Compared with Jing Du Xiaowei, Pei Chengyi's biggest flaw is that he did not enter the sixth layer of the Republican Day

Although he did not deny Pei Chengyi's political talent, it was normal for Pei Chengyi to be excluded from the decision-making level of the republic due to his age. From the perspective of the role and role of the two in this conflict. It is very clear that Du Qiwei plays the role of decision-maker to a large extent, and Pei Chengyi is only a front-line commander sent by the Republic to Argentina.

The impact of this identity gap is often impossible to make up for with talent.

Received an alert from Zhang Xiaolong. When the Afghan army was redeployed, Pei Chengyi realized that the US authorities would soon take substantive action. Because before that, the attitude of the US authorities was very ambiguous and did not make it clear which side they were in favor of. So what kind of action the United States will take is a matter of two choices. There is no third possibility to support Britain or abandon it.

Herein lies the problem, even with Pei's talent, it is impossible to guess where the US authorities will go.

It is not clear what the opponent will choose. You can't make accurate deployments.

What made Pei Chengyi even more annoyed was that the opponent was not the general of the Royal Navy who had never been on the battlefield, but Du Qiwei, who had fought him several times openly and secretly. Even if Pei Chengyi was sure to defeat Du Qiwei again, he would not dare to take it lightly, especially when Du Qiwei repeatedly released smokescreen bombs to cover up his intentions. Not to mention Pei Chengyi, even Hua Jianfeng felt the pressure.

In Hua Jianfeng's words: After determining that the opponent would fight a decisive battle between the 22nd and the 10,000th day, Pei Chengyi encountered the most severe test; Even according to the most ideal situation, the opponent will use all his strength at the first time and not give Pei Chengyi any chance to counterattack; In other words, if the opponent's actions cannot be accurately judged, no matter who commands the battle, the probability of defeat is more than 50%.

No doubt. Hua Jianfeng thinks too highly of Pei Chengyi.

According to Pei Chengyi's own estimates, Du Qiwei must have come prepared, if he can't make an accurate judgment and deploy military forces in the most appropriate way, the ear ability of defeat is 100 percent.

It is precisely because of this that when deploying military operations, Pei Chengyi left a hand.

For him, the fortunate thing in the misfortune is that because the Royal Navy's "Revenge" aircraft carrier battle group can only reach the war zone on the ugly day at the earliest, so there is still a few days of buffer time.

That same evening. Pei Chengyi contacted Liu Xiaobin. Hopefully more information.

Liu Xiaobin's reply disappointed him, the Military Intelligence Bureau is still trying its best to search for the whereabouts of the task force and the Fourth Fleet, but the United States has dozens of satellite monitoring stations around the world, and it is able to present the Republican satellite in a timely manner, so that the task force and the Fourth Fleet can avoid the sea areas covered by the reconnaissance satellites.

The only thing that makes Pei Chengyi a little more comfortable is that the third batch of submarines of the Republic Navy, the whiplasher "killer whale" class attack submarines, may be able to reach the war zone before tomorrow. And what made Pei Chengyi slightly disappointed was, "Bat Turbulence." The attack submarine was so badly wounded that although it was able to dive, it had lost its combat capability and had to return home for overhaul, and the only remaining electric submarine was also transferred back by the Navy. Other words. When the decisive battle broke out. At most, there are only "killer whales." class attack submarines are capable of making a difference. What reassures Pei Chengyi is. The Military Intelligence Agency has confirmed that the boat that confronted the "Bathan" was not sunk. But it has also been hit hard, and it will not want to go to sea in the next two to three years, so the Republic's attack submarines need to consider only the American "Atlanta" class, and the Royal Navy's "fast" class. Because it has been proven that the "fast" class is not as magical as the Royal Navy boasts. Some of its performance is not even as good as the "Killer Whale" class, so 8 "Killer Whale" class will definitely be able to get a chance to perform.

The next day, Pei Chengyi was thinking about the possible actions of his opponent.

In fact, there are two different responses to the two extreme choices that the US authorities may make. If the United States stands up for Britain, Pei Chengyi will have to fight with all his might. Even if you can't beat it, you have to fight with momentum, and you have to concentrate on attacking the Royal Navy's task force; If the U.S. authorities were obsessed with not only secretly supporting Britain, but also intervening directly after the Royal Navy lost the ability to recover the Falklands, even if Argentina lost the war, the Republic would be the winner, and the benefits to the United States would be very limited; As for Pei Chengyi personally, no one certainly thinks that it was his miscommand that led to Argentina's defeat. It's like no one would laugh at a child who can't beat the king. If the United States is determined to abandon Britain, Pei Chengyi will have to have reservations, not only will he not attack American ships, but he should also let the Royal Navy survive. After all, dogs will jump over the wall when they are in a hurry, let alone the Royal Navy, which has a glorious history of hundreds of years; It really pushed the British. Argentina will definitely have to pay more for this conflict, which means that the Republic will have to pay more; For Pei Chengyi, if a conflict that could have been easily won turned into a war with heavy losses, even if he wins, no one thinks he is a hero.

In the absence of reliable information, Pei Chengyi can only rely on the limited information he has to guess.

Because Zhang Xiaolong has affirmed that Si has received vital information and will arrive at similar analysis results based on the mathematical models obtained, Pei Chengyi has reason to believe that the US authorities will definitely believe that there are staggering reserves of rare metal deposits on the island.

In the past, the United States would not abandon the United Kingdom. Because Agen has passed Kenbao will not put in the mouth of the United States to cover the six

Only by determining the general direction can you decide what should be done.

It is a pity that Pei Chengyi made a mistake in the general direction. Although he can't be blamed for this, no matter who is replaced, even Wang Yuanqing will come to the same conclusion. But the resulting negative impact is significant, and even fundamentally determines the final outcome of this conflict.

From Pei Chengyi's standpoint, we must first consider whether the United States will tear its face.

There is no doubt that the United States must have a pound to tear its face, the prerequisites. That is, the Royal Navy lost the ability to recover the Falklands, that is, the Royal Navy's task force was severely damaged, unable to seize sea and air supremacy from the Afghan army, and could not cover the landing of marines on the island.

After considering this problem, Pei Chengyi then needs to consider whether it is possible to win this war.

Obviously, the answer to this question is no.

The South Atlantic is not the Indian Ocean, Argentina is not Pakistan, and Britain is not India. As long as the United States is determined to help Britain recapture the Falklands, not to mention Argentina's desperate efforts. Even if the republic bets on the old book. It is impossible to defeat the U.S. Navy, which has one carrier battle group and dozens of submarines, if six carrier battle groups and several attack submarines are sent, so it is impossible to win anyway.

Since you can't win the war, you have to try to minimize the losses and make the enemy pay the maximum price.

Once the idea is generated, what to do is simple.

Tomorrow leads to the sun, in the case that it can no longer be delayed. Pei Chengyi gave orders to all combat units.

According to his deployment, the Argentine air force and navy will actively launch an offensive to attack the Royal Navy's task force. What's more. The attack submarines of the Republic Navy were sent to deal with the task force. In Hua Jianfeng's words. Pei Chengyi's purpose is clear, that is, to drag Britain into the water before Argentina loses the war. Pull the Royal Navy to accompany the funeral.

It can be said that Pei Chengyi's move seems to be very strong, and even makes people think that he is crazy.

In fact, it is true that the tragedy is true, but Pei Chengyi is not crazy.

In the case that the opponent will certainly not be able to defeat the opponent, that is, the Falklands will not be able to defend the Falklands, preserving the combat strength of the Argentine air force and navy is definitely not a good way to safeguard Argentina's national interests. Don't say anything else. No matter how advanced the fighters of the Argentine Air Force are and how powerful the submarines of the Argentine Navy are, they will fall behind in the next year, and they will definitely be eliminated after about a year. Because Argentina has no serious perimeter threat. Therefore, the main task of its military forces is to recover the Falklands. Since it is impossible to recover the Falklands, there is no need to maintain a strong military force. In fact, before 2 and 6 years, Argentina's military strength was very weak, let alone the recovery of the Falklands, and it could not even hold the national border.

In the long run, the only way to safeguard Argentina's national interests is to win the sympathy of Latin American countries.

To put it simply, it is to let everyone remember the battle in the South Atlantic. For this. The officers and men of the Argentine Air Force and Navy must face a formidable enemy with the courage of San Martín and rewrite history with a beautiful battle. Regardless of personal factors, no one can deny that the more tragic and tragic the battle, the more sympathy points Argentina will win, and the better life will be after the war.

Of course, this is not only in the interests of Argentina, but also in the interests of the Republic.

Even if Argentina's relations with the Republic are not taken into account, as long as Latin American countries sympathize with Argentina, they can deal the greatest blow to the national interests of the United States, just as the United States has caused trouble in the Western Pacific, Southeast Asia, and South Asia, and has caused trouble in the backyard of the United States, leaving the United States exhausted.

In fact, as long as the Afghan army fights hard enough. Even if the war is lost. Argentina's relations with the Republic will not be affected much either. Of course. The prerequisite is to do a good job of propaganda to convince the Argentine military and civilians that the Republic has done its utmost and that the defeat of Argentina has nothing to do with the Republic, but the United States blatantly supports Britain. More importantly, it is necessary to convince the Argentine military and civilians that the Republic is a peace-loving country that truly thinks about its allies. The Republic did not directly participate in the war, not because it did not have the courage to confront the United States, but because it did not want Argentina to become a scorched earth and let tens of millions of Argentine people be poisoned by the flames of war. As long as these two things are done well, Argentina's national anger will be directed at the United States, not at the Republic. If the economic relations between Argentina and the Republic are taken into account, it is even possible to consolidate the alliance between the two countries. Of course, if this opportunity can be taken to get Argentina to join the intensive bloc, the republic will make a lot of money.

It can be seen that Pei Chengyi does not lack political acumen.

The problem is that he doesn't know much of the inside story, so his judgment of game humility isn't entirely accurate.

Among other things, it is debatable whether the United States will blatantly support Britain. While no one denies the military strength of the United States, no one doubts America's ability to withstand war. The United States will certainly support Britain, but due to the influence of the ambiguous policy in the early stage, the United States has missed the best opportunity to secretly support Britain. In other words, if the United States had taken positive actions before or even shortly after the outbreak of the conflict, such as uniting some Latin American countries that were more distant from the republics to exert diplomatic pressure on Argentina to demand that Argentina withdraw its troops from the Falklands and expel military advisers and mercenaries, the Argentine authorities would have been completely passive in diplomacy, so that the Argentine authorities would have relented in their military efforts and failed to occupy the Falklands before the task force arrived in France, it would have helped Britain at the very least. It's a pity. The United States authorities did not do so. According to Pei Chengyi's judgment, if the United States wants to help Britain win, the only choice is to go out and join the war. Undoubtedly, this will not do much good to the United States, and even if the president of the United States believes that the island's resources are sufficient to keep the losses of the war low-key. In this way, if the opportunity can be seized to take out the task force, the advantage will be consolidated when the United States hesitates to enter the war. It will curb the impulse of the United States to enter the war, and even force Britain, which is extremely disappointed with the United States, to sit down at the negotiating table.

I have to admit that Pei Chengyi's military deployment has a lot of flexibility.

In fact. This is also a major feature of Pei Chengyi's command of war. That is, try to take into account the possible situations and be prepared for each situation.

Don't say anything else. Pei Chengyi's decision to throw the task force on the chopping block was a very accurate decision.

Even from an after-term perspective, it is not easy for Pei Chengyi to make such accurate decisions based on personal experience with very limited information at his disposal. It can even be said that if someone else is replaced. For example, Hua Jianfeng, who has been assisting Pei Chengyi, even if he has inside information, knows that the United States has decided to abandon Britain and not pursue a unilateral policy in the Falklands dispute. It is quite possible to make the worst decision. That is, let the task force go. In the words of some people, Pei Chengyi was also lucky to get home, and if he had known the inside situation at that time, it was indeed possible to make diametrically opposite decisions. Leave a way for the Royal Navy to live. If that were the case, the outcome would have been very different.

Quote the day and night, in the case that still no news has been received. Pei Chengyi asked the participating troops to act according to the plan.

Until dawn, the task force did not appear.

Pei Chengyi stayed at the command center for a night. Let Hua Jianfeng be on duty after the day shift. He had only gone to sleep for a few hours.

Mutual day and daytime. There is no concubinage in the situation on the battlefield.

The task force fleet seemed to be able to dive, and it was not at all as Zhang Xiaolong expected. Appears in the sea area within a kilometer of the Falklands, and bombs the Falklands again. Of course. One thing is for sure, and that is "revenge." The USS Carrier Strike Group must have converged into the task force sometime during the day. What's more, the U.S. Navy's Fourth Fleet would certainly be heading south from the Rio Grande hills, within a kilometre distance from the task force, and most likely in the northwest direction of the task force. In this way, the air defense cover for the task force can be provided to the greatest extent.

After returning to work, Pei Chengyi went to dinner with Hua Jianfeng first. Take advantage of the opportunity to have dinner. The two of them talked about the daytime situation. Although Pei Chengyi did not look a little surprised, after all, Zhang Xiaolong had already said that before 10,000 days, the task force fleet could appear, and the ugly sun and the flying sun were the most likely, considering that the "revenge" aircraft carrier battle group had just arrived in the war zone and needed time to adjust the state, so the task force fleet was most likely to appear in the early morning of the same day, or at night. But when it comes to the specifics. Pei Chengyi was still a little confused. The Argentine Air Force had already expanded its reconnaissance range to 2 kilometers, even if it did not send enough reconnaissance planes. If we can't have a task force now, we should also grasp the tail of the special relocation system, that is, the air defense fighters of the current task force, or the patrol planes that go out to carry out anti-submarine missions.

Coupled with the attack of the Republic of China's navy, which is on a free hunting mission in the theater of operations, it is impossible to gain nothing.

After letting Hua Jianfeng go back to rest, Pei Chengyi went to the command center.

Although the increasingly violent snowstorms have made the South Atlantic unsuitable for naval operations. However, the Royal Navy's purpose in building class aircraft carriers is to fight in difficult sea conditions, and the sea conditions in the North Atlantic are not much better than those in the South Atlantic, and the task force's adaptability even exceeds that of the US Navy's aircraft carrier battle groups. That is, it would be a big mistake to think that the task force would not attack at night when conditions were more harsh. In Hua Jianfeng's words, if he commanded the task force to fight. He will certainly choose to attack at night, especially in the early hours of the morning, and then deal with an all-out counterattack by the Argentine Air Force in the early morning.

After letting the staff officer make a pot of coffee, Pei Chengyi locked himself in the office.

As the most experienced general of the Republic, Pei Chengshu was a little nervous at this moment. His intuition told him that the grinding Duchway was ready and was organizing an offensive force, and the battle could break out at any time. What makes Pei Chengyi nervous is not how powerful his opponent is, but that he still doesn't know the purpose of his opponent, that is, he doesn't know when he should play the last few trump cards.

This is like a gamble, when the two sides bet all the chips and are turning over the hole cards one by one, Pei Chengyi doesn't know what Du Qiwei's hole cards are. There is no doubt that this feeling is very uncomfortable, because since becoming a front-line commander, Pei Chengyi has not encountered such a passive situation.

In the early morning of the 23rd, Pei Chengyi asked the staff officer to make him a second pot of coffee.

When he saw the person who came in with a coffee pot, Pei Chengyi was stunned for a moment, wondering if he was dazzled, and then reacted, and realized that in this gamble, he was not a crop, nor a player, but a dealer who flopped for the dealer.