Volume 10 Dragon Soaring Nine Days Chapter 28 New Thinking
The temple secretary left. Blandino brought coffee to the two soldiers, please put it on the tent.
The president of the United States has changed, and so has Dudgway's ideology. The general, who never succumbed to any force and never bowed to anyone, had to admit that it was not only former President Westwood who made mistakes, but also former Secretary of State Brudlin, who was close to the president. And he, the Minister of Defense.
After the conflict in southern Tibet, Du Qisheng realized the biggest mistake made by the United States.
Whether it is to encircle and suppress China or contain China, it is the appearance, not the essence. The core essence of China-US relations is world hegemony and the various benefits it brings. If we understand this, we can understand that there is no essential difference in the China policies of the previous US administrations. China is the biggest variable in the new round of basic international order after World War II, when the United States formally took over world hegemony from Britain, and it is also the most powerful opponent that the United States has encountered since it ascended to the throne of world hegemon. As long as the United States refuses to give up world hegemony, China refuses to stop moving forward, or there is no third solution, the fundamental contradictions between China and the United States cannot be eliminated. Whether it's a Democrat or a Republican. They all have to serve the national interests of the United States. Even if the "national interest" is sometimes the interest of a few interest groups, the U.S. government will have to go down the path of confrontation with China until one of them collapses like the Red Soviet Union at the beginning of the century. For the sake of the interests of the imprisoned people, the Chinese government will not give in easily. In order to discourage the interests of the American electorate, the US government will not easily back down, and there is no feasible alternative for the time being, and the Sino-US struggle is bound to continue.
Among the various international struggles, the national struggle is the most brutal.
Portugal, which was the first to dominate the world, is now only a small country in Europe, Spain, the rich "silver empire" in the world, can barely be regarded as a big European country, the Netherlands, the "sea coachman" who has footprints all over the world, has little say in Europe, Britain, the incomparably glorious "empire on which the sun never sets", has long been reduced to a vassal of the United States, and the Soviet Union, the "red empire" that the whole world fears, has fallen apart. These former hegemons are in decline. Without exception, they have been reduced to second-rate countries, and some have even disappeared in the long river of history.
If the United States loses, there will be no better ending.
The United States cannot and cannot afford to lose.
Compared to historical hegemons, the United States lacks the key factor that keeps the country stable in the face of adversity: the Juche nation.
According to the survey results of the American non-governmental organization, the proportion of whites in the American population has dropped from the old year to the concave, and the number of blacks has risen from the nephew to 2 Wei, and the proportion of Hispanics has increased from 2 to 2 Wei, and the proportion of Hispanics has increased. The nephew rises to magnetism. Asians are expected to reach the largest ethnic group in the United States, and the proportion of whites will fall below the strong.
The change in racial composition has led to many social contradictions in the United States.
Southern California, Arizona, New Mexico, Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Florida, where Latinos are concentrated, and Oklahoma, Arkansas, Alabama, Georgia, and South Carolina, where blacks are concentrated, have high unemployment and crime rates, and lower education levels than other states. In the past four years, the state's criminal cases have accounted for more than 10 percent of the country's fields.
If the United States goes downhill, who can guarantee that the "American dream" will still be cohesive enough?
Portugal, Spain, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom all have a majority nation, even when the country is in adversity. It can also rely on the centripetal force of the nation to ensure the integrity and unity of the country, waiting for the next opportunity. Although the Red USSR fell apart after falling. But Russia, which dominates the position, still inherited most of the property, as well as its status as a great power. The United States has come to this point, and the end will certainly be more tragic than that of all previous world hegemons.
Of course, the United States has not abandoned its experience of adversity.
From the War of Independence to World War II, the United States has been waiting for thugs for more than four years, and the United States has also been going uphill, advancing towards the throne of world hegemony. The rise of the overall strength of the country has become the basic force that unites all social strata in the United States, otherwise the federal government of the North led by Lincoln would not have been able to defeat the South in the Civil War and enable the United States to ascend to the throne of world hegemony in the form of a unified country.
After recognizing this problem, Du Qiwei once had the idea of "discharging his armor and returning to the field".
What he didn't expect was that after winning the election, Blandino not only did not remove him from his post, but personally asked him to stay and continue to serve as defense minister.
The president's invitation was not the main reason, it was the president's new policy that made Dudgway decide to stay.
Many of Blandino's policies convinced Dudgway that the "blue-eyed kid" from New York State had found a new path for the United States and could lead it out of its predicament.
Over the course of two years, Du Qiwei gradually believed in his original judgment.
Compared to Westwood, Dudgway was not only more candid, but also more willing to make political proposals.
The relationship between Maxima and Bole can be used just for Duchway and Blandino.
It can be said that Blandino attaches great importance to the Secretary of Defense from the Marine Corps, as well as to the suggestions and opinions put forward by Dudgway.
After letting Stark introduce the situation, Dudgway made a big point.
Brandino listened carefully and thought very attentively.
After Duchway finished speaking, Blandino thought for a while before he spoke: "According to what you said, China will not only help the Sikkim Rule. Do you want to take this opportunity to solve the problems of South Asia? ”
"There are two things that prove my judgment. One is China's military deployment, and the other is India's domestic situation. ”
Brandino nodded slightly, and motioned to Du Qiwei to take the two catties, and the question was more detailed.
"From the intelligence we have, all of China's military forces are in a state of combat readiness, and Du Qiwei slowly lit a cigarette. Acts more like a politician. "On the Army side. China has mobilized 14 main field armies, including three airborne armies, and the total number of troops mobilized is between 500,000 and 550,000, while the total strength of the Chinese army is less than 700,000. Excluding the troops deployed in other strategic defense directions and deployed overseas, it can be said that the Chinese Army has mobilized all combat forces. What's more, except for a few pounds. Outside the military, most of these units have been on the battlefield, and most of them have participated in the Peninsula War, and some of them have also participated in the Japanese War, so they have rich experience in actual combat. How big is Sikkim, and the total population is almost 500,000, is it necessary for China to use 500,000 ground troops? Not to mention anything else, with three catties, the Airborne Army can defeat the most elite field unit of the Indian Army.
"In terms of air force, China has mobilized 70 percent of its tactical aviation and 80 percent of its support aviation, including all transport aircraft and tankers. We even have reason to believe. The Chinese Air Force mobilized all strategic aviation. According to the latest information, a unit that had previously operated at a test flight base in northwest China, equipped with China's most advanced strategic bombers, was transferred to an air base in southwest China, which is unknown to us. Such a big move was certainly not made to deal with the three Indian infantry divisions in Sikkim. As long as the Chinese Air Force is fully deployed, it will be able to defeat the Indian Air Force within 24 to 48 hours and seize absolute air supremacy.
"On the naval side, six aircraft carrier battle groups from the two major fleets of the Chinese Navy left port within 24 hours and managed to interfere with our military reconnaissance satellites. The whereabouts of these six aircraft carriers. So far, there is no conclusive conclusion. What's more. The striking strength of the six carrier-based air wings is equivalent to that of the tactical aviation wings of the six air forces, and more than 400 fighters can easily seize air supremacy and crush the Erdu navy. Considering the extraordinary strength of Chinese submarines, coupled with powerful escort warships, the Chinese Navy is confident enough to seize sea supremacy in the Indian Ocean. Sikkim is only a landlocked country south of the Himalayas, is it necessary for China to seize sea supremacy in the Indian Ocean? These military deployments and transfers show that China's purpose is not to fight a border war similar to the conflict between the four former Tibetans, let alone to help Sikkim establish a state, but to completely defeat India, control the South Asian continent, and enter the world through a large-scale regional war similar to the Korean Peninsula War and the Japanese War
After listening to Du Qiwei, Blandino asked quietly: "What about the other catty?" ”
"The situation in India?" Du Qiwei smiled faintly and said, "Let's not have any hope
Brandino frowned slightly, not satisfied with Du Qisheng's succinct reply.
"China's military deployment is a cause for concern. But the domestic situation in India is even more worrying. Dudgway extinguished the cigarette butt and said, "Four of them are coming, with our full assistance." India's ambitions have passed through any period in history. What is most needed for the swelling Indian national mood is a victory, and a victory over China. Historically, India has only lost three wars, but unfortunately all three times have been defeated by China. Since that border conflict in the years of the power century. It can even be traced back to the time when independence was gained. India sees China as its main competitor. When India exhibited nuclear weapons, it was also under the banner of "China threat". As you know, India is now the most populous country in the world, and China is the newest and most populous country. Just as China is trying to get past us, India is trying to get past China. It has to be admitted that Rurajapani has been in power for more than ten years and has made significant contributions to India's economic development. However, the economic exhibition has also caused India's national sentiment to swell dramatically. For the vast majority of Indians, especially those who control the lifeblood of the country, economic success is no longer enough to satisfy their national mentality, and what they need is a military victory. ”
"Now that Rurajapani has been in power for more than a decade, he will definitely be able to manage to control the situation in the country."
"The current India is not the India of the Four Easts, let alone the India when Rurajapani took office, Duchway's answer was very decisive, "When Rurajapani took office, India was in ruins, and the people were living in poverty, whether it was ordinary people or interest classes, they all wanted to improve the economic situation. So his economic policies were widely supported. Four years ago, India was defeated again by China, and lost Arunachal Pradesh, which is what China calls southern Tibet, and suddenly changed from an active player in the border dispute to a passive one. Losing tens of thousands of square kilometers of land is nothing. The blow to India's confidence has been fatal. If India cannot get up and defeat China, it will never think of crossing China, let alone replacing China. For those who hold India's economic lifeblood and the country's political power, war is not necessarily a bad thing. ”
"It's impossible for these people not to know that India can't defeat China, right?"
Duchway let out a long sigh and said, "This is indeed a very critical issue.
Suffice it to say, anyone with a bit of brains knows that India is definitely no match for China right now. China has used its most cruel hand to send a clear letter to Japan's neighboring countries. On issues related to the fundamental interests of the country. The Chinese Yuan will never be merciful. The point is whether war is good or not. From the point of view of Indian interest groups, a war with China, whether it succeeds or fails, is beneficial. ”
Brandino immediately frowned.
"If the war is won, India will become the hegemon of South Asia, and even the hegemon of the entire Indian Ocean, while China will be forced to turn to strategic defense and end its external expansion. It is conceivable that in the next 20 to 30 years, China will not go to war with India again and acquiesce to India's status as a world power. It can be said that this is the best result that India can get, and although it is not very promising, it is enough to make many people tempted. Dudgway paused slightly and said. The point is, the fight is lost. Can India's interest groups benefit from this? From the point of view of Indian interest groups. If India loses the war, the biggest victim is by no means the interest group that has always advocated strengthening national defense construction, because India is defeated militarily, and naturally its military strength is inferior to China's, so it is all the more necessary to display its military strength. The biggest victim is the Indian government led by Rurajapani, who, unsurprisingly, will inevitably become a scapegoat for Indian interest groups and an object of public outrage. Moderate governments have fallen, and more extreme governments have come to power. Under these circumstances, the new Government will inevitably take advantage of national sentiment to vigorously build up its armaments. As a result, the interest groups that control India's military industrial complex, financial industry, heavy industry, and high-tech industries are bound to gain immeasurable economic benefits from the new round of military expansion. As the Chinese saying goes, no profit is too early. As long as India exists, in twenty years, India will once again be China's greatest threat. For the Indian people, the loss is only 20 years. For Indian interest groups, the harvest is two decades of enormous wealth.
"In that case, it is impossible for Rurajapani to be unprepared
'That's for sure, Rurajapani is definitely prepared, just in the way the general trend comes. Even Rurajapani, who is arguably India's greatest prime minister in history, will not be able to turn the tide. ”
Brandino nodded slightly and said, "According to what you say, I'm afraid China won't give up." ”
"That's the key question, China has no shortage of reasons to expand the scale of the war. Although the border issue between China and India has been resolved, India has no intention of provoking a border dispute for the time being. But India's border problems with other neighboring countries have not eased. Conflicts with Pakistan in Kashmir, territorial disputes with Nepal, territorial disputes with Bangladesh, territorial disputes with Myanmar, and territorial waters disputes with Sri Lanka can be justified by China's expansion of the war, because these countries are all allies or quasi-allies of China. What's more, the war broke out, and the squadron invaded India. India will certainly fight back. If India makes one wrong step, it will give China a reason to expand the scale of the war. Wang Yuanqing has already used the same method to deal with Japan, and it can be said that he is familiar with the use of similar methods, and there is no problem
"If we really come to this point, China's losses will not be small."
It depends on what Wang Yuanqing wants to do.
Du Qiwei sighed and said, "To be honest, if you look at it from the perspective of ordinary people, it is difficult to understand Wang Yuanqing's decision. China's own problems are not numerous, and political reform is only halfway through. In any case, Wang Yuanqing should not engage in a large-scale war in the last two years of his rule, which is likely to last for several years, and may even lead China into a period of decline. This is also the most incomprehensible thing for me, even according to the standards of politicians, Wang Yuanqing should improve relations with India and not go to war with India. It is undeniable that there is a real possibility that China will suffer heavy losses in the war. The problem is that we don't even understand what Wang Yuanqing wants to do. How do you know what Wang Yuanqing will do? And how will we solve our current problems? ”
"That's something I've been thinking about."
Hearing this, Du Qiwei's brow jumped a few times. Brandino is very urban, and he never makes his point of view clear in front of officials. Only if the situation is completely clear. will speak their minds. Exactly. Many people can't figure out what Brandino thinks, so they can't guess what the president wants.
It can be said that Wang Yuanqing is China's most talented national president in recent years, whether it is internally or externally, he has shown first-class courage and skill, and never let the other party feel his mentality Brandino glanced at Du Qiwei and said, "If Wang Yuanqing wants to deal with India, he should start in front of the four, not until now." It is difficult to understand that there is a large-scale war at this time. Perhaps, this is the biggest characteristic of Wang Yuanqing, never let the other party know what he wants to do and how he wants to do it. ”
"We have to be cautious."
Brandino nodded and said, "Have you ever thought that Wang Yuanqing started this war." Not for immediate gain, but for a few years from now. ”
Du Qiwei was stunned for a moment, and then showed an expectant gaze.
Although Brandino has only been in office for two years and has never been involved in international affairs before, he is no less effective than Brooklyn on related issues, and his political brilliance is far greater than that of Westwood. Dudgway believes that Blandino must have had astonishing insights, and unique insights.