Nurhachi is certainly an idealistic person, but that's not the point, at least not at the moment.

Military conflicts inevitably have preconditions as a foreshadowing, and this foreshadowing is sometimes political, but more often than not, especially for the Jurchens who live in difficult conditions, the origin of contradictions and conflicts mostly arises from disputes over economic interests.

Even in the early Wanli period of the internal fighting between the South and North Passes, the trade scale of Fushun Horse Market and Kaiyuan Horse Market was at least ten times different. This shows that Fushun Mashi is only partial and limited to trade with the Jianzhou Jurchens; The Kaiyuan Horse Market is a trade exchange between Liaodong and Eastern Mongolia and the entire Jurchen region. In other words, under the pressure of Kaiyuan Horse Market, Fushun Horse Market has been in a state of suppression for a long time, and it can only be a local mutual market of the Ministry of Jianzhou. This is also the economic root of the Jianzhou Jurchen's long-term control over the Haixi Jurchens, especially the northern and southern Guanhada and Yehe.

In the past two hundred years, the Ming Dynasty has used the trade of the original horse market to control the Jurchen strong chieftains in the north and south, and then indirectly restrain the Jurchen tribes, which is very pragmatic.

In this way, the rise of the Jianzhou Jurchen will inevitably impact the Liaodong frontier system centered on Kaiyuan, as well as the economic structure of inland Asia, especially the trade alliance between Kaiyuan and the South and North Passes.

The rising strong chieftains of the Jianzhou Jurchens not only represent the challenge of the Jurchen tribe's middle class or small aristocratic class to the vested interests of the frontier leaders (i.e., the vested trade interests of the strong chieftains of Kaiyuan and the northern and southern Guanqiang), but also to break the long-term suppression of the Haixi Jurchens on the Jianzhou Jurchens and the Kaiyuan Horse Market on the Fushun Horse Market.

Among them, Wang Gao and Atai father and son can be regarded as the pioneers of Nurhachi's challenge to the North and South Passes.

The deeds of Wang Gao's father and son have been described in this book, so I won't go into detail here. In short, the emergence of strong chieftains such as Wang Gao, Atai, Lai Lihong, and Wang Wutang marked the rise of the Jianzhou Ministry and was gradually challenging the trade monopoly of the North and South Customs. In this respect, they were indeed the forerunners of Nurhachi.

As for the reason for the failure of Wang Gao and the Atai group, it is actually very simple, it lies in the deterioration of their relations with the border generals in eastern Liaodong: they solicited fugitives, plundered the border people, guided the northern captives to invade the border and detained Pei Chengzu, and finally suffered from the revenge of the Ming Dynasty, especially the Li Chengliang military group.

Although Gao pragmatic's ass has always sat upright, it doesn't mean that he doesn't understand the truth. In fact, the development of Jianzhou's Jurchen agrarian economy will inevitably make it gradually more dependent on Fushun Mashi. It is precisely because of this that how to expand the trade scale of Fushun Mashi and break through the suppression of Kaiyuan and Haixi Jurchens will inevitably become the primary goal of the rise of the Jurchen Department in Jianzhou.

Wang Gao's father and son are like this, and now they are replaced by Nurhachi, and they can only do the same, and there is no other choice - unless he is willing to Jianzhou Jurchen always be a cow and a horse, work hard and complain, and do not get due returns.

Gao pragmatic thought about it carefully and found that since the early Ming Dynasty, the Jianzhou Jurchens have been suppressed by the Haixi Jurchens. From Dong Shan to Wang Gao and Wang Wutang, they all tried to break through the suppression of the Haixi Jurchens, but they were all jointly killed by the Haixi Jurchens and Kaiyuan border generals.

The rise of the Wang Gao clique and its uncommon rebellion caused by its demand to expand the scale of trade in Fushun Mashi itself had the intention of challenging the monopoly of trade between the north and the south. It's a pity that this is also the reason why Li Chengliang and Nanguan Qiang Chieftain jointly killed Wang Gao's group.

Therefore, in the early days, Nurhachi learned the lessons of Wang Gao's father and son, and adopted the same strategy as Wan Khan: by maintaining order on the border, in exchange for the dominance of the horse market, and forming an alliance with the border generals and families in eastern Liao. This is also the reason why a letter from Gao Shishi was able to force Nurhachi back to his lair.

The door of life was pinched in Gao Shishi's hands, and he now has no ability to resist by force, what can he do if he doesn't admit it, can he give people his head?

Gao Shishi carefully reviewed the original history and found that the rise of Nurhachi itself was a process of continuous struggle for trade control with Kaiyuan, Yehe, and Ula.

This discovery made him quite excited, and after leaving the palace gate, he immediately got into the green nyun sedan chair and ordered to speed up and rush back to the household. The accompanying Gao family thought that something was wrong, and strode the old man back to the Hubu Yamen on the east side of the royal street.

Cheng Wen and Hu Zhili had heard that Gao Situ had returned, and they were going to wait for his summons to discuss the trouble they encountered today—there must be trouble in rushing back in such a hurry. Who knew that there was no movement left and right, and when he sent someone to ask, he found out that Gao Situ had locked himself in the duty room alone.

If it weren't for the wide open windows of Gao Situ's room, he could be seen from afar writing hard in it, but I was afraid that Cheng Wen would have to send someone to see if there was any accident.

In fact, Gao is only straightening out some basic relationships between the trade of the Liaodong horse market and the rise of Nurhachi, so that he can accurately judge how Nurhachi and other forces around Liaodong will react in certain situations.

"Knowing things like gods" never relies on genius or intuition, but only on careful logical thinking.

In the original history, Kaiyuan's central position in the eastern Liaodong frontier system made Fushun Mashi and Jianzhou Jurchen suppressed for a long time. Of course, the situation at that time was different from the current situation, at that time, Ye He's alliance with Nuan Tu and Trance Tai continued to oppress Nanguan, so Li Chengliang adopted the policy of using the Jianzhou Ministry to marry Nanguan and support Nanguan to fight against Beiguan.

For example, in history, Nurhachi's marriage to gangsters, the promotion of the governor, and even the dragon and tiger generals were completely masterminded by Li Chengliang and others.

There is evidence for this statement, according to Gu Yangqian's "Chong'an Gu Mr. Fuliao's Recital":

"Deputy envoy Cheng Xun said to the minister: Jianzhou chief Nuer Hachi wanted to marry Beiguan to attack the gangsters, and he spied on my movements, which was the eyes and ears of Beiguan. Now I heard that I am anxious to do business, and I want to marry a bad businessman. The marriage of the bad businessman is also a wing, so it is better to make it happen. The marshal is to make the official Tong Wei move to Fushun Pass to convey to the slaves: You will not pay tribute if you miss the deadline, and you want to marry Beiguan, attack the bad businessmen, and will punish you. Thou shalt marry in the north of the pass, marry the bad businessman, and come to pay tribute quickly, but release you and make Changdongyi. After the words were transmitted, Tong Wei returned it and did not look back. ”

The handsome here refers to Li Chengliang, Cheng Xun is also a person close to Li Chengliang, only Tong Weidong's life deeds are unknown. However, at the end of Wanli, there was a general official Tong Weixun, who was executed for the Houjin spy, and considering that the traditional characters of the word Dongxun are very close, the two may be the same person.

On March 12, the sixteenth year of Wanli in the original history, Gu Yangqian and Li Chengliang conquered Beiguan and returned defeated. On March 16, he entered the border, and on April 1, Nurhachi sent Ma Sanfei to greet his relatives. It can be seen that this marriage was led by Gu Yangqian, Li Chengliang and others, aiming to support Nurhachi, and also confirmed the affiliation between Li Chengliang and Nurhachi.

Nurhachi sent Ma Sanfei to Kaiyuan, "Those who built the state and Yima Sanfei can kowtow in Chinese and say: The soldiers of the Xiangzhi are coming to Beiguan...... Xiao Yi is not afraid to obey when he hears it, so that the chieftain of Jianzhou can marry and commit businessmen, and he is willing to keep the east for a long time. It is to let the marriage of the bad businessman be sent away with a little reward. ”

"Willing to defend the east for a long time", it is obvious that Nurhachi learned the lesson of Wang Gao's father and son, and adopted the same strategy as Wan Khan: that is, by maintaining order on the border, in exchange for the dominance of the horse market, and forming an alliance with the border generals and families in eastern Liaodong to convey benefits.

Therefore, in the sixteenth year of Wanli, Nurhachi proposed to Nanguan to obtain the support of the military and political circles of Liaodong in the Ming Dynasty. When the edict was divided equally between the north and the south, Nurhachi had already preemptively paid tribute to express his loyalty to the Ming Dynasty.

However, the current situation is markedly different from history. Although Nurhachi still expressed deference to Gao Pragmatic, he also felt that Gao Pragmatic was too powerful, and he was worried that he would never be able to get rid of the dilemma of being forced to retreat by Gao Pragmatic's book.

At the same time, Tumen's expedition to Yeh also gave Nurhachi another opportunity, that is, to take advantage of the east wind of Tumen to "divide the north and south passes equally" with him.

Why is it said to take advantage of the east wind of the maps? Because Tumen is the number one thorn in the side of the Ming Dynasty, Nurhachi and Tumen sent troops at the same time, and Daming's focus must be on Tumen, and he will not pay too much attention to him Nurhachi.

In this way, assuming that this battle map has the advantage, not to mention defeating the "intervention army" of the Ming Dynasty, as long as the Ming can be repulsed, Nurhachi can easily obtain Nanguan and will not be "taken care of" by the Ming Dynasty, which is very cost-effective.

Another hypothesis is that the Tumen were defeated and that the Ming continued to maintain de facto control over Beiguan Yehe. At this time, of course, Nurhachi was about to face the Ming Dynasty, but Gao Pragmatic had every reason to believe that once such a situation was reached, Nurhachi would definitely quibble.

The way to argue is simple, for example, he can say that he sent troops to prevent the Tumen from continuing to invade Hada in the south. Of course, Daming can choose not to believe it, but as long as Nurhachi expresses his willingness to return to Zhao and hand over Hada to Daming for disposal, Daming will not care anymore.

After all, there is a cost to war, and the cost is very high, before the Tumen are destroyed, it is impossible for the Ming Dynasty to spend time, effort and money to build a state, this move is contrary to the national policy.

Not only did Da Ming not take care of it, but according to his usual habits, he probably had to give Nurhachi some reward to reward his loyalty, even if everyone knew what was going on.

Politics is never about conscience, it's only about interests.

Straightening out this relationship, Gao Pragmatic can be sure of one thing: as long as the Ming Dynasty does not take the initiative to attack Nurhachi before solving the Tumen, Nurhachi will never have a military provocation against the Ming army!

Of course, this is a very weighty judgment, but with high pragmatic prudence, he can't give Cao Yan an order based on this.

Gao Shipra, who was "overcalculating", wanted to add another layer of insurance to this matter, so after a little thought, he decided to write a letter to Nurhachi again.

In the letter, Gao Shishi did not reproach Nurhachi for sending troops to Hada without authorization, but pretended not to know about the agreement between Nurhachi and Tumen, and determined that the operation was an unexpected dispute caused by Mengebulu's refusal to allow him to cross the border, according to Nurhachi's own public statement.

However, Gao pragmatic also emphasized that Meng Gebulu was a meritorious person during his Fuliao period, although he did not do it right this time, but "the two of you have no deep hatred", and they are both "old friends of the Ministry of Headquarters". Therefore, "Motobudo" intends to be a middle-aged person and make peace for the two of you.

Gao pragmatic proposed a way to make peace is also very sincere, he said that he will ask Mengebulu to change his original intention, not only to allow Nurhachi to cross freely, but also to provide Nurhachi with some conveniences within his ability, such as dedicating some places for Nurhachi as a temporary station.

At the same time, temporary trade between the two sides can be opened, and the Hada people can trade with the Nurhachi Ministry, and provide some daily necessities such as vegetables and wild vegetables to the Nurhachi Ministry.

At the same time, Gao Shishi even said that since "you two" are "old friends of the main department", "the main department" also hopes that you can take this opportunity to understand each other, deepen friendship, jointly maintain the peace of Liaodong and the Jurchens, and create a new situation of common prosperity.

This article was not written by Gao Pragmatism who suddenly had a convulsion, since Nurhachi was willing to marry Nan in history, then of course it is okay now. You must know that whether it is history or today, Nurhachi still does not have the strength and confidence to confront the Ming Dynasty head-on.

At this time, if the Nanguan side is willing to cooperate with him, and there is the support of the Ming side behind him, then the situation in which he Fushun Pass is jointly suppressed by the North and South Customs will be greatly improved.

Why do we have to fight a problem that can be solved without a war? He Nurha only has a few thousand soldiers in total, so why do he have to consume them? Wouldn't it be nice to keep it in your hands and continue to save your possessions?

Gao Shishi felt that at least eighty or ninety percent of Nurhachi should be willing to accept his peace, and the remaining one or two percent may not be opposed, but may put forward more demands.

It's okay to make a request, I'm not afraid of you making a request, I'm just afraid that you will be foolish. As long as you are honest now, don't be naughty, and I'll get the figures done in another three or four years, and I'll talk to you slowly when I get back.

Even if Nurhachi's problem is basically solved, Gao Pragmatic will have to consider how to let Cao Yan fight this battle.

Cao Yan was able to become the second person in the Liaodong military circle second only to Li Chengliang by fighting a war, of course, he had a few brushes, and his ordinary tactical command and the combat effectiveness of the elite soldiers under his command should be relatively reliable. Gao pragmatic mainly needs to explain his matters, which are basically strategic judgments.

Generally speaking, there are four key points: First, although Nurhachi is not a friendly army, he is not an enemy army, so he should find a way to pacify it first.

Second, although the three of Hada's Menggebulu, Kanggulu, and Daishan are not single-minded, and their abilities are more worrying, they are all afraid of the power of the Ming Dynasty, and if possible, they can still win them over and let them serve the Ming Dynasty.

Third, although Ye He and the two old Baylors have only died recently, they are now facing a desperate situation, and they have to succumb to the orders of the Ming Dynasty if they ask for me, and they can also win them over.

Fourth, Tumen is not terrible, but he must have sent troops with Buzhhatu this time, and he must be careful of Buzhhatu's methods, whether military or other conspiracies.

Among these four articles, Gao Pragmatic believes that the first three are easier to do, as long as he reminds himself, Cao Yan can do it according to the gourd. However, for Article 4, Gao Shipra is really a little worried.

After thinking about it, Gao Pragmatic still listed the most likely tricks that Buzhihatu played in his letter to Cao Yan, and at the same time told Cao Yan: Gao Yimin, a military staff officer sent to Meng Gebulu's command before, was quite capable, and Meng Gebulu was defeated because he did not listen to his advice, so he had decided to temporarily send Gao Yimin to Cao Yan's command to "temporarily serve as a staff member", and asked Cao Yan to contact and pay attention to it.

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