…… In the training meeting, Shan instructed Dongfang Wen and others. Pei Chengyi went to the special adviser's seat temporarily arranged next to the president as an assistant to Ye Jun Bulong.

As the attendees returned, the meeting began again.

I love ugliness and weeps

Theron must have greeted Fonseca, but when the foreign minister again offered to make diplomatic efforts, the defense secretary did not refute it.

"We certainly won't give up on diplomatic efforts, but we shouldn't get our hopes up too much." Theron stepped in personally and didn't give Carlos much of a chance to perform, "although over the years, the British attitude has loosened. Informal expressions have gathered the idea of negotiating a settlement of the Falklands dispute with us, but we must admit that until now, the United Kingdom has not taken any formal diplomatic action, let alone formally recognized the dispute over sovereignty over the Falklands. It should not be forgotten that Britain's attitude has not changed much for decades, and even if it occasionally makes concessions, it will quickly revert to a hardline stance as its military strength has increased or its threat has decreased. It can be seen from this that the concessions made by the United Kingdom in the past few years do not mean that it will make substantive concessions on the sovereignty issue of the Falklands.

We have every reason to believe that as the situation eases and the balance of power changes, the UK will continue to adjust its policy. There is no doubt that diplomatic negotiations are not an overnight affair, and we have not been able to open the door for two decades, let alone put Britain at the negotiating table in the near future. Judging from the information that we have, Britain will not enter into formal negotiations with us, otherwise the British Prime Minister would not have asked for assistance from the United States on the hotline, nor would he have formally met with the President of the United States in a few days. While we believe that peace negotiations are the ideal way to resolve the Falklands dispute, reality has repeatedly taught us that we have higher hopes for negotiations. The farther away we are from the hope of a negotiated settlement of the dispute. It is not even possible to open the door to negotiations forever. The need for peace talks can be debated forever, but the question of sovereignty over the Falklands must not remain in the air forever. Even if the dispute can only be resolved through negotiation in the end, we should wait until we have recovered the Falklands and regained sovereignty over the Falklands, and then negotiate with Britain when we have the initiative and we decide whether to negotiate or not, rather than letting Britain decide. ”

Theron said in one breath. Stopped his gaze on Carlos.

The President's attitude was very clear that negotiations were a matter after the war, not a matter before the war. Carlos wasn't convinced, but he couldn't argue with it. The last few sentences of Theron's statement are the most crucial.

The Falklands dispute is, in the final analysis, related to a dispute over interests in natural resources. In the last century, Argentina took the initiative to provoke the Falklands War. The main reason is that the junta wants to transfer domestic contradictions through foreign wars, rather than taking a fancy to the natural resources of the Falklands. In the years that followed, although successive Argentine governments said that they would never give up sovereignty over the Falklands, they did not take any substantive action. It was not until the beginning of the second century, with the discovery of staggering deep-sea oil fields in the waters near the Falklands, that the Falklands dispute heated up again. If it weren't for the power revolution that changed the energy structure of human society and reduced the strategic value of fossil energy such as oil, I am afraid that the Second Falklands War would have broken out long before the previous year. The situation in the Falklands is heating up again. It is inextricably linked to rare metal deposits whose strategic value far outweighs their use. To put it simply, if the Falklands were just a coral island with no mineral deposits, neither Argentina nor Britain would have made a big deal about it.

Here's the key. The longer it drags on, the worse it will be for Argentina.

Regardless of how the Falklands dispute is resolved, the British government has no reason to overwhelm the world when demand for rare metals outstrips supply, forcing major powers to turn their attention to the moon and even Mars. There is no reason to leave the rare metals on the Falklands to Argentina. In fact, Britain is already planning operations to exploit the Falklands' resources. Otherwise, it will not involve American companies in resource exploration. As long as the formal merger begins, Britain will be able to earn billions of dollars in valuable resources from the Falklands every year. Because rare metal deposits are non-renewable, the UK's income is equal to Argentina's loss. In terms of short-term interests, Argentina, which owes a huge foreign debt, needs rare metal deposits near the Falklands even more.

When it comes to the fundamental interests of the state, the foreign minister's political proposition is insignificant.

After waiting for a while, confirming that the president had finished speaking, Carlos spoke: "I also admit that in order to force Britain to sit at the negotiating table, we must have the initiative in negotiation, and the best way to grasp the initiative is for us to decide whether to solve the problem through negotiation." However, with the strength of our country's grass affairs, even if we can recapture the Falklands in the early stage of the war, whether we can hold the island is still an uncertain factor. There is no doubt that we cannot afford a second defeat. Even if we don't think about the future of the system here, if we lose the war again, we will never think of recovering the Falklands. ”

After Carlos finished speaking, he turned his gaze to Fonseca and did not challenge the president.

"It is true that there are certain difficulties in defeating Britain with our strength alone, but do not forget that the Republic has long made a promise that it will do everything to help us recover the Falklands." Fonseca glanced at Pei Chengyi, who was sitting behind the president, and said, "In fact, the Republic has never broken its promise, not only providing us with advanced military technology without reservation, but also helping us in modernization." Since the resurgence of tensions in the South Atlantic, the Republic has provided us with a great deal of important information. And send military advisers to mention it for us

I believe that with the help of the Republic we will be able to attain it; Old... prosperous

Carlos had noticed Pei Chengyi a long time ago, but he didn't expect Fonseca to talk to Pei Chengyi directly.

It was only when Fonseca lit his cigar that Carlos said, "I have never doubted the support of the Republic, and without the help of the Republic, we would not even be qualified to discuss the recovery of the Falklands." But we cannot pin our hopes entirely on the Republic, because the Falklands issue is ours, not the Republic's. More importantly, we can get help from the Republic, and Britain can get help from the United States. Although the Republic has been overwhelming the United States and won every struggle until then, we must not forget that all previous victories have been in the vicinity of the Republic. And we are on the other side of the globe, even if the republic has a heart, it is not necessarily powerful. Whether the Falklands can be recovered. It depends on our own efforts, not on how much outside aid we can get. ”

With that, Carlos looked towards Fonseca.

It is clear that the Minister of Foreign Affairs is well aware of the situation, and if he challenges the president, he will definitely lose badly, and only by challenging the Minister of Defense can he ensure undefeat and that the president will not have the opportunity to intervene.

After all, in the Cabinet government. Unless the president is willing to risk offending more senior officials, he will not take sides of the argument.

Fonseca gritted his teeth, looking angry.

"There is some truth in the foreign minister's point of view, and we should really rely on our own strength." Theron didn't give Fonseca a chance, and if the two ministers quarreled, it would be endless. "In fact, over the past 20 years, we have worked hard to modernize our national defense in order to build a military force capable of defending national sovereignty and territory. Although in the eyes of many. Our military power is still not strong enough. But there is only one person in this room who has fought in wars and commanded armies to win wars, so why don't we listen to the opinions of third parties? ”

After speaking, Theron nodded towards Pei Chengyi.

Although the Argentine military and political actors who participated in the meeting had long noticed Pei Chengyi sitting in a special position, it was not until this time that everyone turned their attention to Pei Chengyi. and realized that Pei Chengyi is not only the "foreign aid" invited by Theron, but also the "foreign aid" that is about to play a key role. ”

"I don't want to express any opinion on your country's defense modernization, and I am not qualified to express any opinion." Pei Chengyi paused for a while, waited until all the participants put on their headphones, and then continued, "Before discussing whether your country has the military strength to recover the Falklands. I will begin with an analysis of the military strength of your potential adversaries, in particular those that pose a threat to your country and to your military operations to recover the Falklands. ”

Obviously, the Argentine military and political dignitaries attending the meeting can doubt Fonseca, but they will not suspect Pei Chengyi.

"Because Britain is recognized as a nuclear power in the world and a permanent member of the Security Council, Britain's military strength is far greater than yours." In order to keep up with the translator, Pei Chengyi deliberately slowed down the speech. "Of course, we don't have to think about Britain's strategic strike capability. Although Britain has never committed itself not to use nuclear weapons first under any circumstances, the London Conference has just ended, and according to the agreements reached between dozens of countries, including the five nuclear powers and yours, the scope of the use of nuclear weapons is strictly limited, and Britain will not rashly use nuclear weapons unless it wants to become a public enemy of human civilization. That is, we need to take into account only conventional military forces. Constrained by geography and the way in which warfare is conducted, what really needs to be considered is the British Navy, to be precise, the British Navy's three aircraft carrier battle groups, and the underwater fleet of twelve attack submarines. In my opinion, if your country can defeat the British expeditionary fleet in a conflict, ensure that the transport routes from the mainland to the Falklands are unimpeded. You will be able to win the military campaign and, if it is in your favour, force Britain to sit down at the negotiating table and negotiate a settlement of the Falklands dispute with your country. ”

"According to General Pei. The military operation to retake the Falklands is just a conflict? Carlos didn't hesitate, because Pei's words were directly aimed at his views.

"Yes, it was indeed a conflict."

"So General Pei thinks that the British will willingly accept the fait after losing the expeditionary fleet?"

"Your Excellency Foreign Minister, whether or not you accept a fait accompli has nothing to do with willingness." Pei Chengyi smiled slightly, and said before Carlos could speak, "Regarding Britain's military strength, I'll elaborate on it later." From the height of the conflict, the success or failure of the expeditionary fleet was related to the success or failure of Britain in military operations. Imagine that if Britain loses its expeditionary fleet, even if the British government is unwilling to accept a fait accompli, it will have to accept it as a fait accompli. The Navy is not the Army. Building an expeditionary fleet capable of fighting thousands of miles away is not an infantry unit. Although Britain is the most prestigious sea power, and the former empire on which the sun never sets is also built on the supreme sea power, with Britain's current national strength, it will take at least twenty years to build a second expeditionary fleet of comparable size, even if it is all it has. During this period, Britain had no choice but to take a reserved view of the sovereignty of the Falklands, as your country had done in the previous two decades, rather than to take active action to retake the Falklands, and had no ability to regain them. ”

"In General Pei's view, Britain is fighting alone?"

"Of course not, but the United States can't do whatever it wants." Pei Cheng

Carlos is tired of too many opportunities, and said that no matter who doubts the strength of the United States. As His Excellency the Foreign Minister mentioned at the beginning, the Republic has been able to defeat the United States in previous conflicts. There is a lot of laughter with the place where the conflict spawns. Even if we don't want to admit it, we have to know. The republic could not help Argentina as much as it helped Pakistan. In fact, it was a miracle that the republic was able to ensure the safe arrival of the fleet in Argentina during the conflict. However, we must admit that the United States cannot use Britain as it does with India, and still less with Argentina as it does with Iran.

Although I am not a diplomat and do not have any diplomatic experience to speak of, I believe that unless the United States is willing to offend all Latin American countries and make all countries in the Western Hemisphere, including Brazil, wary of the United States, the United States will not be directly involved in the Falklands conflict, and at most will provide indirect support to Britain in the same way that the Republic has assisted Argentina. Of course. I believe, as the Minister of Foreign Affairs of your country. Mr. Carlos should know this better than everyone present. ”

After saying the last sentence, Pei Chengyi smiled at Carlos, looking very personable.

Carlos let out a long sigh of relief, knowing that he had a strong opponent.

correct

At this point, the others also saw the clue and turned their eyes to Carlos, waiting for the foreign minister's counterattack.

After pondering for a while, Carlos said: "According to General Pei, Britain is vulnerable, and it is simply easy for us to achieve a military victory?" ”

"Your Excellency, I have never said anything like this." Pei Chengyi was also a little annoyed, "As a soldier, I will never despise any opponent, let alone underestimate any war. As a political struggle at the highest level, even if it is a local conflict of limited scale, we should not expect to win easily. Only by valuing the opponent can you defeat the opponent. ”

"In General Pei's opinion, what are our chances of winning?"

I love ugliness and weeps

Pei Chengyi smiled and said, "As a responsible soldier, I will not predict the outcome of the conflict without any basis. As your country's military adviser, I will not influence your country's strategic decisions with forecasts that do not stand up to scrutiny. Before answering His Excellency the Foreign Minister's questions, we need to have a deeper understanding of our opponents. Because there is a lot of specific data involved, I asked a few assistants to explain it for me. ”

"General Pei, this is too child's play, isn't it?"

Pei Chengyi frowned slightly and looked at Carlos.

"I have never doubted General Pei's ability, and I am sure that no one present will doubt General Pei's military talent, and it is precisely for this reason that we have spent a lot of money to hire General Pei as our country's top military adviser. On such an important issue, General Pei actually found a few assistants to deal with it, unknown,"

"Your Excellency, you can doubt my abilities, and you must not doubt my men." Pei Chengyi was really angry, "Although I don't want to target individuals, but His Excellency the Foreign Minister's words at the beginning make me have to believe it." Your Excellency must be a diplomat who knows nothing about military affairs. Admittedly, I have achieved some inadequate achievements, but no matter how good a general, if there is no sufficiently strong army. It is also impossible to defeat the enemy in war. The military is a group, and the army is a collective, in front of the power of the group and the collective; The individual appears insignificant. I am very responsible to tell you that all the members of the Advisory Board, including my four principal assistants, followed me in the Indian War and made outstanding contributions. Without them, I wouldn't have achieved anything. ”

Seeing Pei Chengyi's angry look, Carlos knew that what he said at the beginning was too much.

"General Pei is angry, we have never doubted the ability of the general and the officers under the general." Theron glared at Carlos, who was a little out of control, and said to Pei Chengyi with a smile, "We asked General Pei and General Pei's subordinates to serve as our country's military advisers, so we naturally believe in General Pei and General Pei's subordinates. Foreign Minister Carlos really doesn't understand military affairs, otherwise he wouldn't have said such stupid things. ”

After the president spoke, Carlos avoided Bae's gaze. As a diplomat, it is impossible for him not to know. Theron put down his lower face and set up the steps for him to step down, no matter how uninteresting he was, it was not the military adviser who would be offended.

"After General Pei's comments, I also think that we should seize the rare opportunity." Theron didn't dwell too much, quickly changed the topic, and said, "Before making a decision, we must have a clearer grasp of the situation and a deeper understanding of the enemy's situation, so I also asked General Pei and several advisers to work tirelessly to conduct an in-depth analysis of Britain's military strength, and it would be great if we could introduce the situation of other relevant countries." ”

Pei Chengyi nodded and looked at Yang Shaoyong, who was sitting next to Dongfang Wen.

Now that Theron has come forward, there is no need to spend time with Carlos. Although Carlos's provocation did make Pei Chengyi extremely angry, but after Wei. The purpose has been achieved. Even if Carlos wasn't convinced, he had already lost the debate with Pei before making more convincing arguments. With Pei's point of view, Theron was able to make a final decision without much resistance. In other words, before Yang Shaoyong stepped onto the podium and began to introduce the distribution and combat effectiveness of the defenders of the Falklands, the outcome had been determined.

Of course. The ritualized cutscenes still have to go.