It is said that "the gods fight, and the people suffer", Frederick's visit to China was noted...... Starting

On the afternoon of August 8, South Korean President Park Tae-hyun issued a statement at the Blue House Presidential Office, supporting China and the United States in holding official meetings at the highest level, hoping that China and the United States can play a positive role and make significant contributions to resolving peripheral issues, and that South Korea is willing to make efforts and contributions to regional stability and peace.

Subsequently, Jang Ze-sung, first vice chairman of the DPRK National Defense Commission (the No. 3 leader of the DPRK), said during his inspection of the Pyongyang People's Army garrison that the DPRK hopes that the Republic of Korea and the United States will make substantial contributions to maintaining peace and stability in the Asia-Pacific region, and that the DPRK will also make efforts for regional peace and stability.

The ROK and the DPRK have expressed their positive stance that they both hope that the Republic of Korea and the United States will be able to do something on the Japanese nuclear issue.

South Korea's attitude is easy to understand. Japan's secret development of nuclear weapons poses little threat to the United States in the short term. Although Japan has never officially recognized that the Diaoyu Islands belong to China and has not made concessions on the issue of delimitation in the East China Sea, Japan has basically acquiesced to a fait accompli, and Japan will not easily provoke China when its strategic strike force is not enough to make China fearful. The issue of the four northern islands has been going on for a long time, and Russia's attitude has never changed, and it is unlikely that Japan will attack Russia. As long as Japan no longer needs the U.S. national security guarantees, South Korea will suffer first.

Standing in the position of South Korea, it is in a dilemma to deal with the Japanese nuclear issue.

If it adopts an extreme policy and starts to develop nuclear weapons, not to mention whether South Korea has sufficient strength for the time being, even if it does, it will not be able to pass the United States. As long as the United States no longer provides security guarantees to South Korea, South Korea will have to deal with the threat from the north first, not from across the strait. Under these circumstances, the issue of the Japanese nuclear issue has become a secondary issue.

If it adopts a negative policy and pins its national strategic security entirely on the United States, not to mention for the time being, whether the United States will take advantage of South Korea's fire, and even if it will, the United States will not do anything to Japan. If Japan brazenly starts a war and does not use nuclear weapons in war with its conventional military power far superior to South Korea, the United States will certainly stand idly by.

The dilemma leaves South Korea with very little room for diplomatic maneuver.

As a result, South Korea can only pin its hopes on the United States and China, hoping that China and the United States can reach an agreement on the Japanese nuclear issue and take substantive action.

North Korea has suddenly changed its attitude. It's hard to understand.

In the eyes of the outside world. North Korea is definitely under pressure from the Republic. will change the anti-American policy that has been implemented for decades. Japan is willing to cooperate with the United States on the nuclear issue. As a matter of fact. North Korea changed its attitude at this point. The largest reason is not republican-wisely influenced. It's to avoid setting yourself on fire.

Japan's "rationale" for developing nuclear weapons is to deal with the North Korean nuclear threat.

As the poorest country in the world (North Korea's GDP in 2020 was only 100 million yuan. The per capita GDP is 2,100 yuan, which is only 1/28 of the land of the Republic). North Korea has pooled the nation's efforts to develop nuclear weapons. However, because the precision processing industry and the electronics industry are very backward. Failed to make a breakthrough in the miniaturization of nuclear warheads. According to outside estimates. There will be no more than 15 North Korean ground-based nuclear explosive devices. There will be no more than 5 places where missiles and fighters can be used. And there are serious problems with reliability.

If Japan develops nuclear weapons. The first thing will be to target North Korea.

In this case. The few nuclear devices in North Korea's hands have all become decorations. Lost deterrent.

The DPRK's positive attitude shows that the DPRK's top leadership has realized that Japan's development of nuclear weapons will completely upset the strategic balance in Northeast Asia, force the ROK to adopt an extreme policy, and upset the balance on the Korean Peninsula. Although North Korea keeps shouting for the reunification of South Korea by force, the war has begun, and it is still a question of who will be reunified by whom.

This reflects the worries of the "Kim family" from one side.

As the DiKim family, who have controlled North Korea for decades, peace is more precious than anything else. If the situation on the peninsula continues, the Kim family will be able to reap immeasurable benefits from more than 20 million North Koreans. In the event of war, North Korea can only ask the republic for help. Defeated, the best ending for the Kim family was to go into exile; If the war is won, the Republic will treat North Korea the same way it treated Vietnam, and the Kim family must abdicate. Regardless of the outcome, the war is harmful to the Kim family.

On 9 August, Russian President Yukov expressed his hope that China and the United States could reach a substantive consensus on peace and stability in Northeast Asia, and also proposed that China, the United States, Russia, Japan, the ROK, and the DPRK jointly resolve the North Korean and Japanese nuclear issues through consultations in accordance with the model of the "six-party talks."

Russia's attitude is completely understandable.

Although Russia made it clear as early as when Putin was in power that it would never make any concessions on the issue of the four northern islands and rejected Japan's "investment-for-territory plan," as long as Japan did not give up its claim to sovereignty over the four northern islands, relations between Russia and Japan would not be much better.

For Russia, in the midst of the deep Great Depression, no war can be endured.

Nuclear weapons can be used for self-defense, but they cannot be used if you want to.

If Japan makes a fuss about the four northern islands and makes it clear that it will not be the first to use nuclear weapons, Russia will dare to take the liberty of the world

, the use of nuclear weapons in war? If Russia does not use conventional military force with nuclear weapons, not only will the losses be huge, but the chances of victory will be small.

For Russia, the best solution is for China and the United States to come out and deal with Japan.

Three neighboring countries have expressed their stance one after another, and the Japanese nuclear issue has surfaced.

If before 1, the Japanese nuclear issue was not a problem at all, there would not have been a Japanese nuclear issue. The problem is that both China and the United States, which are capable of resolving the Japanese nuclear issue, have adopted a "wait-and-see attitude," hoping that the other side will make substantial commitments, and both intend to use the Japanese nuclear issue to attack the other side.

On August, Frederick was still visiting Beijing, and a major event occurred.

At 9:15 Tokyo time, Japan launched an X-11 ballistic missile from Tanegashima Aerospace Center. About 25 later, the missile's separating warhead splashed down in the waters near Minamitorishima, and the actual range of the missile exceeded 2500 kilometers. In the afternoon, the Japanese Ministry of Defense announced that the first test launch of the X-11 ballistic missile was a complete success.

At 17:25 Beijing time, after an emergency meeting with Zhao Rundong, Frederick set off for China.

Seeing off the President of the United States, Zhao Rundong called Pan Yunsheng.

At the place of dinner, Pan Yunsheng took Li Cunxun and Liu Xiaobin to the head of state.

"This is a picture taken by a reconnaissance satellite." Li Cunxun spread more than 1c photos on the coffee table, "Because it is daytime, I took reconnaissance photos in the visible light band, and the maximum resolution reached 0.1 meter." The first five photos were taken before the missile was launched, and although the angle is not very good, the height of the missile can be roughly calculated by using the reference objects next to it, and the height of the missile is between 18 and 20 meters, and the diameter is more than 2.1 meters. Compared with similar launch vehicles, the weight of the missile is between 75 and 80 tons. It can be roughly calculated that the X-11 is a medium- and long-range ballistic missile with a maximum range of about 3,500 kilometers and a carrying capacity of between 500 and 750 kilograms. ”

Zhao Rundong nodded slightly and looked at the other photos.

"Here is a picture of the missile splash area, and we were very lucky, just as a reconnaissance satellite flew over Minami Bird Island." Liu Xiaobin explained, "Although the photos show a lot of splashed objects, after computer analysis, it can be determined that most of them are fragments of ground projectiles generated when the warhead separates from the projectile body, and there are also fragments of the heat shield that the warhead detached when it re-enters the atmosphere. There is only one warhead, and judging from the range of the splash zone, the range of the warhead is more than 1,000 meters, and the accuracy of hitting is more than 500 meters, so it can only be used as a strategic deterrent weapon. Judging by the situation at the splash point, the size of the warhead is about three cubic meters, and the weight is about five hundred kilograms. If Japan wants to use the X-11 as a delivery vehicle for nuclear weapons, it must make a substantial breakthrough in the miniaturization of nuclear warheads. ”

Zhao Rundong nodded again and looked at Pan Yunsheng.

"It's not that Japan doesn't have the ability to create ballistic missiles with a longer range and a greater carrying capacity." Pan Yunsheng put down the teacup and said, "There are three conclusions that can be drawn from the performance of the X-11. First, Japan has mastered the technology of miniaturizing warheads, otherwise it would have developed ballistic missiles with stronger carrying capacity. Second, Japan does not want to anger the United States, and the range of the X-11 can only deal with us, not against the United States. Third, Japan is making efforts to improve its missile technology, strive for mobile deployment, and enhance the survivability of its missiles. ”

"That is, the X-11 is not the final model."

Pan Yunsheng nodded and gave Li Cunxun a look.

"In the short term, Japan will mainly solve the problem of missile ground survival, and the prerequisites are missile miniaturization and high-thrust solid rocket motor technology. In this regard, Japan has a sufficient technical base, and all it needs is time. Li Cunxun paused a little and said, "As the number of nuclear warheads that Japan has increases, other delivery vehicles will definitely be considered." The greatest threat is submarine-launched ballistic missiles. It is quite possible that Japan is building two or three strategic nuclear submarines, which will be commissioned within three years. That's why Japan will use a solid rocket engine directly on the X-11, instead of a liquid rocket engine, which is easier to master. Judging from various circumstances, it is a foregone conclusion that Japan will develop ballistic missiles with a range of more than 10,000 kilometers, strategic nuclear submarines, and produce more than 200 nuclear warheads within three years. ”

"In the near future, Japan will definitely conduct several more experiments."

Zhao Rundong nodded and said, "Japan's determination and ability to develop nuclear weapons far exceeded our expectations. Now the question is whether it is necessary for us to adjust the national strategic defense system. ”

Pan Yunsheng was late for a moment and said, "I think this issue should be discussed on a larger scale. ”

"Okay, you'll come early tomorrow morning." Zhao Rundong glanced at the wall clock on the wall, "Let's go to dinner first, and we'll discuss the details in the evening." Tomorrow, Lao Peng, Pang Xinglong, and others will be summoned to discuss the progress of the development and construction of the national strategic defense system. ”

Time is running out for the republic to prepare.

Damn it**

During the closure period, every half an hour, the flickering brothers went crazy together, so that everyone was happy!

Ask for votes and support, and come to some votes and support (to be continued,)

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