Chapter 652: Exponential VS Linear
As soon as Jian Yong's words fell, Guo Jia immediately asked,
"With advance notice, 10,000 people can die as soon as they come?!"
Good guys, that's where the aggressiveness begins.
"Of course not." Jian Yong replied, how could he say such an obviously impossible thing.
As a result, Guo Jia immediately rushed to say,
"In other words, how many people didn't die in the first place?"
"You can't say that......" Jian Yong hurriedly said.
Needless to say, I was ruthlessly interrupted by Guo Jia again,
"You just have to answer yes or no!"
"Yes. But ......" Jian Yonggang opened his mouth and was stopped by Guo Jia again.
"I know what you're trying to say, more and more people will die as time goes on, right?" Guo Jia directly helped Jian Yong say the words, and the same words, coming out of other people's mouths, and saying them from his own mouth, are two completely different feelings.
If it comes out of Jian Yong's mouth, it seems to make people feel that you Guo Jia are completely messing around, okay, Guo Jia is messing around. But now these words came out of Guo Jia's mouth, giving people a kind of Guo Jiaming knowing what you would say, and deliberately saying so, he did this with special intentions, but you were stupid and didn't find out, look at Guo Jia's confident appearance, hasn't it proved everything?
"That's right." Jian Yong replied, he had completely entered Guo Jia's rhythm, and he answered in just two words, and he didn't say any extra words. Obviously subconsciously, Jian Yong already thought. No matter what he said, Guo Jia would immediately interrupt him. That being the case. So why do you do useless work?
"Well, I'll ask if 10,000 people die. How long is it estimated to be flooded? Guo Jia asked again.
"About half a month to a month." Jian Yong thought for a moment and replied.
"What if it floods for two months?" Guo Jia asked.
"At least thirty thousand!" Jian Yong replied.
According to sources, Lu Bujun's current grain and grass can last for three months. Assuming that Lu Bu insists on not opening a warehouse to help the people, then how many people will die in the end after three months of flooding? Guo Jia asked again.
"Countless!!" Jian Yong replied loudly, his expression painful.
Liu Bei on the side took the opportunity to ask Guo Jia,
"Lu Bu is a righteous villain, he can completely let the people live or die. Does Lord Guo want to watch this happen?! ”
"People's hearts are flesh and blood, and I, Guo Jia, am naturally not so ruthless. But if Uncle Huang has any questions, can you wait until I finish talking before mentioning it? Guo Jia replied.
"Master Guo continues." Liu Bei sat back in his seat.
Time. They also thought that Guo Jia had accidentally fallen into the trap and had already won the game. Yes, even Guo Jia said that he was not such a ruthless person, didn't he? If that's the case, then how can you do ruthless things? Isn't that a contradiction?
"It seems that Uncle Liu Huang still has the same thoughts as me on this issue. When the water floods the Pi, not many people die at first, and as time goes on, it goes to the back. The more people will die, especially at the end, if there is no outside help, it will be out of control. This. Am I right? Guo Jiachong asked opposite.
"That's right." Liu Bei replied in the affirmative, but he suddenly had a bad premonition in his heart.
Then, I saw Guo Jia continue.
"That's good, then let's analyze the casualties of a normal siege." Guo Jia's voice just fell. On the other side, Liu Bei and the others were eyelids jumping, until this moment. They just woke up to the fact that they were completely wrong, and they were not Guo Jia's opponents at all. What Guo Jia said at the beginning was not wrong at all, he had that arrogant capital, if he was really allowed to say it first, Liu Bei might really be speechless.
It's not how strong Guo Jia is, how weak Liu Bei and others are, and of course, it's not Guo Jia's reason, and Liu Bei's side is not reasonable. The fundamental problem is that this so-called fairness, justice and openness is actually only fair and open, and it is not fair at all! Don't look at this, it seems that there are 10,000 judges, all kinds of people, but these 10,000 judges are actually people from one camp!
If people do not do it for themselves, the heavens and the earth will be destroyed. Being in different positions and from different perspectives will lead to different ways of thinking about problems. Wrong, will think that it is right. Or, knowing it's wrong, but still doing it! Because people usually don't choose the path that is harmful to them.
Now Guo Jia has summoned stakeholders to be judges, which is the biggest unfairness. Why didn't he find the people of Xiapi City to be judges? Then absolutely everyone will be on Liu Bei's side. If you really want to be fair, then you have to find a third party who is not Cao Jun or Xiapi to judge. But in that case, Guo Jia would not be able to hold such a debate competition.
Just like Guo Jia said, if he doesn't have the certainty of victory, how can he ask for hardships and be embarrassed! If Liu Bei wins in the end, then Guo Jia decisively goes to become a monk, the people in this world are too kind, and he can't look directly at this world anymore!
"There are all people who have been on the battlefield, and they should know better than me what kind of place the battlefield is. You may often see your comrades die, but you rarely know how many people die in a war. I'm going to give you a brief statistic here today. The following data is based on the average number of deaths and the duration of battles in various places in recent years. Then, I calculated how many people we would die in an average day. To emphasize in advance, I have added up the death toll on both sides, which is absolutely true and reliable, and it is well documented. And as we all know, every siege, not counting special circumstances, will not make much difference in casualties. So, after my rough calculations, I came to a conclusion - one and a half months. ”
Guo Jia raised his index finger and said,
"A month and a half, a month and a half to siege the city, and a month and a half to flood the city, the total number of deaths is about the same as the two options. Once more than a month and a half has passed, the number of people who have died by flooding Pi will exceed the number of people who died on both sides of the siege; On the contrary, a month and a half ago, the number of deaths in the siege was greater than the number of deaths due to flooding! ”
To put it simply, one is exponential growth, the other is linear growth, and the intersection of the two lines is a month and a half. Before that, linearity was higher than exponential, and then exponential was higher than linearity. Of course, no one could understand this kind of thing in ancient times, and Guo Jia didn't explain it. Speaking of which, the conclusion of this one-and-a-half-month is also Guo Jia's nonsense, halving in three months is one and a half months. Anyway, even if that group of people were to count, they wouldn't be able to figure it out. It probably feels like it's pretty much the same.
As a result, as soon as Guo Jia's voice fell, Mi Zhu on the opposite side immediately stood up and said,
"You're not right!" (To be continued......)