Chapter 49: The Complexity of Russian Politics
For Franz, the problem is never finished, and as long as you leave it alone, it's not a problem.
France is in turmoil, and it is indeed big news for the media, but for the Holy Roman Empire, it is not even a small cold.
Since it was the Russians who provoked it, let the tsarist government settle it themselves. Anyway, HRE did not garrison troops in France itself, and even if the battle was bloody, the Vienna government would not be in a hurry.
The only trouble is that international public opinion will be very unfavorable. It's just that this time is different from the past, as the boss of the European Continental Union, the Vienna government's anti-lightning attribute has become much stronger.
Now it's not the HRE army that is making trouble. Even if it was criticized by public opinion, the most it would do was to accuse the Vienna government of "inaction".
"Inaction" is not a sin, and if you look at recent history, you can see that this policy of inaction of the Vienna government has continued for many years.
For European governments, the "doing" of the boss above their heads is far more terrible than "inaction". If the Vienna government had to take care of everything, it is estimated that the European Union would not be as stable as it is now.
Similar to later generations, if the U.S. government suddenly doesn't give up and doesn't do anything, the countries of the world will only celebrate with a crown, instead of jumping out and accusing the Americans of inaction.
There is only one main reason for being sprayed, that is, you have to participate in the trivial things, but at the critical moment, you shrink back and refuse to take responsibility.
Although the chaos in France shows signs of expanding, it has not yet reached the point where it cannot be contained. The Vienna government did not intervene for the time being, leaving it theoretically okay for the Russians to deal with it themselves.
Of course, there is nothing wrong with this, but from the standpoint of the Holy Roman Empire itself and third parties that have no interests.
The French and Russians, who were at the center of the storm, would never think so.
Without the Vienna government to mediate, the French and Russian governments at this moment have essentially been forced into a corner.
Compromise?
If the Carlos government dares to make concessions, the French people will dare to change the emperor.
If you don't have the strength to fight hard with the enemy, it's already very humiliating; If you don't dare to cooperate with non-violence, how can you prove that you stand with the French people?
The French government had no choice, and the tsarist government was embarrassed. Nicholas II, who had just succeeded to the throne, had not yet had time to adapt to the supreme power brought by the Tsar, and ran into this big trouble.
There is no point in pursuing right and wrong, and once you investigate deeply, the final result will most likely be a slap in the face.
According to the command of the Russian army in France, it was a conspiracy of the French to deliberately provoke a conflict between the Russian army and the local population, which caused the situation to get out of control.
Whether others believe it or not, Nicholas II will not believe it anyway. The conspiracy of the French may exist, but the main reason for the situation getting out of control is definitely not a small conspiracy.
There is no way, the damn reporter recorded the atrocities of the Russian army, the photos have already appeared in the newspaper, and they can't be washed off if they want to.
There were even people who mailed Nicholas II a small video movie, accompanied by a sincere letter, hoping that Nicholas II would stop the atrocities of the Russian army.
Letters were no more, and Nicholas II received more than that. If they were all put together, they would be able to fit a few wagons.
Without bragging, if living in the twentieth century, Nicholas II was able to live a middle-class life by selling waste paper from which he received letters every day.
Especially in recent times, almost all the well-known figures in Europe have sent him letters. politely persuaded with a little tact, and if you don't give face, you will be scolded directly.
Fortunately, Nicholas II had a good temper, and if he had been replaced by a cautious tsar, he might have to send someone to kill these finger-pointing guys.
However, no matter how good the cultivation is, it can't withstand the impact of "small movies". If it weren't for the distance, Nicholas II would definitely have called the commander in Paris to him and let him know what it was to be called to Paris.
I've never seen anything so stupid. was secretly photographed by reporters, which is barely understandable. But if someone made a documentary on the spot, it can't be said.
The camera of this year is not a small toy, such a big block is filmed on the side, and the Russian soldiers on the scene did not stop it, and Nicholas II can no longer be described in words.
In short, these video materials were quite unfavorable to the tsarist government. Recently, it has been more than ten years of separation, and it is not easy to squeeze into the circle of European civilization, and now it is about to be kicked out again.
The hat of "barbarism" and "brutality" was taken off by the Russian Empire in a short time. The international image that Alexander III painstakingly built up was now lost.
Due to the blurred video data, it is impossible to accurately identify the Russian officers and soldiers, otherwise Nicholas II would have to send these wastes to God.
The situation has eroded, and accountability is a matter for the future, and the most important thing at the moment is to deal with the aftermath.
The Allied headquarters, which was controlled by the Vienna government, directly ordered the Russian troops in Paris to solve the trouble themselves. Whether the tsarist government wanted it or not, now it had to bite the bullet.
……
saint petersburg
In the Winter Palace, Nicholas II sat on top of the table with a gloomy face and said indifferently: "What happened in France has seriously affected our international image.
In order to reverse these adverse effects and safeguard the interests of the Russian Empire, we must now take decisive measures.
……”
Obviously, Nicholas II has not figured out the point to this day. "International image", once that thing is corrupted, it is really bad.
It's not impossible to redeem it, but it's definitely not something that can be changed in a short period of time.
Instead of dwelling on the international image, it is better to find a way to stabilize the situation in France first. These benefits are what can really be seen and touched.
Pobedonoschev reminded: "Your Majesty, the Allied headquarters has authorized us to deal with French affairs with full authority.
It is imperative that the first thing we do is to stabilize the situation in Paris. A note was sent to the commander stationed in France stating that the matter of those responsible could be investigated and dealt with only after the situation had stabilized. ”
(Pobedonozev: Personal Teacher and Counsellor of Nicholas II, Director of the General Administration of Orthodox Affairs)
There is no way, the Allies authorized the Russian troops in Paris to deal with it with full authority, which seems to be very trusting, but in fact it is to let the tsarist government clean up the mess itself.
The incident was provoked by the Russian troops stationed in France, and now that the situation is out of control, the tsarist government cannot escape the blame, and it is impossible to shirk it.
And the aftermath must also be done well. Otherwise, several other allies in the garrison who have encountered an unwarranted disaster will come to look for trouble.
It's not a question of being afraid or not, the key is that everyone eats in the same pot, and they also need to cooperate with each other. If relations are really stiffened, the situation of the Russian troops in France will be even worse.
It's not bad to say, if the French are completely taken away, with only the little strength of the Russian army stationed in France, they will not be able to control the field at all.
Limited by distance, even if the Russian Empire wanted reinforcements, it would not have time to rely on the strength of its allies.
Perhaps the strength of a single country is limited, but the combined strength of these dozen or so countries is actually not too far from the Russian Empire.
Chancellor of the Exchequer Sergei Witt: "The Director is right, the situation now does not allow us to delay.
It is now clear that the Vienna government does not want to intervene. The French government is on strike again, and from now on we will have to pay for what we spend in France.
The longer the delay, the greater the loss of the empire.
In order to resolve the issue as soon as possible, I propose that a delegation be sent immediately to Paris to investigate the causes of the incident and to coordinate relations with the French Government.
In any case, the French government must first be appeased. Only when they come out to work can social order be restored as soon as possible. ”
It is not that Sergei Witte is opposed to violent repression, but that the current situation in France is too complex for violence to solve.
The people who want to solve the problems seem to be beyond the strength of the Russian troops stationed in France. Given the financial pressures, it was impossible for the tsarist government to send 1.8 million Russian troops to play the purge.
Since you can't play with violence, you can only be reasonable. Anyway, France is a defeated country, and it has to start three points shorter.
Foreign Secretary Mihairovich: "I'm afraid it's going to be very difficult to do. The French government went on strike in protest, the main purpose of which was to want us to withdraw our troops from Paris.
However, this is precisely the least likely concession we can make. If there is no garrison, how can we guarantee the war reparations?
What did the interests of the Empire in France depend on to be maintained?
Even if we don't care about any of this, we have to take into account the position of the countries of the anti-French alliance. Unilateral compromise of the Reich with the French would only put the Reich in a very awkward position. ”
No objection no, the capacity of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs is limited. Convincing the French with an incorruptible tongue is simply an impossible task.
The bottom line of the tsarist government is clearly here, and the biggest concession is nothing more than this: next time you don't collect taxes in person, and then there will be no more.
Investigate the person responsible, that is also to deal with it internally, and the final result is nothing more than a fine of three glasses of wine.
The reason for the punishment of the parties is not the atrocities of the Russian army; Instead, when robbing and killing, the news was not blocked, which put the tsarist government in a passive position.
On the issue of the atrocities of the Russian army, the tsarist government now says that it is impossible to admit anything. No matter how good the evidence is, the tsarist government will have to carry it to the end.
The French could not have been satisfied with such a result in any case.
If you want to solve the problem by diplomatic means, you must at least throw a few scapegoats out and let the French vent their grievances.
Obviously, it is impossible for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to do this kind of offending the military.
Neither wanting to offend his colleagues nor bearing the consequences of the failure of the negotiations, Mikhairovich naturally wanted to tell the ugly words in front so that he could shift the blame for future problems.
None of the civilian cliques are united, let alone the military. In addition to repression by force, it is still repression by force, and it is impossible to take responsibility anyway.
The interests of the empire are important, but the status and future of the individual are obviously more important. Anyone in the position of Minister of War will first protect the interests of his younger brother.
……
For the soft-eared Nicholas II, the quarrels at the top of the government were the greatest torment. Each has its own reason, and it is too difficult for the tsar to make a choice between them.
Perhaps he was impatient, or perhaps he had thought of something, and Nicholas II interrupted the discussion.
"Well, the Foreign Ministry will negotiate with the French first. If they are aware of the times, it is enough to accept our kindness; If the French refuse our kindness, sober them up with bayonets. ”
Diplomacy + military are two-pronged, working together to solve problems, exactly like the description in the book, and there seems to be nothing wrong with it.
As for the effect, that will be known only when you use it. Anyway, Nicholas II is now very satisfied, taking into account everyone's opinions, taking care of everything.
The only trouble is that the specific executors need to have a headache again. Whether it was headed by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs or by the military, His Majesty the Great Tsar did not give a clear answer to this question.
Although he knew that it was trouble, everyone present tacitly chose to avoid it.
Who will lead the case is not only related to the aftermath of this investigation, but also to the ranking of the War Department and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in the government's power structure.
The tsar's direct appointment is nothing more than a matter of ministers, which does not affect the balance of power.
But if someone else pierces the window paper, it will turn the secret political struggle into a tabletop, and there is no room for maneuver.
Politically, this is undoubtedly a big taboo. All of you here are smart people who know what you can and can't do.