Chapter Ninety-Eight: The Next Step (I)
Judging from the information collected from all sides, it is easy to judge Wei Han's intentions, after all, this matter is the right idea to "lead the water to the west", and it is itself a preparation to sacrifice Zheng Guo in exchange for the intensification of the contradictions between Wei Han and Chu.
If you want to move troops, especially in the face of the strong army on the side of Sishang, if Wei Han really wants to go to war, all kinds of preparations will not be able to avoid the eyes of meticulous work.
Even if the slogan is shouted loudly, it is impossible to rely on the slogan shouted by Wei Han to make the soldiers fight to the death without retreating.
The soldiers and horses did not move the grain and grass first, and if they really wanted to start a war with Sishang, each side of the Wei, Han and Chu Kingdoms had to mobilize 50,000 elites, logistics supplies, and people's requisition, which could not be hidden by slogans.
Zheng Guo will be finished sooner or later, and even if he doesn't die now, it won't last for ten years.
Regarding the matter of Wei Han Chu's meeting and consultation, what is appropriate to be concerned about is the future trend of Wei Chu Han's relations.
The main reason is that I am afraid that Wei will choose strategic contraction, and Chu will also choose strategic contraction, so that the contradictions between the two sides can be eased, which will be a little unfavorable to Sishang.
He is waiting for the next time the world will change, and in his opinion, this time may be within five years.
One is the death of the king of Chu left behind the stalls of the law change and the crazy opposition of the domestic aristocracy.
The other is the war between Qin and Wei.
Qin Jun is forty-four or five years old this year, and even if he lives to fifty or sixty years this year, even if he is a high life, Qin Jun thinks that he has a number in his heart.
Wu Qi is over 60 years old this year, and Shengqiu is about the same age, and those henchmen who fled with him back then are also about the same age.
After all, he was not even ten years old when he was exiled, and the people who followed him at that time were in their prime, and now they are all dying.
From the time of the change to the present, Qin Jun must definitely consider the possibility of the death of the people, as well as the reality that the unparalleled people in the world gathered around him will die soon.
A person like Wu Qi can be described as an unborn talent, and he will go into ordinary things, and what is even more terrifying is that he can lead the change of the law, which is really rare.
For the future, Qin Jun must take advantage of the opportunity that these talents have been there in the past few years to find a way to recapture Xihe, otherwise the stall left for his son will be much uglier.
And, most critically, ...... How much of a feat does it have to be to recapture the West River?
Something like a high merit will not happen to Wu Qisheng and others, not because of their noble character, but because they are destined to live no longer than Qin Jun at their age.
The monarch is not confused, the minister's destiny, no accident, when Qin Jun's son succeeds to the throne, these great heroes will die of old age one by one, and it will also save a lot of things to clean up the heroes.
If Wu Qi and the others were now forty, and Qin Jun was already sixty, it would be a different story.
The lord is young and strong, that's not a good thing. It is much easier if there are few masters, strong ministers die, and the overall situation is determined.
Qin and Wei have started wars in recent years, which is inevitable in Shi's opinion, because the soft persimmons in the vicinity have been pinched.
Originally, it was to capture Nanzheng in history, but in history, Nanzheng was a soft persimmon, but now it is occupied by the Mo family, and it is not a soft persimmon.
Considering the strategy of long-distance friendship and close attack, Qin State will definitely choose Xihe to make a move, which is the first step for Qin State to have the ability to win the Central Plains.
The West River has the danger of being in danger, and the capture of the West River can be regarded as Qinchuan being protected, otherwise there is only one Weishui left to defend now, and it is the Guanzhong Plain if it were not for the great trouble that Sishang has made in the Central Plains in recent years, the change of the Qin State will not be so easy, and there will be no shortage of external resistance and internal people who take the opportunity to collude with foreign countries.
It is estimated that now the monarchs and ministers of the Qin State are looking forward to surrounding the Song State, and the Central Plains is in chaos again.
It's a pity that now it seems that the monarchs and ministers of the Qin State are going to be disappointed.
At the beginning, Sishang showed weakness to the enemy, and made it clear that he did not want to fight, which made the Qin State very embarrassed, and many expressed that he would definitely send troops to support Sishang to strengthen his confidence in starting a war.
But in fact, Sishang doesn't want to fight, but he is not afraid of fighting, but he doesn't want to and doesn't have the ability to take the initiative to attack for the time being.
Now that Wei Han is thinking about Zheng Guo, Qin Guo must also want to stir up the situation in this matter, but it is not yet known how Qin Guo's side will deal with this matter.
In this case, the matter on the side of the Song Kingdom is easy to solve.
Now, if Wei Chuhan sends troops, then the Song State will be defined as a "popular riot", and the Sishang side will be defined as a "revolutionary change", and the fight is inevitable.
But if he does not send troops, he will definitely admit the reasonableness of the coup d'état of the Song State and admit that the new Yin of the Inquiry Yuan is in the position normally, then the excuse that will definitely be used at that time is "the Mo family threatens the peace of the world".
In this way, both sides have steps to go down, and the matter of the Song State can be resolved through diplomatic mediation, and the status of the Song State as a neutral state can be officially recognized.
After all, there are some things that Wei Han can't say: Zhou Tianzi is still there, Jin Hou is still there, what has his family done, he has some points in his heart, and some slogans are easy to slap his face if he shouts too loudly, which will make the country embarrassed.
Therefore, he hoped that Wei Han would make a move on Zheng Guo quickly, and in order to force Wei Han to do it quickly, he had already transported some weapons and gunpowder with great fanfare.
Now, it is possible to send an envoy to Zheng Guo again, and declare to the outside world that he wants to negotiate with Zheng Guo and pull Zheng Guo into the non-offensive alliance, as for the negotiation process, it will definitely be delayed.
The Mohists are trustworthy, saying that if they want to choose the sage as the Son of Heaven, they really oppose the current feudal system, and they say that if everyone is equal, they are really equal to the virtuous, and they have never broken their promises.
Then this non-offensive alliance, as long as it is signed, it means that if Wei Han wants to make a move against Zheng, he has to consider the attitude of the Mo family.
This non-offensive covenant will definitely not be signed by the Mo family, but to make Wei Han think that the Mo family will sign it, although Wei Han feels that the Mo family may not sign it, but he does not dare to take this risk.
Once the Mo family made an attitude of wanting to protect the independence of Zheng State, it would actually be equivalent to dissolving the alliance between Wei, Chu and Han, and the Chu State would definitely stand on the side of the Mo family against Wei Han and swallow Zheng, and the Qin State would definitely make a move.
However, Zheng was too close to Wei and Han, and the close capitals of the two countries were no more than 100 miles, and the domestic war weariness had reached its peak, and there were even cases of entire cities defecting.
So this time, it seems to be a lifesaver for Zheng Guo's non-offensive alliance negotiations, but in fact, it is a lifeline for Zheng Guo's demise.
If Wei Han doesn't do it in this way, Shi has to think about what Wei Han wants to do.
Whether the Wei, Han and Chu alliances, and the establishment of the new government of the Song State are recognized and what kind of people the Mo family sent to watch the ceremony are actually one thing.
Send people to watch the ceremony, and then negotiate secretly with the Chu State during the period to ensure the neutrality of the Song State, and take a step back, including the Mo family, which is not allowed to garrison the Song State, and verbally pull the Chu State together to ensure the independence of the Zheng State, in exchange for the support of the Chu State.
Because Zheng Guo is not the sphere of influence of Sishang, but the sphere of influence of Chu State, so in private, verbally protecting Zheng Guo's independence is actually trying to win over the relationship with Chu State, which makes the relationship between Wei, Chu and Han worse.
There is a reason for the Mohist family to maintain independence.
Non-attacking, helping the weak, that is the tradition of the Mozi era.
The higher the level of the person who went to the Song State to observe the ceremony, the more it showed the attitude of the Mo family: the Song State was the sphere of influence of Sishang, and if the Chu State chose strategic contraction and continued to change the law, it would be recognized; If you don't admit it, then hurry up.
Similarly, privately protecting Zheng Guo was also a secret deal with Chu in exchange for Chu State's recognition of Song's new policy, in fact, the Mo family would be unable to sign a non-offensive alliance with Zheng until Zheng was annexed.
At the same time, the people who go to watch the ceremony must have sufficient status to show the attitude of the Mo family: what the Mo family wants is the neutrality of the Song State, and all countries are not allowed to garrison troops or cross the border, including the Mo family, and all troops will be withdrawn when the Song State is not threatened.
Is it that the border is so tense that the Mo family is stationed in the Song State and it is reasonable to control the Song State? Or is it better to withdraw the army without a reason to completely control the Song State?
This is the pros and cons that Chu has to consider.
All these problems have to be faced, because the special political system of the Mo family is not suitable for one person to be arbitrary.
By the end of September, the overall situation had stabilized, and the top brass of Sishang had received sufficient intelligence and analysis to determine that it was impossible for Wei and Han to send troops to the Song state, and an enlarged meeting attended by sixteen people was held in Pengcheng.
In addition to the Juzi and the Seven Enlightenments, there are also several alternate Enlightenments, as well as the military, industry and commerce, and other industries, because it is not the usual period of the Plenary Committee Meeting, the Giant and the Seven Enlightenments exercise the power of the Plenary Meeting, and this enlarged meeting, except for the eight people who are suitable for the Seven Enlightenments, have the right to speak but do not have the right to vote.
The scale of this enlarged meeting was much smaller than it was many years ago, and the reason for the unstable foothold was that it needed to rally more people to support itself and determine the route of Mozi and Yu Huali after their deaths.
This time, what we will discuss is the handling and disposition of the Song State after this incident, the next development direction of the Mo family, as well as the inference of the future situation, and the key preparation for a full-scale war in the next step.
A few days before the meeting, we discussed the problems exposed by the coup d'état in the Song Kingdom, such as gains and losses, merits and crimes, rewards and punishments, and so on.
On the third day, he made a report on the future war situation.
This report also revolves around the Song Kingdom.
The Song State is a salient for Sishang, the two wings of Sishang are behind, and the East Henan Plain is close to the essence of Wei and Han, and the protruding belly of the Song State is an excellent offensive bridgehead.
However, tactics should serve strategy, and if the policy of pacifying the Central Plains first is adopted, then the significance of the bridgehead of the Song State is extremely important.
However, if the strategy of not pacifying the Central Plains is adopted first, then the bridgehead of the Song State would better become a buffer ground, and in the future, the defense line of the city should be built, and the eastern Henan Plain should be built backwards instead, and the battle lines on both flanks should be leveled, so as to prepare for a defensive counterattack.
This is closely related to the geographical environment of Sishang.
In the northeast, the defense line of the Great Wall of Yimeng Mountain of Qi was swallowed by the Mo family, and Judi was used as a support, and the Yimeng Mountain defense line of Qi was actually in the hands of the Mo family.
In the north, because of the existence of the extremely vast Onozawa at this time, as well as the existence of the buffer country of Lu, the Mo family built many cities in the north and prepared for defense.
With Taoqiu as the center of gravity, along the Heshui River all the way to Surabaya, this is the key defense area of the Mojia family.
Coupled with the fact that the First World War of Qi five years ago dismantled the effective rule of Qi in the southwestern region of Qi, the defense of the northern front was very strong.
Taoyi, as the farthest point of the northern defense line of Sishang, was actually still in the northeast of Shangqiu.
This is destined to be if the Song State is to be managed, then the strategic purpose must be to attack along the Central Plains, with the Song State as a salient department, which can threaten the Central Plains of Wei, Chu, Han and Zheng at any time.
This is a strategy that most people in the world would think that the Mo family would do, but it is not a strategy that the Mo family set before.