Chapter 107, Prologue
Any huge strategy requires a long period of preparation and cannot be completed overnight. Austria's primary strategy now is to promote the second industrial revolution and develop the African continent.
The Middle East can only be ranked second, as for the other strategies, they all belong to fishing for grass and rabbits, and it is good to succeed, but it is okay to fail.
In a few decades, the overall situation will be decided. This is to learn from the Americans, and in any case, there is always something to be gained from the experience of successful people.
It is not easy to fool countries into the trap, and now is an era of heroes, and there are too many smart people.
In recent years, the French have been in the dark and digesting the fruits of the war, and Napoleon III has been suffering from physical problems, and at this time he is busy paving the way for Napoleon IV.
Against this background, it is clear that the French will not risk the world's condemnation and run out to do things. No matter how much you want to calculate them, you can't do it.
Franz estimated that not only Napoleon III would adopt a conservative strategy in his final days, but also that France would continue to adopt a conservative strategy for a long time after Napoleon IV's succession to the throne.
All European countries, including Austria, supported the Italian independence movement, but to no avail, and France at its peak easily suppressed these minor disturbances.
Don't look at the original time and space Prussia won the bet and think that France is vulnerable, in fact, the combat effectiveness of the French army is still the top level in the world. If it weren't for Napoleon III's blind command, the final outcome is still unknown.
The French are only behind Britain and Austria in terms of comprehensive national strength, far surpassing European countries. If you take all factors into account, the Russian Empire, which followed closely behind, was less than half the national strength of France.
Modern warfare is fought in logistics, and the advantages of industrial countries over agricultural countries are too great to be compensated for by not relying on numbers.
In order to make the plan successful, the Vienna government conspired with the Russians against the Ottoman Empire and at the same time engaged in activities within Prussia.
……
On a manor house outside Berlin, Prussian radicals are engaged in a conspiracy.
The presiding officer of the meeting, Count Marcel Jensen, the leader of the Junker aristocracy, said: "Ladies and gentlemen, we have just received news through secret channels that the Russians are trying to win over Austria and plot against the Ottoman Empire. ”
The atmosphere in the room suddenly became tense, although everyone did not have a good opinion of the Ottoman Empire, and even many people wanted to see the end of the Ottoman Empire.
But definitely not now, when it came to fighting the great enemy of the Russians, the Ottoman Empire was still an ally of Prussia.
The last Russo-Prussian War proved the role of the Ottoman Empire, and at the critical moment of the Russo-Prussian War, the Ottoman Empire stabbed the Russians in the back, accelerating the time for the tsarist government to admit defeat.
A young officer nervously asked, "Your Excellency the Count, has the Vienna government agreed?" ”
Allies are allies, but Prussia and the Ottomans are separated by Austria, and in the event of a change, they are also beyond their reach.
In the face of the alliance of Russia and Austria, the Ottoman Empire at its peak may not be cowardly, and now any one of them is not something they can handle.
Marcel Jensen shook his head: "I don't know. It is impossible for this level of information, even in Austria and Russia, to be known by no more than ten people, and it is impossible to leak it. If it weren't for chance, we wouldn't have received any news of their secret contact.
However, with the grievances between the Habsburgs and the Ottoman Empire, it was a matter of time before Austria attacked the Ottoman Empire. ”
This is tantamount to confirmation in disguise, and it is no wonder that they will come to this conclusion. If you open the history books, you will know that the Habsburgs and the Ottoman Empire have been entangled for hundreds of years.
The hegemony of the Habsburgs in Europe, or most of the world's hegemony, was overthrown by the "Blasphemous League" formed by the Ottoman Empire and France, and the Habsburgs almost lost Vienna in a moment of crisis.
France is strong, it is too difficult to find them for revenge, and now the conflict of interests between France and Austria is not large, and the possibility of the two sides fighting is very low.
The Ottoman Empire was different, not only because it had a grudge against Austria, but more importantly, because the Ottomans had declined.
If you fall behind, you will be beaten, and this is the essence of the world.
If Austria were to attack other countries, it would probably have to take into account the pressure of European public opinion and public opinion at home. But if you attack the Ottoman Empire, you don't have to think about anything, you just have to do it.
The Ottoman Empire was so hated that European governments might oppose it for the sake of profit, but the people would never mind the Ottoman Empire being beaten.
Moltke, a young officer: "What can I do?" If Austria and the Russians join forces, the Ottomans will certainly not be able to stop them, and even if we try to intervene, we will probably be of no avail. ”
"Yes, there is Austria in between, and we can't support them if we want to."
"Do you want to start the Russo-Prussian War in advance?"
"No, that's going to drag Austria overboard."
……
Looking at the chattering crowd, Marcel Jensen waved his hand to signal silence.
"The situation is not so bad for you, and it is also an opportunity for us for the Austrians and the Russians to make a move against the Ottoman Empire.
Countless evidence shows that allies are unreliable, and they still have to rely on their own strength at critical moments.
If we had been able to annex Poland while the Russians and Austria were pinning down, the situation would have been completely different. ”
With that, Marcel Jensen paused, leaving time for the crowd to digest the contents.
Annexation of Poland, this is not news. There has always been such a voice within the Kingdom of Prussia, and Prussia, which won the Kingdom of Poland, was almost invincible.
After the merger of Pubo, although the overall strength is still lagging behind Russia, the strength that can be put into the battlefield will definitely not be much worse than that of the Russians.
Poland has developed water transport, and the construction of a few more railways to make up for it, the traffic problem will be solved. And the tsarist government wanted to solve the traffic problem, and it simply could not do it in a few decades.
Even if preparations are made in advance, the Russian army will not be short of food, but strategic materials are still a big problem. Not all supplies can be stored in advance, and many things cannot be stored for a long time.
These advantages may not be enough for Prussia to win the war, but it is still possible to hold on to the family business.
It is true that there are many Russians, but after the merger of Pupo, there are also many people, nearly half of the Russians. It was already difficult for the tsarist government to win the war with the tactics of crowds.
Moltke Jr.: "Your Excellency, I'm afraid this will be difficult to do. The Ottoman Empire was no longer the Ottoman Empire of 200 years ago, and they did not have the ability to contain Russia and Austria at the same time.
Moreover, if we want to annex Poland, it is impossible for the European countries to agree, and even Britain and France will most likely oppose it. ”
This is the crux of the matter, if it were not for everyone's opposition, Prussia annexed Poland just after the end of the Russo-Prussian War.
Marcel Jensen smiled leisurely: "This is going to test your skills, when Austria established the New HRE Empire, everyone will be familiar with it!"
What Metternich relied on to make European countries compromise, we can also emulate. First create the established facts, and then according to the actual situation, and then cede part of the benefits in exchange for the recognition of all countries.
The main thing is to convince Britain, France and Austria that the Russians are already enemies and their position is not important.
We need to believe in the capabilities of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and it is not impossible to convince the three countries. For example, if you support Austria's annexation of the German Confederation, I don't believe that the Vienna government is not moved. The Austrians have taken this step, can Britain and France still take care of us? ”
In order to further the Kingdom of Prussia, Marcel Jensen did not mind making concessions, and if it were not for the fact that there were more "middle two boys" among the people present, he would have said that the Rhineland region would be ceded to France.
Dealing with France and Austria has actually created an established fact, and the British, even if they are dissatisfied, will not care about them.
Anyone who cares has already guessed Marcel Jensen's plan, but for their own benefit, no one has pierced this layer of window paper.
If you look closely, you will find that the participants in this conference were basically military Junkers, or "agricultural Junkers", whose interests were mostly on the land, and for them the good land in Poland was much more important than the bad land in the north.
A young officer objected: "No, Your Excellency. Abandoning the Federal Empire of Germany, Austria was left uncontrollable. Even if we annex Poland, we are no match for them. ”
Austria's strength was already very strong, and all European countries tacitly suppressed Austria to unify the German region, and the Kingdom of Prussia was also a member of it.
Marcel Jensen shook his head: "Lacey, you're still too young. Austria annexed the German Confederation, who was most anxious?
Our current enemies are the Russians, and it is not our task to contain Austria, and Britain and France will not watch them expand. ”
This kind of willfulness is not unique to Marcel Jensen, he learned it from Austria.
On the surface, the Vienna government seems to be too weak to do so, and every time it tries to contain a competitor, it seems to be a step slower.
In fact, if you look at the changes in the map of Austria, you can see that there is something wrong with it.
Where is the expansion of France and Russia, it is clear that they are making a deal in secret, and everyone is expanding together. This made Marcel Jensen excited, Austria could do this, why couldn't Prussia follow suit?
……
The seed has been planted and is waiting to take root and sprout.
After the secret meeting, the next day Marcel Jensen appeared in the palace in a light car, and he also served as William's equestrian teacher, and it was normal to enter the palace.
On the royal racecourse, several princes were training in horsemanship, and William I did not know when he had arrived.
"How did they react?"
Marcel Jensen: "Everyone was in favor of the annexation of Poland, and only a few opposed the abandonment of the German Confederation, but I was convinced. ”
William I nodded: "Well, let's start pushing secretly, don't rush to the front before the war in the Near East starts again." ”
"Yes, Your Majesty!"
……
Anyone who hears the conversation between the two will be surprised that the back-of-the-scenes supporter of the radicals is William I.
It's not surprising if you think about it, it's normal for a monarch to install a few cronies into various organizations. If such an extremist organization as a radical group is not included in his own hands, the monarch will not be at ease!
The king's strength depends on strength, and if he has nothing in his hand, what else do he want to do except be a rubber stamp?
Wilhelm I's heart was not at peace at the moment, and this suggestion was made by his staff, who he suspected very much that Austria or France was secretly instigating.
However, for the sake of profit, William I decided to pretend to be confused. Let Austria annex the German Confederation and cede the Rhineland to France, really think he is a fool, I don't know what the political consequences will be?
At that point, the nationalists in the country are about to riot. While accepting this plan, William I was ready to respond.
Poland was to be annexed, but the German Confederation was to be retained, and the Rhineland could not be ceded to France.
Just wait for a suitable opportunity to poke the news to the British, so that they can take action to sabotage the plans of those behind the scenes, and Prussia will get the maximum benefit.