Chapter 38: The Vanishing Prophet and the Change of Mentality

Calculated or not, the Russians soon paid the price for their actions, and the Polish independence movement exploded even more quickly than in history.

Britain and France increased their financial assistance to the Independence, and after the outbreak of the uprising, the Independence raised an army as quickly as possible and began to sweep all directions.

Franz, who was a melon-eating crowd, was soon greeted with a letter of protest from the tsarist government.

Franz asked incredulously: "Prime Minister, are you sure that the contents of this protest letter are true?" ”

Franz was not shocked that Austria actually had 400 volunteers in the Polish uprising, most of whom were retired officers and soldiers of Austrian Poland.

Under the nose of the Vienna government, Polish independence was able to raise such an armed force, and if there was no problem, there would be a ghost.

It is one thing to secretly stumble on the Russians, and it is not because so many volunteers are openly telling the outside world that Austria supports the Polish independence movement.

The Russian-Austrian alliance has not yet explained? Just stabbing the tsarist government like this, it is morally impossible to get by!

Prime Minister Felix replied awkwardly: "Your Majesty, there are indeed quite a few Poles in the Galicia region who support this uprising. The number of people who participated in this uprising was not just 400, but the number we counted was 800.

If nothing else, the number is increasing. We miscalculated in advance and did not expect that so many people would take part in this uprising, so we did not take measures in advance. ”

Franz rubbed his forehead, he didn't even know what to do with the aftermath. After the outbreak of the Polish independence movement, Poles from all over the world participated.

There are millions of Poles in Austria, and it is inevitable that there will be some volunteers, at least a little too many.

"No one is going to frame us, is it?" Franz asked, uncertain

He very much suspected that this was a conspiracy by Britain and France, the purpose of which was to sow discord between Russia and Austria and disintegrate the Russian-Austrian alliance.

Prime Minister Felix replied: "Your Majesty, please rest assured. We have already checked, and there is no problem with these people, and they did voluntarily participate in the uprising.

Many of them were originally residents of Russian Poland, but they immigrated to Galicia because they could not stand the rule of the Russians.

Now they are back to join the uprising, mostly because of the forces of hatred. We have already taken action, and this will not continue to happen in the future. ”

Faced with this result, Franz could only attribute it to the Russians being too dead. can make people appear in exile, and they don't forget to work hard for revenge, what else can they do.

Of course, there must have been someone in the Vienna government who had made it easier for them, otherwise it would never have been possible for so many people to enter Poland without any problems.

Franz thought for a moment and said: "Let's explain slowly to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Russians, and by the way, issue a diplomatic statement that the issue of Russian Poland is an internal affair of the Russian Empire, and countries should not interfere." ”

In any case, it has happened, and we can only find a way to deal with the aftermath. It just so happened that after Britain and France expressed international solidarity with the Polish Independence Organization, European countries responded one after another, and the tsarist government still needed the support of Austria.

When this happens, Franz doesn't expect to be good anymore. First of all, show your attitude, as for whether the Russians believe it or not, they can only resign themselves to fate.

This little thing is enough to drive a wedge between the two countries, and it is still a little short of the rupture of the Russian-Austrian alliance. As long as the alliance is still there, it's a big deal to slowly repair the relationship later.

Foreign Secretary Wesenberg replied: "Your Majesty, the Russians will soon have to take care of themselves. According to the information from our station in St. Petersburg, the Polish insurgent army has exceeded 100,000 people.

After the Polish independence organization was premeditated, more than 100,000 Russian troops deployed in Poland were defeated by the Polish rebels.

Many of the troops became prisoners without even reacting, and many soldiers joined the Polish independence movement directly, as if the Russian Revolutionary Organization and the Poles had united.

Judging by the information we have gathered, the rebels are not exactly a rabble, and their leadership should have received short-term military training.

From the outbreak of the Polish uprising to the present, at least 5,000 volunteers from all over the world have participated, most of whom have received military training and become officers of the rebel army.

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs suspected that military training had been provided to the Polish Independence Organization, and the volunteers, who were probably trained in advance, entered Poland and led the uprising quickly after its outbreak began. ”

Franz's face changed drastically, and this is probably the truth of the matter. Even Austria, which is secretly doing the mafia, can toss hundreds of volunteers, and the existence of Britain and France, which is open and open, will only go even further.

Is it difficult to train people for the Polish Independence Organization?

It's too easy for the big hooligans, recruit a gang of anti-Russian Poles, then do simple training, put them in the colonies to fight a few battles, and those who survive are qualified soldiers.

The situation would have been further complicated by the involvement of the Russian Revolutionary Organization, which would have meant that the rebellion would not have been confined to Poland alone, and that revolutions could have erupted in vast areas of the Russian Empire.

The reforming Russian Empire was undoubtedly at a crossroads. Now it is the most accident-prone, and there are too many people in the country who are dissatisfied with the reforms of the tsarist government.

The radicals felt that the Tsarist government was not thoroughly reformed, and the conservatives felt that the Tsarist reforms hurt their interests, and who knew what would happen to these dissatisfied people once they were provoked?

You know, since the reforms of Alexander II, there has been no peace within the Russian Empire. The peasants, who had just been freed, sighed at the huge amount of land ransom.

The redemption of land by the Russians was not as harmonious as in Austria. These ransoms are subject to interest, which is not the same concept as Franz's unified demarcation of payment standards.

The land ransom in Austria is basically based on the output income of the land for 5~10 years, which is collected by the government and then handed over to the landowner.

Farmers can pay in installments of up to forty years, without counting benefits. The ransom that needs to be paid every year is within everyone's affordability.

Because of the unified apportionment, the expropriation standard is 20% of the actual annual output of the land, which can be paid more or less, and it can be paid off within the specified time limit anyway.

As a result of the rebellion, the government confiscated a lot of land, and the Vienna government actually made a lot of money from this expropriation, and naturally it was able to use some of the money to settle the shortage of ransom money in the disaster year.

Not so with the tsarist government, the landlords were still alive and well, most of the land belonged to these nobles, the number of plebeian estates in Russia before the reform was less than twenty, and the free peasants owned only a small amount of land.

In this context, it is definitely impossible to reduce the price of land redemption. It is impossible to collect and distribute it uniformly, and it is even more impossible not to pay interest.

Had it not been for the Revolution, Franz would not have been able to force the aristocracy to accept such harsh conditions. In fact, the land reform in Austria was not thorough.

Many of the nobles who were not involved in the rebellion, nor in the areas affected by the rebellion, still owned large amounts of land, and as long as they did not want to be bought by the government, they could not force it to be ransom.

There were no social contradictions, mainly because the Vienna government reduced the per capita land redemption area and ensured that everyone could redeem land, but the place was uncertain.

Later, with the expansion of the Balkan Peninsula and the opening of overseas colonies, the originally tight land supply became relaxed, and the contradiction was completely resolved with more land.

At present, the immigration propaganda slogan of the Colonial Department is: Go to the colony and open up the wasteland, and you will own as much land as you want.

This was not possible for the tsarist government, and although there was a lot of wasteland available for reclamation in the country, it was also owned by the owner.

On average, the area of land acquired by the peasants through redemption was lower than that of Austria itself. This, of course, is the result of calculating the Balkans, to which the Romanian and Serbian regions contributed quite a bit of arable land.

Alexander II's reforms, which only gave 13% of the serfs enough land; 42% of the serfs acquired land that they could barely make ends meet after paying the ransom; The rest could not support themselves on the land alone, so they had to go out to work.

This provided sufficient labor for the development of capitalism in Russia. With the development of the capitalist economy, a part of the rural population poured into the cities, and the originally tense land problem was gradually resolved.

In the late 19th century, the Russian Empire became strong again thanks to the reforms of Alexander II.

Unfortunately, Russia's capitalist economy is just starting and is not capable of absorbing too many people.

The social dividends brought about by the reform have not yet had time to play a role; However, the social contradictions brought about by the reform have already begun to play a role.

"Pay close attention to the trend of the situation in Russia, figure out the forces invested by all parties, and prepare for intervention, we cannot allow major changes in Russia."

Franz made a decisive decision on the spot, let the Russians suffer a little loss, and forget about the collapse of the Russian Empire!

Unless the Russian Empire can be dismembered and the threat is resolved once and for all, it is better to retain the tsarist government.

After all, Tsarist Russia posed a limited threat to Austria, and there were too many people in the country who were holding back, even the brilliant Alexander II changed the problem.

It would be different if the rules were broken, Franz could use the opportunity of civil strife to purge Hungary and integrate Austria, who could guarantee that Russia would not have a powerful figure to turn the tables?

At least Alexander II had the ability to carry out reforms within the rules, and he could not completely solve the problem.

But once the order is broken, the situation is different. The greatest legacy that Nicholas I left him was loyalty to the Tsar's army.

As long as the army is dealt with, many problems are not actually problems. As long as the table is overturned, the possibility of Alexander II regaining the river and mountain is very high.

If it is another country, it can also form a coalition of countries to intervene in a wave, and when he met Russia, Franz said that he was afraid of the cold.

With the emergence of a reborn Russia, Austria will have nothing to do and concentrate on acting as the gatekeeper of Europe, responsible for keeping an eye on the woolly bears.

Prime Felix replied, "Your Majesty, we should not act rashly now. Although Alexander II's reforms hurt many people, they did not cross the bottom line of the conservatives.

As long as these people do not move, Russia will not be in chaos. The collapse of the Russian army in Poland is mainly due to the fact that there are too many Polish soldiers inside.

In order to ensure the stability of Poland, the tsarist government had recently ordered conscription from Poland in an attempt to transfer them out of Poland, but the plan had just begun before an uprising took place.

The Russian army remained loyal to the Tsar, the revolutionary party could not influence the army, and the slightest rebellion could not shake the foundations of the tsarist government.

As long as Britain and France did not personally intervene with troops, it would not be long before the rebellion was suppressed. ”

Listening to the Prime Minister's explanation, Franz breathed a sigh of relief. He is a mystery to the authorities, ignoring that Britain and France will not take action personally.

After losing the war in the Near East, the British were much more cautious in European issues, keeping themselves out of the situation as much as possible.

Not to mention the French, how could it be that Napoleon III almost lost the throne and let him go to the troubled waters of the Russians?

The Kingdom of Prussia was directly ignored, don't look at how awesome they were blown in later generations, now the Russians sneeze, and the Berlin government is terrified.

Now the best option for Austria is to watch the play, and not to prepare to interfere. Any move by the Vienna government is likely to send the wrong signal to the outside world, thus creating an uncontrollable situation.

Franz thought for a moment and said, "The Prime Minister is right, but I am too nervous, and it is better to be still now."

The Foreign Ministry told the tsarist government that we supported any of their actions on the Polish question, and that the matter of volunteers was pushed to Britain and France.

Other things, nothing to do with us, nothing to know. ”

Since static braking is adopted, it is okay to pretend to be stupid.

Britain and France could stand up and pull hatred, and that was because they were far enough away from the Russians to fear reprisals from the tsarist government.

It is best to be able to hit the Russians, and if you can't hit the Russians, you can also disgust the Russians, and use the Polish independence movement to delay the reform process of the tsarist government.

Is it really that simple? Today, the international situation has long since changed beyond recognition, and the advantage of Franz's foresight no longer exists.

After sorting out his thoughts, Franz quickly figured it out.

Austria is no longer the Austria of history, and it has accumulated enough advantages in the early stage, even if it does not have the advantage of foresight, it is still in an advantageous position in international competition.

Too much concern about the changes in the Russian Empire was actually due to Franz's lack of confidence. After all, the concept of his previous life was so influential that he ignored the changes in his own strength.

Austria has one or more advantages over any of its competitors, and it is enough to play these advantages.

First of all, in terms of the quality of the population, Austria is one step ahead of compulsory education, and now Austria is already enjoying this dividend.

Once the second industrial revolution begins, the first-mover advantage is already doomed. By the time the competitors reacted, Austria had already run to the forefront.

It seems that Austria is not lagging behind now, following in the footsteps of the British, and certain industries can still run to the front.

On the contrary, the usury empire has begun to deviate. The lack of local coal production capacity has driven up the costs of many industries in France, and capitalists are increasingly interested in making financial profits.

In the short term, rivals Britain and France, due to the constraints of population and local area, the development ceiling has been locked.

The constraints of the local area and resources can also be made up for by using the colonies, everyone is a colonial empire that does not lack these resources, but there is no way to do it in terms of population shortage.

No, the French are already thinking of a solution, and that is external expansion. Napoleon III had just eaten the kingdom of Sardinia, making up for the lack of domestic labor.

The British really can't help it, surrounded by the sea, if they want to expand, they will go to the mainland. It's a pity that John Bull didn't dare, and once he set foot on the European continent, he would be taught to be a man immediately.

The Russian Empire, a mid-term rival, was still in the process of reform, and it was already lagging behind industrially for at least twenty years, which could not be made up for in a moment.

Even if it is open, it will take more than ten years to catch up. In this era of rapid technological change, it is impossible for opponents to wait for them to catch up.

As long as it was under the rule of the tsarist government, this kind of open development could not happen, and if it was able to guarantee the normal level of development, it would be God forbid.

The long-term rival Americans, after the toss of this civil war, estimates that the development time will be delayed by another twenty or thirty years. At least they have to wait until they complete the reunification of the country again before they have the ability to dominate the world.

These advantages can only be regarded as superficial, and the real advantage is that competitors have not yet perceived their weaknesses and have not taken corresponding measures to solve these problems.