenty and sixty dollars!"

"Why are there so many?" Zhou Zhou was very surprised: "How can someone spend dozens of dollars to buy a dollar?"

"Your answer is the result of assumptions, and it is also the thinking of most people, so you fall into the one-dollar auction trap. Ren Xia took out a cigarette and lit it, and while smoking, he explained to Zhou Zhou: "According to your logic, the person with the highest bid made ninety cents, and the person with the second highest bid paid eighty-five cents, so the economist Martin Shubik would get one hundred and seventy-five cents, and then the one who paid one dollar and gave the person who bid ninety cents would make a net profit of seventy-five cents, and then the highest bidder would earn ten cents, and the second highest bidder would get nothing, right?"

"Yes. Zhou Zhou nodded: "The dollar does not have the concept of a dime, and everything under a dollar is calculated in cents, so this economist has earned seventy-five cents." ”

"That's not the case at all. Ren Xia shook his head slowly: "For example, there are only two bidders in this auction, so it is easier to explain the process, the first one bids five cents, the second one immediately bids ten cents, and then the first one increases the price to fifteen cents...... The process progresses until the first person bids fifty cents, the second person bids forty-five cents, and if the deal is done at this time, the economist still loses five cents, but the trap has only just begun. Because the second person must think, if I don't bid at this time, then I am the second highest bidder, and I won't get anything, and then I have to pay forty-five cents, so I can only increase the price to fifty-five cents, so that I can still earn forty-five cents. And the first person must have the same mentality, if he does not continue to bid, he will lose fifty cents, so he can only increase the price to sixty cents. And by this time the economist had already started to make money, and if the deal was made, the economist could net fifteen cents, but the game was not over, and the last two people made bids to ninety-five cents and one hundred cents, respectively. At this time, the situation is very weird, even if the highest bidder wins, pay a hundred cents and get back a dollar, which is equivalent to playing the whole process for nothing and getting nothing. And the person with the second highest bid will still have the same mentality as before, if he doesn't bid again, he will lose ninety-five cents and get nothing, but if he bids one hundred and five cents and can get back one dollar, he will only lose five cents......"

Zhou Zhou suddenly realized: "That is to say, at the beginning, the participants just wanted to make some money, and later they just wanted to reduce their losses as much as possible." ”

"That's the truth. Ren Xia nodded approvingly: "The result is that the person who originally bid a hundred cents will inevitably continue to bid to one hundred and ten cents, and the person with the second highest bid will continue to bid to one hundred and fifteen cents." Everyone knows very well in their hearts that even if they win in this case, the transaction will be a loss. So the price increase will continue, and the two bidders will be in trouble, as long as they win, they can reduce some losses, but if they lose, there will be nothing, so the price increase can only continue until finally someone can't stand it and quit, and the highest bidder exchanges dozens of dollars for this dollar. ”

Zhou Zhou completely understood: "What awaits Yu Haijing is a one-dollar auction trap, but this time there is no one else participating in the auction, only Yu Haijing himself, and the auction is not a dollar but my father." ”