On July 11, 2016, Beijing time was 430

Following the Japanese Foreign Minister's strongly-worded diplomatic statement two hours earlier, hinting at the possibility of a military conflict, the attention of the world's news media was locked on the Republic's Ministry of Foreign Affairs

Two hours of silence was enough to send chills down the hearts of the reporters waiting outside the Foreign Ministry's press center

In the past six months, the Republic has clashed with Japan several times, and almost every time it was the Republic of China that took the lead in issuing a strongly worded diplomatic statement, which ended in Japan making major concessions, reminiscent of last year's Security Council meeting, when the Republic vetoed a proposal to expand the size of the permanent membership, extincting Japan's dream of becoming a permanent member, and almost no one doubted that the Republic would once again wield a big stick to give Japan a little color

Before the spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic announced the convening of the press conference, several well-known television stations made analytical comments

N's view is the most radical, believing that the Republic will take a tougher stance and will not make the slightest concession, but will also take advantage of this opportunity to recover the Diaoyu Islands

Several European television stations commented on a more moderate level, arguing that the likelihood of a war was unlikely

The most striking are two editorials published by Japan's Kyodo News Agency

In one of the editorials, the analysis focused on the possibility of a military conflict between China and Japan, and the serious consequences arising therefrom. He emphasized that even if a war breaks out, it will only be a small-scale local war because of Japan's alliance with the United States and the fact that the Republic does not have the ability to directly confront the United States, and it will not turn into a full-scale war between China and Japan, let alone a world war

Because Kyodo News is Japan's official media, Japan's official attitude can be seen from this editorial

Like its national nature, Japan hopes to benefit from the conflict but is also afraid of suffering heavy losses, and the entire editorial emphasizes the importance of the "US-Japan alliance" and expounds the enormous influence of the United States on the Sino-Japanese conflict

Another editorial focused on the strategies and tactics that both sides might adopt in the event of a military conflict

Completely different from the previous editorial, this one from a retired adjutant of the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force was full of self-confidence and even complacency

According to the editorial's analysis, there is zero possibility that the two sides will mainly use their fleets and aviation ground forces to participate in the battlefield

In the decisive battle of the fleet, the Japanese Maritime Self-Defense Force, which has four helicopter destroyers, eight air defense destroyers, and 24 multipurpose destroyers, will have absolute superiority in strength and combat power, and if the opponent is the East China Sea Fleet of the Republic, one "90 Fleet" will be able to win, and the two "90 Fleet" will be able to win a complete victory

In terms of air operations, with more than 24 F-2,200 F-15-2 fighters and more than 10 AWACS aircraft, the Japanese Air Self-Defense Force was able to defeat the air power of the Republic of China within 23 hours, seize air supremacy on the battlefield, and defeat the Republic of China's maritime fleet

The editorial finally concluded that the Sea of Japan and the air were capable of annihilating the enemy within 3 hours!

On the surface, this editorial is not unreasonable, but a deeper analysis can reveal the problem

The retired adjutant of the Sea of Japan emphasized the superiority of Japan's military strength and deliberately avoided the weak-sighted forces, regardless of whether or not the dozens of surface warships of the East China Sea Fleet of the Republic of China are furnished, whether the South China Sea Fleet and the North Sea Fleet will participate in the war, and how strong the combat capability of the hundreds of advanced fighters of the Republic of China's naval air force and air force are, Japan is too far behind just by looking at the submarine strength of the two sides

The Navy of the Republic of Japan is capable of mobilizing at least six attack nuclear submarines and more than a dozen conventional submarines, and there are only more than 10 conventional submarines in the Sea of Japan, and the scale of the forces of the two sides is not at the same level, and their combat capability is still less at the same level

In terms of combat experience, the two sides are also not the same

The navy and air force of the Republic of China have just participated in the Fourth Indo-Pakistani War, and a large number of officers and men, especially the pilots of the air force, have experienced the test of war and gained actual combat experience

Regardless of whether war breaks out between China and Japan, what the final outcome will be, and what the impact will be, Kyodo News editorials have only limited reference value, and the attitude of the Republic plays a key role

At 445, Huang Guowei walked into the press conference field

, today is just a press conference, the foreign minister does not accept any questions"

As the spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced the discipline of the venue, Huang Guowei stepped to the front stage, and the press conference was held 10 minutes earlier than scheduled

"Hello everyone, I am Huang Guowei, Minister of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China," Huang Guowei did not disappoint the reporters present with his brief opening remarks, serious tone, and steady demeanor: "A few hours ago, Chinese non-governmental figures were brutally shelled by the Japanese side on Diaoyu Dao, and on behalf of the State Council of the People's Republic of China, we strongly condemn the barbaric, bloody, and violent acts of the Japanese side, and demand that the Japanese side severely punish the relevant personnel and give an explanation to the Chinese government and Chinese people."

The atmosphere at the venue became tense, and reporters turned their cameras at Huang Guowei, looking forward to the foreign minister's next sentence

"Since ancient times, Diaoyu Dao has been China's sacred and inviolable territory, as early as the Yongle period of the Ming Dynasty, the island belonged to China, and it is clearly recorded in historical documents that after World War II, Diaoyu Dao was returned to China along with the Taiwan archipelago According to the United Nations Convention on the Continental Shelf, Diaoyu Dao should be part of the island of Taiwan, and Japan has occupied Diaoyu Dao for a long time, expelled our fishermen, barbarously dealt with our citizens, created international incidents, and caused national disputes. We demand that Japan abide by the "Potsdam Proclamation," abide by relevant international conventions, and make a wise choice We are willing to conduct practical, in-depth, open and frank negotiations and consultations with Japan on territorial and maritime disputes, resolve bilateral disputes through peaceful means, and resolve contradictions and conflicts We hope that Japan can respect the feelings of the Chinese people, consider the friendly and cooperative relations between China and Japan, and jointly resolve contradictions and develop friendship."

As soon as Huang Guowei's words fell, the venue exploded

After a moment of silence, hundreds of foreign journalists were the first to stand up and ask questions

"Mr. Foreign Minister, can you elaborate on your country's attitude?"

"Mr. Foreign Minister, does this indicate that your country is willing to make significant concessions?"

"Mr. Foreign Minister, does this statement indicate your country's readiness to settle the dispute through peaceful negotiations?"

"Mr. Foreign Minister, has your country given up military means?"

……

"Ladies and gentlemen, this is a press conference, not a press conference, please follow the order of the venue."

When the press spokesman blocked the reporters, Huang Guowei left the venue through the side door and entered the Ministry of Foreign Affairs building

The republic's diplomatic statement can only be described as "unexpected", and within ten minutes, dozens of well-known television stations around the world took turns to report the relevant news, and within fifteen minutes, and half an hour after detailed comments appeared on the Internet, the newspaper "Taxi" took the lead in publishing the latest report on the front page, and in the following hours, all the newspapers in the Western Hemisphere that issued in the morning made relevant reports

War, or peace?

At 530 p.m., less than half an hour after the statement of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the spokesman of the Ministry of Defense of the Republic issued a message

In order to deal with possible contingencies, the East Sea Fleet of the Navy of the Republic and related combat units have been put into combat readiness

War, or peace!?

No one can answer this question, not even the most qualified military and diplomatic commentators, who have been able to decipher the two statements issued by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Ministry of Defence of the Republic

For a time, there were different opinions, and the situation in the East China Sea became even more confusing

U.S. President Roddick read relevant news reports at breakfast and listened to a briefing by CIA~ Director Nayd

For the US president, who holds high the "banner of anti-terrorism," the situation in the East China Sea is far from being as simple as rumored by the outside world

Through the network of military reconnaissance satellites, the CIA and the US Joint Staff have control over every move of the Republican ** team, the East China Sea Fleet is pouring out, the South China Sea Fleet is assembling, and the North Sea Fleet is also ready to leave the port, more than 20 submarines have quietly left port, and as many as 300 combat aircraft are deployed in the eastern and southeastern coastal areas of the mainland

Is this a simple precaution? The devil believes

At 8 p.m. Tokyo time, Japanese Prime Minister Ozawa received a hotline call from Roddick

In the past few hours, the Japanese prime minister, who has not done much since taking office, watched the relevant news reports and listened to the briefing of the chief of the Chief Cabinet Service

Sino-Japanese relations, which have deteriorated sharply over the past few years, have forced Ozawa to believe that the head of state of the republic is an absolute hawk leader, and the South Asian War a year ago forced Ozawa to reassess the military strength of the republic and put a big question mark on Japan's defense capabilities

The two statements with completely opposite meanings made it difficult for Ozawa to sleep

After receiving Roddick's phone call, the Japanese prime minister breathed a sigh of relief that the "US-Japan alliance" is Japan's basic policy, and as long as the United States is willing to draw its sword to help, there is nothing to worry about

At this time, a long-range maritime patrol aircraft was flying at a speed of 650 meters per hour in the direction of the Diaoyu Islands

Damn it*

Today's 30 more, kill the first place on the update champion list, and beg for a monthly pass! (To be continued)