Chapter 1073: Worry
Although after inflicting a heavy blow on the Blackshirts, Tycho took a series of actions to ease tensions with other political factions in the country and tried to get on the line with the Allies. But Xu Jie is still not optimistic about Italy's future. It's not that the Italian navy isn't strong enough at home, or that the Entente isn't doing its best. With the Allies having absolute superiority in Europe, it would be a real death for the Entente to give up the foreign aid sent to them. What Xu Jie is really worried about is that the contradictions in Italy will intensify in the next few years, and the Entente may also take care of themselves at that time! And there is only one possibility for this reason, and that is the financial crisis!
The financial crisis of 1929 was a blow to the major capitalist countries of the time, with the gross domestic product of the world's capitalist countries falling by a third and the volume of trade falling by two-thirds. And it was precisely because of this financial crisis that exacerbated the internal contradictions in some countries, and finally led to the coming to power of the German Nazis. Although this plane has changed a lot, the root cause of the outbreak of this economic and financial crisis is still there, and this leads to this time bomb not knowing when it will explode!
After the end of the war, after several years of recovery, the current level of economic and productivity reached a new peak, but after reaching the peak, some countries will then have the problem of overproductivity, and another cause of the financial crisis of 1929 is that the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States still exists, and according to the analysis of the Chinese economic department, because the Entente countries did not win World War I, they were unable to repay the national debt of the United States, but borrowed a lot in order to restore production. Such an outcome would inevitably plant a big bomb for the US economy. It's okay though. But if there is an opportunity, the damage caused by this bomb once detonated will be fatal! The United States cannot escape, and neither can Britain and France. Just think about it. In the event of a large-scale economic crisis, would the Allies still be able to help Italy in the event of an Allied intervention?
If the financial crisis were treated equally, there would be no problem in bringing the Allies with them, because generally speaking, no one would have a head-on conflict with another powerful country when they were in internal and external trouble. However, this time Germany and Austria will be less affected by this economic crisis, and the reason is very simple. The problem of overproduction in Germany and Austria will not be very serious. You must know that Germany and Austria received a large amount of land from the collapsed Russia and the Balkan states, and these two countries wanted to completely turn this backward region (as opposed to Germany and Austria proper) into their own territory, and in just a few years they could not complete the construction of new territories. Other words. If Germany wanted to, he could build all kinds of infrastructure and expand its armaments, as Roosevelt did in his New Deal. In addition, the financial ties between Germany and Austria and the United States are not very close, so the impact of the economic and financial crisis on Germany and Austria will be relatively small. And the outbreak is also lagging behind. By the way, it is necessary to add that the German government's ability to control the economy is stronger than that of the Entente. So their interventions are also more powerful.
Of course, because of the same reason, Huaxia will not have a great impact in this economic and financial crisis, Huaxia's current territory is too vast, and there is no problem of overproduction at all, as long as the state guides and handles it properly, Huaxia has a vast area that needs investment and production. It could even be given some shares to other countries. For the financial crisis that will break out in the future, Xu Jie has begun to think about how to take advantage of this opportunity to find a batch of good things from other powers. Bring in some more talents by the way!
Then now the question arises, if after the outbreak of the economic crisis. The Entente countries were too busy to take care of themselves, and Germany and Austria decided to take action against Italy after stabilizing the domestic situation, what should they do? Judging from the current form, Germany has decided to prop up an obedient puppet to control Italy. And the political situation in Italy is definitely not stable. When the time comes, it will be impossible for other forces to sit on the wall and wait and see, and let the Italian Navy block Germany and Austria alone. And once Italy fell back to the Central Powers, the Central Powers would become stronger, and Germany's eastward march into India would become more determined.
In a certain way, Huaxia and the Entente are already half allies without treaties, and Huaxia's support for Italy can be said to be sparing no effort, Huaxia did not want to help for a long time, and as a result, Italy took refuge in Germany, which was extremely unfavorable to Huaxia. But there is a saying that the development of things is not subject to personal will! Even if Xu Jie is reluctant, it is impossible for Huaxia to go to Europe to fight against Germany and Austria for Italy, right? This is not feasible from either a strategic or tactical point of view.
What's the best solution for something that is unobtainable and has a high chance of falling into the hands of an adversary? That would naturally destroy it, or weaken it as much as possible! Now let's see where Italy can be weakened, in terms of national strength and industrial level, Italy is almost the second best of all the countries in the world that can be called the great powers. (Well, Russia is no longer a great power now, and Austria-Hungary, after acquiring a large amount of land from Russia, is significantly stronger than Italy.) If you count industry, even if Italy were to join the Allies, the comparison of the overall industrial power of the two sides would not change much. Moreover, the country's economic shape has not been good since the end of the war, which has made the significance of Italy's national power much lower.
The other aspect is the Army, how to say it? The Italian army is indeed not lacking in elites, but overall, in terms of size, equipment and combat suzhì, Italy is still inferior to other powers, Austria-Hungary was beaten by the Russians on the eastern front, and was beaten by the Americans on the western front, but on the whole, the Austro-Hungarian army is still higher than Italy. (Austria-Hungary said I was shot again.) If you want to be dark, just say it! As for the scale, there is no comparison. Therefore, even if it joins the Central Powers, it is probably better to place most of the Italian army in the colonies and rear to maintain law and order and ensure logistics. The material funds on the front line are expensive, so let's leave them to the German army that is more capable of fighting!
So in the end, it was the navy in Tycho's hands that changed the most in Italy to the balance of power between the two sides, imagine if the main force of the German navy entered the Mediterranean and was in harmony with the navies of Italy, Austria-Hungary, Turkey, Spain and other countries. In terms of the size of the fleet, it was very easy to deal with the Chinese navy or the fleets deployed by the Allies in Asia. For a long time after the start of the war, the Allied navy would be overwhelmingly superior, and even a direct push to death was possible. And once Germany did gain a foothold in India, it would be very difficult for China to defeat it even if it joined forces with the Entente. And in terms of the cost of war, Xu Jie did not want Huaxia to directly break out a long-term war of attrition with the other party.
"The Italian navy must not fall into German hands, they either fled from Italy or sank themselves." Xu Jie said in his heart, the idea is confirmed, but how to implement it? Let's not say whether Tycho will sink the precious capital ships of the Italian Navy by himself, simply trying to take the Navy away from Italy is an almost insurmountable threshold! Who will leave their homeland until they have to? And where can the Italian Navy, which has left its homeland, go? It seems that this matter needs to be well planned.
"Maybe it would be good for future plans to make the hatred between the Italian navy and the blackshirts deeper?" Xu Jie muttered to himself. Historically, Mussolini, who founded the fascist party, was definitely a man of revenge, and this time Tycho caused Mussolini and the Blackshirts to suffer heavy losses, so what would happen to the navy and the Marines who had participated in the purge once Mussolini took power? Even under pressure from the Germans, Mussolini was asked to open the net to the admirals. (Nonsense, if all the people are changed, let a group of newcomers and laymen do it, the Italian Navy will really lose its soul, weapons and equipment are just hardware, and the effect of the same equipment in the hands of different people is very different!) Or that Mussolini suddenly changed his mind, and his political vision was raised by a few levels out of thin air, so would the Italian Navy believe him? Sometimes fear is the best reason.
Of course, at present, this plan can only stay on paper, but it has become urgent to help the Italian navy to strengthen its strength, and only when the Italian navy is strong will the German-Austrian action be more taboo. There will be more time to prepare. It's a race. It's not just a race against the Allies, it's a race against time. And the reward for victory is the Italian Navy! The support plan for the Italian Navy includes two aspects, one is to continue to enhance the combat effectiveness of the Marine Corps, in this operation, Tycho's ground forces on hand are somewhat insufficient, and the final decision on the ownership of a country depends on the army, so Xu Jie decided to provide another batch of equipment and loans to the Italian Navy, and at the same time can send some instructors to Italy, or let some Italian officers come to China for training.
On the other hand, the Italian Navy needs to continue to strengthen its anti-access capabilities against Germany and Austria, and at the same time Tycho needs to have more air power at his disposal in order to maintain control of the Adriatic Sea and the waters around Italy. In addition to the above reasons, another reason is that if the Italian navy is relatively large, then an overseas fleet will definitely be deployed. Italy originally wanted to build air cruisers because it wanted to get a few as flagships for its overseas fleet, and if there was an overseas fleet stationed in East Africa, then even if there was a coup d'état in Italy, the fleet would have a better chance of escaping from the hands of the Allies.
Thanks to the book friend zhouyu1976, hukaikaka for the reward~~, as well as the book friend Orphein's monthly pass, and the book friend Empty Road evaluation vote ~~~. (To be continued......)