Volume 12 Prelude to the Great War Chapter 8 Complication
A few hours after the concubine, Pei Chengyi finally figured out the current international situation. 【】
In the final analysis, everything has to start with the Syrian-Israeli war that has been going on for 8 years. This four-hour fierce battle, which dragged on the sky, turned the military in the Middle East from cold to hot, and then from hot to warm. It can be said that the term "warmth" could not be more appropriate to describe the situation in the Middle East "in the post-Syrian-Israeli war period." Although the whole world knows that the situation in the Middle East will not cool down until the Republic and the United States are separated, everyone believes that the conflict in the Middle East will not turn into a war if neither the Republic nor the United States are willing to deal directly with each other.
In this way, the national struggle in the Toyoto region turned into an "endurance race".
After the Syrian-Israeli war, the major countries in the Middle East have adjusted their basic policies. Whether it is Israel, which continues to rely on the United States, Egypt, which vacillates between China and the United States, Syria, which is bent on following the republic, Jordan, which has frequent exchanges with the European Union, and Iran, which is striving for strength, one of the core contents of its "New Deal" is to resolve domestic contradictions and lay the foundation for long-term development.
Take Syria, for example, after the end of the war. Under the vigorous promotion of policies, the domestic economic growth has increased instead of decreasing, and it has been the fastest developing country in the Middle East for three consecutive years. In particular, after the first phase of the first phase of the first of the four megawatt-scale controlled fusion nuclear power plants of the "Sasuhad Power Station" in Deir ez-Zor, the capital of Deir ez-Zor Province, located in the upper reaches of the Eurates River and the capital of Deir ez-Zor, was completed at the end of the year and officially connected to the grid, the national economy of Syria was like a chicken blood, and the record of fighting with otters in the last month was like a chicken's blood. You know, in the Middle East, where the economy has been sluggish, such an exhibition is absolutely a miracle. Although in the words of economists, because Syria was the first country to introduce controllable fusion nuclear power plants from the Republic, and the introduction of the world's most advanced gigawatt-class reactors, each power station has a reactor, which was built in 3 phases, at that time, the reactor power of controllable fusion nuclear power plants introduced by other countries was below the megawatts, for example, Jordan imported only 4 megawatts from France, Egypt imported only megawatts from the Republic, Turkey imported only megawatts from the United States, and Israel developed only Feiyue Siwa. The cost of electricity is the lowest among the countries of the Middle East, and it is attractive enough for international capital to attract a large number of investments, especially from the Republic, which has allowed its economy to soar. But no economist can deny that if it were not for the Syrian authorities' determination to carry out reforms, the introduction of many major policies, and the fundamental ensurance of the interests of international investment, the advantage in the cost of electricity would not have been enough to attract hundreds of billions of yuan of investment, and the capitalists of the republic would have no reason to abandon the domestic market and go to a country without any insurance to make money.
In fact, the changes in Syria are a microcosm of the situation in the East of the country. Round reading the most paid chapter, choose the tear book, throw the concave Peng complete
In the comments of the Western news media, Syria did not mention retaliation after the defeat, but buried its head in the economy, not because Syria did not want to retaliate, but because it had to be fully prepared for retaliation. Exactly, many Western news media believe. It is the influence of the republic that has made Syria a destabilizing factor in the Middle East. No doubt. This is a statement that has no basis and no justification. If there is a suspicion that the prosperity of a country will pose a threat to neighboring countries, the right of the people of that country to pursue happiness is denied. Then the "common progress of human civilization" advocated by Western countries is not only an empty talk, but also a lie to safeguard the interests of Western civilization.
In fact, "human civilization has made progress together." It is a lie.
If human civilization can progress together. There would be no boundaries between nations and nations. More importantly, the basic condition for the common progress of civilizations is the joint development of the economy, and the gap between the countries in the country and the countries in the development is eliminated. However, it is impossible for the countries that control most of the resources to progress together with the countries in the exhibition. Because the foundation of the country, or the prosperity of the country, is built on the foundation of the country in the exhibition.
In any case, the situation in the Middle East is not calm.
In this context, it is Iran that has attracted the most attention, because in June, shortly after the end of the Syrian-Israeli war, the Iranian authorities shouted the slogan of "reform".
In fact, Iran's reforms began in the end of the war.
At that time, Iran was in ruins, and all but barely self-sufficient in food supplies needed to be imported, because the refineries were badly damaged, and even the refined oil had to be imported. It can be said that 40,000 Iranians must rebuild their homes from the rubble. There is no doubt that international assistance will have to be relied upon if reconstruction is to be achieved. Because the United States is really at fault, the United States did not interfere when Iran was rebuilding. At that time, most countries, including all European countries, except the United States, provided assistance to Iran. Of course, the vast majority of countries only provide symbolic assistance, and even the United Kingdom, Spain and other countries only mean it for a moment.
It was the Republic and Oris that really helped Imin in his post-war reconstruction.
Although the republic and Russia have serious differences over the Iranian exhibition, after all, both countries want to use Iran to enter the Middle East. But on the most critical issue, Iran's domestic reforms, the two countries are on the same page. After all, whether it is the republic or Russia, they have been told by the Jianshu concave factory, and the reason for the salary is "and there are many lies"! The threat of extremist groups in Sichuan. If we can eliminate the punishment of the biggest backers of extremist organizations, we will fundamentally improve the security situation in the country. To this end, both the republic and Russia made it clear that Iran must carry out reforms.
Of course, when it comes to specific reform measures, there is a contradiction between the republic and Russia. The tear book bar dumps the concave coffee factory less, more chopping, more
Russia's idea is simple and straightforward: the Iranian authorities must start with political reform, correct political mistakes first, and then develop the economy. The idea of the republic, on the other hand, is to solve the problem of the survival of the Iranians first, and then consider political reform after the economic reform has achieved some success. Although both Russia and the republic are applying their own experience of reform to the outside world, because Russia was founded overnight, and completed political reform overnight, and only began economic reform after the country survived the pain of political reform, the republic followed a diametrically opposite path, first carrying out economic reform, and then carrying out political reform after the economic reform has reaped the fruits. But in essence, the two countries are not pursuing reform experiences. Rather, it is competing for Iranian interests. The reason is simple, if you follow the republic's plan, whoever wants to control Iran will have to invest more money. There is no doubt that Russia does not have enough capital to fight capital with the republic. It's going to be ugly to lose. For the sake of the national interest. Russia can only manage to create some trouble in Iran.
The problem is that no one can ignore the options of the Iranian authorities.
When the republic and Russia put forward proposals for reconstruction, the Iranian authorities saw through the intentions of the two pounds of "thug allies". The choice before the Iranian authorities is very tricky, and in fact political reform is necessary regardless of which side it resides, the difference is only between early and late reform. There is no doubt that it would have been better for the supreme spiritual leader who still held Iran at the time to ignore political reform, and if it had to be done, the sooner it was.
In this way, when the republic and Russia are at loggerheads, the Iranian authorities have already made their choice.
This is what became known later. In the 2-year to the milk-o years, Iran changed the root cause of the thug president and the oral government. Iran has adopted the republic's proposal for reconstruction, but its policy is in favor of Russia. That is, the Iranian authorities wanted to complete the post-war reconstruction with the help of the republic. and then using Russian influence to resist political reforms, and finally received both aid from the republic. Political reform was also avoided. There is no doubt that the Iranian authorities are looking at the problem too simply. Because it is the President of Iran, at least nominally, who is leading the reconstruction and reform work, the Iranian authorities have responded to the Republic by changing the soup rather than the medicine when the Republic is very unhappy. Obviously, coping is unlikely to last long. Entering the fourth year of the century, the patience of the Republic has finally run out. On the grounds that the Iranian authorities have not fulfilled their commitment to protect the interests of the Republic's businessmen in Iran, the Republic has not only terminated its gratuitous assistance to Iran, but also secretly restricted domestic businessmen from investing in Iran. It was the angry actions of the republic that led to the failure of the first reforms in Iran. Because this reform, which has lasted for many years, has been full of political struggles and struggles for the interests of major powers, the essence of its reform is not known to the outside world.
After 8 years, Iran has started reform again, and it is not so complicated to ask Moqi.
Although in the eyes of most people, including most of the Western media, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, who is only 60 years old, was elected in June of the year of injury. In addition to carrying on his father's legacy, the son of former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, who pioneered the idea of reform in Iran, proposed reform mainly because of external pressure to revitalize Iran through reform. The purpose is not wrong, but the main reason for the reform is not an external threat, but Iran's internal contradictions.
In a sense, the post-war reconstruction after the war in Iran is essentially a redistribution of social wealth.
In order to consolidate power, Iran's supreme spiritual leader must attach great importance to the interests of the military. That is, to benefit those soldiers who have made great contributions to the war. As a result, during the post-war reconstruction, dozens of large families emerged in Iran that had started their lives by rewarding them with military merit. Taking advantage of the privileges of the supreme spiritual leader's wealth and influence in the military, in a short period of time, these large families controlled Iran's economic lifeline and became true rentiers. In the words of a Swedish diplomat who lived in Iran all his life and did not leave until Yo Nian retired, Iran's problems after the Iran war were the problems of the big family. According to reports from a number of Western news outlets. In cooperation with Russia to establish the International Energy Organization, Iran's fierce family has reaped trillions of dollars, and the money obtained through the export of resources should have fallen into the pockets of the Iranian people and flowed into the Iranian domestic market, promoting economic circulation and economic development.
The mother is undoubtedly in this round of wealth reshuffle. The Iranian people were not stunned to benefit much. Round reading the most chopped chapters, choose the tear book, throw the concave Peng complete
It can be said that Iran's ability to maintain stability in the years after the end of the war without serious social unrest has a lot to do with the outcome of the war. The problem is that even the best doping has a time to work, and it cannot remain effective forever, and the national pride brought about by the victory over the United States cannot forever make the people forget the pain of real life.
In fact, by the time of the Syrian-Israeli war, Iran's domestic contradictions had been very sudden.
Ahmadinejad, who shouted for reform during the election campaign, was able to win the votes of Chen Chen and was elected president of Iran by an absolute majority, which is in conflict with Iran's domestic affairs. It can be said that the Iranian authorities changed their minds before the Syripo prison and adjusted their basic national policy and actively reconciled with the republic, which is also directly related to Iran's domestic contradictions. No matter how stupid Iran's Supreme Spiritual Leader is, he should know that it is not Russia, but the republic, that can help Iran solve its domestic economic problems.
There is no doubt that anyone in power can see Iran's problems.
It is precisely in this way that the United States could not sit still when the republic took advantage of the Syrian-Israeli conflict to return to Iran and drive Russia out of Iran step by step.
During his years in power, the most important thing he did was to plot Iran.
The US president, who had been fighting with Wang Yuanqing for several years until Wang Yuanqing left the Yuan Mansion of the Republic, had to find ways to deal with Wang Yuanqing's aftermath arrangements very well knew very well that it was not the United States that benefited from the Syrian-Israeli war, but the Republic, and that with the Republic taking control of Syria, if the Republic was allowed to control Iran again, even if the United States and the European Union supported Israel, they would not necessarily be able to stop the Republic from dominating the Middle East. More importantly, whenever the situation is clear, the Israeli authorities will make a choice between going left and right. At that time, what will be left for the United States will definitely be a piece of chicken feathers.
Brancono is not stupid, he knew he had been fooled when the Syrian authorities promised to negotiate with Israel. The tear book bar is less than the concave factory, Xia is chopped, and Xia is more
To put it bluntly, Syria's loss of the war was arranged by the republic. On the surface, the United States has won a big victory, but in fact, the United States has lost the hearts and minds of the people. To be precise, when the United States helps Israel win, all Middle Eastern countries that have begun to think independently will put a question mark on the future, that is, whether the United States will bring benefits from hegemony alone, and whether it is necessary to bring in another level of power.
There is no doubt that most countries will choose the latter.
In fact, even if it is not in the Middle East, for any small country, if it wants to make its own interests bigger. It is necessary to make full use of the struggle between the major powers.
Syria's loss of the war is tantamount to opening the door for the republic to enter the Middle East. Round reading the most chopped chapters, choose the tear book, throw the concave Peng complete
There is no doubt that the first position that the republic wants to take is Iran. Take control of Iran first. Not only can Iran be used as a springboard to other countries, but it can also warm up by dealing with Russia. It is even possible to use Iran as a "model" to sell the ideology and values of the republic to other Middle Eastern countries.
The United States has no choice but to let the Republic fall in the way and turn Iran into a negative teaching material.
To put it bluntly, it is to make Iran's reforms fail, and to turn Iran into a fragmented, turbulent and unstable country.
The problem is that the United States does not have many options at its disposal.
To put it appropriately, just as it is impossible for the Republic to engage in subversive activities in the United Kingdom, it is unlikely that the United States will engage in subversive activities in Iran, and can only change Iran by side-knocking. Of course. It's not a simple side hit, it's a fatal blow. Therefore, before launching the operation. The United States must find Iran's dead end.
This time, Blandino did not make a mistake and found the lifeblood of Iran: the national question.
The last thing Jiang brandino did before leaving the White House was to legislate the actions to be taken against Iran. The solution is simple: in the name of "human rights", get Congress to pass a foreign-related bill aimed at protecting the right of minorities persecuted by the government to exist. According to the provisions of the Act, as long as there is evidence that the government of a country is persecuting minorities within its borders, the President of the United States can take various measures to protect the persecuted minorities, such as sheltering refugees, providing funds, helping to train people, exchanging intelligence, and even directly sending troops.
With this bill, Republican President Landes, who came to power at the beginning of the year, has no worries.
While it is unlikely that Landers will take Branbeno's legacy seriously and send tens of thousands of American GIs to protect minorities in Iran, as the bill provides, Landes can take action to solve the problem with so-called "flexibility."
Not to mention, after Landers moved into the White House, in the first administrative documents he signed, there were many issues related to the survival of the Kurds in Iran, as well as human rights issues, one of which was to instruct the four to find out the living conditions of the Kurds in Iran as soon as possible.
There is no doubt that the fact that the United States is playing the Kurdish card at this time shows that the American authorities have no other way.
You know, the Kurdish problem in Iran is also the Kurdish problem in Iraq. It is the issue of the Kurds in Turkey. Even if the United States does not take Turkey as a knife, it will lead to a sharp decline in US-Turkish relations. What's more. The United States must deal with both Iran and Iraq. thus complicating the problem.
In fact, it was Turkey, not Iran, that reacted first.
The White House spokesman said that the United States is highly concerned about the living conditions of the Kurds, and the Turkish president made it clear that the Kurdish issue is the internal affair of the country where he is located, and the United States should not interfere in the internal affairs of other countries. Turkey will not exchange views with any other country on relevant issues, let alone look at the faces of other countries.
In this way, a pound. A simple problem becomes very complex.
In Li Cunxun's words, complicating simple issues has always been the most prominent patience of the Republican president of the United States.