Chapter 6: The Undercurrent is surging

War is not something that can be fought if you want to, "the soldiers and horses have not moved, and the grain and grass go first; Before the war started, diplomacy took precedence. ”

The political structure of many countries on the European continent determines the importance of diplomacy.

The Vienna government did not yet have the confidence to confront all European countries at the same time, and the role of diplomacy came to the fore.

It is not necessary to ask all the countries to support Austria in waging this war, at least to ensure that the majority of the countries do not oppose it.

It's just a small country, most of them are grass on the wall. For them, Austria is already strong, and it doesn't matter how strong it is.

As long as they do not harm their own interests, even if they are unhappy, they will at most verbally condemn them.

The countries that really have the right to speak are still the three big hooligans of Britain, France and Russia, Spain, which is at the bottom of the great powers, the Nordic Confederation, and the German Federal Empire next door, which can barely count one-third of the votes.

How to deal with these countries has become the most important task of the Austrian Foreign Ministry at present.

Foreign Secretary Wesenberg analyzed: "The turbulent situation on the European continent is very beneficial for our next actions.

The French government, plagued by the revolution, is now preoccupied with itself.

At the cost of not supporting the Italian independence movement and the French Revolutionary Party, in exchange for the acquiescence of the Paris government, the probability of success is very high.

Spain has always followed the footsteps of the French internationally, and as long as the French government does not oppose it, they will probably not take the lead.

The German Confederation, even if it does not support us, will not oppose it. We can preach nationalism, emphasize the hatred between the German nation and the Ottoman Empire, and it will not be difficult to gain their support.

The Nordic federations are far apart, and their interests will not be involved in this war. Moreover, we guaranteed a loan from the Nordic Confederation on behalf of the Russians.

If they also need us to provide security for this loan, they will not be on the opposite side of us.

The most troublesome are Britain and Russia. It is basically impossible to get the support of the British government, and we don't have so many benefits to exchange.

The Foreign Ministry's focus will be on the Russians. If we were able to make some concessions, or cede part of the Ottoman Empire to the Russians, the tsarist government would not have refused. ”

The core of diplomacy is interests, and now it is time for them to be exchanged. As long as the bid is high enough, there is nothing that cannot be bought.

Looking at the map of the Near East on the wall, Franz pondered for a moment and decided: "If the Russians are willing to send troops together, then the east is bounded by the Arracus River, and the Asia Minor Peninsula is bounded by the Anatonian Plateau.

If the tsarist government was unwilling to send troops and only supported us diplomatically, then they would only be able to gain the territory north of the Greater Caucasus Mountains, and the peninsula of Asia Minor would have no share of them. ”

There is no doubt that the greatest benefit that Austria will take regardless of the distribution method is no longer "the two countries equally divided between the Ottomans".

The reality is so cruel, and the interests are always equal to the strength. Franz's offer was also based on the strength of the Russians.

In particular, the first plan, in which the two countries divide up the Ottoman Empire together, seems to be a fair and reasonable offer, but in fact it is also harboring evil intentions.

If you look at the border line drawn by Franz, you can see that Russia and Austria have always been good-neighborly and friendly, and if one day the two countries turn their faces, there will be loopholes everywhere.

The Russian Balkan Peninsula and the Asia Minor Peninsula were directly exposed to Austrian forces and would fall in an instant.

This is determined by a combination of geography and strength, and it seems that they are all connected to the Russian Empire, but it is only a geographical connection.

There are mountains in the middle, the railway is out of sight, and the traffic is completely dependent on the Black Sea.

As soon as Constantinople was lost and the Austrian Navy entered the Black Sea, the lifeline was cut off.

Even if the Russians held Constantinople, it was useless, the Black Sea Fleet was gone.

Austria could also achieve the same goal by pushing to any port on the Black Sea coast on land and letting a dozen submarines into the Black Sea.

In modern warfare, it is all about logistics, and once the army loses its logistical supplies, it is nothing.

In a sense, this was a huge trap, and the more power the tsarist government invested in these areas, the more it lost money.

……

In Paris, the situation has become out of control since the news broke that the European countries were going to convene an international conference here to jointly curb the spread of revolutionary ideas.

Hundreds of thousands of Parisians took to the streets to protest the government's conspiracy to persecute the revolution in collusion with international reactionary forces.

The protests of the people clearly reached the Palace of Versailles, and Napoleon IV became emaciated, as if he had suddenly aged twenty years.

There is no way, there is a group of people making noise outside every day, and this kind of mental destruction is really not something that ordinary people can bear.

Mobilize troops to disperse the marchers? It didn't work, it just dispersed, and after a while it gathered again.

The most important thing is that people are protesting legally, and the government has no right to suppress it until it has taken drastic actions.

It was not that Napoleon IV obeyed the rules, but the main thing was that he did not have a bottom in his heart, and he did not dare to order suppression for fear of intensifying the contradictions.

At present, the French government is suppressing extremists who have launched a rebellion, and the people who protest and march are not among them, and they cannot be suppressed.

According to incomplete statistics, in recent times, at least one-third of the people in France have participated in demonstrations.

Throwing the documents in his hand to the ground, Napoleon IV roared angrily: "Can anyone tell me when such a day will be a head?" ”

The emperor's temper is getting worse and worse, this is everyone's clearest feeling. No matter how bad your temper is, the work still has to go on normally.

Foreign Secretary Terence Bulkin reported: "Your Majesty, news has just been received from Vienna that the Austrians are planning an invasion of the Ottoman Empire. ”

Napoleon IV shook his head: "My Foreign Minister, you can just look at such a trivial matter, don't bother me!" ”

The "Austrian invasion of the Ottomans" also became a trifle, and if it were to be followed by this standard, it was estimated that there would be no major international event.

Terence Bulgin reminded stubbornly: "Your Majesty, this is an extraordinary war, it is not an ordinary war, the Austrians want to swallow the Ottoman Empire in one bite.

Once their plans were completed, in addition to the lack of Constantinople, there was another Eastern Roman Empire. The impact on us is huge. ”

The impact was indeed very large, and if Austria had been allowed to annex the Ottoman Empire, the impact would be even more terrible than the revival of the "Eastern Roman Empire".

At least the historical Eastern Roman Empire did not extend into Central Europe, and there were no colonial empires throughout the world.

Napoleon IV shook his head with a wry smile: "Even if so, so what." In our current situation, do you think there is still the ability to interfere?

Otherwise, you go out and tell the people: in order to keep the Ottoman Empire, you have to send troops to fight Austria and see what they will do.

As for the question of how Austria might make a big deal, leave it to the damned British! ”

Terrence Bulkin stopped talking, he hadn't lived enough and didn't want to go out and find excitement.

In Paris, where anti-war and revolutionary ideas are strong, the government dares to send troops to help the Ottomans fight, doesn't that force everyone to revolution?

Since there is nothing you can do, then simply let it go. After a series of social beatings, Napoleon IV had matured and learned pragmatism.

……

As the days passed, the time for the Paris International Conference was getting closer and closer, and the situation in Paris became more and more tense.

In the evening, dozens of people had gathered in an ordinary farmhouse on the outskirts.

A middle-aged man with a beard was the first to speak: "Judging from the current situation, the Bonaparte government is probably not going to compromise."

If the Paris International Conference had been held smoothly and these European monarchs had colluded, the success rate of our revolution would have been even lower. ”

An angry young man slammed the table: "We can't wait any longer, now that the revolutionary ideas have been deeply rooted in the hearts of the people, the people have been suffering from the Bonapartist dynasty for a long time, and the time is ripe for revolution." ”

As if sensing that the atmosphere was not right, the organizers of the meeting hurriedly reassured: "Little Love, if you have something to say, don't be so excited."

We were not well prepared, and apart from having some influence in the National Guard, no other troops had time to infiltrate.

Without the support of the army, it is almost impossible to complete the revolution. ”

It's a bit brutal, but that's the way it is. Without the support of the army, it is a fantasy to want to seize power by armed revolution.

Little Nov retorted: "Mr. Figunin, this is not the case.

The last time a revolutionary wave swept across the continent was in 1848.

If this opportunity is missed, no one knows when the next wave of revolution will appear.

Without the support of the general environment, our own strength, no matter how well prepared, will not be able to resist the counterattack from the monarchical group.

By this time, we have reached the point where we have to fight, and by the time the Paris International Conference is over and the monarchy is united, it will be too late to act. ”

……