As soon as the drums of the "trade war" were sounded, the smoke of gunpowder in the Gulf region was rising

As early as the 20th, Pan Yunsheng issued a "red alert": The US military has completed its assembly and operational deployment, and war may break out at any time.

On the 26th, at 11:30 Beijing time, Pan Yunsheng hurriedly left the headquarters of the Military Intelligence Agency.

Fifteen minutes ago, an optical phasing reconnaissance satellite skimmed over the Gulf region and took hundreds of photographs. Intelligence analysts from the Military Intelligence Agency processed the photographs as quickly as possible, and more than 20 of them were of value, which were immediately sent to the director.

After getting the photo, Pan Yunsheng called Peng Maobang first, and then rushed to the head of state.

"The situation is clear, the war will break out in four hours."

Zhao Rundong wore reading glasses and read the satellite reconnaissance photos sent by Pan Yunsheng very carefully and carefully.

Seeing that Zhao Rundong was not in a hurry, Pan Yunsheng took a few puffs of cigarette and calmed down.

Not long after, Peng Maobang rushed over.

"Xiao Pan, is the war going to start?" As ever, Pymaubong is still an acute son.

"So to speak. The fuse has been lit. ”

"Old Peng. Look at the photos. Zhao Rundong handed the photo to Peng Maobang. Take off your glasses. "Little Pan. Tell us about the situation. ”

"The photo is the first time that it was taken from the sky over the bay during the day today by a ground-based optical reconnaissance satellite. The 1704261183 of the lot was taken northwest of the U.S. Marine Corps Base in Basra. I saw that Peng Maobang flipped through the photo. Pan Yunsheng continued. "The image is clear. A U.S. military convoy heading to the port was attacked. The casualties were very heavy. The numbered 1704261184 photograph is a partial enlarged view. It was possible to see the bodies of several armed men who attacked the US military convoy. Although no relevant information has been received for the time being. But for sure. The U.S. military will declare the attack convoy to be the 'Islamic Jihadis Liberation Group'. The group is secretly supported by Iranian Shiite militants. Has been active in the southern part of Iraq. The political goal is to overthrow the government of Iraq, which is supported by the United States. Establishment of a new regime in Shia-controlled territory. Since Japeel announced the withdrawal of troops from Iraq. The group has been attacking U.S. forces in Iraq and the Iraqi Defense Forces. these years. The group also annexed several smaller Shiite militants. The 'Shia United Revolutionary Front' was formed. ”

That is to say. The United States wants to put on Iran's head? "Take advantage of Pan Yunsheng's pause. Peng Maobang hurriedly asked.

Pan Yunsheng was stunned for a moment. Then he said, "That's pretty much what it means." ”

"To be able to prove that this has something to do with that...... What Liberator organization has nothing to do with it? ”

Pan Yunsheng shook his head and said: "Whether it was secretly planned by the CIA or not, it is difficult to prove that the attack on the US military convoy was not the 'Islamic Jihadisen Liberation Organization'." It is likely that the attackers killed by the U.S. military were members of the group, but the location of the killings may not have been at the scene of the attack. Even if we could, what good would it be? ”

Zhao Rundong picked up the cigarette and sighed secretly.

"Will the United States declare war first, or will it go to war without declaring it?" Peng asked a key question.

"A few more photos tell the story." Pan Yunsheng glanced at the photo in Peng Maobang's hand, "After the attack, the US military in the Gulf region immediately entered a state of combat readiness, the US fighter jets deployed at the nearby air base are preparing for lift-off, and the ground troops deployed in Iraq are leaving the camp. Although the US aircraft carrier battle group was not photographed, it is certain that the US fleet has also entered a state of combat readiness. Within two hours, the U.S. military was able to launch an air strike. The question now is whether Frederick will choose to go undeclared. ”

"Maybe after the first round of air strikes, Frederick will make an announcement."

Hearing Zhao Rundong's words, Peng Maobang couldn't help but nodded.

"This is exactly what our analysis is, the U.S. military will launch an air strike against Iran within four hours, and strive to dismantle Iran's territorial air defense within 24 hours. If all goes well, the bombing will last from a week to half a month, after which US ground forces will move into Khuzestan province and occupy the richest areas of Iran. ”

Peng Maobang frowned slightly and looked at Pan Yunsheng.

Pan Yunsheng knew very well what the chief of the general staff meant, but he had no right to make decisions.

"Contact Iranian intelligence immediately." Zhao Rundong let out a sigh, "Issuing the highest level of war alarm, whether it can withstand the bombing of the US military depends on Iran's performance." ”

Pan Yunsheng didn't say much, and immediately walked to the desk and picked up the phone microphone.

"Lao Peng, have our local personnel withdrawn?"

"The first batch of military instructors was withdrawn a few days ago." Peng Maobang lit another cigarette, "After the war breaks out, we must withdraw other military personnel as soon as possible." ”

"Let the 'medium and heavy company' arrange it, and we don't interfere directly."

Peng Maobang nodded and took a few puffs of his cigarette.

"Got in touch." Pan Yunsheng walked over, "I arranged for the intelligence counselor of the embassy in Tehran to contact the Iranian intelligence department directly, and the news can be sent within half an hour." ”

Zhao Rundong nodded. "In that case, we'll just have to wait for the results."

Pan Yun was dark

Momentarily.

This is Zhao Rundong's problem, he does not "take the initiative" in doing things. If it was Ji Youguo, he would directly say "what should we do".

"What should we do if Iran can't withstand the indiscriminate bombardment of the U.S. military?" Peng Maobang is much more proactive.

Zhao Rundong hesitated for a moment and looked at Pan Yunsheng.

"There aren't many options." Pan Yunsheng picked up the cigarette and didn't rush to light it, "Now it seems that sending troops to the war will definitely not work." In addition to continuing to provide Iran with weapons and equipment, what we can do is provide intelligence assistance to Iran. ”

"Intelligence aid doesn't play a big role." Peng Maobang sighed and said, "During the Fourth Indo-Pakistani War, the United States provided intelligence assistance to India. During the East China Sea War, the United States also provided intelligence assistance to Japan. As a result, we all know that the role of intelligence aid is quite limited in the face of a huge difference in strength. Even if we tell Iran all about the deployment of US ground forces, the accuracy of US military bases, and the activities of the US fleet, Iran can only defend passively and cannot pose a threat to US troops. ”

"In addition to this, we also have to consider the issue of importing weapons and equipment into Iran."

Pan Yunsheng nodded and said: "Lao Zhao is right, after the war starts, the United States will definitely blockade Iran, and we will not be able to provide weapons and equipment to Iran by sea." Combat planes are good to say, as long as Pakistan turns a blind eye, it can fly to Iran through the channel. If other weapons and equipment were to be transported by air, the cost would be very high, and many heavy weapons could not be transported by air. The ground transport corridor must be negotiated with Pakistan. ”

"Pakistan is not necessarily going to allow weapons and equipment destined for Iran to cross the border." Zhao Rundong said the next sentence.

Peng Maobang frowned slightly and said, "Weapons and equipment can be shipped into Pakistan in our name and then transferred to Iran." ”

"It's not that simple." Zhao Rundong shook his head, "The United States will definitely put pressure on Pakistan, and even threaten Pakistan." If Pakistan does not relent, we will have to consider other options. ”

"With the exception of Pakistan, the only way to do this is to take the Caspian Lake shipping route. It's just that the countries bordering the Caspian Sea, including Russia, are not necessarily going to let our weapons and equipment transit. ”

"It depends on whether Russia is secretly supporting Iran."

Zhao Rundong glanced at the two and said: "Russia has always opposed the United States to wage war against Iran, and before that, it had been selling arms to Iran. If Russia can gain a little benefit, it may be possible to transport weapons and equipment from Russia to Iran through the Caspian Sea route. ”

Pan Yunsheng and Peng Maobang both nodded and looked at Zhao Rundong.

"I'll get on the phone with Ned Maeff as soon as possible."

"It's better to let Huang Guowei meet with the Russian ambassador first, disclose what we have learned to Russia, and find out Russia's attitude, and then call Nedmev's hotline."

Hearing Pan Yunsheng say this, Zhao Rundong immediately nodded. "You quickly send someone to tell Huang Guowei the news, and ask him to summon the Russian ambassador immediately."

Half an hour later, the Russian ambassador went to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the State Department.

Almost at the same time, the Russian Foreign Minister also summoned the ambassador of the republic to Russia to inform about the latest developments found by Russian reconnaissance satellites through diplomatic channels.

The intentions of both sides are clear: to secretly support Iran.

At noon on the same day, Zhao Rundong had a hotline call with Russian President Nedmev.

Although the two had only been talking on the phone for less than a minute, the two heads of state reached the most important agreement.

The Republic will transport weapons and equipment sold by the Republic into Iran by means of an "special toll" through the Inland Lake Shipping Channel from the Russian Inner Lake port of Astrakhan, located north of the Caspian Sea, to the Iranian Inner Lake Port of Anzali, located in the southern Caspian Sea.

Because it was a covert operation, the two sides did not sign any paper agreement.

According to the verbal agreement reached by the leaders of the two sides, the "special toll" will be paid "on time", that is, after the weapons and equipment arrive in Astrakhan and are loaded onto the freighter, the "Zhongzhong Company" will have to pay the relevant money to Russia, and then Russia will release the freighter.

At 1 p.m. of the same day, the container ship "Zhongsheng", which was originally planned to go to Iran, sailed from Guangzhou to Dalian. The weapons and equipment on board the freighter will be disembarked in Dalian, transported by rail to the Sino-Russian border crossing, and then transported to Astrakhan via the trans-Siberian railway line.

By this time, the US-Iraq war had already broken out.

At 130 Tehran time on the 26th (equivalent to 130 Beijing time), 12B-2 and 20 F-22s took off from Diego Garcia Air Force Base in the central Indian Ocean. 3 hours later, nearly 200 combat aircraft of the US Air Force took off one after another from 5 large air bases in the Gulf region, and more than 1 combat aircraft of the US Navy from 6 aircraft carriers that arrived in the theater of operations.

112, a heavy ground-penetrating bomb dropped from a B-2 hit the Iranian Air Force Territorial Air Defense Command in the mountains south of Tehran.

The war between the United States and Iraq has begun! (To be continued)

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