Volume 9 Undercurrents Chapter 17 Different Paths to the Same End
Let Nevide close the door. Westwood went over to Tangshan, who had never spoken.
"Dudgway is shrewd and has a very accurate grasp of the situation."
Westwood smiled, ignoring Tom's words. The reason for not allowing Dudgway to participate in covert operations is not that Westwood does not trust Dudgway, but that Dudgway is an upright soldier who is too upright to necessarily support the secret strategy formulated by the president, and therefore will not play an active role in decision-making.
"As with Dugway's analysis, we have enough intelligence to prove that China has no intention of using force." Tom did not delay the president's precious time, saying, "The domestic situation in China is more worthy of attention than the tensions in South Asia." Just today, two high-level meetings were held in Beijing, and almost all the important leaders of the country and the main leaders of most regions went to Beijing. Combined with "Huaxia. The fact that the aircraft carrier turned halfway to the Indian Ocean gives us enough reason to believe that Wang Yuanqing has already noticed something. β
"You mean, Four's actions were revealed?"
Tom Machi hesitated for a moment, nodded, and said, "It's not completely exposed, but the news must have leaked." The previous analysis is just my guess and has not been confirmed.
"Since it has not been confirmed,"
Nevide stopped in the middle of his sentence, as Westwood clearly didn't want anyone to interrupt Toma's head.
"In the past few days, I have been analyzing the information I have obtained before, especially Wang Yuanqing's personal information." Tang Machi took out a cigarette, glanced at the president, lit a cigarette, and said, "I have to admit that Wang Yuanqing is a powerful character." Whether externally or internally, Wang Yuanqing has been very tough. In the absence of sufficient information, we can only make inferences based on the actual situation. With Wang Yuanqing's character, if he knew that someone was plotting a coup d'Γ©tat. He will definitely take the initiative and kill all the dissidents who try to deal with him without hesitation. With China's national conditions, as long as Wang Yuanqing wants to do it, no force can stop him. β
"You mean," Brooklyn frowned.
"Perhaps, our worries are completely unnecessary." Tom Ma Brain smiled bitterly and said. Wang Yuanqing didn't take any action, maybe he didn't know at all, maybe he had some concerns, maybe it was for other purposes. We have reason to believe. It is very likely that Wang Yuanqing did not know, or did not grasp the whole situation. If this is the case, the turmoil in South Asia has nothing to do with China's domestic situation at all, but is just a coincidence. β
"Coincidence?" Westwood looked even more suspicious.
"It's really a coincidence in a sense." Tom Machi took two puffs of his cigarette and said. "To put it another way, if Wang Yuanqing knew about the secret operation we were planning, would he have created a crisis in South Asia at this time? Du Qiwei made a good point in saying that Wang Yuanqing's main purpose was to ensure the smooth progress of political reform, not to make contributions to foreign expansion. If Wang Yuanqing takes the initiative to create a crisis in South Asia, won't he just fall into our hands? Wang Yuanqing is so shrewd, it is impossible not to recognize this problem, and it is unlikely that he will make such a wrong decision. Therefore, we have reason to believe that Wang Yuanqing did not know. β
"In that case, why did Wang Yuanqing create a conflict in South Asia?"
"Quite simply, Wang Yuanqing wants to push for political reform through a war."
Brooklyn's brow jumped a few times as he looked toward the president.
Westwood pondered for a moment and said, "Can you be more explicit?" β
"Anyone who has seen Wang Yuanqing's profile should know that compared with his predecessor, Wang Yuanqing's foundation is not solid." As an "expert on China", Tom Brain knows more about China than others. "Those who know Chinese history should also know that Chinese politicians need the support of the military, no matter what the period. Wang Yuanqing initiated political reforms in the later stages of the Japanese War. It is not that Wang Yuanqing only thought of political reform at this time, but that he had the foundation for political reform at this time. Judging from the exhibitions over the past few years, the absolute support of the armed forces is the key factor in the smooth progress of political reform. In order to deepen political reform, Wang Yuanqing not only needs the full support of the armed forces, but also tries by all means to get rid of dissidents in the armed forces and eliminate the greatest resistance and the greatest potential danger. There is only one way to achieve this goal, and that is a war. The Japanese war made Wang Yuanqing's military prestige surpass Zhao Rundong's and become the "spiritual leader" of the Chinese people, as long as India is defeated again, Wang Yuanqing's prestige in the army will reach the point where the sky is in full swing, and it is even possible to surpass Ji Youguo back then. More importantly, to adjust the results of the army through war, especially personnel arrangements. Able to get rid of dissidents in the army without having too serious an impact. β
Westwood and Brooklyn nodded, agreeing with Thomp's analysis.
"But," said Nevid, after a moment's hesitation, "isn't that the exact opposite of Minister Duchway's analysis?" β
"General Dudgway is a small truth. Naturally, it is impossible to make an accurate judgment Tom Ma Chi is slightly diagnomous, and he takes Nevide's words seriously. "If China goes to war, it will definitely pay a great price. At least on military matters, General Dudgway's analysis makes perfect sense. It is impossible for China to deal with India in the same way that it has dealt with Japan, let alone to joke about the life and death of the 1.7 billion Indians. The question is. Wang Yuanqing does not necessarily want to completely defeat India. The purpose of the war year was to promote reform, so there was no need to expand the scale of the war, and it was completely possible to target southern Tibet. With India's military strength, China has absolute certainty of recovering southern Tibet and even helping Pakistan capture southern Kashmir. After achieving his goal, Wang Yuanqing will definitely stop immediately, or use international public opinion to force India to negotiate an armistice with China. As long as the scale of the war is limited, the scale of China's military mobilization is very limited, and there is no need to make too many preparations
"So, war will break out soon?"
"It's entirely possible, maybe the Chinese General Staff is working out a war plan."
Half Sterwood thought about it for a moment and looked over to Brooklyn.
"If that's the case, we have only two options: one is to take a stand and fully support India; The second is to reconcile with the middle and resolve the South Asian crisis, Brooklyn sighed and said, "If we choose the former, it is very likely that we will not intervene in the matter, not only will not make China feel more secure, but will make Wang Yuanqing determined to defeat India before we provide comprehensive military assistance to India." By choosing the latter, we will be in an even more difficult position, and we will not only suffer from Japan's reconstruction, but also lose more allies. β
Westwood smiled and shook his head, another implication of Brooklyn's words was that the United States had no choice.
"For us, there was only one choice." Toma glanced at the president and said, "I support General Duchway's suggestion to immediately increase military assistance to India and help India build a strong military force." β
Westwood frowned and motioned for Tom to continue.
"The secretary of state's analysis is very reasonable, and the provision of military assistance is likely to exacerbate the Sino-Indian conflict. Let Wang Yuanqing make a decision immediately, but the problem should start from two catties. Aspects. "If China does not take-for-tat measures, that is, after we have provided comprehensive military assistance to India, we can take the opportunity to win over India, so that more countries will recognize our influence and thus attract more allies." If China goes to war immediately, we can use this opportunity to promote subversive activities.
Even if the planned operation fails, it can plunge China into the quagmire of war and serve the purpose of containing China. Whether it is to help Japan rebuild after the war or to help India build high-end industries, our ultimate goal is to contain China. β
"If India is defeated, we"
"India will definitely lose, it's just a matter of time." Tom Ma said it categorically, as if he was completely sure. "The key is not whether India will be defeated, but whether we can use the war. Of course, India's defeat will have negative consequences for us, such as convincing more countries that China's weapons and equipment are more advanced, which will affect our arms exports. Another example is to allow China to successfully dominate Asia, so that we will lose our last foothold. But no matter what. China has been much more affected than we are. If nothing else, as long as the war drags on for a few months, China's economic exhibition will be affected, and the political reforms that Wang Yuanqing is fully committed to will also be affected. Unlike us and other Western countries, China is a very special country, and the greater the external threat, the more united China is, the more it can exert its amazing strength. Historically, China has rarely been defeated by outside forces, and almost every dynasty has collapsed due to its own problems. If we want to fundamentally defeat China, we can only start from within China and let China be defeated by internal contradictions! β
I have to admit that Tom's analysis is very accurate and to the point.
Westwood pondered for a moment and said, "Either way, we have only one choice. Since China wants to provoke a war at this time, we have to act. Secretary of State, prepare as soon as possible and bring your gifts to New Delhi. Let Rurajapani hold his feet and not back down easily. β
"I'll go to New Delhi as soon as possible, just the Congressional side"
"I'll figure it out." Westwood pressed his hand and said, "It's New Delhi." In addition to letting Rurajapani know our attitude, try to convince Rurajapani. China will not go to war at this time, but it will do so in the near future, and India will have to prepare with all its might if it wants to survive. β
Brooklyn nodded, indicating that he understood what the president meant.
"Director Toma, the action of the four must also be grasped
"No problem, I'm in charge myself."
"Let's talk about it today, there's new news. Let's talk about it. β