Chapter 408: The Opportunity to Drop the Knife (1/4)
"This ...... I think 5 million should be about the same? β
As a domestic telecommunications equipment supplier, Sun Yafang is very familiar with the development of the domestic telecommunications industry, although the field of mobile communications is not within the scope of Huawei's business, but this does not prevent Sun Yafang from also caring about this aspect of the data, according to the development plan formulated by the telecommunications system at the beginning of this year, the first batch of 15 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities in the country to build a digital mobile phone network will be officially opened on January 1, 1996 and realize network roaming.
By the end of 1996, the country has 28 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities to achieve the whole network networking, automatic roaming, its scope covers 253 cities and 1,173 counties, the analog mobile phone network has been achieved at the beginning of the year across the system of national networking and automatic roaming, covering 266 cities and 1,440 counties, the mobile communication network basically covers the county and above the city and the developed areas of the township, wireless paging has 27 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities to achieve the intra-provincial network.
In addition, it has launched autonomous roaming services with seven GSM operating companies, including Hong Kong SmarTone, Hong Kong Hutchison Telecom, Hong Kong Telecom CSL, Macau CTM, Singapore Telecom, Finntelem, and Deutsche Telekom (DTM).
Based on this huge good news, Sun Yafang feels that by the end of this year, the total number of mobile phones in the country will reach 3.5 million, and by the end of 96 to the beginning of 97, the total number of mobile phone users in the country should be about 5 million.
"5 million?" Lin Zheng shook his head disappreciatively, people who have never seen the growth rate of the mobile communication industry in the Republic. I would never have imagined how amazing this growth rate was, "Manager Yafang, I have the opposite view from you. Do you think that after 95 years, the growth rate of our domestic mobile phones will slow down, but I think that with the further development of the economy, the demand for mobile communications will further increase, and the growth rate of mobile phones will be further accelerated, by the end of 96 and the beginning of 97, the total number of mobile phone users in the country is very likely to reach 6.5 million to 6.8 million, and the growth rate will continue to be maintained at more than 100%. This means that in 96 years alone, the number of new mobile phone users in China will exceed 3 million. β
Sun Yafang was silent, she understood what her boss meant: the number of new mobile phone users in China will exceed 3 million a year. Considering that there are still many users who retain their original numbers and replace their mobile phones, from the beginning of 96 to the end of 96, the number of mobile phone sales in the country should be between 3.5 million and 4 million, even if Lianchuang Technology establishes a production line with an annual output of 1 million mobile phones. But it is not enough to meet the needs of the new market.
Of course. The huge market of 3.5 million to 4 million mobile phones added, Lianchuang Technology cannot cut off a piece if it wants to, and there are international communication equipment giants such as Motorola, Ericsson, and Nokia eyeing it there, and Lianchuang Technology wants to cut off almost one-third of the cake on it, and the competition is bound to be fierce.
But in the same way, this is also a huge opportunity for Lianchuang Technology, and many domestic electronics companies have plans to launch mobile communication production lines. However, most of these manufacturers take the route of outsourcing technology, and they cannot be compared with Lianchuang Technology in terms of cost control. Lianchuang Technology already has its own LCD panel production line, if it makes up for the shortcomings of the main control chip, its cost control ability will inevitably be stronger than that of international manufacturers. If you can get ahead of the competition before it starts......
After figuring out the trick, Sun Yafang actually felt that the annual output of 1 million yuan set by Lin Zheng before seemed to be a little insufficient to meet the future market demand, and after a deep sigh, she opened her mouth and asked Lin Zheng, "Mr. Lin, this 1 million is only the first phase, right?" β
"It's just the first issue," Lin Zheng nodded, and sighed with emotion in his heart: Sure enough, she is the only woman in the republic who can be shortlisted in the Forbes "Most Powerful Women" list in later generations, "The central government's requirements for the speed of economic development are to ensure 8, we calculate based on the annual GDP growth rate of 8%, with the development of the economy, the growth rate of social demand for mobile communication products will greatly exceed the growth rate of fixed-line products, I personally think that the average annual growth rate will remain above 80%, Taking into account the reduction in real costs after the expansion of the total market capacity, my personal estimate is that the number of domestic mobile communication product users will exceed 100 million between 2003 and 2004. β
In the first quarter of 2001, when the number of domestic mobile phone users actually exceeded the 100 million mark, Lin Zheng gave a relatively conservative figure for fear of scaring Sun Yafang, and he didn't even dare to say to Sun Yafang that by 2013, the total number of mobile phone users in the Republic exceeded 1 billion, and he was afraid of scaring this woman...... From the perspective of domestic economic development in 95 years, it is a big joke to say that almost every capita in the Republic of China has a mobile phone after 18 years: Do you know how much a phone costs?
"100 million ......" Sun Yafang swallowed hard.
When she heard this number, her instinctive first reaction was, "This can't be!" That's not how satellites are released. In 92, Nokia predicted that the total size of the global mobile phone market would be 50 million, and the republic alone would exceed 100 million users. Or is it eight or nine years later?
But the words of opposition came to the mouth, Sun Yafang couldn't say anything, she is also a senior intellectual, engaged in the telecommunications industry, naturally knows that what her boss said is the truth, the development speed of mobile communications is much higher than that of fixed telephones, "Bao 8" is the consensus of the previous core team, only "Bao 8" can ensure economic development and social stability under the current international situation, since it is "Bao 8", then GDP growth of 8% per year It makes sense to do this calculation.
In the past, even with this foundation, I didn't dare to think in this direction, but now it's just a verification, so what else dare not think, a simple mental arithmetic, Sun Yafang has to admit that although Lin Zheng's number sounds scary, this day is really not far away. Even if it can't be reached in 03-04, it can be achieved by the end of 05 at the latest...... Thinking of this, Sun Yafang was excited: compared to this huge market. It is not an exaggeration to say that the mobile communications market in the Republic is now blank.
"That'...... That ......"
Although Sun Yafang's words didn't come out, Lin Zheng also understood what she meant, nodded and said, "Not only are we developing, but the whole world is developing, maybe our peak production capacity needs to reach 100 million units." β
Annual output of 100 million mobile phones? Sun Yafang's eyes were dizzy.
Although there was indeed this meaning in the words she had just spoken, there was this meaning and the meaning of saying this. Those are two very different things.
Yes, that's right, Lin Zheng said. At that time, it is impossible to maintain the price and profit margin of mobile phones at the current level, but at that time, it is to win by volume, although the relative profit margin is much lower. But the absolute profit was certainly much higher than it is now.
Realize what a gold mine you've come across. Sun Yafang's whole person was trembling softly: "Mr. Lin, don't worry, no matter what, we must win this project!" β
Lin Zheng nodded, paused slightly, and threw out an oversized bomb: "By the way, there is a battery production company in Window City, BYD." You know that, right? Personally, I have more than 30% of the shares there, and the mobile phone battery we use in the future can go from this side. The price will be a little cheaper than other manufacturers. β
Sun Yafang was dizzy: BYD battery, of course, he knew that this company had a small reputation in the window market, and the speed of development was very fast, but what shocked her even more was the layout of the boss, Chinese technology, LCD panels, and battery factories...... Boss, you have been eyeing the mobile phone industry for a long time, and you have started the layout early?
"Then I'll talk to ARM again."
"Well, by the way, you told the people at SΓARM that I have some suggestions for the next generation of ARM processors that they are developing, and I believe it will be of great help to their development work, and if they don't want my construction to become an obstacle to their development of a new generation of processors, I hope that the two sides can cooperate on a wider scale." Suddenly remembering that the current ARM company has begun to develop a new generation of embedded microprocessor ARM9, Lin Zheng's heart suddenly moved: this may be a good opportunity.
For ARM9, he is so familiar that he can't be more familiar, even if he closes his eyes, he can also take the relevant technical features and development methods of ARM9 as a treasure, to put it mildly, even the current ARM9 developers, the understanding of ARM9 is not as deep as their own, if they want to set up a stumbling block for ARM9, it is really a simple thing.
"You mean...... It's ......" Sun Yafang was firmly frightened by her boss's words: Boss, do you know how scary your words are?
Lin Zheng didn't say much, he didn't think of this problem just now, but now that he has thought of it, it would be a tragedy not to use this opportunity to let ARM help him train a group of IC designers...... Violent destruction of heavenly things is to be struck by thunder from the sky.
After a deep groan, Lin Zheng said to Sun Yafang, "In this way, you come over again tomorrow, and I will write something for you to bring over...... After reading this material, I am sure that ARM will be happy to get our friendship. β
Bragging, right? Sun Yafang was a little unconvinced, but the sworn appearance of her boss made Sun Yafang a little uncertain, hesitated for a moment, and finally nodded slowly: "Okay." β
You don't get dead if you try, do you?
ββββββββββββββββββββ
PS: When parents know the hard work of parents, these days have been testing their son's eyes, ran four hospitals to detect three results, this depressed, and finally went to West China, finally confirmed, binocular farsightedness, strabismus, astigmatism, but fortunately found early, with glasses can be corrected, until yesterday is a sigh of relief, last night tired really can't, at 9 o'clock thinking about lying down for a while and then get up to code words, the result of this relaxation, sleep directly this morning.
I'm really sorry for everyone this month.,I don't know how much I owe you an update.,Let's pay it back from these three days.,These three days work hard to ensure 4 more.,Say sorry to the brothers again.γ
Another question, brothers, it's the end of the month, although the update is not very powerful, can you give a monthly ticket for the sake of extenuating circumstances? (To be continued......)