… Speak to the whole world? Four was not a quiet year

After the London meeting. The eyes of the global news media turned to Beijing, and thousands of journalists gathered in the capital of the Republic of China to focus their cameras on the upcoming 17th National Congress. Prepare for the first time to announce the change of regime in the republic. For the first time in years, a change of regime in a republic has received such high attention from the global news media. As with the speculation of the force years ago, when the relevant news was reported. The news program hosts of major TV stations have raised a question: Will the young Wang Yuanqing break the convention and seek a third term?

What the audience needs, the news media reports.

Compared with Ji Jieguo before the force, Wang Yuanqing has many similarities and many disadvantages.

The most similar thing about the two is their age. Whether it is Ji Yuanguo, who was only a year old when he left, or Wang Yuanqing, who is only a year old now. For the top leaders of the country, they are all extremely young. Even from the standpoint of the backer, when the average life expectancy of the Republic is too old for men to be doomed, and the legal retirement age is raised to the island age, Wang Yuanqing, who is a young man, has not yet reached the age of retirement.

Young has a young light place.

As the youngest state state in the history of the Republic, Wang Yuanqing's old years in power were the years of greatest changes since the founding of the Republic and the years of great social changes. Whether externally or internally, Wang Yuanqing has accomplished feats that even others dare not think of with amazing skills and courage. It is necessary to regain the last lost territory, complete national reunification, promote political reforms, establish an intensive bloc centered on the republic, and advance negotiations on the complete elimination of nuclear weapons. Any achievement can make any national leader go down in history. Wang Yuanqing did not one, but all! Although according to the outside world's point of view, Wang Yuanqing's achievements have a lot to do with the previous two republics, that is, standing on the shoulders of giants, no one can deny that Wang Yuanqing's courage has a lot to do with age.

You must know that when the country was in the process of implementing industrial restructuring, it was only in its early years.

In addition to his age, Wang Yuanqing and Ji Jieguo have many similarities, such as unparalleled personal prestige, absolute control over the army, place in the eyes of the people, international influence, and so on. These similarities make many people think. It is very likely that Wang Yuanqing will make the opposite choice to Ji Jieguo, rather than leave in a dashing manner like Ji Youguo, because no one can deny the most critical issue, that is, Wang Yuanqing is not Ji Youguo.

Whether Wang Yuanqing will stay or not is the difference between him and Yi Jieguo that plays a decisive role.

I have to admit it. The level of freedom of the press in the republic is still less than ideal. On this extremely sensitive issue, the news media of the Republic are much more cautious than those of the West, and do not report in too much depth, but rather the Western news media have done a comprehensive analysis and report without scrutiny.

Of course, the news media are not entirely unanimous.

On the question of whether Wang Yuanqing will seek a third term, the international news media are divided into two factions with distinct views. The US news media concluded that Wang Yuanqing would seek a third term at all costs, while the "third-party" news media such as Al Jazeera believed that Wang Yuanqing would not destroy political reform for the sake of a third term, while the European news media, represented by Agence France-Presse and Sky TV, swayed left and right. There is no concept without unity.

Will Wang Yuanqing seek a third term?

In Gang's view, although Wang Yuanqing has too many reasons to seek a third term as a person. But only one crucial reason is needed, and that is that no one can replace him in the Republic and in the international community. to keep him here.

In order to convince the audience, the deletion not only made a comprehensive report, but also came up with a lot of "proof."

As reported. Wang Yuanqing's appointment as the head of the republic was a political deal reached between Ji Youguo and Zhao Rundong when he left office, because in the year of Limen, Wang Yuanqing, who was a young man, was not qualified to serve as the head of the republic.

In other words, Wang Yuanqing's political future was arranged in the year of the blade, and the subsequent events in the old years were reasonable. A very strong piece of evidence came out: shortly after the end of the South China Sea War. Ji Youguo returned to Beijing, and then Wang Yuanqing was transferred back to the Central Committee and became the vice president of the state at the time of the general election. and replaced Zhao Rundong during the Peninsula War, in charge of daily military and political affairs. When Ji Youguo was in power, there was no vice president of the state, there was no vice president of the state during Zhao Rundong's first term, and Wang Yuanqing did not set up a vice president of the state during his two terms of office, but the second term of office of Zhao Rundong was set up as a vice president of the state in order to determine Wang Yuanqing's successor status and avoid unnecessary trouble when Zhao Rundong left office. Bubble tough Bashan, Ebu Riqing factory is less, and there are many new Shaanxi

From this, a more in-depth "analysis" and "speculation" have been deleted.

After becoming the vice minister of state. There is no suspense that Wang Yuanqing will become the head of the country after the year, and the key question is, why did Ji Jieguo unite with Peng Maobang and others to put pressure on Zhao Rundong?

You must know that this is the only thing related to politics that Ji Jieguo did after leaving office.

Based on this, it was concluded that there were differences between Zhao Rundong and Ji Youguo on the direction of the country's exhibition, and it was concluded that Zhao Rundong wanted to arrange the next national minister according to his own wishes, rather than letting Wang Yuanqing come to power in the fourth according to Ji Yuguo's intentions. The successor arranged by Zhao Rundong is Gu Weimin. Since Wang Yuanqing came to power, he has been wary of Gu Weimin, which can also see the relationship between Gu and Wang. The problem is that Zhao Rundong's influence is far inferior to that of Ji Youguo, plus Peng Mao's "one,; sounded, Zhao Rundong could only compromise with Ji Youguo. From Peng Maobang's use in the year of the dish, when Ding Ji Youguo asked Zhang Maobang to stay in office, he had already considered that Zhao Rundong would cause trouble, so he kept a hand.

In any case, Wang Yuanqing was able to come to power and had a close relationship with Ji Youguo.

Ran's question is, why does Ji Weiguo support Wang Yuanqing?

Although Wang Yuanqing's actions in the old years of his reign proved Ji Youguo's vision, politicians are not prophets, nor are they idealists who pin their dreams on others. In other words, in the year of the mouth. It is impossible for Ji Youguo to know what Wang Yuanqing will do after the fight, let alone whether Wang Yuanqing can win in the risky gamble. If these two questions are not answered affirmatively, Ji Youguo will have no reason to support Wang Yuanqing. From this, it is concluded that it was not Wang Yuanqing who formulated the long-term strategy of the republic, but Ji Youguo, and it can even be said that everything Wang Yuanqing did was planned by Ji Jieguo, and Wang Yuanqing was the executor. Even if you take 10,000 steps back, it is as early as the year of the blade, or even before. Ji Beiguo and Wang Yuanqing had a clear idea of the strategic exhibition of the republic, and formulated a strategic plan that lasted for decades, pointing out the direction for the republic; In other words, Wang Yuanqing is not only the executor, but also participates in the planning. That's the only way to go. Ji Jieguo will spare no effort to support Wang Yuanqing, of course. As Wang Yuanqing, he has ample opportunities and abilities to participate in the strategic planning of the Republic.

I have to admit that the speculation of deletion is not groundless, and the analysis is very reasonable.

The question is. With such a huge strategic plan, can 2 people do it?

The answer is definitely no, no matter how powerful Ji Youguo and Wang Yuanqing are. They are also human beings, at most very powerful people. And it is impossible to accomplish what is impossible for *man. In other words, if the guess is correct, and the top level of the Republic formulated a strategic plan that will last for decades in the year of Likou, then there must be many participants, at least many people in the decision-making circle of the Republic. In this way, it is impossible for Zhao Rundong not to know, and there is no reason to exclude Wang Yuanqing, and Ji Jieguo has no reason to put pressure on Zhao Rundong. paved the way for Wang Yuanqing to come to power, thus vetoing the previous speculation.

Obviously, the analysis contradicts itself.

From this, it can be concluded that there is not much credibility in neighbor analysis.

The point is that the issue just raised is very important, that is, no one has any influence comparable to Wang Yuanqing.

It can be said that almost no one can answer this question.

Political reform is not yet complete. The third military reform has only just begun, the international situation is complex, and the republic needs a strong leader regardless of the issue. A leader who can lead the republic forward. Although according to some people's speculation, Wang Yuanqing vigorously pursued political reform, which was to let collective decision-making replace individual decision-making, so as to weaken the influence of individuals in national political activities, avoid oligarchy, and lay the foundation for the healthy development of the republic. But until the political reform is completed, the atmosphere of collective political decision-making has not yet been formed, and the republic needs strong leaders.

If the speculation of deletion is not wrong, just for the sake of political reform, Wang Yuanqing will stay.

In contrast, the view of Banwu TV is completely opposite.

Although Al Jazeera also thinks. Wang Yuanqing participated in the strategic planning of the Republic during his tenure as Ji Jieguo's assistant, and played a very key role, but Al Jazeera does not believe that Ji Youguo determined Wang Yuanqing's political future before leaving office, and even believes that Ji Youguo did not deliberately support Wang Yuanqing, but Wang Yuanqing's performance in Guangxi finally won the trust and support of the Republic's high-level leaders. The most important thing is that Wang Yuanqing is deeply influenced by Ji Youguo and will never do anything that is unfavorable to the country.

As with the deletion, Al Jazeera believes that Wang Yuanqing has many reasons to abandon his third term, but only one reason is sufficient. That is, "political reform".

First of all, we must admit that it is very important that "political reform" is Wang Yuanqing's greatest political achievement.

Al Jazeera and other news outlets acknowledge this view. compared to other achievements. "Political reform" has had the greatest and most far-reaching impact on the republic, and some people even raise it to the height of history, believing that "political reform" is a major political event that affects the history of the republic, just like the "Shang'an Reform, the Xinhai Revolution, and the Nanchang Uprising."

Acknowledging the status of "political reform" is tantamount to acknowledging Wang Yuanqing's political mission.

As a result, Al Jazeera firmly believes that Wang Yuanqing can give everything for political reform, and will not make political reform meaningless for the sake of a third term.

Herein lies the problem, that is, Wang Yuanqing's quest for a third term will lead to a complete failure of political reform.

Although Al Jazeera did not deny the importance of Wang Yuanqing, especially in promoting political reform, it has to admit that the ultimate goal of political reform is to "return the government to the people." And to that end. It is necessary to restrain the power of the ruler and make the ruler subject to the limits of the governed. No doubt. The supreme ruler of the republic should be most restricted, that is, the power of the state head of the republic must be weakened. The specific way to do this is to replace individual decision-making with collective decision-making, and the specific way to accomplish political reform is to implement democracy in its entirety. Thus, the "oligarchy" is the last and highest obstacle to political reform. If political reform is to be accomplished, the "oligarchy" must be eliminated. Under these circumstances, what reason does Wang Yuanzamai have to fight for a third term? 1. "Stop the work enemy" Lu Shi proved. Wang Yuanqingshan and Siyouguo also have lofty ideals. And "one gives everything for the ideal."

In response to the question raised by the deletion, Al Jazeera also made speculation.

Similar to Al Jazeera's view, Al Jazeera also believes that the republic needs a strong leader at this stage, but Al Jazeera does not see Wang Yuanqing as an irreplaceable choice. In other words, someone can replace Wang Yuanqing.

According to Al Jazeera's analysis. Wang Yuanqing had already chosen a successor, and he had made a lot of preparations.

If Al Jazeera's analysis is correct, then after the conflict in southern Tibet, Wang Yuanqing is planning for the future of the republic. Other words. Wang Yuanqing personally planned the war in India for the future of the republic. Although Al Jazeera's analysis was shocking, it was supported by many people. According to some of the materials released by the Republic in the second half of the year, mainly some of the archives of the Rurajapani government, India was preparing for a full-scale war as early as after the outbreak of the conflict in southern Tibet.

The so-called thugs "can't raise a slap". That is, the republic was preparing for war much earlier. Although there are still many people who do not believe that the republic can defeat the world's most populous country in half a year. But this can only show that Wang Yuanqing has extraordinary courage and courage, and absolutely trusts the combat effectiveness of the republican ** team. Judging from a series of events after the war, Wang Yuanqing set the maximum length of war. Although this is 2 to 3 times the actual duration of the war, it is still enough to make people feel crazy. Herein lies the problem, Wang Yuanqing's determination to resolve the last peripheral issue during his tenure makes it clear that he does not want to leave the trouble to the next government. Al Jazeera concluded from this; The fundamental purpose of Wang Yuanqing is that he does not want to become the head of the Republic for the third time!

Having solved the Indian question, the situation around the republic will be completely transformed, with the exception of the unstable Philippines and the languishing Russia. Within a kilometer radius of the outer perimeter of the mainland. No power can no longer pose a serious threat to the Republic. In other words, the republic no longer has to worry about the security of its periphery, and can concentrate on other things, such as promoting domestic economic development, promoting political reform, establishing a new international order, competing with the United States on a global scale, and so on. In this case, the strategic planning of the republic will certainly undergo major changes, such as the fact that there is no longer a need for an army strong enough to conquer any country. Of course, there is no longer a need for a leader who can make key decisions at critical moments.

Because the third military reform has begun. Moreover, the core content of the reform is disarmament, and by reducing the size of the armed forces, and using limited military spending to promote the rapid development of military technology, Al Jazeera has enough reason to believe that Wang Yuanqing has pointed out the direction for the exhibition of the Republic, and in the foreseeable future, at least within the old to the end of the year. The republic will not expand externally.

The problem is that Wang Yuanqing is not a prophet either, and it is impossible to know how the Indian war will end three years later before the year of Lihong. In other words, the war that dragged on for a year of thugs versus its end in half a year would have a very different effect on the republic. In this way, it is unlikely that Wang Yuanqing will be the successor after the year of Lidou, that is, before the start of the second term. It is precisely because of this that Wang Yuanqing transferred Yan Jingyu back to the central government, but did not set up a national vice president, or even a clear successor.

According to Al Jazeera's analysis. Who succeeds will be determined by the situation of the Republic at the beginning of the seventh year.

Although before this, there were a majority of people who believed that Yan Jingyu would become the head of the country in the year of the blade, but as the situation gradually became clearer, more and more people changed their views. It can be said that Yan Jingyu's ability is not bad, and he is very similar to Wang Yuanqing in many ways, but he lacks the most important factor: influence.

"Influence. How important is it?

From the position of the state president. "Influence" not only determines Yuan's ability to carry out reforms, manage the country, and safeguard national interests. It also determines how the meta behaves. In a way, the impact of the latter is even more pronounced. To put it simply, if Yuan lacks influence, he will definitely seek to establish his prestige during his term of office, especially during the first term, in fact, Ji Youguo, Zhao Rundong, and Wang Yuanqing all did this; And if Yuan wants to establish prestige, the easiest way is to fight abroad. Gain support with a war that brings great benefits to the country, the nation, and its citizens.

Will Wang Yuanqing let the Republic fall into foreign war again after the Year of the Fields?

The answer is clearly no, because the last thing the current republic needs is a war. Bubble tough Bashan, Bin tenant drying factory is less, negative new reading, more

As a result, Yan Jingyu's hope of becoming the head of the country is very slim.

Yan Jingyu is not qualified, and Ye Zhisheng is even less qualified. In addition to these two people, the only one who has the ability to replace Wang Yuanqing is Gu Weimin. To a certain extent, letting Gu Weimin become the head of the country is Wang Yuanqing's only choice, and it is also an inevitable choice.

Leaving aside the correctness of Al Jazeera's analysis, at least it is more in line with the actual situation.

If it were just a general election for the republic, Tian Nian would not have become a high-profile election that has been called "the turning point of the century." The year.

On the first day of February, the Argentine military delegation arrived in Beijing.

Although the news media of the Republic did not make a big deal of coverage of this matter, the Western news media, especially the European news media, made it a top priority, as if the sky was about to fall.

From this time on, the world became less peaceful.