Chapter Eighty-Nine: Being a Thief Has a Weak Heart
The choice of hoarding in the cities in the direction of the Song State and the Wei Kingdom, preparing supply depots, etc., is also the judgment of the Mo family's high-level on the direction of this controllable war.
If the countries closed their eyes and only regarded the integration of the rest of the countries as Fei and Sishang, at most, they would spend money to buy a lot of food, lose some money and prepare for peaceful development, and everyone in the Mo family would be happy.
But if the countries intervene, the Qi State is the most likely to go into battle shirtless, and Wei Han may send some troops even if he can't do his best, so the choice of the local advance route is a strategic issue.
If the judgment is wrong, the Mo family may be caught off guard.
This judgment is the collective judgment of the high-level Mohists led by Bird Slippery and Suitable.
In the direction of Jianyang, Juling, and Langya, the Yue State has not yet gone south, and the contradictions between the Yue and Qi are deep, and the Mo family has also stationed some troops near Langya and the capital of Langya, which is enough to make the Qi State dare not choose to march from that direction.
Once they marched from that direction, even if they won, what the Qi State would get was not the fertile soil of the Central Plains that they wanted most.
Judging from these points, if the Qi State sends troops to intervene, it will not choose to march in the direction of the East China Sea, and the Qi army in Jucheng will at most defend and guard.
If the Qi State wants to dominate the Central Plains, it must obtain Sishang, obtain part of the land of the Lu State, and obtain the fertile soil near Onozawa.
Occupying the southwest region of Lu in later generations, the west can march into Henan to threaten Wei Han, and the south can enter the army in Huaibei to get Sishang, which is now rich in the world.
The attitude of the Lu State, the Mohists think that it may be very ambiguous, especially since the Fei State was originally a vassal state of the Lu State, and the affairs of the Fei State will inevitably cause a sensation in the Lu State, resulting in the tension of the nobles and the dissatisfaction of Confucianism, which may lead to the fact that the Lu State may let the Qi State take advantage of it.
It may even cede part of the land, divert the disaster to the south, and let the Qi State and the Mo family meet, so that the Lu State can survive under the contradictions between the two sides.
In the eyes of the aristocracy, the plebeian rebellion was a great rebellion, and in order to combat this great rebellion, it was completely possible to cede part of the land and cities.
On the Wei side, although the Mo family has prepared a lot of constraints for the Wei State, they feel that the power of the Wei State is still strong.
Originally, when the Central Plains War broke out in history, Wei fought on four fronts, although it eventually exhausted its national strength and the diplomatic environment deteriorated in an all-round way, it at least proved that Wei had the ability to fight on all sides.
Now that Wei's tentacles are stretched too far, Chu counterattacks Chen Cai and threatens Wei Daliang. The increasing power of the Mohists in the Song State, the unwavering implementation of the Song State's policy of neutrality and non-attack, but the aggressiveness of the Mohists may make the Wei State nervous.
Korea is the follower of Wei, and when Chu is weakened, there will be many contradictions between Wei and Han around the division of Zheng.
But the state of Chu began to fight back against Chen Cai, and the relationship between Wei and Han would be eased immediately.
The high-level Mohists estimated the number of troops that each country might send troops and the logistical pressure, and came to the conclusion that if a decisive battle was to occur, the direction of Wei Hanqi's troops would be to advance along Jishui and Heshui.
Water transport can alleviate many logistical pressures.
As for the number of troops dispatched, the judgment of the Mo family's high-level leaders also felt that the victory was in hand.
If too many troops are sent, it will take a year and a half to prepare, to say the least.
And in the process of marching, we must not assemble and act, otherwise, it will be a logistical disaster.
Just as the three Jin invaded Qi that year, the route of the march was the separation of the three kingdoms of Han, Zhao and Wei, and it was not until after the Great Wall of Qi was Pingyin that the troops began to be combined, and finally signed an alliance for the Qi State to demolish the Great Wall and quickly withdrew the army.
With the current strength of the Mo family, without general mobilization, only based on the current number of serving volunteers, the coalition troops of various countries are less than 150,000, and it is impossible to achieve a decisive victory.
And if the coalition forces of various countries send 150,000 troops, the logistical pressure will force the countries to divide their troops and move together.
If it is less than 150,000, South Korea sends 10,000 troops, and Wei sends 8,000 troops, then there is nothing to say, it is estimated that it is just a formality.
Even if there is a mistake in the judgment of the strategic direction, and the Qi State sends troops from Jucheng to the south, it is not afraid.
Sending troops south from Jucheng, Qi was tantamount to giving up the combined force of its allies.
Even if Wei and Han still sent troops, the Mo family could free up their hands and let the Qi State climb forward little by little along the border of the three kingdoms of Yue, Mojia, and Lu, which had been in operation for ten years, and solve the Wei and Han coalition forces in the direction of Song and Wei, which was enough to free up their hands to counterattack the Qi State.
Since more than ten years ago, when Shi began to take advantage of the chaos of the prince of Chu and deliberately pit the main force of Chu in Daliang, the Mo family's worries in the land of Sishang have been solved by diplomacy.
made such an extremely powerful "overlord of the world" as Wei State, and brought the Wang Ziding Rebellion to the extreme, and the Chu State will only continue to cooperate with the Mo family now.
Of course, this kind of cooperation may end soon, or even turn against each other: once the Wei State is exhausted by the Mo family's five-way siege and ambush plan on all sides, Wei Zhao turns his face, and the Chu State pacifies the pseudo-Chu set by Prince Chen Cai, the honeymoon period between the Mo family and the Chu State will be over.
But now, the Mo family only needs to fight on two fronts at most, which is enough to break through each one.
Originally, the Mo family's several battles were all standard defensive counterattacks.
Take advantage of the old ways to lure the enemy into attacking the city, weakening the force and organizing a counterattack.
It's just that times have changed.
When he was weak, he had no choice but to defend and counterattack.
Now that the power is flourishing, it is natural to choose to take the initiative to attack and solve the interference of various countries outside of Sishang.
Once the strategy is set, the logistical issue has become the most important task in the preparations for this operation.
Unlike the last battle in the first battle of the water, that time was a defensive counterattack of the internal operation, and the logistical pressure was extremely small.
This time, if there is a problem with the logistics, the speed of the march cannot keep up, and once the worst-case scenario - the combined forces of Wei and Hanqi - appears, and one wing cannot be broken before the combined army, the initiative in this war will change hands.
The city knows how important his mission is, and if he wants to break through the possible division of troops and advance, let the enemy come in several ways, I will only fight all the way, and try to annihilate one to prevent the peace as much as possible, so that the righteous division needs to march faster than the coalition forces of various countries.
Grain, supply depots, the establishment of these things, the city is ready to take advantage of this speculation in the joint-stock company of Zhongshan Province.
Businessmen seek profit like a shark seeing blood.
The news of the Tau Hill would soon spread to the merchants of all countries, who could have a premonition of the huge profits and would certainly find a way to speculate their money in it.
However, not every merchant is so abundant in cash, and there are some merchants who resell and transfer a large amount of goods in their hands, and some merchants may only have cronies in Taoqiu, and the amount of funds in their hands is insufficient.
If you want to solve these problems, if it takes a long time, you can naturally rely on the loan of the gold bank, relying on the annual dividend income minus the interest of the loan as a profit.
But if the time is very short, I am afraid that some businessmen will be a little powerless, and they will not be able to buy shares when they see the profits in front of them, which is really as uncomfortable as if the money has been received but lost.
After a few days of staying in Taoyi, the people below gathered a variety of information, but one thing was the same: many merchants in Taoqiu were frantically selling their goods, going to gold banks to prepare loans, or hurrying to call people from other places.
Those who go first want to push the people behind them down, and those who haven't gone up behind them hope to be able to squeeze up, and it's always the same reason.
At a time when many merchants were suffering from the sudden increase in the interest rate of private loans, the city held a party in Taoqiu to invite merchants from all over the world to attend.
When the merchants heard the news, they flocked to the city.
This kind of gathering of merchants has been held many times, and the first time it was held twenty years ago was to sell the business know-how of the wheat flour mill, and those who invested in it are now very profitable.
After that, there were many such gatherings held by the Mo family, and almost every time it was full of the temptation of profit - the Mo family left a part of the soup that they could not eat or did not want to eat, or the direction in which the Mo family lacked energy and could not operate with peace of mind, was profitable.
As twenty years ago, all the cronies who had been invited, or who had not been invited, and who had not been invited, who had not been appointed by the merchant in Taoqiu, gathered one after another.
After some words, the city Jia Dolphin sang a song first.
Owl owl owl, take my son, and do not destroy my room. Enschens, Mins of the beard.
The sky is not rainy, through the mulberry soil, and the household is prepared. Today's women are descending to the people, or dare to insult?
Give the hand, give the hand. To the rent saved, to the mouth, to the house.
To the feather, to the tail, to the room. Shaken by the wind and rain, to Weiyin!
After singing, the city dolphin said: "This mother bird still knows that she has saved the rent, and prepares food in advance for emergencies." ”
He originally took the meaning of "taking precautions" as the beginning of the comparison, but he didn't want his words to make many businessmen nervous.
The identity of the city is here, the strength of the Mo family is here, and sometimes a little sentence may be understood by the businessmen into many different meanings.
And for some secrecy or fairness reasons, when the city dolphin usually speaks in front of businessmen, it is always "diplomatic rhetoric", and the language is unknown.
But this time when singing "The Owl", when it came to the rent saved by the house, the mouth was suffocated, and the house was not owned, many businessmen misunderstood the meaning of the city's porpoise.
Nowadays, merchants are also shouted by everyone in many vassal states, and their reputation is really not very good, and they often become a shield for the princes and kings to divert contradictions.
Businessmen speculate for profit, buy low and sell high, hoard goods, cheat and cheat, and manipulate prices...... It's all a businessman's instinct to pursue profit.
The first thing that Qin did in the reform was to completely prohibit merchants from buying and selling grain, in order to prevent merchants from manipulating prices.
If it is just a matter of buying and selling, some merchants also hoard in advance, raise prices, and even artificially create some rumors that cause food prices to rise.
Fortunately, the grain Mo family has always been in a semi-laissez-faire policy, hoarding grain for many years, and engaging in grain speculation in Sishang is looking for death.
But elsewhere, it really has a bad reputation. Sometimes the king will say: "The world is hungry because of merchants." In this way, the merchants were used as a way to transfer domestic contradictions, and the low status of the merchants also stemmed from this.
The city of Jia Dolphin originally wanted to say: birds are prepared for a rainy day, and the wind and rain have been smooth in recent years, but a famine year may always come. Therefore, if you want to build some righteous warehouses, from the Song Kingdom to the Wei Kingdom, you have to build some, hoard grain, in case of emergency, you can contract the acquisition and construction to the merchants, the Mo family will pay in advance through the gold bank, these bills can be used to invest in the speculative industry of Zhongshan State, the reputation of the Mo family does not need real gold at all, because a large part of this money still has to buy handicrafts from the Mo workshop, and the credit notes are equivalent to cash, which is what many merchants urgently need.
But to some speculators, it is: you owls, you make the people poor, and you are as hateful to the people as owls are to birds......
If others say it, the merchants will not think that there is a big problem, and there are more people who scold them all day long.
But the words of Jia Dolphin in the city really scared some businessmen into sweat, and said that this time they had done something bad for the Mo family, and some businesses would be difficult to do in the future.
Some well-informed businessmen have heard rumors that the representatives of Sishang are now gathering in Pengcheng to make a synonymous law, and it is said that many representatives elected by farmers are proposing to tax grain imported from outside Sishang, or refuse to import grain until the price of grain falls below a certain value......
These businessmen thought to themselves, could it be that there was any change in the food policy on the Mo family's side? Some businessmen who have a lot of grain in their hands are even more frightened, and if this policy changes slightly, they may lose a lot of money.