Hirohito looked at Yang Rui with envy - from East Asia to North America, then from North America to Soviet Russia, and finally from Soviet Russia back to East Asia, scolding the eight poles and pointing out the country, as if the whole world was in his chest; And in Japan, there is no one with such a broad vision in the whole of Japan. The European-worshipping faction of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs only knew that they would blindly abide by international treaties, and that failure to abide by international treaties would bring disaster to Japan. The more numerous pro-Asian factions advocated the supremacy of East Asia, citing the fact that white people discriminated against yellow races, and advocated the idea of driving out white races and making Asia a yellow Asia.

The former is knowledgeable but extremely cowardly, and the latter, despite his fleshly courage but extremely blind--there are even people who think that the country of rice can be destroyed in three months, what a rash and arrogant thing it is! What is the world like? If the battle against rice really happens, what will it be? What will be the outcome of the war? How will Japan ...... These questions are all the things he is most concerned about, but these questions cannot be answered in Japan, and at this time, Yang Rui is on his side, and he has to seize the opportunity to ask.

After whispering in the ears of the attendants, the attendants whispered in the ears of Fushimi Palace and Xianyuan Palace, and after a while, after a few people finished discussing, Fushimi Palace spoke: "Your Excellency, is it true that no matter what we do and what we do, the rice country will start a war?" ”

When Fushimi asked a question, Yang Rui looked at Hirohito, he knew that this was what Hirohito wanted to know, and there was more than one question, so he replied: "Your Highness, in order not to be so troublesome, please ask all the questions." In fact, the problems of the United States, and the problems of us and the United States, should be viewed from a dynamic and systematic perspective, and at the same time, from the perspective of political science, which is a systemic problem. It is by no means clear with one or two questions. ”

Fushimi's question came from Hirohito, and after hearing Yang Rui say this, Hirohito had to ask Fushimi again - there are many things for the dignity of the emperor. He can't open his mouth.

"Your Excellency, I just want to know why the people of the United States are doing this? What should you and us do to get the most out of it? Why we are helping to stabilize the situation in Europe. If there is another war in Europe, we and the United States will not only be able to avoid war, but will also benefit from it? Is it at war with the United States or not? If we win, but we don't occupy Nanyang and Haozhou, what is the value of war......"

Probably because Hirohito whispered a lot of things just now, Fushimi and Kanin Miyazaihito asked a lot of questions. This is not only Hirohito's question, but also their own. In Yang Rui's description, there are many contradictory things, except that the United States may go to war against itself. They can't find the reason for what they're doing.

When the two asked, Yang Rui was just silent, and only after they finished speaking completely did he say, "Have you finished asking the questions of the two highnesses?" ”

In fact, most of the questions are Hirohito's, hearing him say this, Hirohito nodded, Fushimi and Kanin also nodded, Fushimi said: "Your Excellency, we have finished asking, please explain." ”

"I don't dare to solve my doubts." Yang Rui smiled politely. I had to start a long story, "It's just that these problems are too huge, and if you really want to talk about them in detail, you may not be able to finish it in seven or eight days, so I'll make a long story short." Mainly from three aspects. These three aspects combine to form a system. The first is the state itself; The second thing to say is the United States itself, and the third thing to say is the strategy itself,

Whether it's a country or a nation. Its essence is man himself, and the essence of man is a beast. But unlike beasts, man has words, civilization, society, thought, art, and so on. These are things that the beast does not have. Under the immersion of these intangible things unique to human beings, human beings gradually developed human nature, so that these things were summarized as good, and the animal nature of human beings born from beasts was summarized as evil.

From a historical point of view, the more advanced civilization is, the less evil and more good people have, and it seems that if there is no evil in the world, then human beings will definitely live a better life. Just like in Europe today, pacifism is rampant, welfarism is rampant, and there are even many people who are calculating what kind of prosperity hundreds of billions of dollars of wealth would have brought to Europe if the last war had not happened, but this idea is just wishful thinking on the part of the Virgin Mary and the brainless!

Human beings have been able to get to where they are today, to swim in the sea, to fly in the sky, and to run on the land because of eternal evil. It is evil that drives the progress of history, not good! It is the endless bones that forge a splendid civilization, not the peace of Our Lady's imagination! This is the way of life that has been passed down to the present day, but there is nothing more ironic than the fact that some people are blind to it, and they sit on the riches of war and slaughter, and their mouths praise peace!

Yes, they can practice welfarism, but welfare exists because of the plundering and conquest of their predecessors. Can the British Empire extend its welfare system to India? Can France bring her unemployment benefits to Africa? In fact, in order for ethnic groups, nations, and countries to develop, they must abide by nature's most basic law of survival of the fittest.

The reason why this is so is because no matter what form of government, no matter how the law and tax system are avoided, there are always people who are in the position of victims and there are people who are in the position of beneficiaries. Are the children of the paupers stupider than the children of the nobles? Apparently not! The women in Tokyo are more virtuous than the women in Sapporo, obviously not! But that's all there is to the upper floor? If we only rely on intelligence tests to determine people's fate, we will definitely cause social chaos.

The European aristocracy, which emphasized blood, and the American capitalists, defended property rights, were effective mechanisms for stabilizing the ruling class in the country. In this way, their children can only go to aristocratic schools as soon as they are born, and then they mix in the upper class, while the children of poor families can only go to ordinary schools, no matter how high their intelligence and good grades are, they cannot enter prestigious schools, and their fate can be imagined.

But some people think that this is not good, everyone should be equal, so Soviet Russia appeared, but what was the result? With the exception of a few Bolsheviks who really dedicated their lives to the doctrine, the cadres and commissars were the new aristocracy of the country, whose power was greater than that of the European aristocracy and the American capitalists, and whose descendants, as long as they did not make mistakes, were certainly cadres. ”

It's like a class. Yang Rui said this and looked around the audience, and then coughed heavily. "Now on to the second aspect: the United States itself.

This has been the essence of the state for thousands of years. But there are people who don't believe in evil, and so did the Bolsheviks, and so did the United States. The Fathers of America said in the Declaration of Liberty, 'All men are created equal,' and they said in the Constitution of the United States of America, '...... To ensure that we and our descendants can enjoy the happiness that freedom brings.'" ”

How 'equality' will undermine 'freedom' is clear from history, just what has happened in China in the last 20 years or so. At this time, because of the economic crisis, most of the countries of the world were on the verge of revolution and war. In the former, such as Spain, the property of the propertied is confiscated and distributed equally among the unemployed; The latter is Italy. This is done by robbing the wealth of other countries to feed the unemployed in their own countries.

As the birthplace of the economic crisis, the United States is also on the verge of revolution and war. But because 'all men are created equal' and the **** system, the United States is more inclined to revolution than war. What was the essence of Roosevelt's New Deal? It is to increase government spending to employ a large number of unemployed. Where does the money come from? The first is the increase in taxes, the second is the issuance of national bonds, that is, the deficit, and the third is the issuance of paper money, all three of which are means of distributing the wealth of the propertied to the unemployed;

And will these spending boost the economy? Apparently not! Building so many parks, building so many roads, building so many dams simply won't stimulate the economy. Roads are indeed easy to transport, but the current situation is that transportation is insufficient, so what is the use of building roads? The dam was able to generate electricity, but at this point all the factories were shut down. What is the use of generating electricity?

In the 18th year of Shenwu (1929), the gross national product of the United States was US$96 billion[note 144], the federal government's fiscal revenue was US$4 billion[note 145], and its expenditure was US$3.8 billion. The surplus of $200 million was offset against the fiscal deficit accumulated over the years, and this was the last year that the deficit was reduced, when the national debt was $21 billion[note 146]. And Shenwu twenty-one years (1932). The gross domestic product of the United States is only 53 billion, and the federal revenue is less than 1.9 billion [Note 147]. And what about the expenditures? 4.9 billion, and the subsequent expenditure will be more and more year by year. Last year, it was 7.5 billion, and this year it is expected to exceed 9 billion [Note 148].

Perhaps for the United States, 9 billion yuan of government spending is not much, her GDP last year was 68 billion, this year it is estimated to reach 75 billion, 9 billion is only 12 percent of the GDP, but do not forget, this is only the federal government's expenditure, how much is the state government's expenditure? How much does the local government spend?

In the eighteenth year of Shenwu, when the federal government spent 3.8 billion, the state and local governments spent more than 5 billion; In the 23rd year of Shenwu (1934), the federal government spent 6.3 billion yuan, and the state and local governments spent 6.6 billion yuan [Note 149]. That is to say, this year's US government spending at all levels will certainly exceed 15 billion yuan, which is 20 percent of the gross national product. Taking last year as an example, the federal government spent 6.4 billion yuan, and the tax revenue was 3.7 billion yuan, and the insufficient 2.7 billion yuan was all dependent on national bonds. The essence of the national debt is to print money.

The above numbers are boring, but keep in mind that the personal income tax rate in the United States has been on par with or even exceeded the last World War, and although the national debt is not a tax, the essence of printing money is to dilute the wealth of the propertied and is more odious than taxing. The increasing amount of paper money will cause prices to rise sharply, and people who would otherwise be able to make ends meet will struggle to survive because of the rising prices.

If the United States wants to develop as it has done before, it must protect the property of the propertied people, because the ruling class of the country is the capitalists, and to deprive them of their property rights is to shake the foundations of the American state. However, under the economic crisis, the United States is obviously in a constitutional crisis: according to the US Constitution, unemployed workers can use their votes to let the federal government arbitrarily collect taxes and print money, which is in essence to expropriate the property of capitalists without compensation, which will inevitably cause contradictions between capitalists and the unemployed, and at the same time produce conflicts between 'equality' and 'freedom'.

If Roosevelt's New Deal continues, it is foreseeable that the political structure of the United States will inevitably undergo revolutionary changes, those political families and big capitalists will suffer heavy losses, and may even have most of their property confiscated, and mass politicians representing the broad masses of the people will appear frequently, Roosevelt is such a popular politician, and the Republican Party summed up his election platform as: 'Spending, spending; Taxes, taxes; Elections, elections. Roosevelt was not afraid of the election, because the people had been bought off by him with the money of the propertied people. He has an overwhelming majority of support.

In the United States after him, the number of people who do not work and receive benefits every month will be millions. Most of the landed people will choose to immigrate because the personal income tax is too high. Seventy-five or even eighty of the hundred dollars he earned went to the IRS, which eventually became a relief for the unearned. The country's economy will not be able to develop, the mortality rate will be much greater than the fertility rate, and the decline of the United States, as in the countries of Europe, will come early. And we want such an America! ”

The discussion was so long that with the exception of Hirohito and Bei Shoutong, the two princes dozed off when they listened. After saying 'what I want is such an America', Yang Rui temporarily shut up. After drinking tea quietly, and when he saw that the two princes felt something was wrong, he continued: "Next, let's talk about the last part: the world itself."

The British Empire had ruled the world for hundreds of years, but it had already declined, and although the United States was her chosen successor, the Dawes government did not want to pay a high price for maintaining Europe's prosperity, so it allowed the pound to collapse. The world is now ownerless, Britain can only maintain the sterling zone, and the United States only cares about the American continent. Even the Nazification of South America is not enough.

But in any case, the United States has the capital to take over the world hegemony, and now it is only disturbed by isolationism and pacifism. If Germany had started a war, Roosevelt would have been able to use the memory of the last Great War to encourage Americans to go to war. War is the best way to extricate the United States from the current constitutional crisis, and with the industrial and economic strength of the United States, victory is an easy matter. After the victory, the United States will dominate the whole of Europe and will naturally be the world hegemon. So, we have to stop Germany from going to war anyway.

We want to keep America trapped in the constitutional crisis caused by Roosevelt's New Deal. It is necessary to bring about drastic changes in the political landscape in the United States, and even bloody conflicts and local wars. Only then will the United States cease to be the United States and become as civilized and weak as France. This is naturally the most beneficial to us, when the European and American world is weakening, we are just rising, and within 30 years, Asia will be our economic colony, and within 60 years, the whole world will be our economic colony. However, whether we will become a weak country like Britain, France and the United States when we have more money is another question. Okay, that's all I have to say. ”

Yang Rui hastily ended, and everyone present may not even fully understand what he is trying to say, but he has already answered most of the questions that Hirohito wants to know.

"Your Excellency," after Yang Rui rested for a while, Hirohito asked again, "Is our strategy for the United States to make her deeply involved in Roosevelt's New Deal?" ”

"Yes!" Yang Rui said, "No one can destroy the United States, only he can destroy himself." At present, the national debt of the United States is 37.5 billion [note 150], and according to the current scale of federal government spending, even if the military machine is not activated, the deficit will reach a critical point of 50 billion in four years, and the federal government will face bankruptcy at that time; If the government continues to support not only huge interest rates, but also the number of government bond buyers will be drastically reduced, and the deficit will increase exponentially, exceeding 70 billion yuan in three years[note 151], and then the government will go bankrupt and the revolution will begin. ”

"What about going to war?" Hirohito asked again.

"War is a gamble and the only way to avoid the constitutional crisis caused by the New Deal." Yang Rui said, "As I said, this year, the US government at all levels will spend more than 15 billion yuan, accounting for 20 percent of the gross national product. Twenty percent may not seem like much, but it is four times as much as the economy normally would, and eight times as much when you take into account the fact that the economic crisis has reduced tax revenues. Or to put it another way, the total expenditure of $30 billion in two years far exceeded the military spending of the US military during the last European war.

This money employs six million unemployed workers, who only do things that are difficult to return, and this not only makes the unemployed workers develop the problem of laziness - they can actually go to the peasants, the United States has land, but they don't go, because they don't want to farm, and because the agricultural groups don't want them to do agriculture; In addition, they have set a bad example in political circles -- elections are promises of benefits to the people, and whoever promises more benefits will be able to come to power, and what they will do after they come to power is to raise taxes and print money, and in the long run, the United States will not only weaken economically, but also move frequently in the political situation, which is tantamount to destroying the foundation of American development.

The only way to break out of this trap is to wage war against foreign countries - to turn unemployed workers into American soldiers or workers in military factories in wartime; After the war, not to mention wartime plunder, the mere fact that most of the world's factories were destroyed by the war could keep the United States free of unemployed workers, and this was the only way to completely get rid of Roosevelt's New Deal. ”

"But we have signed a naval disarmament treaty with Britain and France. The United States withdrew from the treaty and continued to build warships and expand its navy, what if there was a real war? Hirohito asked. Won't the rice bombers in Luzon bomb our shipyard? ”

"According to intelligence. The new American bomber has a range of three thousand kilometers, if only from Clark Air Force Base in the Philippines. It could not reach Shanghai, Nanjing, and Wuhan, and if an airfield was to be built at the northernmost tip of Luzon, then Shanghai, Nanjing, and Wuhan would be on the edge of its bombing radius. Yang Rui said, "If there is a war, our air force will defend the country's airspace, even if it cannot be resisted, it has nothing to do with the overall situation, and the industries of your two countries are all within their reach of the north." ”

"But is the intelligence accurate? Let's really not build some empty carriers in advance? Hirohito thought that this time he sent troops to East Africa and almost suffered heavy losses due to missing information, but fortunately, the fleet changed its battle plan and landed in Skimayo. At the same time, the target of the landing in Mogadishu has not been announced, otherwise the international prestige will be lost.

"Completely accurate." Yang Rui is sure, "There is really no need to build aircraft carriers." The United States can be regarded as an adversary of infinite strength, and if we build ten, he will build twenty; We build twenty, and he will build forty. The best thing we can do is to reduce the number of fleets as much as possible before the war, in case the United States increases the numbers, and then defeat them at the beginning of the war with the advantages of home, technology, experience, etc., even if not defeated. It is also necessary to bring the strength of the two sides closer, and then the speed of building aircraft carriers, which is the key to the war, as I said just now, in the first two to three years. This must be our victory. ”

"And after that?" Hirohito and Fushimi spoke in unison, and Kanin Miyajihito also looked at it.

"After that, we will gain the entire Pacific sea supremacy, and the United States will only have the Hawaii base left." Yang Rui affirmed: "But we don't have as many bombers as the United States. So in this case, you can only sum. As long as we let the U.S. Navy bleed enough blood in the process of pushing back from the Philippines to Pearl Harbor and even the U.S. West Coast, it won't be very difficult to end the war. ”

Said for a long time. Yang Rui's strategic vision for the Pacific War finally came out, that is, defensive counterattack. If before the war the United States had twenty aircraft carriers and its own ten ships. At the beginning of the war, the United States sank eight to ten ships, and then, by virtue of the speed of building ships several times faster than that of the United States, it was indeed able to gain sea supremacy in the entire Pacific Ocean in the early stage of the war. Even, even if the US aircraft carriers were not sunk at the beginning of the war, shore-based aircraft could ensure the safety of coastal cities, but what if US bombers could fly farther? The shipyards in Tianjin and Dalian north of Shanghai, as well as shipyards throughout Japan, will be covered by US bombers, and China and Japan will sit and wait for death under the bombing of rice animals.

"Your Excellency, this is too risky!" Fushimiya said, wiping a handful of sweat heavily. "If the United States had a bomber with a longer range, our shipyard would not be able to build an empty carrier! The result can only be defeat! We must preemptively start the war before the bombers in the United States are equipped with bombers with a bombing radius that exceeds that of Shanghai! ”

"Nope! Even if the Americans had bombers with a bombing radius covering Harbin, we would not be able to preempt the war. Yang Rui's expression was firm. Because it's about the final peace talks. If it is we who provoke the war, then the condition for the end of the war will be our unconditional surrender, unless we occupy the continental United States, but this is impossible. If the Americans provoke a war, such as the Spanish-American War, then there will be a possibility of peace talks. Preemptive war has no benefit but to provoke the anger of the Americans.

Plus, we need time. The Americans certainly had a bomber with a longer range, but it now exists only on drawings. On the premise that we abide by the London Naval Treaty, not to mention what reasons Roosevelt used to persuade Congress to equip this kind of bomber, even if the US military gets enough military funds to develop this kind of aircraft, it will not be able to develop and equip the troops in two or three years, it will take at least four or five years, and we need these five years! ”

"But ......" Yang Rui said is not unreasonable, but Fushimi still insists on his own point of view, "With the superiority of the US navy, how can we occupy the Philippines?" If I were Roosevelt, the Philippines would not only have a powerful fleet, but would also have a large number of air and land forces to defend it. As long as they can hold the Philippines, the war will soon be over. ”

"But the problem is that the Americans can't hold the Philippines!" Yang Rui's words are categorical.

"Why?!" Fushimi's voice gradually increased, and it looked like he was going to a duel. "If they build a Philippine naval base like Pearl Bay, and then arrange for thousands of planes and hundreds of thousands of troops to be stationed there, we will not be able to capture Luzon with the obvious superiority of the US navy. In the midst of the constant bombardment, we will surrender after a year. ”

"There is no why!" Yang Rui's voice suddenly became very soft, and his smile turned cold.

"Your Excellency!" Fushimi shouted, "Are we just defeated?" ”

"Of course not. The later the war comes, the greater our hopes of victory, and even if the Americans had bombers with a range to Harbin, they would not have won. Be sure to believe this! Yang Rui said sincerely. At this moment, a mushroom cloud flashed in his mind.

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The author's words cannot exceed 500 words, therefore:

Note 151: The original text reads: 'Roosevelt later said that in the spring of 1933 the big bankers from all over the country gathered in Washington to demand that the government save them from bankruptcy, and they insisted that it was worth it for the federal government to borrow even a lot of debt in order to achieve this goal. The president asked them how much debt the federal government could afford without damaging the nation's credit. Their answer was between $35 billion and $70 billion. …… It was clear that in 1933 the government was far from the brink of bankruptcy. - International Techno-Economic Comparison - The Past, Present and Future of the Great Powers, p75. (To be continued.) )

PS: Note 144: 103.1 billion in original history, 96 billion in original history, "American Historical Statistics, From Colonial Period to 1970", p126, 234.

Note 145: "Complete Book of Treasury Bond Management Business", p397

Note 146: The original historical national debt amount was 17 billion, but considering the prolongation of World War I, the United States spent more wartime than the original history, and at the same time the borrowing to Britain, France, Italy and Russia was also higher than the historical amount, so the national debt increased by 4 billion (Note: The factors that did not account for the decline in the US federal government fiscal surplus due to the seizure of the US commodity market by Chinese commodities are not calculated here, the original historical US national debt in 1920 was 24 billion, and it was reduced by 7 billion in nine years), and the national debt in 1929 was 21 billion. Zhang Hongxing's General Theory of Contemporary American Enterprise: An Introduction to Contemporary American Political Culture, p57

Note 147: The original history is 1.924 billion, and the original face is less than 1.9 billion. The Economic History of the United States in the Last Hundred Years, p426.

Note 148: Expenditure data are the same as the original history and have not increased, data source: Same as Note 144.

Note 149: Foreign Finance, p138

Note 150: The deficit in 1929 was $21 billion (see Note 146). The deficit of the federal government from 1931 to 1936 was as follows: 460 million, 2.74 billion, 2.6 billion, 3.63 billion, 2.79 billion, and 4.42 billion, for a total of 16.5 billion. U.S. Historical Statistics, Colonial Period to 1957, p711