Volume 4 Empire of Arms Chapter 14 A Race Against Time

On the last day of the event, news media around the world reported on China's request to Iran? Thing.

Unlike in the past, the Republic not only did not "hide and tuck", but also announced the general content of the contract before the news media "went berserk", but it was not the government of the Republic that came forward, but the "medium and heavy company".

Without spending a penny, the "medium-heavy company" received the best advertising campaign.

When television stations around the world report the news, they will mention the "medium and heavy company" incorporated in the republic, as well as the main business of the company.

Seeing relevant reports, Ji Youguo had to admire + Muhua's business acumen.

An inconsequential news has allowed the world's major news media to do the best advertising for the "Zhongzhong Company" for free, which not only saves hundreds of millions of yuan in advertising costs, but also makes the "Zhongzhong Company" famous overnight.

It's just that the 1st surname in the land of China doesn't care much about this matter.

The Spring Festival is coming, and people from all over the country are preparing for the New Year. Who cares about arms buying and selling?

At this moment, I am afraid that only the people of the Republic can really enjoy the holiday with peace of mind.

The global financial crisis, marked by the 1166 collapse of the Dow Jones index of the New York Stock Exchange on the 17th day, is intensifying and is wreaking havoc on the financial markets of various countries.

By the beginning of 20177. The global financial crisis has reached a point where it is out of control.

The main reason for the rapid spread of the financial crisis is that the major countries have not taken the same unified rescue action as they did in the past. Basically, they are in their own positions and in charge of each place. Although there is no global trade war yet. But with Frederick coming to power. Take the lead in raising trade barriers. Trade wars are inevitable.

If the West has entered a harsh winter. Then the republic is just feeling the chill.

Before the outbreak of the global financial crisis. The republic resorted to the "financial defense war". Successfully squeezed out the asset bubble. The stock market index was kept within a reasonable range. Subsequently. The Government of the Republic has introduced a series of long-term plans to stimulate economic development. Unleashed a lot of good news. Ahead of the financial crisis, most domestic investors were able to restore confidence. Stimulate a rapid recovery in the stock market. Keeping international investors out.

In just a few months. The Government of the Republic has prepared for the financial crisis with its strong administrative and regulatory capacity.

If the financial markets of the Republic were not affected. That must be a fake land. Just compared to other countries. This is especially true for the developed countries in the West, which are the hardest-hit areas. The Republic is stronger in its ability to withstand financial crises.

The key is not the bailout policy issued by the government, but the strong impetus for economic development produced by the adjustment of the industrial structure.

A few years ago, when Ji Youguo proposed "industrial restructuring," Western countries unanimously concluded that the economic development of the republic had encountered the challenge of "population aging," and that it would be impossible to create an economic miracle by "growing old before getting rich," and that "industrial restructuring" had only delayed the arrival of the recession.

This "argument" was very popular for a long time.

Strictly speaking, the biggest challenge facing the republic is the "aging of the population".

In 2015, the population of the republic grew positively for the last time.

According to the estimation of demographers, even if the republic changes its population policy in 20166, in addition to allowing single-child couples and rural couples to have a second child, couples with a certain economic ability are encouraged to have a second child and a third child, because couples of childbearing age no longer attach importance to the traditional concept of childbearing, and the huge pressure of work and life makes most couples choose to have fewer children later, or even no children, and the population of the republic will remain "stable" from 20166 to 2024; From 2024, the population will gradually decrease; The "decay" will continue for 20 to 30 years, and it will not be until around 2050, when the total population is reduced to 7 to 8 or so, that it will be possible to return to positive growth. The precondition is that the republic must improve industrial production efficiency during this period, increase national welfare, ease the work and life burden of ordinary families, and introduce more childbearing programs. The sooner relevant action is taken, the sooner the Republic will be able to stabilize its population.

The demographic problem is not only generated by numbers, but also by demographic structure.

With the advancement of modern medical technology, the average life expectancy is getting longer and longer. In 20115, the average life expectancy in the Republic was 76 years for women and 71 years for men. According to the most conservative estimates, by 2050, the average life expectancy for women will exceed 00 years, and men are expected to reach 95 years.

The trend of population decline is not significant, not because of higher fertility rates, but because of longer life expectancy.

Although many countries are facing the same problem, such as Germany, which introduced a law at the age of 2 to raise the statutory retirement age to 65 years old and encourage retirees to return to work, the problem faced by the republic is even more severe, and the postponement of the retirement age and the rehiring of retirees can only solve the temporary difficulties, and the long-term effect is not obvious.

The republic has a very obvious advantage over the developed countries of the West: the unfinished process of urbanization.

If we can make rational use of the surplus population in rural areas during the period of social labor force reduction, we can well alleviate the pressure and solve the problem of "old population."

The problem is to have a buffer of 20 to 30 years. After 230 years, positive growth will return to it.

To this end, during his tenure, Ji Youguo introduced a number of relevant policies.

Rural land should be allowed to be transferred in the form of contracts and leases, so as to popularize large-scale mechanized agricultural production in all major grain-producing areas of the country and gradually liberate the surplus rural labor force. Comprehensively popularize and promote 12-system compulsory education to improve the skill level of workers. Provide education and living subsidies for college students in rural and impoverished areas, and open channels for rural people to move to cities. Necessary social security should be provided to all the elderly population in rural areas throughout the country, so as to solve the worries of the rural population in urban areas. Reform the medical security system and social welfare system to ease the living pressure of ordinary urban families.

Among the many policies, "industrial restructuring" is undoubtedly the most important policy.

Historically, no country has been able to drive social progress during a period of declining population, or even maintain positive economic growth.

In order to continue to push forward the reform and maintain a relatively high economic growth rate in the republic, in addition to liberating the surplus labor force in the rural areas, it is also necessary to improve the efficiency of social labor, especially the efficiency of industrial production, so that we can produce more social wealth in the face of a decrease in the number of labor force.

Labor productivity is relative, not absolute.

In the era of globalization, the direct factor of labor productivity is the added value of labor. If it is put into international trade, it is whether a country can produce products that other countries cannot produce, and whether it can sell them at a higher price in the markets of other countries. To make a simple analogy, 0 workers who produce large passenger planes and 1 worker who produce socks, although they pay the same amount of labor time, but the value of the product is 10 million times different. From this point of view, labor productivity can also be called "labor production value".

The core content of the "industrial restructuring" is to increase the "labor production value" of the workers of the republic.

Looking at the many economy-related policies introduced by Ji Youguo during his term of office in the two circles, all the reform mistakes introduced are, without exception, directly or indirectly related to solving the problem of "population aging".

The performance of the Republic in the Fourth Indo-Pakistani War and the East China Sea War will make many people think that Ji Youguo is a head of state who attaches more importance to the external living environment of the Republic. In fact, Ji Youguo has always focused on domestic problems, improving the country's external living environment, and also providing help for solving domestic problems.

Perhaps, many people think that the harm of "population aging" is not so serious.

Theories are certainly not as persuasive as facts. On the side of the Republic, there are two "lessons from the past".

One is Japan. Japan entered a period of decline in the early 90s of the 20th century, and one of the important problems was that the aging of the Japanese population was not resolved, and a large number of Japanese born during the "baby boom" after the end of World War II gradually left the workforce, placing a heavy burden on Japanese society. Until the outbreak of the East China Sea War, Japan was still in a period of decline, and the key was that there was a serious shortage of labor in the aging society.

The other is Russia. After the collapse of the Red Empire, Russia ushered in the problem of "aging" at the end of the 20th century, and the average life expectancy of Russian men was only 611 years, which made the price of labor in Russia remain high. With a lot of resources, Russia still has not been able to develop faster than China, India, and even Brazil, which are much less resource-poor, and the key is the lack of labor.

If the problem of "aging" in the republic is not resolved, what awaits the Chinese nation will be a period of decline that will last for half a century, or even a century.

Japan was able to survive for more than 20 years on the wealth it had accumulated before the recession.

The republic "grows old before it gets rich", what to maintain?

From this point of view, if Ji Youguo can solve the problem of "aging", he will undoubtedly be one of the greatest heads of state in the history of the republic.

It's just that the policies introduced by Ji Youguo are still not thorough and perfect.

The republic is not a country of immigrants like the United States, and it cannot solve the problem by absorbing immigrants. The population base of the republic is already large enough to solve the problem by comprehensively stimulating fertility.

There are not many options left for Ji Youguo, and the time left for the Republic to solve the problem is even shorter.

In the face of the raging financial crisis and the impending economic crisis, how much "legacy" will the outgoing Kiyo Diet leave to the republic?

The ordinary people of the land of China did not feel the urgency of the situation.

As a national leader, Ji Youguo not only has personal experience, but also sees two different futures.

As the New Year's bell rang, when the people were immersed in the joyful atmosphere of universal celebration and welcomed the Year of the Rooster with their families, Ji Youguo was working all night to review the reform plan.

In just over a month, Ji Youguo will return to the countryside.

In just over a month, the Führer will have a new owner.

The Republic is not only in a race against the enemy, but also against time!

Damn it**

Ask for tickets, ask for tickets, precious monthly passes, brothers smash it! (To be continued)