Chapter 279: A Doomed Plan
"If you need it, with the permission of the Kaiser, we may discuss this plan in detail, and it is not good to deny it until you know it." The Earl said.
"I have seen some information about the exercise plan and the wargame deduction, and this plan is indeed a perfect wargame deduction, and it can be successful in the exercise, but it is of very limited significance in practice, because it is too harsh and complicated to allow the slightest error."
"I believe that the domestic railways are quite capable of this task, but the question is, how can you guarantee that the troops can successfully receive the railway systems of Belgium and the Netherlands? And how do you guarantee that the railway troops can complete the repair work within the stipulated time? What are you going to do in the face of collapsed tunnels and blown bridges? Ruprecht asked.
"We have prepared more than 60 companies of railway corps and repairmen of civilian railways, who will accompany the troops." Schlieffen said.
"The rate of destruction is much faster than the rate of advance, and the Belgian fortress will slow down our advance. Even if we could barely take over part of the railway, by the time we crossed Belgium, the exhausted army would probably have to face the main force of the French. The prince shook his head and said.
"The French will not know about our plans, their main forces should be concentrated on the left flank. And we can hold off our opponents with only a small number of forces, even if we temporarily lose some territory. Schlieffen retorted.
"This is just a theoretical calculation, can you imagine a train that specializes in destroying railways, which can completely destroy an entire section of roadbed at a speed of more than 25 kilometers per hour? If the war starts, it is estimated that we will not be able to accept more than 800 kilometers of 3,000 kilometers of railway lines in Belgium, but how do you solve this problem? How long can 60 companies of railroad soldiers repair this railway line? The prince asked.
"And even if all goes well, after we have successfully passed through Belgium, what about the last stretch of the road from the Franco-Belgian border into Paris? The average distance is about 80 to 120 kilometers! There are no railways, only roads, and all troops, provisions, ammunition and weapons need to be transported by road. In the absence of railways, the maximum distance of the large corps per day was within 25 kilometers. So tell me, how can this be solved? ”
No matter how well the Germans' strategic intentions were concealed, no matter how sluggish the French were, when the main German force crossed Belgium, the French must have discovered the German strategic intentions, and then had ample time to use the railway line to complete the movement of troops. Historically, the battles between the two sides in the border area ended in the defeat of the French, but the losses of the main French army were not large, and even Moltke admitted that the main force of the French army was still there, because if Germany had won a decisive victory, then a large number of prisoners should have been captured, but in reality there were very few.
The French resistance succeeded in slowing down the Germans and depleting the German army's provisions. Some people say that the subsequent Battle of the Marne saved France, but in fact, even if the Germans blocked the French counterattack, the exhausted German legions would still choose to retreat and shorten supplies, because they lost more than half of their vehicles, and the number of usable war horses also dropped sharply, and at this time, Belgium's 4,000 kilometers of railway lines were only restored for 600 kilometers, and only 3 of the 43 large railway buildings were repaired, and the German army had to retreat without supplies.
Moreover, the Schlieffen plan of World War I was revised, and the ratio of troops on the left and right flanks changed from the original 15 to 100 to 42 to 100. Some people say that Moltke Jr. has changed the essence of Schlieffen's plan, but if you carefully study the history of the war and the logistical situation, you can find that the failure of the Battle of the Marne was not due to the lack of troops, but the fatigue of the troops.
What if there were more troops? There was not enough capacity to transport them to the front line, and there were not enough supplies after they were transported, and Moltke Jr. revised Schlieffen's plan while narrowing the attack surface and abandoning the attack on the Netherlands, which meant that there was no need to think about dealing with the 90,000 troops on the Dutch mainland. At least two corps were saved, and after the attack, there were no delays in transporting troops on the coordinated transport lines of the German homeland, and there were no cases where the attack was too narrow for the troops to deploy.
Therefore, Moltke's plan is actually more reasonable than Schlieffen's plan, and Moltke's plan has failed, so Schlieffen's original plan is even less likely to succeed. Compared with Schlieffen, who was purely planning for the whole plan, Moltke Jr. was still aware of the restrictions of logistics on the army, and tried his best to improve it, but unfortunately, he was fighting against the restrictions of this era, and the final result could only be failure!
Some people may ask again, why did Moltke Jr. insist on this plan even though he knew that it might fail? The prince could not answer this question, but it is very likely that the Germans had a natural fear of the Russian behemoth, and they were not afraid of France, but of Russia! This vast and populous polar bear gives people a sense of invincibility. So much so that the Germans did not think at all about first defeating Russia and then settling France.
At the same time, a quick solution pervaded the German military's upper echelons, who saw the war as a short-term encounter. did not realize the importance of the general war, and later Ludendorff realized that Germany had run out of oil in World War 1, but the result was ultimately defeated, before the start of World War 1, Germany always thought that the war would end in 3 months, but in fact, it was fought for 4 years! Of course, this is a later story, so I won't mention it for the time being.
"This has been verified in the exercise, and the railway troops can fully complete this task." Schlieffen wiped the cold sweat from his head, no need to ask, the contents of today's meeting will definitely appear on the Kaiser's desk in the near future.
Unlike Wilhelm II's half-military level, one of the two in front of him is older than himself, and the other is the only person in the German Army who has formulated an actual combat strategy after entering the 80s. The Blue Army played well, and the prince behind it was indispensable, and this is not something you can ignore. If he could not give an explanation, the emperor's suspicion of Schlieffen's plan would be even more serious.
"And your Excellency's estimate of the ammunition and supplies needed by the army is too low, and if I remember correctly, in your plan there are three times as many shells in reserve as in the Franco-Prussian War. But in fact, in the not fierce battle in the Far East, the ammunition consumption of each artillery gun reached about 5 times the volume of the Franco-Prussian war! And if you take into account the change in numbers, once the war starts again, the total consumption of bullets will be about 15 times the consumption of bullets in the Franco-Prussian War! There is something wrong with the basis of your calculations. The prince then made up the shot.
The third is more present~~~! Ask for subscription, ask for tips~~~! (To be continued.) )