Volume 8 A Hundred Years of Grudges Chapter 121 Seeing the Wind Makes the Rudder
Sturwood, Brooklyn, Dudgway and others tuned in to the press conference at the White House~. 【】
Prior to this, the CIA had issued an "alarm" that China's "abnormal" performance when it was attacked by Western public opinion was extraordinary, and the situation was very likely to be "reversed". Watwood felt the same way, and called Brooklyn and Dudgway in the middle of the night.
Turning off the TV, Watwood lit his cigar and left Rudlin to speak first.
"It is clear that China does not intend to make any concessions." Brooklyn understood the president's meaning, so he did not waste precious time, "The meaning of Ye Zhisheng's last words has been very clear, China is very dissatisfied with our behavior, and it may even completely break the armistice negotiations because of this." ”
"The key is, is it possible for China to attack the Japanese mainland!" Watwood threw the question to Duchway.
Du Qiwei took the cigarette handed by Brooklyn and lit it before saying, "Although there is not enough evidence, I am sure enough that China will not attack the Japanese mainland." ”
Watwood frowned, dissatisfied with Dudgway's answer. (〕
"I've seen the most important report of the national defense, and the situation in Japan is very bad."
Brooklyn's brow jumped a few times as he looked toward the president.
By "the most report", Du Qiwei refers to the report on Japan's domestic situation. According to the President's wishes, the Ministry of Defense only sent the report to Duchway for his attention, but did not tell Duchway the origin of the report. Brooklyn was well aware that because the report was so detailed, much of it that it was beyond the ability of intelligence agencies such as the C.I.A. to gather, Dudgway must have doubted the origin of the report.
Watwood didn't say anything, motioning for Dudgway to continue.
"The severity of the radioactive contamination exceeded our expectations, as evidenced by the information provided by the radiation detection satellites." Du Qiwei took a puff of his cigarette and said, "To determine whether China will attack the Japanese mainland, we only need to find out whether China is ready to enter the radioactive contaminated area, that is, whether it has mobilized the three defense forces on a large scale to provide the necessary protective equipment for the front-line combat troops." At present, China is seriously short of relevant materials and equipment, and its reserves of three-defense equipment can only arm one army or three marine brigades at most.
According to our predictions, if China intends to send troops to attack the Japanese mainland, it will first have to invest three to five armies, and then five to seven armies before it can occupy Kyushu or Shikoku. Although it is very likely that China is stepping up production, the production of three-defense equipment is not easy, and even if all relevant Chinese enterprises produce at full speed, it will take at least a year to provide sufficient protective equipment for the troops. Will China drag on the war for another year? ”
"Q: Yes, China has been sending additional ground teams to Yakushima and Tanegashima."
"It's just an illusion." To Brooklyn's question, Dudgway answered in the affirmative. "Although I don't know the details of the armistice negotiations, judging from China's action, I have long expected that we will do it, and we have long been prepared for it. In order to increase the bargaining chips and force Japan to make the maximum concessions through negotiations, China will definitely assume the posture of attacking the Japanese mainland. (〕”
Brooklyn nodded, not refuting Dudgway's point.
"If China does not attack the Japanese mainland, how long will Japan be able to hold out?"
Dudgway frowned slightly, and did not rush to answer the president's question, because the president did not say all the "necessary" conditions for this question.
Brooklyn glanced at the president and added, "If we provide support to Japan, how long can Japan hold out?" ”
"It depends on how much support you have." Du Qiwei extinguished the cigarette butt and said, "The report of the Ministry of Defense makes it very clear that Japan's military industry has been completely paralyzed, not to mention the production of heavy weapons and equipment, and even the production of guns and ammunition is very difficult. Although Japan made full preparations before the war, it 'stored' about 200 million tons of coal, 100 million tons of iron ore, 75 million tons of copper ore, 5 million tons ~ of ore, and millions of tons of rare earth ore in the Seto Inland Sea, and its national strategic crude oil reserves exceeded 200 million tons. These supplies are enough to support the operation of Japan's military industry for half a year. Question: Japan's heavy industry was also bombed by the Chinese Air Force, and all the large steel plants, machine tool factories, vehicle factories, and shipyards were destroyed. According to the Ministry of National Defense's report, Japan has managed to preserve some of its industrial equipment and can supply its troops with light weapons, guns and ammunition and some ordinary artillery shells through handicraft production, but this production capacity will not turn the tide of the war at all. On the other hand, if Japan is unable to regain air and sea supremacy, and China does not intend to attack the Japanese mainland, even if Japan can produce as many light weapons and ammunition as it does, it is of little practical significance. ”
"What do you mean......" Brooklyn asked the president again.
"As long as China does not attack the Japanese mainland, how long Japan can hold out is not determined by its military strength, but by its domestic situation."
Wood nodded slightly and said, "In other words, we have to help a little." ”
"There is no doubt that without our assistance, Japan will be defeated by May next year." The president asked the question explicitly, and Dudgway answered very briskly. "Because radioactive contamination in Japan is caused by the emission of radioactive fallout, most of the people in the contaminated areas suffer from chronic radiation diseases, and even without adequate medicines, the vast majority of the victims will survive for more than half a year, and mass deaths will break out after half a year." Before that, 140 million Japanese needed food, clean drinking water, basic medical care, a place to live, and so on. Japan is a country that is heavily dependent on imports, and it produces only enough food to meet the needs of one-third of its population. Because it is winter, Japan's strategic grain reserves will last until next spring at most, provided that China does not bomb Japan's granaries or inflict a devastating blow on Japan's farmland. Because of the devastating destruction of industrial infrastructure, Japan is unable to produce enough freshwater purification equipment and provide it with enough electricity. The problem of pharmaceuticals is equally serious, as Japan's chemical industry is the key target of the Chinese Air Force, and the chemical raw materials necessary for the production of medicines must rely on imports. (〕
Even though the vast majority of refugees can help themselves by setting up temporary housing, more refugees need to leave radioactive contaminated areas and move to safer locations. Without outside support, Japan's fate will be very tragic. ”
Watwood smiled wryly and didn't say anything more.
These issues have been discussed many times at the G37 meeting.
"Of course, the key is to look at China's attitude."
Brudrin shook his head with a wry smile and didn't interrupt Dudgway.
"According to the Chinese defense minister, China does not prohibit the delivery of humanitarian relief supplies to Japan, and the key is that no one can guarantee that humanitarian relief materials will not be used in war. In other words, only by dispelling China's concerns will China make a step forward in the issue of sending supplies to Japan. In order to achieve this, there must be a guarantee from one or more countries that humanitarian relief will not be diverted. ”
The fact that Dudgway has spoken to this extent shows that he takes this question very seriously.
"It's not us, it's the EU." Brooklyn added the last word that Dudgway didn't utter.
Watwood let out a long sigh and said, "That's true, it's not us, it's the EU. The CIA has confirmed that before Ye Zhisheng's press conference, the Chinese foreign minister made an urgent appointment with the French foreign minister in Paris, and then the French foreign minister reported the relevant situation to the French president. If I'm not mistaken, the French president is on the phone with the rest of the European Union to discuss how to respond. Instead of negotiating with Japan through us, China handed over the olive branch to France, and our intention to use the EU as a counterweight is already very obvious. France will definitely seize this opportunity, Germany, Italy and other parliaments will follow, except for the United Kingdom, I am afraid that no EU country will be on our side. That being the case, we should be proactive and use humanitarian issues to change the current situation. ”
"Put pressure on Japan to make China realize how important we are."
Watwood nodded and said, "Japan is a small question, General Duchway said obviously, without our assistance, Japan will not even be able to survive this day." The key question is whether we should leave the EU behind. ”
Brooklyn frowned slightly and looked at Dudgway, who was sitting next to him.
As always, Duchway did not comment on questions that had nothing to do with the military.
"General Duchway, there is a very important matter for you to do now." Watwood was well aware of Duchway's principles and did not force Duchway to take a stand. "As you said, we must provide strategic assistance to Japan. Until then, we will try our best to win over the EU and get China to agree to send humanitarian relief supplies to Japan so that Japan can tide over the difficulties. To do this, we need a detailed list of which supplies must be sent to Japan as soon as possible and which supplies should be sent to Japan as much as possible. The Department of Defense and the CIA will fully cooperate with you, and I need a detailed report to determine our negotiating course before engaging with China. ”
Du Qiwei nodded in agreement, and then got up to take his leave.
Personally sent the Marine Lieutenant General outside the study, and then Watwood returned and closed the door.
Brooklyn didn't leave, because a lot of things couldn't be discussed in front of Dudgway.
When there were only two people left, the president and the secretary of state both let out a sigh.
Undoubtedly, the situation at this time was completely beyond the expectations of Watwood and Brooklyn, and China's tough stance on the strategic blockade both shocked and frightened them.
Even if you take even a small half step, the United States will be drawn into the war! (Read!) 〕