Chapter 203: The Turning of December (13)
“…… It is estimated that the production of steel in the whole Soviet Union in 1945 will be 2 million tons, which is equivalent to 10.9% before the start of the Great Patriotic War; 11 million tons of crude oil production, equivalent to 41% before the start of the war; Coal...... Grain...... Aluminum ingots...... Power generation ......"
Voroshilov expertly quoted a long list of numbers as he flipped through the report. These figures have been carefully counted and evaluated, and they can no longer be exaggerated or concealed.
Overall, comparing the two sets of data before and after the war, the most unfavorable thing in East Russia is the grain output, which is only equivalent to the pre-war level of 6%, the highest is the oil industry, which can barely maintain a 40% proportion, the other basic raw material industries remain in the range of about 10-15%, and the output rate of finished products is at the level of 15-18%.
In other words, after three and a half years of war, the industrial scale of the Soviet Union fell from the first place in Europe and the second place in the world before the war, not to mention that it is not as good as Germany, Britain, Italy, France, and Japan, and even the overall industrial level of Canada and Belgium is now higher than that of East Russia.
However, even if it falls to this ranking, East Russia is still larger than Portugal, Spain, the Netherlands and other medium-sized countries, and the relevant industrial level and scale are still larger, and the categories are quite complete, and more importantly, the technical level is okay - although the level of the Soviet Union in the mainstream industrial countries is relatively low, but really look at the world, measured from a global perspective, the Soviet Union's technological content is definitely not low - the world's industrial powers that can fully produce aircraft, tanks, artillery and other mainstream equipment are the United States, Germany, Britain, France, Italy, and Japan, Countries like Belgium and Canada have only the production capacity of some equipment, and the main equipment still has to be imported by major countries.
Therefore, after considering this factor, according to the ranking of the overall industrial countries, East Russia can basically rank 8th, and 7th is another difficult brother West Russia.
However, although Western Russia appeared to have a better heritage and greater production than Eastern Russia on the surface, both Hoffmann and Stalin knew that Western Russia had a big problem - a lack of scientific research capabilities.
At present, there are a number of engineers and technicians in West Russia who are resuming production, and at the same time they can also get help from experts from the Axis camp, but the elites who were really responsible for design, scientific research, and academia (referring to science and engineering), with a few exceptions, were basically all packaged and brought to East Russia by Stalin.
This is clear not only to Stalin, to Vlasov, but also to Hoffman.
However, the Germans pretended not to know about this and allowed Stalin to sweep away most of the talents. First, if Stalin was not swept away, it would be difficult to sign an armistice; Second, if Stalin is not swept away, how can Western Russia become an effective industrial primary processing base for the EU?
Western Russia, of course, was also a close partner of the Axis, but the new 18 Eastern countries still looked at him with apprehension, fearing a resurrection of the Soviet Union. Therefore, letting Stalin get the Soviet scientific research heritage and Vlasov getting the Soviet industrial heritage became Hoffman's main magic weapon for balancing and balancing the two Russias.
The Soviet giants were cut in half by German Superman after this war, Vlasov got limbs, Stalin got heads, and only when the two parts were recombined could they exert their power, and the question was how difficult it was to assemble the two parts now that they were political and ideological enemies? Hoffman doesn't think 20-30 years will slow down. In 20-30 years, the EU has become an unbreakable alliance, and even if the Soviet Union is resurrected, it will not pose much of a threat.
On a per capita basis, the situation in East Russia is barely maintained, because the Bolshevik Party currently controls only 16% of the pre-war population and roughly 15% of total industrial output, which means that the per capita level has not fallen too much. There are only two factors that really restrict its next development: first, there is a huge gap in agricultural and light industrial products represented by grain; Second, it is a heavy burden for a population of less than 30 million to supply a fully armed army of nearly 2.5 million.
Although the top brass of the Red Army has successively dismissed more than 90 percent of the female soldiers and dismissed grandfather soldiers over the age of 55 in the past five months, the armed forces under the hands of East Russia are still as high as more than 3.5 million, and the Bolshevik top brass will never dare to reduce the size to 2.5 million before the German army is disarmed and retreated, after all, there is still Japan, an enemy in the Far East.
But even the size of the 2.5 million army is a staggering figure, which is stronger than the ratio of the United States and Germany to mobilize 8.8 million troops, and the United States can mobilize 12 million troops.
Therefore, there is an opinion in the top echelons of the party that they want to reduce the number of troops to 2 million or even 1.8 million, reduce the occupation of resources, and free up more labor for industrial and agricultural production, and even major generals such as Vasilevsky and Zhukov agree with this opinion - more people do not mean strong strength, the Great Patriotic War has been fought for 3 and a half years, which battle was not the Red Army with more people? But what's the use of having a lot of people? Don't you still get beaten and your nose and eyes are swollen?
Father Stalin initially scoffed at this view, believing that it was precisely because of the weakness and ineffectiveness of his own troops that it was necessary to maintain more troops. As for industrial and agricultural production, it is indeed a problem, but there are also workarounds -- a part of the second-line troops can be transferred to reclaim land and solve the problem of some military rations and non-staple food.
But the scene of the German army sweeping through the Allies in the Battle of South Africa and the power of Blitzkrieg 2.0 that was constantly being interpreted made him a little panicked: Germany's qualitative advantage over the Allies far exceeded the numerical superiority, and in the face of absolute performance superiority, no matter how large the army was, it could only be beaten.
This point of view also resonated with the Red Army: many people said that the current level of fortifications in the Urals of East Russia is not much better than that of the South African "Bradley Line", and the technical and tactical level, logistical capability, and equipment base of the troops behind the defense line are not necessarily better than those of the Americans. But such a strong and completely leisurely defense line was still penetrated by the Germans mercilessly and effortlessly, which shows how exaggerated the German power was.
Originally, everyone had no doubt that the German army could achieve the final victory, but it was generally believed that the Germans would break a few front teeth, but after the news of the 10-day sweep of the American army and the record of 10,000 vs 300,000 came out, people couldn't stop trembling: let alone 1:30, even 1:10, the Soviets can't stand it now.
Therefore, the Politburo held a meeting to study and discuss key situations, and Stalin thought that it was inappropriate to discuss military issues alone, so he suggested that military issues and political issues should be discussed together.
Another important topic is the topic of political stability in East Russia.
With the end of the war, all the problems that had been covered up by the war, including the party's line and principles, the leaders' decision-making, the study of combat readiness and strategy, and even other aspects of the war, will be brought out and scrutinized.
It's better to say that the victory is won - it is all twists and turns in the process of victory, the darkness on the eve of dawn, and the sunspots on the sun.
But now that we have lost, someone has to come forward to take responsibility -- it can be a mistake in line and policy, or it can be a mistake in tactics and strategy. In short, without an account for the party and the people, the legitimacy of the Bolshevik regime would be questioned.
Surprisingly, Comrade Stalin behaved modestly and low-key in recent months. In many internal speeches, he repeatedly reviewed a series of mistakes he made before and during the Great Patriotic War, took all the problems and responsibilities in a big way, and held that "the whole army, the whole party, and the people of all nationalities throughout the country have done their utmost to do their best." The main reason is that there are problems in the party's leadership and leaders, and he even openly said in tears at the enlarged plenary session of the Central Committee that he had made serious mistakes, expressed his willingness to assume all responsibilities, resign from all posts, and asked other comrades to continue to lead the party and the people forward.
But in the end, the worst did not happen, and one by one his close comrades-in-arms stood up to defend him......