Chapter 19 Our Ye family, we don't need to stand in line!

"Little rabbit cub, if you say that there will be a war, you will go to war, and the president of the United States is raised by you?!" Old Man Ye scolded twice, vented his dissatisfaction, and asked again, "What is the basis?" ”

Ye Kai saw that Old Man Ye asked about himself, so he turned over the things he told Zhong Liyu last time and told Old Man Ye about them, which was nothing more than military spending, capital group interests, arms sales and the like.

"The Americans are worried that they will not be able to intervene in the Middle East normally, and as a result, Lao Sa has sent such a suitable reason, and I suspect that the two of them are playing double reeds. Now it's good, the aircraft carriers of the American GIs have sailed to the Persian Gulf, and it is difficult to get into the sheath of the shameful knife, not to mention that the knife of the Americans is very sharp. Ye Kai said to Old Man Ye.

When Old Man Ye heard his grandson's words, he showed a look of surprise, but soon asked, "Even if the Americans want to fight this war, how can you be sure that international oil prices will definitely fall?" ”

It stands to reason that once a war breaks out, and it is near the Persian Gulf, international crude oil production will definitely be affected, according to the relationship between supply and demand, oil prices should skyrocket, for this, international analysts are also different, but I don't know how Ye Kai said conclusively, oil prices will definitely fall?

"There is another reason for this, which has something to do with Lao Maozi." Ye Kai said to Old Man Ye.

"Oh? Let's hear it. Sure enough, Old Man Ye asked with great interest.

Ye Kai said, "Lao Maozi's economic situation is very bad, the source of foreign exchange is basically dependent on the export of crude oil, and now the price of oil has skyrocketed, which is naturally a good thing for them, but it is very depressing for the Americans, so the White House may take the opportunity of the war against Iraq to introduce a policy to stabilize oil prices, and pull the national oil price back to about 20 US dollars." ”

Objectively speaking, the Soviets have suffered a great deal from Iraq's troublemaking and sending troops to Kuwait to send troops to Kuwait, and the international oil prices have skyrocketed, so they have benefited a lot from the Gulf issue, so they have the attitude that the more chaotic the situation is, the better, and if the oil prices are speculated, the Soviet Union's crude oil exports will be greatly stimulated, and after the income skyrockets, the domestic economic situation will improve, and the pressure on the government will be less.

So even if the Americans planned to send troops to Iraq to stand up for Kuwait, the reaction of the Soviets was not very strong, which was naturally due to the impact of oil prices.

But the Americans are not stupid, according to Ye Kai's impression, it seems that the US president has considered using half of the strategic reserve of oil to stabilize international oil prices.

Although these things are not a big deal when viewed in isolation, once they are viewed together, they are not so simple, and many ambiguous international situations immediately become clear.

"In this case, the Soviets are about to jump...... Old Man Ye couldn't help but be a little surprised after listening to Ye Kai's analysis, he didn't expect Ye Kai to be able to analyze so thoroughly.

"If things really develop according to my analysis, I estimate that within a year the Soviet Union will disintegrate, the old empire will fall apart, and the United States will become the world's only superpower, dominating the entire world situation." Ye Kai took this opportunity to pour out all the words in his heart.

"Alarmist!" Old Man Ye listened to it and criticized Ye Kai very unceremoniously.

To be honest, Old Man Ye's intelligence sources are naturally richer and more accurate, and he still knows more about the situation in the Soviet Union, but although he feels that the economic situation of the Soviet Union is difficult, he will not collapse like this, after all, it is the largest country in the world, and its military power is directly catching up with the superpower of the United States, how can it collapse so easily?

But listening to Sun Tzu Ye Kai's words, it seems that the collapse of the Soviet Union is just around the corner, how can he believe it?

"We'll see." Ye Kai didn't argue with the old man, but replied with confidence.

Old Man Ye looked at his grandson and no longer criticized him, but just asked, "When will the money be returned?" ”

What he was referring to was naturally the 300 million funds transferred from the military's secret account through the hands of the second old man.

Although few people know about this matter, it is not a trivial matter.

From the position of the old man and the second old man, even if the money is lost, they can find a reason to prevaricate the past, but they are not the kind of people who do foolish things at all, and they do not have the kind of idea of harming the public and private interests, so the problem of this money must be implemented clearly.

You must know that this year's domestic foreign exchange reserves are only about 11 billion US dollars, and Ye Kai used 60 million US dollars at once, which is definitely not a small amount.

Although Old Man Ye also had some appreciation for Ye Kai's analysis, if it weren't for Ye Kai and the second old man doing it privately, he would never agree to them doing such nonsense.

"Around the 20th of next month, the money will definitely be returned." Ye Kai assured again.

"Are you really that sure?" Old Man Ye asked again, he didn't know where Ye Kai's confidence came from.

"Don't worry, grandpa." Ye Kai replied with a smile, "Even if the Americans can't do it, according to the current trend of international oil prices, it is impossible to maintain a high level, the decline is certain, at least I will not lose money, there is no suspense if there is a small surplus." If the profit is too small, at most I will return the funds, and then give 20% of the shares of the real estate project in Xicheng to the military, and no one can find fault. ”

After hearing this, Old Man Ye pondered in his heart, and immediately laughed, "You little slippery head!" ”

If according to what Ye Kai said, things don't go well, and it is not a loss for him to pay 20% of the shares to the military, after all, he knows very well that as long as the real estate project continues, it must make a lot of money, but the reality does not allow it, but if the military is tied up, the situation will be different.

Even if someone in the local government wants to make things difficult, who would dare to make irresponsible comments about the projects in which the military is involved?

On the surface, Zhong Lijia is at a loss, but if you calculate it carefully, this project is a lot of money.

"Since you are so confident, then why should I wait for you for a month, grandpa?" Old Man Ye finally spoke, and he said proudly, "You are a little careful, grandpa, I also know, I will tell you here, no matter how others toss, our Ye family, there is no need to stand in line!" ”