On the morning of the third day of the second year, when Wang Yuanqing was preparing for the upcoming 14th Congress, Liu Xiaobin and several agents of the Military Intelligence Agency came to the hotel and invited him to a car. Starting

"What's so urgent?"

"Big deal." Liu Xiaobin's answer was very capable, "Half an hour later, the head of state held a high-level emergency meeting at the General Staff, and let us pick up people separately. ”

Wang Yuanqing frowned slightly and didn't ask any more.

Although Wang Yuanqing's position in the Central Committee could not be confirmed until after the plenary congress was convened, his position had been affirmed thanks to the efforts of Peng Maobang and Pan Yunsheng. From 1 March, Wang Yuanqing will be appointed vice head of state of the People's Republic of China, Gu Weimin will replace Pang Xinglong as premier of the State Council, Shanghai Mayor Zong Yingren will be appointed minister of national defense, and Li Cunxun and Liu Xiaobin will formally serve as directors and deputy directors of the Military Intelligence Bureau at this time.

After talking with Peng Maobang, Wang Yuanqing was much more active in the decision-making meeting.

As Peng Maobang said, Zhao Rundong not only did not "hostile" Wang Yuanqing, but also adopted Wang Yuanqing's opinions and suggestions on many occasions and recognized Wang Yuanqing's status as the "No. 2 leader." Letting the "acting deputy director of the Military Intelligence Bureau" personally pick it up can be regarded as respecting and attaching importance to Wang Yuanqing.

When he came to the General Staff Headquarters, Wang Yuanqing felt that the atmosphere was very tense, and it seemed that a war was about to start.

In the conference room, Zhao Rundong, Peng Maobang, Pang Xinglong, Gu Weimin, Huang Guowei, Xiang Linghui, Li Cunxun and others were talking in low voices, and Pei Chengyi and several senior staff officers were preparing for the meeting.

When you take a seat sequentially. Wang Yuanqing's position was changed from the last position to the left hand side of Peng Maobang.

"Xiao Li. It's up to you to introduce the situation. Zhao Rundong picked up the teacup. Be as detailed as possible. Let everyone have a deeper understanding of the current situation. ”

When Li Cunxun got up. He nodded at Liu Xiaobin.

The acting deputy director of the Military Intelligence Agency replaced the secretarial staff officer. Personally provided "technical support" to Li Cunxun.

A somewhat blurry picture appeared on the large earth projection screen. At first glance, you can tell that it was a shooting location in a dimly lit place. In the center of the photo is a gray submarine.

"This is a place that our local intelligence officers photographed at the end of last year. The filming location was the Kobe Shipyard in Japan. Li Cunxun picked up a laser pointer. A worker next to the submarine was indicated. "According to the height of the worker. Calculated on a pro-rata basis. The diameter of the pressure-resistant shell of the parallel section of the tail section of the submarine is more than eight meters. Jet propulsion device, cross-shaped tail rudder, horizontal tail rudder with spoiler end plates at both ends. There are no obvious protrusions and openings on the surface of the hull. The streamlined shape is ideal. ”

When Li Cunxun paused, Liu Xiaobin changed a photo.

"This was shot from the front end." Li Cunxun first pointed to the two oval openings on the right side, "The torpedo tubes are arranged on the ribs of the submarine, symmetrical on the left and right, a total of four. From this it can be concluded that the submarine uses a large-diameter spherical main / ~ passive sonar base array. There are no horizontal rudders on the enclosure of the command platform, indicating that the submarine has adopted a retractable bow horizontal rudder. The pressure-resistant shell in front of the enclosure of the command station is clearly protruding, and the submarine is most likely equipped with eight to twelve vertical launch tubes for cruise missiles. ”

"Could it be a ballistic missile launch tube?" Pang Xinglong asked.

"That possibility has been ruled out." Li Cunxun replied very directly, "The command platform enclosure distance boat ~ is only about a quarter of the length of the boat, and it is impossible to deploy the ballistic missile vertical launch tube in front of the enclosure like the 'Typhoon' class." In addition, judging by the size of the protrusions, it is not enough to accommodate a much larger ballistic missile. ”

"Maybe just one ballistic missile." Huang Guowei muttered.

Li Cunxun smiled faintly and said: "The number of vertical launch tubes of the submarine landing missile must be an even number, otherwise it will be difficult for the submarine to maintain balance after launching the missile." The diameter of the pressure-resistant casing at this location did not exceed nine meters, and it was too close to the boat ~, and we asked submarine engineers that the possibility of laying a ballistic missile vertical launch tube at this location was zero. ”

Before the third person spoke, Liu Xiaobin put on a third photo.

"It's a photo taken from a different angle, and it's the most convincing one." Li Cunxun pointed out the protrusion in the middle of the submarine, "The length of the parallel pressure-resistant shell in the middle section starting from the rear end of the enclosure of the command platform accounts for about half of the length of the boat, although the key part is covered by canvas, but from the height of the canopy, it can be concluded that the diameter of the middle pressure-resistant shell is likely to be more than 10 meters, and there are very obvious bulges." ”

"What does that mean?" Pang Xinglong asked very simply.

"This is a strategic nuclear submarine." Li Cunxun replied very neatly. "Equipped with 12 to 20 submarine-launched ballistic missile launch tubes, the length of the missile is between 10 and 11 meters, the diameter is about 2 meters, the mass is about 50 tons, and the range will not be less than 5,000 kilometers."

The atmosphere in the conference room suddenly became tense.

"However, one thing can be confirmed that it is not ZX-11 missiles deployed on this submarine." Li Cunxun glanced at Liu Xiaobin, and a rough linear diagram of the ZX-11 missile appeared on the screen. "The length of the ZX-11 missile exceeds the length of the submarine missile launch tube, unless Japan finds another way, or adopts a larger diameter and shorter length

Engines, either lengthen the length of the missile canister, or only open: submarine-launched ballistic missiles. Although Japan began to develop a submarine-launched ballistic missile codenamed ZX-2 last year, it will be difficult to overcome all the technical difficulties of the SLBM in just a few years, and the development work will take several years. During this period, it was necessary to conduct several and set up dozens of test launches. So far, we have not found that Japan has test-fired a new ballistic missile. ”

"That is, in the short term, Japan will not have strategic nuclear submarines." Zhao Rundong spoke.

"I can't say that." Li Cunxun paused for a moment and said, "The progress of Japan's construction of strategic nuclear submarines is much slower than we expected, and according to our judgment, the main reason is that the development of submarine-launched ballistic missiles cannot be completed on time." Even so, the submarine being built in Kobe will be commissioned by 2024. If Japan is unable to develop SLBMs before then, submarines will be equipped with SLBMs carrying nuclear warheads. This is the main reason why the submarine is equipped with two vertical launch systems at the same time. ”

Zhao Rundong nodded and said, "It is obvious that Japan is trying to acquire a strategic deterrence capability in the true sense. ”

"If that's the case, I recommend that action be taken as soon as possible." Peng Maobang's attitude is very serious.

"That's not the main topic we're talking about today." Zhao Rundong sighed and said to Li Cunxun, "Xiao Li, let's introduce the discovery in the early hours of this morning." ”

Li Cunxun nodded, waited for Liu Xiaobin to project the satellite photo onto the screen, and said: "This is the radar phase satellite reconnaissance photo taken in the early hours of this morning. On the photo, two obvious highlights are the two medium-sized aircraft carriers of the Japanese Navy. At about 4:30 a.m. today, the entire Japanese fleet stationed at the Tsuruga Naval Base in Wakasa Bay left port and entered the Sea of Japan before dawn. Almost simultaneously, all air bases in mainland Japan were brought to combat readiness. The amphibious combat fleet deployed in Fukuoka also left the port after dawn and entered the Tsushima Strait. ”

Except for Zhao Rundong and Peng Maobang and Xiang Linghui of the General Staff, everyone else showed a look of surprise.

"We don't know whether Japan will start a war immediately, but ......," Li Cunxun sighed, "This is the most obvious war move by the Japanese military since the tension in the region." It is very likely that the direction of the operation will be Dokdo, which is disputed with South Korea, and the investment of troops is very impressive. ”

"Are there any more convincing signs?" Wang Yuanqing asked.

"Since December last year, Japan has stepped up patrols in the waters between the hidden islands and Dokdo, and has completely expelled South Korean and North Korean fishing boats from Japan's exclusive economic zone." Li Cunxun paused a little and said, "The most important thing is that since last year, the intensity of the activities of Japanese intelligence agencies in South Korea has increased significantly, mainly collecting military intelligence from South Korea.

Late last year, South Korea also expelled three Japanese diplomats in South Korea on suspicion of stealing intelligence. Although this incident did not cause a big problem, the signs that Japan was preparing to attack South Korea were very clear. ”

"For Japan, all that's missing is a reason." Peng Maobang said.

"It's not hard to get a reason to go to war." Li Cunxun asked Liu Xiaobin to replace it with another picture, "This is a consolidated photo, mainly a schematic diagram of the South Korean Navy's range of activities in the Sea of Japan (South Korea and North Korea call the Sea of Japan the East Sea) in recent times." As can be seen from this, South Korea intensified its maritime patrols in the direction of Dokdo, transferring the main fleet from Gunsan to Busan. At the end of last year, South Korea also held a large-scale joint naval and air combat exercise in the southeast of Ulleungdo Island facing the waters off Dokdo. A few days ago, the South Korean fleet deployed in Busan had entered the Sea of Japan and began to expel Japanese fishing boats from South Korea's exclusive economic zone, assuming the posture of guarding Dokdo. In such a situation, Japan would have been given a reason to go to war if the Japanese fleet advanced in the direction of Dokdo, or if South Korea sent warships to expel Japanese fishing boats. ”

"It doesn't matter if there is a reason or not, the key is whether Japan has the determination to start a war." Zhao Rundong glanced at everyone and said, "Although it is difficult to understand Japan's behavior from our point of view, it is not difficult for us to understand from the perspective of Murakami's Sadamasa." Japan already has nuclear weapons that can be used in real combat, and our policy with the United States will be more cautious. Before making even greater strides, Japan will certainly have to test the details of our relationship with the United States. The best thing to do is a naval and air conflict in which there will be no large-scale ground war. Relatively speaking, South Korea is a very ideal 'experiment' opponent. ”

No one disagrees with Cho Yun-dong's point of view, because it is only a matter of time before Japan "tests the knife" with South Korea.

"The key is what kind of policy we have."

As soon as Peng Maobang spoke, a senior military intelligence officer came to the conference room and whispered a few words in Li Cunxun's ear. Everyone's eyes immediately focused on Li Cunxun, realizing that the worst had happened.

Damn it**

During the closure period, every half an hour, the flickering brothers went crazy together, so that everyone was happy!

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