Chapter 82: A New Steel Center Born at an Inopportune Time
The British are about to reform, and for the vast majority of countries, this is definitely a joy to celebrate.
"Reform" may not necessarily make the country stronger, but it will certainly make the government busy.
The larger the country and the longer the regime, the more problems it will encounter in the process of "reform." Britain, a century-old world hegemon, is naturally facing all-round problems.
From the colonies to the mainland, there are too many historical problems that need to be solved by the government.
It can be described as "pulling a hair and moving the whole body". Even if the London government only carried out partial reforms, it would be enough for them to keep busy for a while.
History has proven that as long as the British are busy, international disputes will be greatly reduced, and the world will become harmonious.
In fact, with the reunification of the Holy Roman Empire, the frequency of British work has decreased much in recent years.
With the Holy Roman Empire in front of it, most of the British government's energy was dragged down, and naturally it had no time to toss other countries.
Now that the British government wants to carry out internal reforms, it will have even less energy to toss. This is a major positive for politicians around the world, and it means that they will be able to sleep for a few more days.
Although the two powers are now standing side by side, only Britain loves to toss. As for the other overlord, it is obviously a farming-type player.
Looking through the international news, we know that since the hegemony of the Holy Roman Empire was established, in addition to supporting Spain in expelling the Japanese, the only way to do this was to form a peacekeeping force to garrison France.
If it weren't for the Habsburg Twin Eagle Banner flying all over the world, everyone would have forgotten about this nascent overlord.
Of course, this is only for ordinary people, and politicians will never dare to forget it. Not doing things doesn't mean you don't have the ability to do things.
Just by virtue of the fact that the Shinra envoy to the foreign country demolishes the British every day, everyone knows that this is not a master to mess with. Especially in the past two years, the HRE Navy has often driven "super battleships" out to hang around, in the name of exchanging learning experiences.
It is clear that there is no point in exchanging experience with a multi-kiloton ironclad ship and a dreadnought.
If it is not Liwei, it is estimated that no one will believe it. Knowing is knowing, politics is rare and confused. The hegemonic countries have come to "friendly exchanges", and you can't help but cooperate!
Thankfully, the HRE Navy just walked around, swore an oath of existence, and did not take the opportunity to engage in political blackmail, which made everyone breathe a sigh of relief.
The end result is that the British government's progress in courting allies has become particularly difficult. Although the Royal Navy has the largest tonnage in the world, it has already suffered in terms of the number of super battleships.
There is no way, and the construction of warships also takes time. The first generation of the HRE super battleship "Rome" was commissioned in 1900, and the British had just begun to develop the project.
With great effort, the British's super-battleship was dragged into service until 1903. This is already a super level of play.
It took just over two years from the design, construction and final service of the project to prove the strength of Britain's shipbuilding industry.
It's useless, according to the construction rate of one a year, the fourth super battleship of the HRE has already been launched, and it is almost a sure thing that it will be commissioned within the year.
The Royal Navy lagged behind, only temporarily, but the impact on countries was still enormous.
One step slow, one step at a time.
The revolution in naval technology has broken out, and will the Royal Navy, which is temporarily at a disadvantage, really be able to catch up?
The British shipbuilding industry was able to crush almost all the countries of the world, except for the Holy Roman Empire. This is determined by the market and does not change by the will of the individual.
The seeds of doubt have been planted, and everyone's inference about Britain's invincibility has been shaken.
Since the winner cannot be determined, it is natural that he cannot stand in line in a hurry. At present, it has not yet reached the point of "either friend or foe", everyone can take a break and observe it again.
The countries of the world were relieved, but Franz had a headache. The international situation has changed beyond recognition, and no one is sure that the reforms of the British will succeed.
Campbell was only elected prime minister in December 1905 and met God in April 1908, less than two years after he actually ruled the country.
In such a short period of time, it is obviously impossible to complete the reform plan, but history still evaluates him well.
Because of the butterfly effect, forced by the impact of the domestic economic decline and the intensification of social contradictions, all sectors of British society realized the need for reform, and Campbell, the reformist leader, was elected in 1902.
Being elected three years earlier means that the reformers have three more years. Three years may not seem like a long time for a country, but it can change a lot.
Britain's foundation is still very thick, and once the internal contradictions are resolved and the colonies are integrated, there is still a very large potential.
Ready-made examples are in front of you, and Franz cannot guarantee that the British will not follow suit.
In case the British were stimulated, they followed the HRE and divided themselves and ate Australia, Canada, New Zealand and other regions completely, then it would be a proper world empire.
With such a large support plate, even if it loses the battle for hegemony, Britain is still a top power.
The only thing to be thankful for is that England is underpopulated, and it can't digest such a large territory for a while. Otherwise, Franz would have had to do it in advance.
……
Frederick: "Father, this is a new economic construction plan drafted by the Cabinet. On the basis of the previous five-year plan, the Western Economic Revitalization Plan has been added, and the Ruhr Industrial Zone is ready to be invested heavily.
I have researched and the Ruhr region is indeed suitable for the development of industry, especially heavy industry. Not only the transportation is convenient, but also close to the origin of raw materials.
Once developed, it was the industrial center of the western part of the empire. It is of great significance to promoting the economic development of the western region.
The most important thing is that the heavy industry of the empire was too scattered. Limited by industrial raw materials, there are more than a dozen heavy industry centers across the country, but none of them have a real core.
Before the empire developed, such a decentralized layout could increase the security of the country, and naturally it could not be mistaken.
Now the situation is different, we have no enemies on the European continent, and we have completely built a core to further promote the development of the domestic economy. ”
"Revitalizing the economy of the west", if it was before, would have been a joke.
You must know that the European continent has always had an obvious characteristic, that is, Western Europe is the most economically developed, followed by Central Europe, Northern Europe, Southern Europe again, and Eastern Europe's economy has always been at the bottom.
However, this situation has changed radically since the revival of the Holy Roman Empire.
The economy of Eastern Europe is still at the bottom, and the economy of Northern Europe has not changed much, while the economy of Western Europe has been declining in recent years, but Central and Southern Europe has become the most economically developed region in the world.
Of course, the economic development of southern Europe is only partially developed. The economy of Italy has not improved significantly, let alone Spain.
Whether they are counted as southern European countries or Western European countries is not a unified conclusion.
The only thing that is certain is that placing them in southern Europe will pull the economic average lower, and in Western Europe it will pull up a few points.
The main reason is still the pot of war, a European war destroyed the pillar of France, including the territory of the western part of the HRE because of the war.
As for Britain, it is not a continental country, so naturally it cannot be counted. In order to squeeze out the British, whether it was government documents, or radio newspapers, the HRE tacitly threw Britain out of Europe.
After the end of the European War, the Vienna government began a program to rebuild the west. It is not just reconstruction, not further development.
In particular, the territory of the newly acquired areas has not improved much due to the limited population, and the local economy has not improved much, and it has become a laggard area.
In order to change all this, the Vienna government has not been without efforts. Only before that, it was mainly busy restoring post-war infrastructure.
As for economic development, we must first have people. Although the Holy Roman Empire had a large population, it was too large to hold up.
When the country is bigger, there will be more "key projects". In contrast, the rebuilding western region did not have a high position in the economic strategy of the empire.
It is not as good as the African Ring Railway, nor as good as the petrochemical industry chain in the Middle East, nor as good as the local automobile and aviation industries.
The western region, which has a low economic strategy and lacks a population, will naturally have limited access to resources.
It is unrealistic to encourage immigration, and there are many places to grab people. The western territories, which are located on the border, are not competitive at all.
In the eyes of the general public, running to the west and being neighbors with the French is a big challenge in itself, who does not know when the fight will start again.
In a sense, this is also the pot of the Vienna government. Deliberately suppressed coverage of the situation in France, even if it was occasionally published in the newspapers, it would be an understatement.
Ordinary people don't know that the French Empire, which used to be awesome and coaxing, is now a phoenix with its hair plucked.
The new officials took office three times, and because of the great achievements of the previous government, the new cabinet did not dare to change course easily. I have been holding back for several years, and I have only now found an opportunity.
The distribution of heavy industry in the Holy Roman Empire was indeed too fragmented. It's not that Franz doesn't want to concentrate, it's that he can't concentrate at all.
There are many areas suitable for the development of heavy industry, but for various reasons, the development ceiling is inherently limited.
Taking the steel industry as an example, there are seven steel centers with an annual output of one million tons; In areas with an annual output of 500,000 tons, that's even more; However, there are so many steel centers, but there is not a single one with an annual output of five million tons.
In this era, such production capacity can still be obtained. If it is left in the future, any township enterprise can be killed in seconds.
It's not that iron and steel companies don't work hard, it's that the natural conditions are too restrictive. As production capacity increases, costs have gone up, and many steel centers have actually reached the limits of existing technology.
Judging from the development of the Holy Roman Empire, the annual steel production capacity of 28.78 million tons is obviously not enough to meet the demand.
According to the forecasts of economic experts, the demand for steel in the Holy Roman Empire will increase to 50 million tons in the next two decades.
Theoretically, the potential of all the steel centers in HRE could be tapped to meet the demand, and there was no need for further expansion.
Obviously, theories are just theories. Society is constantly evolving, and the demand for steel is increasing day by day.
The current demand forecast of 50 million tons is not set in stone. After all, the Holy Roman Empire was simply too big for the potential needs to be unimaginable.
Judging from the experience of the previous life, as long as the HRE does not decline, the future demand for steel will definitely be in 100 million units, which is nothing more than a matter of time.
However, the future is always the future, and we still have to focus on the present. After taking the document and reading it at a cursory, Franz said slowly: "This plan is too radical.
I do not doubt that the Ruhr region will be able to build a steel center with a capacity of 10 million tons per year, but let's not forget that it is the economic market, not the government, that will really determine production capacity.
The world economy is indeed in full swing right now, but let's not forget that the British economy is already in trouble. The London government is reforming at this time, what if it withdraws from the free trade system?
Once the British adopt trade barriers, there will definitely be many countries that will follow suit, and our foreign trade exports will inevitably be affected.
Even if an economic crisis erupts as a result, I would not be surprised. Is the demand for steel still so big in the short term?
What if we're unlucky and our steel center comes online a few years later, just in time for a new round of economic crisis? ”
It is not Franz who is conservative, but the economic crises of the capitalist economic world, which are already numerous. Judging from the past pattern, it is almost once every ten years.
It's been several years since the last economic crisis, and now that the construction of the steel center has begun, the countdown to the crisis has begun, even if it has not caught up with the crisis.
Massive overcapacity broke out, and the domestic steel industry is definitely wailing, and I don't know how many industries will be tossed to death.
The most tragic thing is that the steel industry in HRE is either invested by the government or controlled by the royal consortium, and private capital rarely touches these high-investment, long-cycle industries.
The industry that you build by yourself and crush your own enterprise is definitely a manifestation of brain water.
Even if it is to be carried out, it must be done slowly, for example, the production capacity is controlled at one million tons first, and then increased according to market demand.
In this respect, the current cabinet is not as thoughtful as its predecessor when it comes to thinking about issues.
If it was purely for the sake of political achievements, the previous government would have done it a long time ago, how could it be possible to stay in the present.
It is not difficult to establish a steel center, and if the basic conditions are in place, you only need to throw money into it.
Even if the cabinet lacks the ability to see problems, Franz is not ready to change people now. Geniuses are always in the minority, and most people are average.
Being able to hold back for several years and continue the policies of the predecessor without any major chaos has proved that this government is stable enough.
Although the view is not comprehensive, the essence of this plan is not wrong. If the project is split in phases and the construction progress slows down a little more, then there is no problem.
In this respect, the biggest problem with this plan is that it is "too efficient", because the Vienna government's plan is to be completed within five years.
Listening to Franz's explanation, Frederick was shocked and said: "The British want to withdraw from the free trade system, this is impossible, right?"
You must know that the free trade system was proposed by the British government itself, and when the treaty was concluded, the British made a commitment in front of the whole world. ”
With the development of the times, the capitalist world economy is also becoming more and more closely linked, and once the British withdraw from the free trade system, the world economy will definitely have problems.
With John Bull's consistent style of harming others and benefiting himself, once he decides to withdraw, he will definitely take action to bring down the free trade system, and it is simply impossible for HRE to continue to enjoy the dividends of the free trade era.
After being hit in the face, the economy of HRE will definitely be greatly affected, and the market demand for steel will also shrink sharply.
In this context, it is obviously out of place to add a new steel center with an annual output of 10 million tons.
Franz rolled his eyes: "Nothing is impossible, credibility is just like that for the British."
Once it is found that it is not in its own interests, it is inevitable to tear up the free trade agreement. It's not done yet, it's that the British are still playing an internal game.
The British have long been beneficiaries of the free trade system, and vested interests have naturally emerged. Now that the free trade system is not good for them, those with vested interests will naturally oppose it if they want to withdraw at this time.
If you've been paying attention to the newspapers in London, you should know that there is a growing debate around free trade, and that supporters and opponents are already at loggerheads.
The civil quarrel is only the beginning of the problem. It won't be long before the British Parliament will discuss it.
Campbell's campaign manifesto also addressed the issue of free trade. Although he did not directly say that he wanted to abolish it, he did hint in his speech that he would subsidize some industries for export.
These are all signals. With the deterioration of the British economy, vested interests alone will not be able to survive for long.
If the British government does not want to see the domestic manufacturing industry squeezed to death by us, it is a matter of time before trade barriers are adopted. For Campbell, it is far easier to exit the free trade system than to carry out internal reforms.
Judging from the current situation, this time will not exceed two years. We can already start preparing and not be caught off guard by the British. ”
Don't be surprised that a question is discussed "two years". For the British Parliament, this is just normal operation.
Withdrawal from the "free trade system" is a major event, and it can be said that it is related to the national fortunes of Britain.
Compared with the "Brexit" debate that lasted for 45 years, it is very efficient to be able to make a decision in two years.