Nishihara Kamezo said that "exporting funds to the outside world is also the demand of the economy itself", which can be described as a groundbreaking word.

By 1918, the First World War had been fought for three and a half years, and the most striking change that this war brought to the Far East was the "blessing of God" in the First World War, which became a "world power" in an instant through speculation or adventure, and was in the midst of economic prosperity on an unprecedented scale.

The benefits of the First World War are endless. German commodities were originally the biggest competitors of this commodity in Asia, but now it has completely disappeared from the market, and the European powers such as Britain, France, and the United States are all engaged in the war with Germany, and their commodity exports to Asia have also decreased sharply, and the result is that almost the entire Pacific region has a shortage of goods, so this commodity has achieved a dominant position in the exclusive market, and sells well in the Asia-Pacific region at a very high price.

As for this commodity, the European side that is short of materials also feels the need (in fact, not only this commodity, China also has bulk commodities exported to Europe, and China's domestic economy has also prospered because of this), Britain and France have ordered a large number of goods from this book, and France has also ordered 12 destroyers in this book. With the increase in the export of military supplies and light industrial products to the Allied countries, and the expansion of raw silk exports to the United States, in 1917, the total value of the exported commodities reached 1.088 billion yuan, and the excess reached 615 million yuan.

Such a once-in-a-century good year has led to a complete economic frenzy. Stimulated by super-profits, social production has risen in an all-round way. The output value of the chemical industry, light industry, and electric power industry has generally increased by four to five times or more, the output of steel has reached nearly 800,000 tons, ranking ninth in the world, and the tonnage of ships has reached nearly 300,000 tons, ranking fourth in the world. The balance of the creditor's rights also reached 1.371 billion yuan. It is said that many large and small companies and enterprises in China have become extremely rich in a short period of time by taking advantage of the state's preferential policies.

Against the backdrop of this wartime economy, new companies have sprung up like mushrooms after a rain, and stock market speculation has also shown a frenzied trend. The total rate of return on capital of the country's major enterprises rose from 8.1 percent in 1914 to 20.9 percent, and the iron and steel and light industry sectors reached an unprecedentedly high of 200 to 300 percent. A large number of enterprises and individuals have rushed to invest in this "gold" trend with the speculative and adventurous mood of getting rich overnight. According to the different occupations they are engaged in, there are rich people of all sizes, such as "iron into gold", "ship into gold", "stock into gold", "silk into gold", etc.

What is particularly striking is that as a result of the war money, the company suddenly changed from a traditional debtor country to a creditor country, and even a creditor country of its benefactor. In July 1916, he had lent Britain $50 million to repay its debt to the United States, and in 1917 he lent Britain another $150 million, enabling Britain to maintain the exchange rate of the pound sterling in the New York foreign exchange market. Even France, the world's traditional number one money lender, has issued 76 million gold francs in government bonds. However, the foreign debt of the capital fell from 1.9 billion yuan to 1.6 billion yuan, but the external debt increased sharply from 810 million yuan to 4.37 billion yuan. Even the huge military expenditure incurred in the war of invasion of China has not been able to change the status of the creditor country.

Hearing Nishihara Kamezo say this, the Minister of Finance, Katsuta, nodded and said: "In the past two years, the domestic scene has been extremely prosperous, because there has been a huge amount of trade surplus every year, and at the same time, in terms of international lending, there has been a surplus of funds in the domestic financial circles, and there is a huge amount of settlement over-revenue, and a large number of coins have been accumulated, which has jeopardized the exchange of foreign exchange funds. If this is allowed for a long time, the economy will be seriously out of balance, and the result will hardly be guaranteed that it will not cause a situation in which the future of the national economy is worrisome. ”

"That's right." Terauchi Masashi touched the top of Guangguang's head and said, "In order to solve the problem of surplus domestic funds, there are only two ways to go, one is to step up foreign investment, and the other is to borrow money." In the future, we will be able to calculate not only economic but also political accounts for this kind of borrowing from China. ”

"Yes." Katsuta's chief planner also said, "As long as Duan Qirui's Anhui system is controlled, it is equivalent to controlling China's political axe." As long as there is a pro-Chinese political axe, the Western powers will not be able to say anything. ”

"Actually, our plan should have been started when Yuan Shikai was just proclaimed emperor, and it was only because of Okuma-kun's stupidity that the best time was buried." Nishihara Kamezo sighed, "Okuma Jun not only failed to plunge China into chaos, but instead aroused the bitterness of all Chinese and the dissatisfaction of Western powers. As a result, we are now working with much greater resistance than before. ”

Listening to Nishihara Kamezo's words, Masaki Terauchi and Katsuta also sighed,

After China entered the era of the "Hongxian Empire", he learned the lesson of the failure of the last direct military invasion, launched a series of "combination punches", and spent a lot of energy and resources to finance Yuan Shikai's enemies. The officer trained soldiers for the Mongol rebels in Lushun and Dalian. In various parts of China, the Ronin also organized to provoke and make trouble, in the words of Nishihara Kamezo in his report, that is, "rampant to the extreme."

Yuan Shikai's father and son were assassinated one after another, and China soon fell into the chaos of another civil war, but what he did not expect was that this war, which he had high hopes for, did not achieve the effect of plunging China into long-term turmoil. Of course, he understands that as long as China does not fall into great chaos, it is unlikely that he will swallow China in one gulp with the national strength of Yu Ben at that time. The provocative acts of the Okuma cabinet, which was anxious to achieve success, aroused widespread disgust and hostility among the Chinese, and not only did the Chinese people's ill feelings toward Yu himself increase sharply, but the upper strata of Chinese society, including politicians, felt even more so towards him. Even Chinese officials, such as Cao Rulin and others, who had long been considered to belong to the "pro-Yue faction," showed hostility and wariness towards the Yueben. When Nishihara Kamezo met with Cao Rulin for the first time, Cao Rulin made no secret of his bad feelings for Yuben. Even Cao Rulin is still like this, let alone those Chinese officials who have no background. And after Nishihara Kamezo arrived in Yanjing, he wanted to meet Duan Qirui in person, but Duan Qirui also refused to meet him. In the end, I only saw Duan Qirui's son Duan Hongye.

In addition to these, Okuma's cabinet also caused problems with the deterioration of relations with the Western powers. Although the Western powers were too busy with the European war to look eastward, it did not mean that the Western powers would let the invasion of China go unchecked. As far as the Western world is concerned, they will never tolerate the swallowing of China. Because then it means that there will be a behemoth in the East, and then the whole East will become the property of the Lord, which is definitely not something that the Western powers are happy to see. Because this is equivalent to becoming a giant in the world, and the balance of power in the world will be completely broken. Therefore, after the failure of his brazen invasion of China, relations between him and the Western world, especially the United States, suddenly became tense, and public opinion in Britain and France was also quite dissatisfied with him.

China is too big for him. If the war is still rashly started and conquered by force, as was the case last time, the consequences are difficult to predict (especially after the Chinese Navy has achieved a leapfrog development of "one step to the sky"). They did not dare to go to war, but they insisted on putting on a tough posture and blindly being aggressive, which not only increased the hostility of the Chinese, but also led to the rift between Yuben and Britain and the United States, and the rift will become bigger and bigger. Britain and the United States have become increasingly wary of Ben's ambitions. During the European War, it is true that the book can continue to make small moves, but once the action is too large, when the European war is over and the Western powers can free up their hands, the situation of the book will inevitably be even more disadvantageous.

As the "uncrowned minister," Nishihara Kamezo understood that he had to change his policy toward China before the end of the European war, and he also had to take the lead.

Now, Nishihara Kamezo has reason to believe that the Americans are ahead of him.

With regard to the battleships of the Chinese Navy participating in the war in Europe, both the government and the opposition believe that they are the most obvious evidence of US assistance to China.

"When you went to Yanjing this time, except for Cao Rulin, you met Duan Qirui's son, but you didn't see Duan Qirui himself." Terauchi said, "Can his son represent him?" ”

"I'm sure of that." Nishihara Kamezo said affirmatively.

"What do you think of this young man?" Terauchi asked again.

"A wise and ambitious young man, like his father, obsessed with the traditional Chinese art of power schemes." Nishihara Kamezo said, "It's just that I lack knowledge and experience." ”

"The Chinese named Liang Qichao said that when China's young people are strong, China will be strong." Terauchi Masaki sneered and shook his head, "I don't think what this sentence said is necessarily accurate. ”

Listening to Terauchi Masatsu's words, the figure of another young Chinese appeared in Nishihara Kamezo's mind, and he couldn't help but shudder.

At this time, he still had another report from the United States in his pocket, and he didn't want the two closest friends in front of him to know the content of this report.

He studied this report carefully from the moment it was received.

Because he believed that in this report, there was a secret to the mysterious young Chinese general who had acquired unimaginably huge wealth in a short period of time.

At this time, Nishihara Kamezo did not know that in a gorgeous manor in the London countryside in England, there was another person reading a letter similar to the content of the report he had in his pocket.

"Can you believe it? This young man turned out to be using mathematical theory and cycle theory to predict the stock and futures markets. ”

Wu Guohua, Count of Papen, who was sitting at the table, said as he handed the letter to his daughter, who was standing beside him.

Wu Jiayuan took the letter from her father's hand, glanced at it slightly, and her eyes became focused.

“…… Just like the predictions made by the Heavenly Family, I use the eternal laws of geometry and mathematics to make predictions. ”

"My calculations are based on cycle theory and mathematical equations. History will repeat itself, and that's what I've said over and over again - to see the future, you have to know what happened in the past. And stand at the right starting point. ”

"The Bible's book of Ecclesiastes also says: 'What has happened has happened, and it will happen; What has been done and will be done; Under the same sun, there is nothing new. ''The past is the present, the present and the past exists.'' ’”

"These words could not be clearer to show that everything will happen according to the inherent cycle of cycles, human life, countries and stock futures markets, without exception."

"We all know that the ancient continent of the Atlantic, with its more civilized civilization than humanity today, sank under the Atlantic Ocean over the centuries, and the Atlanticians once owned telephones, radios, radios, and airplanes. Believe me, this is a true legend. Mathematics and brilliant inventions that have brought infinite happiness to the people of the Atlantic will once again be of grace to mankind, and we are already on the threshold of entering another great era. ”

"Remember, my dear, that everything in the universe is in a cyclical motion, whether concrete or abstract, material or spiritual. Including the imagination in your mind, it can also form a cycle, and it happens to you. After many years, you will get these results, good or bad, exactly as you imagined. This is exactly the truth we need to grasp, and with it, the world will be a better place. ”

"Every time you write in, you ask me how to predict the stock market and the futures market. Here, I will tell you that my method of predicting the stock futures market, or any future event, is to value its history and try to discover what kind of cycle we are in, and accordingly indicate its future trajectory. The future is nothing but the repetition of market movements. Isn't the great law of waves based on the principle of similar surnames of waves? That is, similar causes produce similar results. The invention of radio, telephone, and radio owe it to this law. The only factor that restricts this mathematical law from predicting the future is the inability to correctly understand and grasp historical data and information. If you're at the right starting point and you know the cycle of reproducing history, predicting 100 or even 1,000 years will be as easy as predicting one or two years. ”

"Just a few years ago, not just the general public, but even scientifically minded people laughed at predictions and refused to believe them. But mathematics, the science recognized by the whole civilized world, has unmistakably proved the reappearance of history, and has shown us that circular theory, or analogical analysis, is the only way we can discover the future. ”

"You always ask me, 'How do you predict future cycles?' I tell you, when I predict the future cycle, I emphasize that the most important thing is to have a right start. If we have a right start, we will get a right end. If we knew the cause of the outcome, we would not have any doubts about future events and outcome. I am always looking for the cause of an event, and once I confirm the cause, I can be sure that I am predicting the outcome of a future event. However, I don't want to explain the reason for the cycle. Even if I gave an explanation, the general public would not accept it, would not even understand it, and would not believe it. ”

"In every law of nature there are: major and secondary, positive, negative and middle. So, for circulation, there are also small, medium, and large ones. Or rather, a cycle within a loop. ”

"Also, I want to emphasize that time is the most important factor that proves everything. The measure of time is based on the rotation of the Earth around its axis. The four-minute cycle is one of the smallest cycles, the most active frequency at which things keep repeating themselves. The reason for this is that it takes four minutes for every one degree of rotation of the Earth. The other cycle is 24 hours, which is the time it takes for the earth to complete its rotation in one week, and it is also the cycle that people go through for a day. There is also an important cycle for the year, which is the time it takes for the Earth to make one revolution around the Sun. The changes in the seasons of the year belong to the secondary cycle. The main cycles built on these secondary cycles are generally 100 or even 5000 years long. To identify big events and important changes, it is necessary to look back at least 1,000 years to confirm the existence of the cycle. If you are familiar with the Bible, there is important evidence of the 1,000-year cycle: 'One will become a thousand, and a small nation will become a great nation, and I, God, will accelerate its progress in this time.'" He lay with a dragon in his hand, and this dragon, the ancient serpent, Satan, will haunt him for a thousand years. ’”

"If we go back a thousand years, we will have ample evidence that history is repeating itself. You have a deep impression of the war taking place in Europe today, but you may not know that Europe in 916 B.C. is very similar to Europe in 1916, a thousand years later. In 916, Europe was experiencing war, panic and grain failures, and some people fought for land. And a thousand years later, almost the same thing happened......"

"There is some truth to this theory, but it is not entirely true, and there are many examples of this time loop going beyond this." Wu Jiayuan didn't finish reading the letter, so she put the letter on the table, "If he really carried out such a precise work according to this theory, it would be too bizarre." ”

"It's bizarre, I'd rather believe it, it's not true." Wu Guohua smiled and said, "Perhaps, he is using this method to confuse that beautiful female servant, and he may want to win her heart." ”

"However, the 'right starting point' in his letter makes a lot of sense." Wu Jiayuan picked up the letter again, looked at it, and said.

(To be continued)