Chapter 839: There Can Only Be One Winner

readx; In the past few years, various participating countries have carried out large-scale arms expansion, and arms expansion requires a large number of military equipment, and the large-scale mass production of these military equipment has also led to a full-scale explosion in the gross industrial production of each country. Pen "Fun" Pavilion www.biquge.info

After all, these military equipment are also industrial products, and it is natural to include this part when calculating the gross domestic product, so that even if the output of civilian industrial products has shrunk to a certain extent due to the war factor, the gross industrial product of all countries has risen sharply, the most obvious example is that in 1939, the gross national product of the United States was only more than 90 billion US dollars, but in 1943, the US gross national product reached more than 190 billion US dollars. The increase has more than doubled.

Such a large increase in the value of industrial production in peacetime is completely different, and if there is such a large amount of industrial production in peacetime, then it is undeniable that it is definitely an industrial miracle, but this situation is found in wartime, then it seems very normal.

This is not only the case in the United States, but also in other countries such as Germany, Russia, and the United Kingdom, and China is no exception.

In 1939, China's GDP was only 1,200 Chinese yuan, but by 1943, China's GDP had reached an unprecedented 280 billion Chinese yuan, which was equivalent to about 140 billion US dollars according to the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Chinese dollar at that time (fictitious data, not to be used as historical basis). Of course, based on the actual situation of the two countries, China's GDP accounts for a considerable part of agriculture and infrastructure, and the pure industrial production does not have such a large proportion. But there is one point to be taken into account here, that is, when comparing the economic data of the two countries, the official exchange rate is used, that is, two Chinese dollars for one dollar, and in fact, due to the outbreak of the war, the exchange rates of the currencies of various countries have fallen into a relatively chaotic situation, and international trade is real money or barter, who wants your own paper money. Even the pound, which used to have the most abundant gold content, is now difficult to use in the international trade market, and the United Kingdom, whether it buys materials from China or the United States, uses gold that can be seen and touched.

Therefore, the exchange rate of national currencies is chaotic and there is no certain standard.

At the same time, the purchasing power of each country's currency in its own country is not the same, and there will be a great difference in the purchasing power of the currency due to the different living standards and wage levels of each country, especially in labor-intensive industries, such as shipbuilding, compared with the same level of goods, such as China's Tsingshan-class aircraft carrier and the United States' Essex-class aircraft carrier, China's Tsing-class aircraft carrier in 1943 cost 120 million Chinese yuan, equivalent to only 60 million US dollars. And these 60 million are not to mention in 1943, even in 1939 could not build an Essex-class aircraft carrier, and the cost of the Essex-class aircraft carrier in 1943 was as high as more than 80 million US dollars.

In the shipbuilding industry, China's labor costs are far lower than those of the American shipbuilding industry, but China's purchasing power in the production of another extremely important military product is not so costly advantageous, that is, the price of aircraft, China's F5 and F8 and other advanced fighters will not be cheaper than the price of the United States' contemporaneous advanced fighters after being converted into US dollars. This is mainly due to the fact that aircraft are more technically intensive, but less expensive to spend on labor and other costs.

In general, in some pure high-tech industries, China's low-cost labor advantage is not reflected.

Such a variety of differences in purchasing power and exchange rate confusion, which led to the wartime currency conversion of countries became very inaccurate, if you really want to compare the industrial and economic strength of various countries, it can really only be compared by how many aircraft and tanks were produced, but this is changed by the different threats of war faced by various countries, for example, before 1942, China's production of various military products was far more than the United States, but after 1942, the United States began to greatly surpass China's military production. This does not explain the gap between the industrial bases of the two countries, because before 1942, China was in the era of great military expansion, and the demand for military products was huge, but after 1942, with the end of the Russian campaign and the end of the army expansion, China's demand for various military products was greatly reduced, and there was no wartime attrition, so it was really unnecessary for China to maintain the state of producing tens of thousands of tanks every year.

The same is true for the United States, before 1942, the United States did not participate in the war, so naturally there was no need to produce tanks and planes in large quantities, but after 1942, due to the simultaneous facing of Africa, Europe, and the Pacific, the United States urgently needed a large number of aircraft and tanks, and this production naturally increased significantly.

Now in 1943, it is basically very difficult to judge the detailed data and comparison of the industrial economic base of China and the United States, and it is even more difficult to judge the detailed comparison of the war potential of the two sides, and there is only a very vague comparison, that is, the United States still maintains a leading position in the industrial economy.

However, it is not known how long this leading momentum can be maintained, because China's industrial development in the past few years can no longer be described as fast, but explosive.

In the past two years, although the wartime economy, which has been somewhat tight, has eased to a certain extent, domestic industrial production is still under the control of the State Military Commission on the whole, and to a certain extent, China is still in a wartime economic state, but it is only a one-sided wartime economy, and it is not a full-fledged wartime economy like other belligerent countries.

However, through a series of foreign expansion in the early stage of World War II, not only obtained the resources and markets of Southeast Asian countries, but also obtained the huge territories of Siberia and Central Asia and the Far East. Although the situation in Central Asia has stabilized a little, China's domestic capital circles have set off a wave of expansion into Central Asia, and a large number of capital forces have invested in Central Asia, and then developed various mineral resources.

Of course, the biggest change is immigration, since 1942, every day a large number of immigrants take the train into the Far East and Siberia and Central Asia, these immigrants except for some people who seek the dream of making a fortune, most of them are landless or less landless peasants in China, the situation of more people and less land in China has always existed, especially in several populous provinces in the Central Plains, land resources are even more tight, but although the development of Northeast China has also alleviated a certain population tension, but with decades of peaceful development, The population increased by tens of millions, and by 1943, not counting the population of other ethnic groups in Central Asia and Siberia, the population of China's inherent territory alone had reached 560 million. With such a large population, there are always many people who are landless or have relatively little land.

At this time, the political axe gave a large amount of land in the newly occupied areas to the immigrants without compensation, and promised to obtain permanent ownership of the land after five years of continuous cultivation, and this immigration measure caused a large number of people to brave the cold of the north.

When there are more and more immigrants, and the proportion of the local population is occupied, then these territories will always become Chinese territory.

The great development of Central Asia, as well as Siberia and the Far East, has also brought huge opportunities for China's industrial development.

Originally, the demand for war materials on the Chinese side was extremely huge, making the domestic industrial force run at full capacity, but at the same time, there was also a vast market, the Southeast Asian market, and the domestic private market, which needed a large number of industrial products every day, and the huge market demand made China's industry usher in the largest expansion in history, every day new factories were built, and every day countless villages left the land and then entered the factory.

If the industrial development of the past 30 years has laid the foundation of China's industry, then the stimulus of the Second World War in the past few years has brought China's industry a rocket-like expansion.

In 1939, just before the outbreak of World War II, China's GDP was 120 billion yuan. After the outbreak of the war, China's GDP soared, reaching 160 billion yuan in 1941. However, after controlling the Indochina Peninsula and occupying Central Asia and Siberia, by 1943, China's national production and cultivation had reached 280 billion yuan, more than doubling in just a few years.

Of course, this is not a special case for China, because these GDP figures include the production of a large amount of military supplies, and the GDP of Americans has increased from more than $90 billion in 1939 to more than $1,900 in 1943, which is no less than that of China.

But there is a difference here, and that is that most of the gross domestic product of the United States is used for war, which means that the gross domestic product of the United States is consumed by the war. However, although a large part of China's GDP is spent on the military, a considerable part of it is still spent on civilian goods and the expansion of the industrial system. And it is very important to note that in this war, the Americans have only restored the original industrial production capacity, and they have reached this scale, but for China to achieve so much production capacity, it has carried out a large-scale expansion of industrial output.

In this comparison, it can be said that the scale of the industrial base of the United States did not change during the war, but only brought into play the original idle industrial capacity. China, on the other hand, was forced to carry out large-scale industrial expansion in order to meet market demand, thereby increasing its industrial base.

If China's industrial base before the war was less than one-third of that of the United States, then after several years of wartime construction, it has expanded to nearly half.

When it comes to the rapid development of China's industrial economy, there is a very important problem here, that is, the reason why China has such a large market demand in recent years is entirely because of the promotion of the war, whether it is the civilian market or the military market, these huge demand can not last, once the war is over, the army has greatly reduced personnel, cut military orders, and lost a large number of markets such as Southeast Asia and part of the domestic market. It would be a disaster for China's existing large-scale industrial output, and if the products produced by the huge production capacity are not digested, then a very serious post-war economic crisis will be formed.

This situation exists not only in China, but also in the United States, and even more so on the American side.

It is not difficult to win the war, but it is difficult to win the war, and then to be able to find enough markets for the huge industrial output in the country to continue to maintain economic development.

There is only one way to solve this problem, and that is to control the post-war global market. With the post-war industrial scale of China or the United States, the domestic market alone will never be able to absorb such a huge amount of production, and it must be digested with the help of the global market. However, the only problem that arises here is that there is not only one China, but also the United States, China needs a post-war market, and the United States needs a post-war market.

Therefore, this war has been going on so far, for Chen Jingyun, in addition to continuing to expand China's strategic security circle, the most important thing is to control the post-war market.

In this regard, there is only one enemy of China, and that is the United States.

In this war, there can only be one winner!