Volume 8 A Hundred Years of Grudges Chapter 136 Long-term Planning

The Japanese are Du Qiwei, who never participates in political discourse after talking about military issues. Shan Zhen Gangwood did not keep him.

Knowing the situation, Westwood and Brooklyn are at odds.

The wars in Iraq and Afghanistan dragged down the United States, will the Japanese war drag China down?

If the war lasts for several years, no one can say for sure.

The key issue is that there is an essential difference between the Japanese war and the Iraq war and the Afghanistan war.

First of all, China has long been prepared for a long-term war with Japan. In accordance with the information provided by IV. In the year of the bumper, after Japan's secret development of nuclear weapons was exposed, China was preparing for war. In addition to the inevitable war on the Peninsula, China has been accumulating war funds for several years. Not to mention anything else, after the Year of the Tooth, the degree of procurement of new weapons and equipment by the Chinese and Danish armies has been reduced by two-thirds, and the blind 4 expansion of the army has not been carried out, but through the enhancement of joint combat capabilities. The modernization and improvement of the original weapons and equipment has enabled the military and half of its strength to reach a new height. In order to save money, Wang Yuanqing even persuaded Zhao Rundong before Shiren to temporarily stop the construction of the new aircraft carrier! According to the most conservative estimate, China has prepared nearly one yuan of war funds for its own war, which is enough to ensure large-scale combat operations for half a year. The most optimistic estimate is that China will prepare more than 100 million yuan for the war. Enough to sustain low-intensity combat operations for 2 years.

The second is that China has no intention of capturing the Japanese mainland. Compared with high-intensity bombing, large-scale ground warfare is the real "gold-swallowing beast" China has already completed the reform of the professionalization of the army, and the more casualties, the greater the cost of the war. If China sends troops to the Japanese mainland, even if the combat effectiveness of the Japanese army is not considered, the casualties will be too high. Disability allowances and death benefits that must be paid alone amount to hundreds of billions of yuan. If you put in o million ground forces, a large-scale ground war lasts for half a year. The war allowance for servicemen alone is close to a trillion yuan for thugs. Counting the loss of equipment, materials, ammunition, etc., the expenditure of a large-scale ground war that lasts for half a year will not be less than the old trillion yuan. China did not send troops to the Japanese mainland, so the money was directed. After gaining absolute air supremacy, the losses of the squadron and equipment were almost negligible; The number of pilots participating in the war is very limited, and the cost of war allowance will not be much; The main thing is the consumption of ammunition and supplies. Even if the large-scale strategic bombing lasts for half a year. China's real dispute spending will not exceed one trillion yuan.

Finally, China is less concerned about Japan's post-war situation. There are no worries, China does not have to carry the heavy burden of post-war reconstruction, and does not even have to care about the losses caused by the war. No matter what the situation is, it is Japan, not China, that bears the losses. For China, all that needs to be done is to ensure adequate supplies to keep the war going. As long as the purpose of the war is achieved. China can pull out at any time and leave the mess to Japan to guide the Western world.

In addition to the above three points, there are many other benefits. For example, the international situation in Japan during the war was very different from the inter-county situation in Iraq, and China's economic capacity at this time was far greater than that of the United States during the Iraq war.

The wars in Iraq and Afghanistan have brought down the United States, and the war against Japan will not necessarily drag over China.

Seeing this, Westwood and Brooklyn are even more contradictory.

The harder the war is fought, the greater the losses of the United States!

Even if the final outcome is favorable to the United States, that is, the Japanese regime is not overthrown and Japan is thrown into the arms of the United States after the war, the United States is unlikely to gain much from the war. If the United States intends to contain China on its own, it will have to spend a huge amount of money to help Japan recover. No matter how costly strategic bombing is, it cannot compare with the cost of post-war construction. According to the experience of previous wars. Every time a fighter spent a lot of money during the war, the post-war reconstruction had to be rebuilt to the old one. What's worse is that the post-war reconstruction has the greatest demand for basic materials such as cement, food, and energy, while the demand for high-end industrial products is not large; The United States is a veritable "high-end industrial country", its domestic basic industry is not reached, and even needs to be purchased from other countries, such as two-thirds of the ordinary steel required by the United States needs to be imported, and cement needs to be imported; If Mi Prefecture helps Japan rebuild after the war, it will have to use money to purchase raw materials for lice. At least vouch for Japan; In this way, no matter how much you invest, you can only help other countries, and it will not help the US economy much.

Of course, the United States is not without opportunities to make money, but it is impossible to return to its capital immediately after the war, and it requires a huge amount of investment.

Does the United States have this economic power?

After being overtaken by China, the share of the U.S. economy in the total world economy has fallen to less. After Westwood took office, the first thing he did was to "pay off" the huge debts of the Great Depression, and major American companies and conglomerates are also trying to make up for the losses of the Great Depression. According to the most optimistic estimates, it will be the year of the blade at the earliest. The U.S. economy can return to the level before the Great Depression; It is not until the year of Shu that the US economy can embark on the track of normal development.

In other words, even if Westwood wanted to help Japan, he didn't have the strength.

Neither Yan Ran Westwood nor Brudrin denied that the longer the war dragged on, the more China would lose, but vice versa, the longer the war dragged on, the less likely the United States would benefit from it.

Before that, Westwood and Brooklyn were counting on the Chinese to invade Japan.

According to their speculation, after Japan's wartime caretaker cabinet tore up the armistice agreement, China is likely to be angry and gather troops to occupy Japan, knowing that it is not feasible. The two seriously underestimated Wang Yuanqing, or misunderstood Wang Yuanqing. Knowing that he couldn't do anything, Wang Yuanqing made the wisest choice.

After the death of the Japanese emperor, China will definitely not send troops to the local area. Not to mention the radioactive fallout raging everywhere, even in the face of tens of millions of angry Japanese people, the squadron will suffer unbearable heavy casualties.

As long as China does not send troops to the Japanese mainland, the wishful thinking of the United States will be in vain.

After being silent for a while, Newsterwood let out a long sigh and said, "I have to admit that Yu Yuanqing is a very calm leader. Blowing up the Japanese emperor can not only force the wartime caretaker government of Japan to make the stupidest decision, but also silence the mouths of the Chinese ** people and dispel the idea of sending troops to the Japanese mainland. According to Dugway, within three months, China could completely destroy Japan without using nuclear weapons, returning Japan to the Stone Age. The war went on. Not only is it not good for Japan, but it is not good for us. ”

"The problem is that Japan has already put its word to death, and the possibility of resuming armistice talks is almost zero." Brooklyn shook his head with a wry smile and said, "We can't understand the thoughts of the Japanese soldiers at all, if we push too quickly, we can only make the Japanese dog jump off the wall in a hurry, and no one can get off the stage." Of course, the rings could abandon Japan after the war. But after abandoning Japan, we have to meet China's challenge directly. ”

"You have to be prepared for both." Westwood picked up another cigar. Smoking two cigars in a row shows that the president is irritable. "On the Japanese side, we need to exert appropriate pressure to make Japan understand that if the war continues, the result will be an increase; At the same time, we also have to negotiate an armistice between China and Japan from other aspects, and it is better to work with the EU to put pressure on China to force China to have reservations in military action. I don't think the EU will reject our proposal, after all, the war will go on. Tens of millions of Japanese have suffered. Out of humanitarian considerations, the government of the Congmeng League must also give an account to the people at home and will not sit idly by. It will not secretly support China

Brooklyn nodded and said, "Strengthen public opinion propaganda and let more people know the truth about the war." ”

Westwood nodded in agreement. The Secretary of State's suggestion is not difficult to understand, as long as the propaganda spreads, the Europeans who have been following the war in Japan will take action and put pressure on the government.

"What is the second preparation?" Brooklyn asked.

"Nakayama's attitude is very clear, not to defeat Japan. Don't give up. Even if we put pressure on China, even if we fully support Gomoto's reconstruction after the war, Japan will not be able to pose a threat to China for at least the next 30 years, that is, within one or two generations. What China needs is 30 years, and maybe it will only take 20 years for China to become the world hegemon. Doustwood paused for a moment and said, "The mother has fallen, and we must support another country to contain China." There is no doubt that we cannot confront China head-on, at least not in any situation before we have a foundation. Apart from Japan, the ideal country is India. The impact of this war on India must be very strong, and even if India holds the McMahon Line for the time being, it cannot hold it for a long time. Who knows, when China recovers, India will suffer next. In any case, India cannot be allowed to be like Japan. Lose it all. We must improve relations with India and even help the Lower Faithful Army. Even if India is unlikely to defeat China, we must let India play its due role and let China spend more time and national strength to solve peripheral problems. ”

Brooklyn nodded and said, "That's true, India must be armed as soon as possible." ”

"This matter must be done quickly, and you are responsible for contacting India and first getting India to join the negotiations on the complete destruction of nuclear weapons." Westwood thought for a while and said, "I will communicate with the main members of Congress on both sides as soon as possible, first get through Congress, introduce relevant laws, and pave the way for us to export cutting-edge military technology to India." ”

"There are also economic issues that must wean India off its dependence on China."

Westwood nodded and said, "These problems need to be solved, and we still have a lot of things to do." When I'm ready, I'll call the Prime Minister of India. I believe. As long as India still has the ambition to dominate the Indian Ocean, it will cooperate with us to encircle and suppress China. ”

Brooklyn didn't say anything more.

Even if the president doesn't raise the issue of India himself, he makes recommendations.

After Japan's end, India became an option!