In the room, Peng Maobang was sitting precariously, Pan Yunsheng was sitting on Erlang's legs, Zhao Rundong and Huang Guowei's eyes were wandering around several people, Pang Xinglong pushed down his glasses from time to time, only Ji Youguo looked calm, sitting firmly on the Diaoyutai platform, and a sneer appeared at the corner of his mouth from time to time

"Everyone knows the news, let's talk about it" Ji Youguo broke the silence and looked at Pan Yunsheng after speaking

"The scale of the transfer of US troops is indeed very amazing, but we pay more attention to logistics support" Pan Yunsheng put down his legs, "Iran is not Iraq, the area and population are three times that of Iraq; In addition to the southwest region, the whole territory is full of plateaus and mountains, and the US military has been fighting in Afghanistan for more than ten years, and even the Taliban cannot deal with it, let alone win in Iran, which has the same complex terrain; The Persians were more warlike and fierce; The Iranian government is relatively popular with the people, and its domestic and foreign policies are supported and approved by the majority of the military and the people. Iran's military strength is one of the best in the Gulf region, and it has developed rapidly for more than 20 years, and its combat effectiveness should not be underestimated. The U.S. military will not invade Iran in the near future."

"The United States is definitely not playing a family game" Zhao Rundong extinguished his cigarette butt and said with a stern expression, "Several aircraft carrier battle groups, several main ground divisions, and hundreds of combat aircraft, as long as the US military is deployed in place, can destroy Iran's air defense forces within 24 hours and attack Iranian territory within 48 hours."

"This is what we have to worry about" After Zhao Rundong's words, Pan Yunsheng said, "The U.S. military is not enough to defeat Iran, but it is enough to occupy the southwestern region of Iran, that is, Khuzestan Province, which is the most important oil producing area in Iran, and the ports of Khorramshahr, Abadan and Khomeini in the south of the province are the most important oil export ports in IranIn addition, the main inhabitants of the province are Sunnis, not Shiites, and the United States is likely to take the occupation of Khuzestan Province and hit the Iranian economy, The strategy that forced Iran to throw a large amount of its national power into the war, and eventually brought down the Iranian government due to the deterioration of the domestic economy"

"Can the United States afford the enormous attrition of a long war?" Peng Maobang spoke, "If you want the Iranian government to fall, the war must last for at least a few years, and the US military is stuck in the quagmire of the war in Afghanistan and cannot extricate itself, and then start the Iranian war, the annual military expenditure must be trillions of dollars in the current situation of the United States, not to mention a few years, I am afraid that it will not last for a year, Xiao Pan is right, Iran is not Iraq, the CIA said that Iraq has weapons of mass destruction, and several countries believe that now the United States wants to follow Iran." The Camp David bombing' is involved, I am afraid that even a three-year-old child would not believe that without the support of its allies and the support of international morality, the United States would brazenly invade Iran? ”

"The United States can find other excuses for not using terrorist attacks as a reason to start a war"

"What excuse?" Peng Maobang glanced at Zhao Rundong

"We have to look at this matter from a different angle" Seeing that the two were about to raise the bar again, Ji Youguo immediately stepped forward to stop it, and turned to Huang Guowei and asked, "How are the IAEA's verification negotiations with Iran going?" ”

"Iran still emphasizes that the peaceful use of nuclear energy is Iran's basic right," Huang Guowei sighed secretly, "The second round of negotiations will be held in Tehran the morning after tomorrow, and if Iran still refuses to make concessions and open all nuclear facilities to the IAEA and provide all the facilitation conditions for verification, I am afraid that the negotiations will break down."

"That's the excuse of the United States"

"What kind of bird excuse is this? Japan owns 70 percent of the world's nuclear power plants, imports a large amount of nuclear materials every year, can produce an atomic bomb within a month, and also has the ability to convert into intercontinental ballistic missile ground launch vehicles, why doesn't the United States let Japan give up its right to use nuclear energy for peaceful purposes? ”

"Are you two finished?" Ji Youguo frowned slightly, "Xiao Pandi is right to worry, the United States is very likely to use a small war to bring down the Iranian economy, so that Iran will not be able to pose a threat to the United States and Israel in the next ten to twenty years."

Pan Yunsheng smiled secretly, he didn't worry about anything, and the military intelligence bureau had something to do when he fought

"Maybe the United States is just testing our attitude with Russia," Pang Xinglong, who was sitting in the corner, finally spoke

Ji Youguo glanced at the somewhat unpretentious prime minister and motioned for him to continue

"After the outbreak of war, apart from a few small and inconsequential countries, the only place that can provide assistance to Iran is that we can kill three birds with one stone with one stone with Russia and the United States

The first is to force Iran to accept the full verification of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and completely abandon the idea of developing nuclear weapons and even the right to peaceful uses of nuclear energy. The second is to show force to Saudi Arabia and several other Gulf countries to prove that the United States is the boss of the Gulf region and curb the momentum of our expansion with Russia in the Middle East. The third is to test the bottom line between us and Russia and find out whether we and Russia will propose it to Iran

aid, is there any ambition to compete with the United States for hegemony in the Gulf region?"

After speaking, Pang Xinglong glanced at everyone

"What is there to try, the Fourth Indo-Pakistani War has only been a year ago, and our determination is clear!"

"Iran is not Pakistan, our hand cannot reach that far"

"Could it be that the United States still dares to intercept our ships as it did more than ten years ago?"

"The United States does not have to intercept our ships, as long as Iranian ports are blocked, it will be difficult for us to provide support to Iran"

……

Zhao Rundong and Peng Maobang quarreled, Pan Yunsheng watched coldly, Huang Guowei didn't dare to interject, and Pang Xinglong simply shrank aside

Ji Youguo sighed secretly, looking for these people to discuss the problem was simply asking for trouble

Peng Maobang is an absolute hawk, resolutely supporting Iran to start a war with the United States, his purpose is very clear, no matter what the victory or defeat of the US-Iraq war, the United States will be dragged down, from strategic expansion after the end of the Cold War to strategic contraction, the republic will gain a broader space for development, if the United States loses the war, its hegemony in the Gulf and the Middle East will be dealt a fatal blow, and the republic can gain a greater voice and more benefits in the Gulf and the Middle East

Although Zhao Rundong is also a hawk, he is milder than Peng Maobang, and it is this moderation that makes him see more clearly that he does not advocate fighting a war that he is not sure of, and is even more opposed to direct confrontation with the United States before the republic does not have the strength to intervene in the world

Whether it is Peng Maobang's view or Zhao Rundong's view, they are both from the perspective of soldiers and thinking about the republic

Huang Guowei does not have a clear attitude, and as a foreign minister, he should not have a clear attitude

Pan Yunsheng is a guy who is afraid that the world will not be chaotic, don't look at his objective and fair analysis of the current situation, but between the lines, in his words and expression, he reveals the idea of hoping that the war will break out soon, although Pan Yunsheng's position cannot be denied, he is also thinking about the country, but with this "-stirring stick", the world will not be at peace

Pang Xinglong is an out-and-out dove standing in the position of the prime minister, he needs to consider more issues, but also more realisticIf the war breaks out, the republic will provide assistance to Iran, and the expenditure will be hundreds of billions, or even hundreds of billions, the republic cannot bear this burden Post-war reconstruction, the republic still has to provide assistance to Iran, the investment will not be less, the economic restructuring of the republic has not yet been completed, oil is still the most important energy source, and the US-Iraq war will make crude oil prices soar to unimaginable degrees, There are many similar problems that will hit the Republic's economy hard, and each of these reasons is big enough for Pang Xinglong to firmly oppose the Republic's intervention in the US-Iraq war

The scene in front of him made Ji Youguo discover a problem that he didn't consider

After the Fourth Indo-Pakistani War, with the vigorous implementation of military reforms, the status of military personnel or officials with military backgrounds in the top echelons of the republic has not only not weakened, but has strengthened a lot, so that the State Council, which is supposed to play an important role, has been seriously affected, and even the prime minister does not dare to argue with the defense minister

This is by no means normal!

Ji Youguo had to reflect on the previous policy: The military is a necessary force to promote reform, but it is not the main force, let alone the only force

Efforts must be made to balance power and weaken the influence of the military

"Führer ......"

Hearing Huang Guowei's shout, Ji Youguo came back to his senses, he looked up at the clock on the wall, it was already past twelve o'clock, "That's it for today, continue the discussion tomorrow"

The red-faced Peng Maobang and the panting Zhao Rundong stopped arguing

"Lao Ji, let's take our leave, you should rest early" Pan Yunsheng extinguished his cigarette butt and got up to leave first

As soon as he came to the garden, Pan Yunsheng saw Xiao Suiyu who looked anxious and walked back and forth at the door

Why did this guy get here?

Pan Yunsheng frowned, he didn't bring Xiao Suiyu to the Fuhrer's Mansion

"Old Pan, you've finally come out"

"Don't worry" Pan Yunsheng pulled Xiao Suiyu aside, "Speak slowly, what's going on?" ”

"Half an hour ago, a maritime patrol aircraft sent back a message that a fishing boat had entered the yellow zone"

"Yellow Zone?" Pan Yunsheng was secretly surprised, "Which yellow zone?" ”

"Needless to say, of course it's the Yellow Zone of the East China Sea."

Pan Yunsheng was shocked again: "The fishing boat is heading towards the Diaoyu Islands?" ”

Xiao Suiyu nodded and said, "The fishing boat is very fast, our patrol boat can't arrive in time, I'm afraid something big will happen."

"You go back first, if there is a situation, call the Führer's study"

Waiting for Xiao Suiyu to leave, Pan Yunsheng gritted his teeth, turned around and entered the West Garden, and walked quickly towards the study

Damn it*

30 more on the first day of listing, ask for a monthly pass!

On the first day, 30 more were all smashed out, and the brothers with monthly tickets held a ticket field, and the brothers without a monthly ticket held a personal field, supporting the flickering forward! (To be continued)