Chapter 10: Liberty and Bread
There are two catties behind the degree. The products of [No Pop-up Novel Network] are poverty and imbalance.
In the process of exhibition, any region must solve the problem of balance within the region.
In this regard, the best is undoubtedly done by European countries. As the source of industrial civilization, Western Europe took the lead in completing industrialization, and Western European countries were also the first countries in the world to reach it. After the establishment of the European Union, driven by the desire of the European people for "common progress", Europe was the first to solve the problem of regional inward outreach. In addition to the process of political integration led by France and Germany, the EU is inseparable from the common vision that the European people have long agreed on.
After Europe, North America has done the best job of addressing the intra-regional balance. The "North American Free Trade Area" dominated by the United States. To a large extent, it has brought together the largest three countries in North America, and has made a significant contribution to promoting joint development in the region. The United States and Canada are Chubba countries, with strong foundations, and there is no problem with joint exhibitions, and Mexico is the most affected. In a sense, Mexico, with more than 100 million people, has been able to enter the ranks of countries in a big way, and the role of the "North American Free Trade Area" has played a great role. The United States has not been without benefits, and Mexico, as a major country, has an important position and important role in the RIO bloc, which provides the most solid foundation for the expansion of the bloc's Latin American region.
Since the beginning of the year, the Republic has also been trying to solve the problem of regional balance. In a sense, the establishment of a free trade area between the Republic and ASEAN before that was aimed at narrowing intra-regional differences. After the Fourth Indo-Pakistani War, the Republic proposed the "China-South Asian Community Market"; After the South China Sea War, the Republic spared no effort to help Laos, Shupuzhai, Vietnam and other countries to develop their economies; After the Peninsular War, the Republic fully supported Korea; After the Indian War, the Republic not only helped India in its post-war reconstruction, but also incorporated India into the "Abyss Rim Indian Ocean Economic Community". These moves, without exception, are aimed at promoting the balance of regional outreach.
In a sense, whether a region's economic exhibition is balanced or not is closely related to the level of economic development in the region. More importantly, the level of economic development of the region determines the international status of the core countries in the region. The United States has been able to dominate the world for decades, which is inseparable from the level of development in North America. The fact that the Republic is able to challenge the United States is also directly related to the level of development in East Asia. Of course, the level of economic development and the role of regional core countries are mutual, because there is no core country that plays an absolute leading role, so the EU has not been able to become a real power.
It can be seen that the success of the Republic in Africa is inextricably linked to regional developments.
To be precise, when helping African countries, the Republic took the right pulse, sorted out the symptoms, and prescribed the right medicine. If the problem of poverty in Africa is targeted at a particular African country, the problem of poverty in Africa will never be solved, and the "disease of poverty" in Africa can only be eradicated at the regional level.
Mu Yong doubted that Gu Weimin did have a hand in engaging in exhibitions.
Before Gu Weimin, although Wang Yuanqing also attached great importance to the African issue, not to mention anything else, in the old years when he served as the vice president of the state and the state president, Wang Yuanqing made official foreign visits, of which about sixty percent of the African countries visited, but in solving the problem of poverty in Africa, Wang Yuanqing did not put forward many valuable suggestions, nor did he take many actions, most of the time in a laissez-faire way, by private enterprises to open up the African market.
When it came to expanding into Africa, the republic had to face a huge challenge, and that was the "snake of the land." ”
In a sense, Wang Yuanqing's refusal to take more active action on the African issue has a lot to do with several regional powers in Africa.
Among the few pounds, among the African powers, South Africa is the most noteworthy.
With numerous "non-state brothers." In comparison, South Africa's conditions are unique. Geographically, South Africa, located at the southern tip of the African continent, is only adjacent to Namibia, Botswana, Zimbabwe and Mozambique, as well as Lesotho and Eswatini, two neighboring countries wrapped in South Africa. Because it is located in the south temperate zone, affected by the Indian Ocean and the South Atlantic, the climate is suitable for agricultural production, so South Africa's agriculture is very good, not only can ensure food self-sufficiency, but also one of the few grain exporters in Africa, in addition to rich in flowers, fruits, a large number of beef cattle, wool, goats and other livestock products. In terms of mineral resources, South Africa is one of the world's top five mining countries, along with Russia, the Republic, the United States and Australia, and the reserves of gold, platinum group metals, manganese, vanadium, pin, titanium, and aluminosilicate all rank first in the world, and it is also one of the world's largest diamond mining countries. With abundant resources, South Africa has established an industrial system dominated by steel-based manufacturing, construction, energy and mining, and is the only country in Africa that has achieved industrialization on its own. In the process of industrialization, South Africa has built the most complete infrastructure in Africa, with excellent road and rail transportation, and is also a maritime powerhouse.
It is in this way that in the second century, South Africa became the first African national player to enter the ranks of the leading countries
With the strongest comprehensive national strength in the African region and the achievements made in economic construction, South Africa has a great influence in the African region, in addition to leading the "Union of Southern African States", South Africa is also the "Union of African States". That is, the main member states of the African Union. Before the Republic stepped up its investment in the African continent, the "South African exhibition model" was the object of imitation by many African countries, and it was the only exhibition method that could compete with the "Western model".
The problem is that South Africa is not an ally of the republic, not even a friend.
Although affected by the historical legacy, that is, before the year of the thugs, because of the apartheid policy in South Africa, the Republic did not establish diplomatic relations with South Africa, resulting in the relationship between the Republic and South Africa is not close. However, for the two countries, the biggest issue is the values and practical interests.
As the largest country in Africa, South Africa was once sanctioned by the international community because of its apartheid policy, and it was once alienated from the international mainstream society.
After the victory of the national struggle led by Mandela, South Africa did not alienate the West because of this. In a sense, with hundreds of years of colonial rule, combined with the influence of Jiang Yan, customs, religion, culture, etc., South Africa, which is dominated by black people, is still the African country closest to the West. It can be said that in terms of the basic values that affect social life, South Africa is a Christian country located at the southern tip of Africa.
As a result, South Africa has long adopted a pro-Western policy.
In fact, after the collapse of the coalition government of the ANC, the National Party (KMT) and the Inkata Freedom Party, South Africa entered a multi-party period, and the basic policies of the two largest political parties, the ANC and the AFC, went their separate ways. All in all, South Africa's exhibition line is basically oscillating between "independence" and "turning to the West".
It is precisely for this reason that when the Republic lands in Africa, it must first consider the influence of South Africa.
Establishment of the "India-Africa Free Trade Cooperation Zone". , the Republic invited South Africa to join and gave South Africa a very large voice. In order not to arouse the disgust of South Africa, the republic did not even come forward directly, but let India take the lead. In other words, the republic does not want to show its influence in the African region.
The problem is that no amount of camouflage, no matter how well disguised, is likely to change the facts.
South Africa joins the India-Africa Free Trade Cooperation Area. "It is not that we are willing to contribute to the promotion of the economic development of East African countries, nor that we want to build a better future with the Republic, but we want to take this opportunity to expand South Africa's influence in the East African region, so as to enhance South Africa's overall position. Africa's voice. You must know that before that, South Africa's influence was mainly concentrated in southern Africa, which only refers to the African region south of the Wangguo River, and has little influence on other African countries. For example, Egypt plays a leading role in North Africa, Nigeria is the leading country in West Africa, Sudan is the leading country in East Africa, and Central Africa has a democratic network. All in all, as a regional power, South Africa does not yet have the strength to dominate Africa.
Of course, it cannot be denied that Fu Fei has the ambition to dominate Africa.
After the Fourth Indo-Pakistani War, the pattern of the struggle for global hegemony between the Republic and the United States gradually took shape, and in addition to the two levels of great powers, there must be a number of large powers or groups of countries with world influence, such as the European Union, Russia, and even the gradually emerging Brazil. When the two major powers compete for global hegemony, in addition to those "quasi-powers", one or two powers that rely on the major powers to achieve regional hegemony will definitely emerge in various regions, such as Israel and Iran in the Middle East, and Argentina in Zhejiang in South America.
In terms of strength, South Africa is at most a regional power.
The problem is that this identity in South Africa is very embarrassing.
As a regional power, the most prominent sign is that it has close relations with a certain level of power, has the strength of other countries in the region, has the strength to confront other regional powers, and even has the ability to compete with "quasi-powers". Taking Israel as an example, because it has the support of the United States, it not only fights the neighboring countries into submission, but also dares to call out any powerful country in the region. Take Argentina as an example, after winning the Falklands War, it already has the strength to compete with Brazil. If calculated solely in terms of national strength, South Africa has few rivals in the African region and is not afraid of other powers. The big problem is that South Africa has not fallen into any class of powers.
This issue has called into question South Africa's status as a regional power.
In the words of the non-Patriotic media, if South Africa does not make a quick choice to improve relations with the West, it will soon be overtaken by other fast-rising African countries, thus losing its status as a regional power and being reduced to an insignificant ordinary country.
The problem is that the support of the ANC is much lower than that of the ANC.
The fact that the ANC was able to stay in power for a long time and only lost one general election in the early days of the Great Depression and was an opposition party for five years speaks volumes about the South Africans' choice. In other words, the relatively developed economy has given South African voters a broader perspective, allowing the vast majority of South Africans to recognize the true face of the Western world and not pin their hopes on Western countries.
South Africa's exhibition can only rely on South Africa.
This is the ANC's party platform, and it is the basis for it to win the support of more than half of the people.
Just because you can't take refuge in the West doesn't mean you have to take refuge in the East.
Because South Africa has a relatively strong foundation, the ANC has always insisted on the Four Ugly Exhibition. The seven-thug who hopes to rely on its own strength to make South Africa a "quasi-power" means that even if South Africa cannot become a group of major countries with global influence such as the European Union and Russia, it must strive to become a big country like Brazil, which does not need to be dependent on any one country and can find a place in the international community by virtue of its own strength.
Although this is not a high requirement, it is very difficult to implement.
Brazil's ability to develop independently is inseparable from its basic conditions. Brazil is the fifth-largest country in the world, with a population that is extremely rich in natural resources and a lack of threats around it. Compare it to. South Africa has a land area of 10,000 square kilometers, ranking only the ninth in Africa, and its population is only a little over 10,000 years of statistics, although it also has very rich resources, but it does not have the potential to become a big country in terms of the most important area and population. To put it simply, South Africa will never be able to become a world-class power unless it can do wonders at economic exhibitions and achieve world-class technological achievements. In fact, with a relatively limited labor force, it is impossible for South Africa to create an economic miracle, let alone make significant achievements in scientific research and innovation, which require more and more basic strength of the country.
In this way, the key to South Africa's becoming a "quasi-power" is not its own strength.
In fact, South Africa's leaders understand this very well.
In a sense, South Africa's land is given by two levels of power.
If you want the major powers to recognize South Africa as a "quasi-power", you have to cooperate with the big powers, and while realizing the interests of South Africa, you also have to let the big powers have some hope, otherwise it will fall out and everyone will not benefit.
The same. The Republic and the United States authorities also understand this.
Although the role of regional powers is not prominent in the game of major powers, and in many cases they do not even have the right to speak, for example, in the Syrian-Israeli war, which broke out in the new year, regional powers were put aside. However, in the African region, where the forces are intertwined, due to factors such as the lack of initial investment and the weak foundation, it is impossible for either the Republic or the United States to ignore South Africa's voice and ignore South Africa's demands. You must know that South Africa's choice will determine the direction of the African continent to a large extent.
It was in this way that when the Republic landed in Africa, it extended an olive branch to South Africa.
When the United States entered the African Union, it also lifted South Africa to the sky.
Even Europe, which is only making small noises in the north, and Russia, which has made a lot of noise but has not taken real action, regard South Africa as "an indispensable and important country in the Abyssal region."
If I had changed to another country, I am afraid that I would have been dizzy with joy.
South Africa is not happy about this, after all, before the apartheid was lifted, South Africa was under a total border blockade, and it has long seen through the state of the world and knows that any attempt to promote South Africa is to take advantage of South Africa. The South African authorities have always been very calm, knowing that whether it is the Republic or the United States, or even the European Union and Russia, the ultimate goal is to step on South Africa's body and climb to the top of the African continent and become the hegemon of Africa.
For the South African authorities, the only option was tai chi.
In the words of the Western news media, the situation on the African continent has been hot but not explosive in the past few years, starting from Libi, and the key is that South Africa's attitude is quite ambiguous, that is, it is engaged in economic development with the Republic and talks about cooperation with the United States, and from time to time it exchanges views with the European Union on the issue of the exhibition of sub-Saharan African countries, and even negotiates with Russia every now and then on how to maintain international raw material prices.
It can be said that the South African authorities are dancing very well in the ballroom dance between the Big 4.
The problem is that South Africa has no decision.
Over the years, both the Republic and the United States' "African Raiders" have had an effect. In East Africa, under the guidance of Sudan and Kenya, many countries, including Tanzania, Ethiopia, Uganda and Zambia, have boarded the "Republic train". "We are working hard to build a prosperous and beautiful new home. In West Africa, the "pro-US group" represented by Liberia, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Guinea, Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Cameroon, Gabon, and Wangguo is working hard to develop the national economy and catch up with the world trend under the guidance of US advisers. More importantly, the "African Raiders" between the Republic and the United States are not only exhibited, but also embodied in confrontation. In East Africa, the United States has long arranged undercover agents, namely Eritrea and Djibouti, and uses the Somali issue to constantly create trouble for the republic.
Generally speaking, the struggle between the Republic and the United States on the African continent has come and gone, and it has gradually come to an end.
Faced with this situation, the South African authorities are at a loss for anything but to chant "African solidarity".
As in other regions, when the Republic and the United States have done their pre-game warm-ups, a full-scale confrontation is inevitable.
For African countries, including South Africa, choosing the right camp and taking the right position as soon as possible is the right strategy to safeguard national interests and achieve all-round national development.
In this way, both the Republic and the United States must seize the opportunity to win the support of more African countries!