The first update

The German incident further fermented according to Yanayev's plan, Krenz incited the people to resist the policies of the Federal Republic of Germany in East Germany, while Merkel secretly assisted Krenz, using her political privileges to give the green light to the "popular opinion leader" to incite the masses, and at the same time using the government's power to help him clear some obstacles, so that Krenz could better become the leader of the East German people.

At the same time that events in Germany are developing in the direction of Yanayev's pre-book, the British side is also entering the final voting stage of the referendum on leaving the European Union. All of Europe was watching every move of the British people, including Yanayev. He is waiting for the final outcome tomorrow, whether Britain chooses to leave the European Union or not, will greatly change the situation in Europe, and even a series of changes in the foreign policy of Western European countries. Therefore, in the case of the international economic crisis in the EU, the British's salary may become the last straw to weaken the EU's recovery.

Britain and the European Union, even during the European Community period, have been at odds, as early as 1960, Britain applied to join the European Economic Community, the predecessor of the European Union, but was vetoed by French President Charles de Gaulle. Because he believes that Britain has always practiced a policy of "honorable isolation", Britain cannot be fully regarded as an ally of Europe.

In 1973, British Prime Minister Heath resumed negotiations to join the European Community and became a member state. But in 1975, British Prime Minister Wilson held a referendum, which resulted in the decision that Britain remained in the European Community.

Next year, British Prime Minister Tony Blair's plan to join the euro, the European single currency, was blocked by then-Chancellor of the Exchequer Gordon Brown. However, this may never happen because of John Major's actions.

Prime Minister John Major recently submitted a bill to the House of Commons on a referendum, and a Brexit referendum will be held in the near future. This can also be regarded as the UK's revenge on the EU for its death, breaking away from the big hole of Europe with both advantages and disadvantages.

"The UK can now issue its own independent currency, which is conducive to maintaining its export competitiveness, and has its own fiscal policy. But this makes it very difficult for it to really join the continent. Especially during the critical period of the European debt crisis, this traditional power is gradually losing its status and right to participate in the EU due to the obvious divergence of interests. Ryzhkov said this when he analyzed the recent situation in Britain to Yanayev.

"Moreover, there are 'Euroskeptics' within the British Conservative Party, and not only that, but they also believe that the EU's internal policies have a negative effect on the EU, and some future policy trends may also harm the interests of the UK. The spread of the economic crisis has not only caused Britain's Euroscepticism to ferment rapidly, but also accelerated the pace of Brexit. On the other hand, in recent years, the EU's policy has ostensibly been aimed at the development of the European economy, but in fact it has been aimed at the British economy. I think the UK should also see internally what kind of actions the EU is doing, so it will vacillate between leaving the EU and remaining in the EU. ”

John Major also realizes that the EU is trying to weaken Britain's competitiveness through an integrated economy, but for Britain, they are not part of the continent in the first place, so they don't care much about the irreparable accidents that will arise from leaving the European economy. On the contrary, the recent EU posture has made them realize that it is time to make up their minds.

Ryzhkov continued, "Correspondingly, the people of other EU countries are increasingly dissatisfied with the unreliability of the United Kingdom, believing that the United Kingdom, as a member of the European Union, has behaved negatively in the process of integration into the European Union, and has been playing a role of delay, not only vetoing the euro, not participating in the EU's crisis relief program, not contributing to alleviating the crisis, but also opposing all financial regulatory policies, so the UK's exit is a good thing for the development of the EU, and other member states will face less resistance in the integration process." Mutual trust between the two sides has fallen to historic lows. This is why Britain is threatening to leave the European Union, but France and Germany are indifferent. ”

"Opinion polls show that support for the British Workers' Party is plummeting, and John Major's Brexit referendum may help him regain some of the votes that went to the pro-Brexit Independence Party. Cameron also hopes to use this as a bargaining chip to negotiate with the EU and obtain more favorable membership conditions for the UK, intending to get a bigger share of the EU pie. But it seems that Prime Minister Major's wishful thinking has come to naught, and the EU's move is really surprising. ”

"Tomorrow is the day of their referendum, and I'm really looking forward to the unexpected outcome at the end."

The Volga River had formed a thick layer of ice, and Yanayev stood by the river, looking at the mother river of Russia with some amazement. Ryzhkov beside him wore a thick trench coat, and his first grade always could not withstand the ravages of the years.

"It's hard to say." Ryzhkov's hand was on the railing of the river, and he took a breath of hot air from his mouth, but it quickly dissipated into the cold winter air. He turned to Yanayev and said, "Stay in the EU, leave the EU, do this means that the EU has gains and losses, and it has lost an economy that is constantly in friction, maybe it can develop better?" ”

The sky began to darken, and the streetlamps by the river lit up the dark and narrow riverbank with a dim and warm glow.

"But for us, Britain's departure from the European Union is the best outcome." Prime Minister John Major miscalculated the time. If he had called for a referendum sooner or later, it would have been no worse than the events that followed. Yanayev remains optimistic about Britain's departure from the European Union.

"What does this mean?" Ryzhkov asked.

Yanayev's face was half hidden in shadows, revealing only a rough outline, and he turned his head to Ryzhkov and said, "Because of Scotland, such a major move as leaving the European Union will inevitably have an impact on the Scottish side." Let's not forget that the North Sea oil fields are in the hands of the Scots, and what kind of embarrassing situation should Scotland face without the big family of the European Union? ”

"But wouldn't that be the same as cutting off the Scottish path to independence?" Ryzhkov said he did not know the Scots very well.

Yanayev corrected Ryzhkov's statement that "not to cut off their back road, but to stimulate the independent ambitions of the Scottish." How many years have passed since Scotland cried out for independence, especially every year when the economy is becoming increasingly sluggish, and now that the economy is bad and the political turmoil is in turmoil, the Scots will definitely not be willing to take advantage of this time to make trouble. Once the flame of Prometheus ignited for Scottish independence, Great Britain would be reduced from a European power to a second-rate country in Europe. ”

After a long silence, Ryzhkov asked, "So they will give up?" ”

The wind on the Volga began to get cold at night, and as in Europe now, facing a bad mess because of the economic downturn, all the leaders of the countries were thinking about a way out. With the exception of the Soviet Union, almost all major European countries were struggling to find a way out of the economic downturn.

"Definitely not."

Yanayev replied to Ryzhkov with great certainty, "If the referendum alone had solved the problem, Ireland would not have launched a war of independence in 1919, and the British Parliament would not have sent troops to suppress it." ”

Ireland's independence came at a very delicate time, when the Great Powers had just come out of the First World War and were preparing to make an agreement to divide the world, the economic impact of the war was unquestionable, and one of the potential triggers for the Irish independence movement was also economic.

If you look back at this history, you will be surprised that the development is very similar to the situation in Britain today.

Yanayev continued, "If the two moves of Britain and Germany are successful, then there will be a very wonderful political change that will follow, and this change will have only one result, and that is that at least two of the great powers of Western Europe will collapse in this turmoil." Now there are a few guys waiting for something to happen in Europe and divide the fruits of their victory. ”

Ryzhkov asked, "Is it like us back then?" ”

"Yes, they'll treat them the same way we did, unfortunate fellow."

Yanayev was right to abandon the struggle for hegemony, and the Soviet Union's current policy of maintaining an all-out defense prevented the United States from finding a flaw in its offensive and reduced its funding for European countries. At the very least, he saw that the current Western European countries had become white-eyed wolves that could not be fed.

"Now we just have to wait quietly for the results of the referendum." (To be continued.) )