Time flew by, and the Austrian army quickly withdrew from Panama, but not to the Colombian government, but to the local government of Panama.

To be precise, it should be the Panamanian Independent Organization, the original Panamanian local government has long been replaced, and now it is the Independent Organization that governs.

Halfway through, Colombian government forces were blocked by local militias and prevented from entering the country.

The two sides are facing off, and the Panamanian Independence Organization has not yet issued a declaration of independence, refusing to allow government troops to enter the country on the grounds that military discipline is poor.

Although Colombia is not an American-style federal system, local governments have also considerable powers, and it is not without precedent to refuse entry to government troops.

Knowing that Panama was going to become independent, President Rafael Nunez had no choice but to resort to political means until independence began.

Repression, non-existent! Now whoever fires the first shot will be held accountable for provoking a civil war.

This is what the Vienna government wants to see the most, and a civil war breaks out just after the Austrian army has withdrawn, which feels awkward no matter how you look at it.

Moreover, the longer it drags on, the better prepared the independent organization will be. It also takes time to control the territory, and it has only been a few months since the establishment of an independent organization, and it is good to be able to put up a shelf, and there is no time to sort out the internal affairs.

……

Foreign Secretary Wesenberg: "Your Majesty, the Colombian government is once again urging us to pay compensation. According to information from the embassy, they have been surrounded by the families of the fallen soldiers for three days.

Some even stormed the embassy district and demanded pensions. Now it has become difficult to even go out to buy daily necessities, so I can only let the Colombian government send them in. ”

Hearing the news, Franz smiled slightly. Isn't it just being protested by, which great power has not experienced a few times in recent years, and it is not the same thing to encounter more.

"Tell the Colombian government to ask them to provide proof of identity for the families of the fallen soldiers, and as soon as the identity is verified, we will issue the pension immediately.

The loss of property is concentrated in the Panama region, and only the local people need to be compensated, so in order to avoid the diversion of the money, we will send the funds directly to the local government. ”

What is "for local government" to fight a civil war?

If given the choice, it is estimated that the Colombian government would prefer not to have this compensation. This is no longer just a hot problem, it is clearly fatal.

Revenge, that's the real revenge. Compared with this, the previous conflict "misunderstanding" can only be regarded as pediatric.

"Your Majesty, the Colombian government, in order to show us goodwill, has relaxed trade controls on the Peruvian border," Foreign Secretary Wesenberg reminded.

Now that we do this, I am afraid that they will close the border again, and if the smuggling cannot continue, Peru and Bolivia will have to ......"

Franz waved his hand: "It's just a small problem, Peru is a little brother of the French, and most of the materials purchased now are French goods, even if it is blocked, what does it matter to us?"

As for Bolivia, haven't we already opened the trade routes with Argentina? Although there are not many materials smuggled in the past, if they save a little, it is estimated that it is barely enough. ”

The "misunderstanding" of Panama just over was not only hit by Colombia, but also Argentina, which is also a neighbor of Austria, was also frightened, and even the Chilean government, which hugged the thighs of the British, was terrified.

In these years, no one in South American countries is much better than the other, all of them are weak chickens, and none of the top three in South America stand out.

It was just a "misunderstanding", and the loss of troops in Colombia caught up with all the losses of the "Guano War" for more than a year, so everyone could not panic.

Seeing the strength of Austria, Argentina, as a neighbor, naturally had to adjust its foreign policy. It would not work to directly lift the trade blockade, that would offend the British.

However, this is not a problem for the shrewd Argentine government bureaucrats. You can't trade on the surface, and you can smuggle it secretly.

This was a multiplicity, not only was Austria satisfied, but even the British had nothing to say, and the bureaucrats could take advantage of the opportunity to make a fortune.

……

Austria is on the move, and the French are not idle, and the current French Empire is much more powerful than the original plane. The tiger has not been punctured, and there is French Guiana, and it is not easy to deter several South American countries.

The Vienna government was able to persuade the Argentine government to ease the blockade, and the French could likewise turn a blind eye to the Brazilian government.

In a sense, the "blockade line" concocted by the British had a large number of loopholes from the beginning.

The so-called "blockade" is just a blockade of ordinary businessmen. The real effect is probably to reduce the inflow of materials and raise the cost of purchasing materials between the two countries.

A merchant group with strength and background never cares about any blockade lines. As long as the interests are sufficient, there is no blockade line that the capitalists cannot cross.

Even the coastline, which is guarded by the Royal Navy itself, is also crossed by merchant ships. As long as the backstage is big enough, you are not afraid of being caught.

What the British can't do, no other country can count on. In addition to the domestic magnates, there are also a bunch of bold business groups with great powers.

If you are caught, you will be persuaded to return at most. Accountability exists, otherwise what if it leads to a diplomatic conflict?

The country that has really achieved strict lockdown is probably Chile. When it comes to vital interests, it is not possible to be strict.

……

Maybe South America is too rich, or maybe it's too weak. In conclusion, the South American region managed to arouse the interest of Napoleon IV.

Seeing Austria's idea of attacking Panama, Napoleon IV also wanted to expand the French South American colonies.

France had not expanded for several years, which was too bad for Napoleon IV to surpass his father.

For the emperor's great plan, the French government is both excited and helpless, everyone wants to make contributions and leave a name in history, the problem is that the conditions do not allow it!

Foreign Secretary Dumbledore advised: "Your Majesty, the current international situation is not suitable for external expansion. The Russo-Prussian war has reached a critical juncture, and we cannot afford to distract ourselves.

Judging from the current situation, once the Russo-Prussian war is decided, the European continent will undergo another reshuffle, which is our best opportunity to expand our influence in Europe.

Had it not been for the imminent changes in Europe, the Vienna government would not have given up the Panama region in its possession, and international opinion alone would not have been enough to concede to them. ”

There is nothing wrong with it, the most popular thing these days is "Eurocentrism". According to this principle, the countries of both continents, France and Austria, must concentrate on dealing with the post-war changes.

Napoleon IV shook his head: "Your Excellency, this does not contradict my plans. Colonial expansion is a long-term national policy, and it is not imminent.

All we need to do now is prepare for the rest of the day, and it's not too late to act when the dust settles on the continent.

The world has been carved up, and the most obnoxious Englishmen have been given the richest regions; Even the southern European barbarians took a big piece of cake.

All that is left for France is the scraps, nominally we are the third colonial empire in the world, but in fact everyone knows very well, it is a large pile of sand.

Step by step, step by step, there is not much room left for us to choose. In addition to East Asia and South America, South America is relatively small and easy to get. ”

Expansion, expansion, and expansion were not the personal desires of Napoleon IV, they were the urgent needs of French domestic industry and commerce.

This is the price that the industrial powers must bear, without the blows of the Franco-Prussian War and the annexation of Italy, the French industrial capacity has increased too much compared to the same period in history.

The increase in industrial capacity is not necessarily a good thing, and it is accompanied by an urgent demand for raw materials and commodity sales markets.

Affected by the large import of raw materials, the cost of French industrial and commercial products is on the high side, and its international competitiveness is limited.

The best way to solve this problem is to expand. There are no raw materials - grab; There is no commodity market - grab. In short, there is nothing that the word "rob" cannot solve.

Hearing this explanation, Dumbledore stopped talking. I wanted to say that the strength of South American countries is not weak, but when the words came to his mouth, he couldn't say it.

The strength and weakness need to be compared, and compared with France, South American countries are too weak. Even if all these countries are combined, they cannot be a match for France.

The emperor's position was firm, and the colonial expansionists in the country were powerful, and seeing that the situation was not right, in order not to immediately form a resolution, Roy, the also anti-war Chancellor of the Exchequer, hurriedly changed the topic:

"The South American issue is not in a hurry for the time being, and the most important thing at the moment is the Prussian-Russian war. There are all indications that Austria has plans to annex the Federal Reich of Germany.

The British are unreliable, and if the Pop-Pop Federation is defeated and the Russians win only miserably, then we are the only ones who have the strength to stop the Austro-German merger.

If the Vienna government insists on doing its own thing, and we must stop it, then war will not be avoidable.

Everyone has seen the tragedy of the Russo-Prussian War, and if we go to war with Austria, I am afraid it will be even more tragic than that.

In order to ensure victory, we have to prepare in advance. This requires a lot of money that our finances cannot afford. ”

This is not purely a fool, Austria has always had a plan to annex the German Confederation, and it has changed over time.

As soon as the international situation changes, perhaps the plan will become a reality. The Russo-Prussian War was just one chance.

If the Pop-Po Confederation wins, then it is needless to say that even if the losses are heavy, the Berlin government will have no choice but to fight Austria. This is a matter of principle, and there is no possibility of compromise.

It would have been a different story if the tsarist government had won and suffered heavy losses.

Of course, the Russians did not want to see Austria annex the German Confederation, but the tsarist government would not smash the pot and sell iron to rush up in order to stop Austria.

This is determined by interests, even if Austria unifies Central Europe, the Russian Empire will still be the Russian Empire, at most it will lose the way to expand into Europe, and the threat will not be fatal.

The fact that Austria gave so many loans was not in vain, and it was still able to influence the decision-making of the tsarist government at a critical moment.

If some benefits are promised, the possibility of compromise between the two countries is very high.

Against this backdrop, the Vienna government was able to persuade most European countries to be neutral, and the end result was mostly a one-on-one confrontation between France and Austria, with at most one unreliable British ally.

After Napoleon IV succeeded to the throne, he basically continued his father's economic policies, and although the economic development of the country slowed down, it was still very good on the whole.

The Chancellor of the Exchequer said "no money", which really shocked him. It was immediately relieved that the Paris government had always been heavily indebted, and that was an indisputable fact.

The most money owed in the world is not John Bull, nor Austria, which has just been revived, nor the warring Prussia, but France, which dominates Western Europe.

There is no way, it costs money to renovate Paris, build infrastructure, revive armaments, colonize and expand abroad, and annex Italian regions.

The Orleans dynasty left behind a debt-ridden mess. Although Napoleon III revived the French economy, he was unable to change the high level of government debt, which increased even more.

It's not that this economic model is bad, in fact, many countries in later generations have invested in stimulating the economy, and they are all the same concept.

It's just that the government's debt will continue to rise. In the era of the credit standard, we can still rely on the issuance of additional currency to make up for this hole, and in the era of the gold standard, we can only resist hard.

Under this economic model, the French economy has grown at the same time as the government's debt is increasing.

The total government debt of Paris has exceeded 28 billion francs, which is more than the debt of the two countries combined, making it the largest debtor country in the world.

Of course, just because you owe a lot of debt doesn't mean that the Parisian government is really poor. Government investment is not all public welfare, and many investments have become assets that can generate income, but these assets cannot be realized in a short period of time.

After pondering for a moment, Napoleon IV shook his head: "The situation in Europe is not so dire that the Austrians have not begun to prepare for war, which means that the Viennese government is also unprepared.

Your speculation is actually only possible. There are too many assumptions in this, and the war must end with a crushing victory for the Russians to have anything to do next.

In fact, the Russo-Prussian War has been going on so far, and no one is ready to grasp this degree.

The Russians did have a better chance of winning, but not necessarily a pyrrhic victory. Even if the Popo Federation loses, it does not necessarily lose all its capital.

The British are really unreliable, and we haven't counted on them, haven't we?

Besides, why do we have to go to war with Austria, and the partition of the German Confederation is also a good option.

Don't tell me that the Austrians just want a total war with us? If there is a fight, it will only be the British who are cheaper. ”

The three-legged stand is the most stable structure, and the main reason is that everyone is worried that "the sandpiper and the clam will compete with each other, and the fisherman will benefit".

Compared to the British who were isolated abroad, both Austria and France were in a much worse strategic position.

Awkward, the title is typed wrong

(End of chapter)