Chapter 590: The Bottom Line
After the audience was over, Su Jin and Fu Bi left the palace, and saw a row of honor guards waiting outside the palace gate, and the leading guards knew Fu Bi and came over to see him.
Fu Bi lightly agreed, ordered everyone to follow in line, and rode with Su Jin to the official post near the Xingguo Temple on the right.
Su Jin saw that Fu Bi seemed to be a little unhappy, so he asked: "The rich brother is not in a good mood when he comes out of the palace, is it because the younger brother said something wrong in front of the emperor?" ”
Fu Bi sighed: "Brother Xian, what you just said is too full, how can you guarantee those three points like the emperor?" You have to know that you are facing the Liao people who are eyeing each other, how can you do what you want according to what you think? ”
Su Jin said with a smile: "It turns out that you are worried about this, what should I do, rich brother rest assured, one person does things and one person does, what I said, in case it can't be realized, I will send it to the emperor to kill the head, and never mention your rich brother." ”
Fu Bi glared and said, "What are you talking about?" Not to mention that you and I are both plenipotentiary negotiators and share the responsibility of honor and disgrace, even if you can bear it alone, how can the foolish brother protect himself? What do you think of my brother? ”
Su Jin hurriedly arched his hand and said: "The little brother is not very good at talking, please forgive the rich brother for any offense; But since the younger brother dared to boast about Haikou in front of the emperor, he would naturally respond; Lord Sansi is right, this time this errand is either a head or a smooth progress, as for the temporary peace of the nest of money and gifts, it can only save your and my heads, and there will be our hard days behind, so there is only one way, and that is the three I told the emperor. ”
Fu Bixi said: "It turns out that you already have a countermeasure, but the brother who is hiding it is so hard, hurry up and listen to it." ”
Su Jin said: "It's not that I have a countermeasure, it's just that I had insomnia last night, and I have sorted out the situation in the future, and basically figured out the bottom line of the Liao people, so I have some ideas in my heart." ”
Fu Bi said: "What is the bottom line of the Liao people? ”
Su Jin didn't answer directly, but only asked, "What does the rich brother think is the real purpose of the Liao Kingdom this time?" ”
Fu Bi thought for a while and said: "I think the Liao people want to take advantage of my Great Song Dynasty's internal and external troubles to come to extort money, and if they can't get benefits, they will attack on this ground, they have actually coveted my Great Song Dynasty for a long time." ”
Su Jin nodded and said, "It's good, but it's not entirety; Blackmail is real, but not necessarily if it is said to be a large-scale attack. ”
Fu Bi said: "How can you see it? ”
Su Jin said: "The war between my Great Song Dynasty and Western Xia has been going on for almost five years. ”
Fu Bi interjected: "More than four years. ”
Su Jin said: "Yes, if the Liao State wants to take this opportunity to swallow the Great Song Dynasty, there are opportunities in four years, according to the words of the three divisions, the first year of Baoyuan and the Western Thieves went to war, it was the year of the flood and then the disaster of flying locusts, the yield of the country's acres of land was reduced by half, and the country also had thieves and swarms, and the people were displaced; Why didn't Liao come to blackmail that year, but chose this year? ”
Fu Bi thought for a while and said, "Maybe it happened suddenly, and I didn't have time to prepare." ”
Su Jin shook his head and said: "I don't think so, since there was no preparation back then, now it's been four years, and the preparation should be very sufficient, and now there are only 150,000 Liao soldiers gathered on the border, or the tribal army is the main force, do the Liao people really think that with these 150,000 soldiers and horses, they can go south to level my Great Song Dynasty?" The total number of soldiers from all over the Great Song Dynasty plus the forbidden army guarding the capital is 1.3 million, why do he Liao people think that they can win? People say that emaciated camels are bigger than horses, don't the Liao people understand this truth? ”
Fu Bi hesitated: "It is said that the Liao State is full of soldiers, and the national army is known as three million troops, maybe once the war starts, it will mobilize a large army for reinforcements." ”
Su Jin stretched out his hand and pointed to the bustling crowd in the market and said: "Rich brother, fighting a war is not about the number of people, but about the number of elites and the strength of logistics. Once the war is in a stalemate, what will he use to fill the bellies of soldiers and war horses? Don't tell me that the Liao country has sufficient reserves and anything like that, I am in the south of the Song Dynasty, sitting on a vast and rich land, and I am so stretched, I don't believe that his Liao country is a bumper harvest every year. ”
Fu Bi nodded and said: "This is not, Liao has not been at peace in recent years, last year when it snowed heavily in the south, according to the border details, the snow disaster in Liao was even worse, hundreds of thousands of livestock, horses, cattle and sheep froze to death on a large pasture north of Shangjing Road, and the herdsmen suffered great losses, gathered to make trouble, and the Liao lord was furious, and I heard that many people were killed. ”
Su Jin said with a smile: "You also know that this is called a scripture that is difficult to read, and he is not having a good time; Besides, I don't believe that there is such harmony between Liao and Yuan Hao, if it is really harmonious, why did we fight with the Western Thieves for several years, and the Liao people did not send a single soldier to help Yuan Hao? It is only now that the war in the northwest has stabilized, and I have come out to extort money, and the timing is too bad. ”
Fu Bi's eyes lit up, and he nodded: "It makes sense, it makes sense, it must be that there is a mustard between the two countries, and it is not a situation of jointly attacking our Great Song Dynasty at all; Yes, I remembered, last year I sorted out the secret report sent by Hedong Road, and once mentioned the rebellion of the Xiang clan of the Shannan Party of Liao, the object of the defection of the nerd clan is Yuan Hao, the Liao lord Yelu Zong really sent people to ask Yuan Hao not to take in the rebels, Yuan Hao ignored him, and the Liao lord also raised 200,000 troops to Ningren and Kou Jing two towns, planning to crusade against Yuan Hao. ”
Su Jin was overjoyed and said, "Sure enough, why didn't you fight?" ”
Fu Bi said: "It is said that Yuan Hao was soft, sent an envoy to negotiate peace, and brought the princess of Xingguo, who was married to Yuan Hao, to come out and say goodbye, so there was no fight." ”
Su Jin sighed: "It's a pity, it's a pity. If these two countries fight, my great Song Ke will benefit. ”
Fu Bi smacked his tongue and said: "It's a pity that we didn't fight, now it's our turn to have a headache; Did Brother Xian just say that for a long time, the Liao Kingdom actually didn't want to start a war with my Great Song Dynasty at all? ”
Su Jin waved his hand and said, "It's not that I don't want to, but I don't have the ability." ”
Fu Bi said: "I see, the analysis of the virtuous brother is quite reasonable, but the foolish brother is still a little worried, what if the Liao people really turn their faces and fight?" ”
Su Jin said with a smile: "It's also a small fight, do you know that my Great Song Dynasty and the Western Thief have been fighting back and forth in the past few years, who has taken advantage?" You can't kill me, and I can't kill you, it is precisely because of the equal strength that there is a chance for peaceful coexistence; In the alliance of Lanzhou back then, my Great Song Dynasty failed to eat the Liao State, and the Liao Kingdom also failed to eat my Great Song Dynasty, and it was meaningless to fight back and forth in the end, so peace negotiations were inevitable. ”
Fu Bi pointed tall and said: "Incisive, this is indeed the truth." ”
Su Jin said with a smile: "If my estimate is good, I will conclude a peace agreement between my Great Song Dynasty and the Western Thief Yuan Hao in less than a year, because since everyone's strength is not big enough to eat each other in one bite, it is just a waste of strength to fight, and in the end, I naturally choose not to fight." ”
Fu Bi looked at Su Jin blankly and asserted that Song and Xia would definitely talk about peace, and he was stunned; In fact, he was by the emperor's side, and he learned a lot of confidential things, one of which was that the Western thief Yuan Hao had indeed entrusted someone to send a letter to the military camp in the Northern and Western Song Dynasty to discuss the armistice and peace negotiation; It's just that Zhao Zhen secretly summoned Du Yan, Lu Yijian and others, and both of them thought that this disgusting mouth was unbearable, so they didn't agree.
In fact, the emperor sighed afterwards: "The two snakes swallow each other, and there is no end to it, so it is better to loosen their mouths and protect each other." It's a pity that Lu Yijian and Du Yan are unanimously opposed, their opinions naturally represent the will of most courtiers, and the emperor is helpless.
Su Jin naturally had no way of knowing about such a confidential matter, but he could actually assert that there would be a truce and peace, and this far-sighted vision alone was enough to make Fu Bi look down on him.
If Fu Bi knew that Su Jin had calculated this ending based on his vague memories and chronology, he would have fainted on the spot; And the reason why Su Jin dared to boast about Haikou in front of the emperor was naturally because what he was thinking about last night was not a countermeasure, but gluing together the fragments of his memory, and finally remembering that Renzong had no military affairs with the Liao State in the first dynasty, so he dared to speak.
Of course, Su Jin didn't know any of the specific details, but the general direction was there, Su Jin naturally had the bottom in his heart, and the analysis just now was indeed over his head, and what he said was to the point; Extrapolating the reason from the result, the reason why the Liao people have nothing to do with the Great Song Dynasty is nothing more than a matter of strength, and what nonsense about real friendship and brotherly states is just a tacit lie from everyone.