"The meeting of foreign ministers-level representatives of the United States, Europe, and Russia in Madrid caused a big stir in Cangqiu's brains. 【】

Although the main topic of discussion among the four parties has little to do with the ongoing war, so it does not involve Pakistan and other belligerent countries, but it is at least morally unreasonable for the four most influential countries and regions in the world to decide the future of an independent and sovereign state, regardless of the countries involved.

In the relevant reports, the Western news media invariably quoted the "Munich negotiations." ”

Anyone who knows a little bit of history knows that in the notorious "Munich negotiations". For their own interests, to satisfy the ambitions of Nazi Germany, Britain and France betrayed Czechoslovakia. Although it is not what it used to be, India cannot be compared with Czechoslovakia in the past, after all, India has two regimes, and neither regime is recognized by all countries. More importantly, the main content of the negotiations was not to cede land, but to resolve India's post-war problems, but in the eyes of many Western commentators, the Quartet betrayed India by privately deciding India's future, regardless of the countries and international organizations involved.

The comments of the Western news media must have ulterior motives.

On the surface, the US news media, represented by the deletion, are creating pressure on Sullivan, who is participating in the talks, influencing the US Congress through public opinion, hoping to restrict the behavior of the US federal government through Congress, but in fact they are putting pressure on the Republic, saying that if the talks fail to achieve US interests, the United States will not recognize the results of the negotiations and will not compromise on the Indian issue. To put it bluntly, it is through public opinion that the Republic understands that it must make concessions on the Indian issue and share India's interests with the United States, so that the United States will make concessions in the negotiations.

In light of the ongoing negotiations between the Chinese and US business circles, it is not difficult to understand the intentions of the US news media.

According to the relevant information provided by the Military Intelligence Bureau to the negotiation team of the Republic's Federation of Industry and Commerce, it was long before the outbreak of the war. U.S. companies began to withdraw from India and were ready to evacuate people during the war. After the outbreak of the war, the vast majority of Americans in India left India within two days. Then. The American business organization, led by the American consortium, developed a plan for a complete post-war divestment from India. Although the fighter did not mention how to evacuate India. However, almost all American companies doing business in India believe that post-war India is no longer suitable for American companies to invest, and to ensure the interests of American companies, in addition to raising funds as soon as possible, it is necessary to rely on the power of the government. Exactly, during the war. Lobby groups from major corporate guilds in the United States have been stationed in Washington, D.C., and have launched lobbying work in both houses of Congress, demanding that Congress urge the government. When necessary, the government should intervene to protect the interests of American businesses.

This is where Brandino made secret contact between Sullivan and the Republic's foreign minister, Yan Shanglong.

For U.S. companies in India, there are only two outcomes: the Indian government confiscating all assets or selling them to a third party.

Although the U.S. government can provide subsidies to damaged companies by freezing Indian assets in the United States, India's assets in the United States account for less than 10 percent of U.S. investment in India. In other words, even if all Indian assets in the United States are frozen, it will not compensate for the losses of American companies.

The ideal way to do this is to sell the assets to a third party. Valve reads the new chapter, choose the book, "The old little Ning Qinquan."

The only companies that really have the ability and the desire to buy American companies in India are the Republic's consortia and enterprises.

From the standpoint of American corporations, what they want is nothing more than more profits, and they can sell those assets that have been damaged by the war and are already worthless at a better price.

At this time, the US news media is building momentum and making a fuss about India's post-war problems, which is nothing more than to let the Republic's consortiums and enterprises know that the United States will not make easy political concessions, and that if the Republic wants to control India, it must first acquire the assets of American companies in India. Of course, this would also convince the government of the Republic to buy American corporate assets in India. It can make the Madrid negotiations a little easier.

The European news media followed suit, with similar goals.

Although European companies have also invested a lot in India, European companies have not achieved a decisive position in India. So the impact is much smaller.

From the standpoint of Europe, it can be seen that the European news media is hyping up the purpose of the Madrid negotiations.

Everyone knows that after the end of the war, the first thing the republic will deal with is the United States. Because Rurajapani had already confiscated a large number of businesses during the war, the Republic, or more precisely the New Delhi regime, did not need to do anything at all, as long as Rurajapani's actions were carried out to the end, so that American companies could leave India in disgrace.

The question is, can the republic dominate India?

The tough performance of the United States has given Xu Zhou enough reason to believe that the Republic cannot dominate India alone.

Since the republic does not have the ability to dominate India, it has to find a few allies, Kistan, Nepal, Bangladesh and other participating countries are too light to play a big role, and it is difficult to help the republic in the negotiations, regardless of their alliance with the republic. That is, the republic needs at least one weighty ally by sharing in the benefits of India's post-war reconstruction. Completely drive the United States out of India.

There are not many countries and regions with this ability, and the European Union is the choice.

From the point of view of the national game, the EU cannot immediately fall to the republic, otherwise it will be at the mercy of the republic. The first thing the EU needs to do is to follow the United States to put pressure on the republic, and it cannot be the main culprit, but can only follow the United States. After forcing the republic to make concessions, the EU switched sides, first recognizing the republic's post-war policy in India. Secretly work with the Republic to suppress the United States, so as to maximize the interests of the European Union.

It is precisely in this way that the European news media "took the opportunity to put pressure on the republic, of course." In the quadripartite negotiations, the most embarrassing one is Russia.

As a "quasi-world power." "Russia's national strength is the weakest, and it simply cannot support the global hegemony, so it does not have the basic conditions to compete with the Republic and the United States for global interests. However, Russia is not willing to play the role of a regional leader, especially when the global economy is out of the shadow of the Great Depression and the price of raw materials has risen rapidly, and its national strength has increased again. Russia prefers to participate in international affairs as a world power. Playing a more important role in the international arena.

From a practical point of view. Russia has no other choice.

As the republic has become the most powerful country in terms of comprehensive national strength, Russia's geopolitical situation has been greatly affected, in addition to Mongolia's policy bias towards the republic, and even once there were calls for the "return" of thugs, the Central Asian region, which is a buffer zone between Russia and the republic, is also turning around, and the relationship with the republic is getting closer and closer. Coupled with the Republic's influence in Iran, if Russia does not play a more important role on the international stage, it will be confined to a very small space. The result can be imagined: when the three strategic directions of the southeast, the west and the east are surrounded by the republic and the European Union, Russia no longer wants to become a world power, at most a regional power.

From the point of view of national character. This is by no means an outcome that Russia wants to see.

It is precisely for this reason that Russia has used India's post-war problems as an arena to fully exert its influence as a great power. If Russia can make a difference in India's post-war problems. Its international status will certainly be enhanced, and its influence on neighboring countries will also be greatly enhanced.

From the point of view of practical interests. Russia also does not want to throw away the big cake of India's post-war reconstruction.

You know, Russia is the world's largest exporter of raw materials, and India's post-war reconstruction will definitely need a lot of raw materials, and India itself does not have enough resources, so it will definitely need a lot of imports. That's all. That's enough for more than half of Russia's businesses to live a good life for more than a decade.

Under the influence of the basic policy of the state, it is not surprising that the Russian news media has made a lot of nonsense.

The bombardment of news stories quickly captured the attention of a global audience.

Is this a negotiation that can bring a bright future to hundreds of millions of Indians, or is it a second "Munich negotiation"?

Everyone has such a question on their minds, and they are particularly concerned about the negotiation process.

In the first round of meetings during the thug week. The Quartet did not reach a substantive agreement.

According to Sullivan's demands, after the end of the war, the republic must open the Indian market, and enterprises of any country should have the same status in India, enjoy the same treatment, and have the right to participate in the post-war reconstruction. Yan Shanglong did not give a positive answer to Sullivan's proposal, but insisted that "India's affairs are decided by the Indians", and did not admit that the republic would control the Indian government after the war. and will not be held accountable for the actions of the Indian government.

Of course, neither fell to the point.

Sullivan only made a request, but did not mention the obligation. Fundamentally speaking, post-war reconstruction is of a public welfare nature, with the main purpose of repairing social public infrastructure and restoring the ability of society to carry out normal activities, and most of the projects are basic investment, not capital investment.

Under normal circumstances, this kind of construction work is undertaken by the government, and the enterprise is responsible for the specific work in the form of bidding. Because India's post-war reconstruction is not normal. Therefore, it cannot be fully borne by the government, but must be borne by society. In other words, companies involved in post-war reconstruction must have a social obligation. In this way, obligations are certainly more important than benefits. Sullivan did not mention obligations, so he naturally refused to do so. If U.S. companies refuse to take on their social obligations. Why open the market to U.S. companies?

In fact, it reflects Sullivan's concerns.

It is a sure thing to assume obligations, but after assuming obligations. Who can guarantee the interests of American business? The government is definitely responsible for the reconstruction, and the company is only a partner. And not the dominant party. In other words, if the U.S. companies promise to undertake the obligation to rebuild, and the Indian government cannot effectively guarantee the interests of the U.S. companies, the result will not only be a bamboo basket for water, but it will also lose its wives and soldiers, and ultimately gain nothing.

Of course, Yan Shanglong's point of view is even more doubtful.

The republic as the victor in the war. Even if Wang Yuanqing personally assures that he will not interfere in India's internal affairs, I am afraid that no one will believe it. You must know that Wang Yuanqing is about to leave office at the beginning of his imprisonment, and at this time, India's post-war reconstruction has just begun, will the next president of the republic continue to fulfill his promises? Even if it would, who would believe it? The essence of the problem is. It is easy for a republic to interfere in India's internal affairs, and it will not leave much leverage, at least not any evidence for other countries. As long as there is no way to prove that the Republic has interfered in India's internal affairs, the most Western countries can do is blame the Indian government, and it is impossible to point the finger at the Republic.

Affected by this, the representative of the European Union, French Foreign Minister Nolanqui proposed. A detailed schedule and division of labour for India's post-war reconstruction should be drawn up and recognized by the Quartet in the form of a legally binding peace treaty, thus ensuring that all countries can participate actively in India's post-war reconstruction and assume their social obligations in the reconstruction process. Of course, the French Foreign Minister did not forget the most important thing, which was that the republic had to be made peace. There was a commitment not to interfere in India's internal affairs, and the only way to do so was to hold democratic elections under the supervision of the international community. Before that, the republic must do three things, one is to fully withdraw its troops from India, and the other is to maintain Indian social stability. The third is to provide basic conditions for the general election.

On the proposal of the French Foreign Minister, the Russian Foreign Minister also made a proposal. That is, to end the war as soon as possible. It is necessary to determine the time for India's post-war political reconstruction, and restore India's status in the United Nations as soon as possible. Thus ensuring India's status as a stand-alone entity. To this end, the Russian Foreign Minister first assured that as soon as the legitimacy of the Indian regime is confirmed, Russia will first propose at the United Nations to restore India's seat in the United Nations.

Although the proposals of the EU and Russia are very constructive, the main problems are the Republic and the United States.

As long as the Republic and the United States cannot reach an agreement, the meeting will not be able to make progress.

On the 7th of the old month, the second round of meetings began.

This time, Sullivan did more. It was proposed to deal with the post-war reconstruction of India in accordance with the "principles of world trade".

To put it simply, the "Principles of World Trade" are the basic principles of trade revised in accordance with the provisions of the "WTO", which is on the verge of bankruptcy. Because the thug "WTO" has already existed in name only, the "principles of world trade" itself are not very binding. In the words of the Western news media. Sullivan's proposal makes no sense in the context of almost all countries not adhering to the principle of variable trade and trade returning to the bilateral era.

In fact, Sullivan's proposal really doesn't make much sense.

From the very beginning, Yan Shanglong resolutely opposed the use of "universal principles." Solve India's post-war problems, because India's post-war problems are ultimately a legacy of war, not a trade conflict. Solving India's post-war problems by the same as settling trade disputes is tantamount to indiscriminately. It doesn't solve the problem at all.

According to Yan Shanglong's proposal, the issue of India's post-war reconstruction is too broad in scope, and the main body is India, not China, the United States, Europe, and Russia, so it should wait until India has restored normal political order and its society has stabilized. Negotiations with the participation of the Government of India. The main issues at present are to determine India's post-war status, to define India's political system, to establish a central government that is widely recognized, to restore social and political order, to provide humanitarian assistance, and so on.

At this point, the EU has changed its attitude first.

On the basis of Yan Shanglong's proposal, the French governor proposed that the republic must commit to ending the military campaign as soon as possible, and that the final outcome of the war would determine the provisional central power of India, and then the countries would provide humanitarian aid to India. Help restore normal order in Indian society. After the state of war is lifted, a general election will be held within six months, and a new constitution will be determined through a general election. It is up to the constitution to determine India's political system. The French Foreign Minister also pledged that France would recognize the new Indian regime established through the general elections and provide assistance during the elections.

After the EU's change of attitude, Russia immediately changed its attitude and promised to provide humanitarian aid to India.

Speaking of which, the main topic of the meeting changed.

The United States, Europe, and Russia are most concerned about only one thing. That is, when the war will end.

Yan Shanglong did not be vague on this issue, making it clear that the large-scale military operation would end within the year, and then it would take three to six months to wipe out the remnants of the Hyderabad regime, withdraw troops from India by the end of the early year, and hold general elections in India.

At the same time as making the pledge, Yan Shanglong also made it clear that the United States, Europe and Russia must promise not to contain the Indian regime in exile.

Because both the European Union and Russia have said they will recognize India's democratically elected government, Sullivan has not dwelled too much on the issue of regime-in-exile.

Of course, on the issue of humanitarian assistance, the Quartet has made commitments one after another.

After Yan Shanglong assured that the Republic would provide India with tens of millions of tons of grain and provide India with key technologies and resources to resume agricultural production, the United States, Europe, and Russia all made corresponding commitments, saying that they would do so after the end of the war. Millions to tens of millions of tons of food aid to India, as well as tools and supplies needed to restore agricultural production. Because humanitarian assistance is linked to international food prices, the Quartet Foreign Ministers signed a confidentiality agreement. and pledged to use the country's strategic grain reserves. Instead of buying food from the market.

It can be said that this is one of the most significant outcomes of the Quartet.

Unfortunately, due to a confidentiality agreement, the news was not made public.

Speaking of the end, the Quartet Foreign Ministers did one last thing. On the old day, the Quartet will hold a formal meeting in Moscow to discuss the issue of India's post-war reconstruction in more depth.

As soon as the news was announced. It immediately became the new focus of international public opinion.

The decision to hold a brain meeting shows that the meeting of the four foreign ministers has achieved substantial results, otherwise there is no need to bother the state and the government to go to Moscow for a meeting.

In cases where substantial results have already been achieved. The brain-meeting is nothing more than the announcement of the results.

In the past few months, the governments of the Republic, the United States, the European Union, France, and Russia have successively announced the main results of the Quadripartite Foreign Ministers' Meeting in the form of press conferences or press conferences.

All of a sudden, the whole world thought that the war was coming to an end.

The question is. Will the war end soon?

There is no doubt that this sentiment is too optimistic.

It is clearly mentioned in the news of the Quartet. The meeting of the Quad foreign ministers focused on India's post-war issues. Since it was a post-war issue, it should be after the end of the war. In other words, the results of the meeting of the foreign ministers of the four parties will be realized only after the end of the war.

As a result, international public opinion quickly turned.

When will the war end?

With Al Jazeera taking the lead in disseminating "credible sources" claiming that a senior official of the republic had informally stated that the republic was capable of ending a large-scale military operation by the end of the year, the world's news media turned its cameras on the Indian battlefield.

Will the republic be able to finish this "blitzkrieg" within the year?