Chapter 1196: East or West?

"Since the departure of Prime Minister Bismarck, the Germans have become more accustomed to solving problems with their sabers, and in World War I they destroyed Tsarist Russia and inflicted heavy losses on Britain and France. Less than 10 years after the end of the war, they had knocked their erstwhile ally Italy to the ground. Carved up the poor country with Austria-Hungary. In the country's lexicon, there seem to be only two words left, one is submission and the other is destruction. In the royal palace in Tehran, Lisaza said with trepidation.

"If nothing else, after settling the affairs of Europe, the next target of the Allies is us, whether it is our oil or strategic location, which is coveted by Germany and Turkey, we are rich people with a lot of money, but we do not have the slightest ability to protect ourselves." Prime Minister Mansour couldn't help but sigh and said. "The Allies have already begun to act, and today the Turkish government has just sent a note requesting the formation of a joint defense fleet with the Persian Navy on the pretext of ensuring the safety of shipping in the Persian Gulf and preventing the entry of foreign navies. But you know, the most powerful warship of our Navy is nothing more than a destroyer. What the Turks want is our ports, and in turn, control of our oil export routes. The lifeblood of our economy will be in the hands of the Allies. And this is only the first step, the next step is to garrison our troops, and then tie us to the chariots of the Allies in the name of allies, and if we refuse, it will mean war. ”

"Is it like Italy?" Lizaza muttered to herself. "Even a country like Italy cannot protect itself, so will all Asian and European countries have to choose their own side in a future war? And as a small country in the middle, no matter which side it joins, our country will become a battlefield, which is terrible! ”

"Actually, it's also an opportunity. Take the side of the winner, and together with the winner, we will get a piece of the pie from the body of the loser. What was the Ottoman Empire like before World War 1? A fragile and decaying country, but after the end of World War I. He gained Transcaucasia and consolidated his rule in the Arabian Peninsula. Some territories were also acquired from the Balkans. The dividends of the war and the rise in government prestige after the victory gave a new lease of life to the ancient empire, and Turkey's power was growing rapidly with the financial and technical support of the Allies. Although they are still subject to certain diplomatic and military restrictions, it is undeniable that they are much better than in the past. Why can't we take advantage of this opportunity to change ourselves? Mohammed Frugi on the side said.

"Germany is a tiger, but Britain is not a wolf. Did the British take less from Iran for hundreds of years? Even if we sided with them, the British would still use us as cannon fodder to drain the Germans and plunder our resources. Mansour said, glancing at Frugi.

"British? No, no, no. Britain is not the only country that opposes Germany, but also the United States and China, and the United States is too far away from us, so we don't think about it for now, I think China is a partner to work with, China is stronger than Britain, and relatively speaking, it is easier to speak. How so? I feel that what Huaxia needs is an ally, an ally that can help them control the Middle East. Looking at Mansour, who was about to speak, Fruji made a gesture to the other party to listen to him.

"If the Spaniards want land and actual control. Conquer nations by killing and enslaving. The British wanted economic benefits, squeezing money out of trade and finance and various unequal treaties. Then Huaxia's methods are more clever than all of them, and they are more acceptable. They do not simply obtain benefits, but establish a mutually beneficial relationship, for example, Italy in Europe is an ally of China. In World War I, Huaxia gave Italy great help, and when the Germans raised their swords, Huaxia also traveled thousands of miles to help Italy, and even after the defeat of General Tycho, he sheltered the exiled Italians and their fleet. Although there is no lack of exploitation, at least it is better than those of the European powers. We may have a better future. Frugi said. …

For Iran, it is enough to guarantee its development and regional status. Such countries do not have the need or the ability to compete for hegemony outside the region. Their development needs the help of powerful countries, and the same. They also have to pay a price for this help. And in Frugie's view, Huaxia undoubtedly made them the best choice. Although the Chinese could not guarantee that their country would be protected from the aggression of the Allies. But if Huaxia wins, they will at least have a decent future. Huaxia also needs a more powerful helper in the Middle East!

"The key is, what do we get by taking refuge in China? Military assistance and political commitment? We can't base our country's security on other countries, even if they are our allies, we need to build our own industrial system, at least a finished oil extraction and processing system, with whom we can share profits, but we must not let the other side control everything. And the military, our future security needs to be based on Iran's army, we can buy their weapons, we can be trained by them, but we will never allow any country to station troops in Iran on a large scale. Lizaza said.

"That's for later. At least until the end of the Second World War, we will not be able to achieve this goal, maybe Germany will launch an attack on Iran in a few years, and we are running out of time. Frugie smiled bitterly. Now is not the time to talk about these issues, how to get on the line with China as soon as possible, and obtain a certain degree of security is the most important, and there is another reason why Frugi is willing to cooperate with Huaxia, that is, the Iranian ambassador to China once mentioned at a reception that Huaxia originally planned to unite with the Entente to keep Sardinia and Sicily in Italy, but failed because of the inaction of the Entente, so Frugi believes that if it cooperates with China, Iran still has the opportunity to keep part of its territory. Perhaps not as far away as the Italian fleet at Tycho. If the Entente and China were victorious, then the current Iranian government, represented by Lizaza, would be able to re-establish its rule smoothly and with less risk.

Just when Iran is in a choice, Huaxia is also considering the future layout of Huaxia in Iran. Who has the most powerful Middle East policy? Naturally, the United States in history has supported Israel and Iran to control the entire Middle East from both wings. Historically, after the end of World War II, with the development of oil resources in Arab countries, the economic power and national strength of various countries were developing rapidly, coupled with the spread of pan-Islamic ideas at that time. At that time, the Arab countries were quite united and had a certain strength. Although the strength of the countries in the Middle East is not much in the eyes of the superpowers such as the United States and the Soviet Union. However, the big powers are also holding each other back, and there are many things that cannot be solved by force, at least the big countries can't go into battle shirtless on their own in everything. So there will be proxy wars in Africa, in the Middle East. The largest of these was none other than a direct war between the Soviet-backed Arab League and the U.S.-backed Israel.

Although the countries of the Middle East have money, they are really unreliable in fighting wars, and they have suffered heavy defeats again and again. Pan-Islamic ideology has been shattered in one defeat after another. After the end of the Fourth Middle East War, Egypt, once the leader of the Arab states, settled its old rivalry with Israel after recovering its lost territory. And as this cornerstone was leveraged, the once-united League of Arab States began to be replaced by the nationalism. And by the time of the Fourth Middle East War, the wielding of oil weapons by Arab countries can be seen as the last afterglow of pan-Islamism. Its great power is to make the powerful countries feel the pressure at the same time. It also caused huge losses to the Arab countries, after all, these countries have nothing to do but oil. …

Although the overall Middle East policy of the United States has been very successful, there is only one major loophole, which is the collapse of the Pahlavi dynasty, which is regarded by Arab countries as Islamic heresy (one Shia and the other Sunni). )。 Leave a void in the U.S. twin-anchor policy in the Middle East. Iran went from being America's biggest ally in the Middle East to being one of its worst enemies. And into the 21st century, the Iranian government is still at odds with the United States on many issues. If history is nothing else, pan-Islamism will continue to emerge in this plane, the result of a combination of rising national power and nationalist ideology. The emergence of a bloc of countries that control most of the world's oil reserves is certainly not good news for the major powers. And the best way to deal with this situation is to let the self-confident Arab countries crash their heads in the face of the facts. Historically, Israel has fought five times with Arab countries with the support of the United States, except for the fourth war, which was considered a draw. The other four were defeats for the Arab countries. The fifth time it went straight to Beirut! Since then, the entire alliance has completely collapsed, and it can no longer return to its former glory, and Arab countries have begun to hug the thigh of the United States.

Therefore, China may have to support some countries in the Middle East to deal with this trend of thought, and Iran, which does not deal with Arab countries, and the Jewish countries that will emerge in the future are undoubtedly the best choices. From a strategic point of view, China's policy in the Middle East is almost a modified version of the historical US policy in the Middle East. This time, however, Huaxia will take some precautions against the future Pahlavi dynasty to avoid the eventual collapse of the Pahlavi dynasty due to the excessive centralization of power and extravagance,* and other problems in history. For example, to turn a full monarchy into a constitutional monarchy, as long as the rights of the monarch are also restricted.

Thank you to the book friend water ghost is not me、xy514、The monthly pass support of the dog who plays with frogs ~~~~。 (To be continued)