Speaking of this, Yang Zhen shook his head and nodded at the enemy's posture on the map: "In this battle, our army has not invested many troops in northern Jin. Moreover, all the departments involved in the war have gone through a long and bitter battle. In particular, the casualties of the troops participating in the Datong Campaign were not light. ”

"Now none of the troops participating in the war in northern Jin are full, and the lightest casualties are also eighty percent. The heaviest division has only 60 percent of its strength at full strength. Even if you add a division under Du Kaishan's headquarters that went south, on the surface it is six and a half infantry divisions, one tank division plus three cavalry brigades and one tank brigade. In terms of troops, equipment, and firepower, they all occupy an absolute advantage. ”

"But in fact, excluding the casualty figures, the current strength of the infantry can have four divisions, which is already the limit. Cavalry and armored troops, but neither good at mountain warfare. But the entire battlefield is dominated by mountains. Roads are limited, and most of them are dilapidated. The entire Shanxi battlefield mainly relied on infantry. ”

"Under the condition that part of the forces is still to be divided, the remnants of the enemy in Chahar and Suiyuan are cleared, and the troops that are stuck in the rear are left. In fact, without the cooperation of the internal troops, it would be difficult for our army to guarantee absolute control of the battlefield in northern Shanxi with its existing strength. With one division and two brigades in the northeast of Jinjin, our army does not have an obvious advantage in terms of strength unless it does not want to defend in depth. ”

"If we add the 21st Division and the 1st 15th Division of the Japanese Army at the junction of Shanxi and Hebei Provinces, as well as the 32nd Division and the 41st Division under Taiyuan City, the total strength of our army will be less than the Japanese army in front of us in terms of the number of troops that can be mobilized. Although it has an absolute superiority in firepower, in terms of large-caliber artillery, the superiority of our army is not obvious. ”

"The most obvious aspect of our army is in tanks. However, the terrain of Shanxi is not suitable for the use of a large number of armored forces. The lightly armed troops in the Kannai are now what we urgently need. In particular, in the area of mountain warfare, we urgently need the cooperation of our brother troops in Kannai. ”

"This northern Shanxi, even the mountains and rivers, geography and people's feelings in Shanxi, are all in their hearts. We are not familiar with the place, and without the cooperation of the fraternal troops in the Kannai, we may not be able to support ourselves. Lao Guo and Okamura Ningji focused their attacks on the various base areas behind enemy lines in Shanxi at this juncture, which was the real draw for us. ”

"If the Japanese army really reverses, it will be our biggest headache to play with us to surround Wei and save Zhao. Lao Guo, it's not just us who will surround Wei and save Zhao. Okamura Ninji's China expert will not fail to understand this truth. Without the support of the Kansai team, it would be difficult for us to solve the problem in a short period of time on our own. ”

"What I'm most worried about now is not only that the Japanese army will come back to us to encircle Wei and save Zhao, but also that the Japanese army's left detachment is just a cover between Shenchi and Ningwu, and the real troops have been secretly transferred to Xingxian. Besiege the Jinsui Border Region and the location of the head of the Jinsui Military Region, and look for opportunities to attack northern Shaanxi and capture the deadliest weakness of our army. ”

"The main force of the Jinsui Military Region was still fighting in Baotou before. Although our army is rushing to transport goods one after another, it will take a certain amount of time to expand the entire line from Datong to the northwest of Shanxi Province under the condition that the railway only leads to Datong. Moreover, the main forces of the Jinsui Military Region are withdrawing to the northwest of Shanxi one after another, and this situation is not clear to the Japanese army. ”

"According to their analysis, at this delicate moment now,. At present, the main force of our Jinsui Military Region is still in the Suixi area to ensure our army's control of Baotou. The remaining troops of the entire Jinsui Military Region suffered losses in cooperating with Yang Jicai's raid on Taiyuan. It can be said that the gate of the current defense line in the Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningbo border area has been opened for the Japanese army. ”

In addition to dealing with the oppression of the Central Army in Chongqing in the south, a considerable part of the existing forces in northern Shaanxi had been transferred to the Jinsui Military Region before the war. There are not many existing troops that can be put on river defense. In the entire Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningbo Border Region, the number of troops is now empty. ”

"If the Japanese army crosses the Yellow River from Xingxian and Liulin, it will go straight to our Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningbo border area. Then, in order to protect the security of the central government, our army is bound to rush south to rescue. In this way, the Japanese army can not only rely on the favorable terrain along the way to continuously intercept our army, but also mobilize troops to encircle our army in the northwest of Shanxi after cutting off our army's supply line. ”

"Judging from the overall deployment of the Japanese army now, there may not be no such possibility. The 32nd Division has been slow to move when Yang Jicai has withdrawn to Datong and the Japanese troops in northeastern Shanxi have all been deployed in place, which is undoubtedly very abnormal. Even if the division suffered heavy losses under the bombardment of our army, it may not lose its combat effectiveness. It can be said that the Japanese army is on the front line in Taiyuan and still has considerable strength. ”

"With the addition of the 41st Division in Linfen and the 36th Division in Changzhi, the main force is no longer there. However, the remaining strength, coupled with the cooperation of the puppet army, has the ability to transfer a part of the troops to contain some of the troops of the Taihang and Taiyue Military Regions. ”

"The puppet army in Shanxi can't fight a tough battle, but it's still okay to hold on. Moreover, now the North China Front has transferred a group from the puppet security army, and has transferred from Shandong the troops that surrendered to the Japanese army in the former Sulu Theater, and two divisions have been reorganized to deal with our base areas behind enemy lines. ”

"I don't know if these people beat others because of their identity, but they will definitely not show any mercy to our subordinates in terms of cooperating with the Japanese army. They are not like those puppet soldiers in Shanxi, because their families are also here, and sometimes they dare not go too far. ”

"These bastards can't do anything else, grandma's cooperation with the Japanese army and the Kwantung brothers fought very hard, and it involved a lot of energy in the Kannai troops on the battlefield. These people are not those local puppet troops in Shanxi, they are all under the direct command of Wang's puppet government. Although the equipment is average, the general combat effectiveness is better than that of the local Japanese army in Shanxi. ”

"Among these ragtag armies in Chongqing, some veterans even served as soldiers to eat food during the Central Plains War. The number and the gun in their hands are just a means of earning a living for them. More than ten years of warlord melee have made these people have a high level of military literacy. For troops from miscellaneous armies, the military quality is not necessarily really low. ”

"The Japanese transferred them to Shanxi at this time, Lao Guo, we can't simply look at this phenomenon. At this time, the Japanese transferred these puppet troops to Shanxi, probably because they were worried that the local puppet army in Shanxi would leak the news. These puppet armies who took their own interests as the starting point had no conflicts with the Shandong troops before. I am afraid that we will not show mercy to our base areas behind enemy lines. ”

Regarding Yang Zhen's analysis, Guo Bingxun, who had always focused on the Northeast Battlefield and had not invested much energy on the entire Western Front, walked to the map, looked at the deployment of the Japanese army in North China and pondered for a long time before saying: "Could it be that this is the posture that Okamura Ningji is putting on now, and he is consciously luring our army to take the initiative?" ”

"Judging from the current situation, if the main force of the left detachment is still in the northwest of Jin, although the Japanese army has deployed a large number of troops on both flanks. But the total number of troops added up is not very much. It's just the size of a division, plus three brigades. The total number of front-line combat forces cannot pose much threat to our army. ”

"No. 1, judging from the current comparison of the strength of our army and the Japanese army. At present, our army is an infantry division, which is not inferior in strength and firepower to a three-unit division of the Japanese army that is not equipped with reinforced troops. Moreover, the infantry divisions of our army have the same automatic firepower, and all kinds of small-caliber direct-aim firepower are complete. It can be said that in terms of infantry weapons, it is superior to an ordinary combat division of the Japanese army. ”

"Since the start of this battle, it has not been a day since our army and the North China Front Army fought. The combat effectiveness and equipment of our army, he Okamura Ninji should know it in his heart. He knew very well that relying on the reinforcements that had arrived in the southeast of Jin Province alone could only disperse part of our army's forces at most. ”

"If Okamura Ninji wants to use the existing forces in the northeast of Jin, attract and disperse the existing forces of our army in the north of Jin. Concentrate heavy troops to carry out a sweep of all base areas in Shanxi of our country, and adopt the method of encircling Wei to rescue Zhao, so as to completely disperse the strength of our army. ”

"Judging from the current deployment of several divisions and regiments of the Japanese army, there is indeed this danger. But it is true that these reinforcements transferred by the Japanese army to the northeast of Jin Province can attract the attention of our army. But Okamura Ninji was not afraid, while they were sweeping our base behind enemy lines, our army concentrated its superior forces and firepower, and took the opportunity to swallow the bait it thrown? ”

"At that time, his troops were scattered in various base areas in Shanxi, and were dragged by the brother troops in the Guannai in the Taihang Mountain, Beiyue, and Wutai Mountains. If you want to rescue him, where can I go to find reinforcements? Could it be that Okamura Ninji is so generous, regardless of the life and death of one of his divisions and two brigades? One, isn't this idea a little too bold? ”

"My opinion is that the deployment posture of the Japanese army is due to the supply line, and it is temporarily unable to invest too many troops in the Shanxi battlefield. The current shape is no longer comparable to the beginning of the 77 Incident, and the hand of the Japanese army is stretched too long. On the Chinese battlefield, it is no longer able to carry out key support. ”

"You also said that the Japanese army had a very low mechanization range, and its strategic combat operations, logistical supply capabilities, depended heavily on rail and water transportation. The tactical supply capability of the Japanese army in combat made it difficult for a long time to persist in a large corps operation 300 kilometers away from the railway line. ”

"And the Zhengtai Railway and the Beitongpu Railway were destroyed and basically unusable. The grain and ammunition stored in Taiyuan were swept away by Yang Jicai. All the supplies of the Japanese army could only rely on external transportation. With the entire Shanxi railway to the outside world paralyzed, can the Japanese army's existing road transportation capacity meet the needs of such a large number of troops? ”

"I think that the current posture of the Japanese army is a helpless move under the difficult situation of logistics and supply. In other words, the current situation of the Japanese army in this pot-shaped situation, I feel that it is luring our army to take the initiative to fight. With the inner line of the Japanese army and the outer line of our army, we will lengthen the supply line of our army and shorten our supply line as much as possible. ”

"A large number of troops were deployed on the second line in its depth, that is, from Taiyuan to Shimen and Zhengding. If our army strikes the Eastern Front first, the forces they deploy on the second line can be quickly reinforced. If we hit the Western Front first, then the 32nd Division in Taiyuan now can also be quickly reinforced. He even took advantage of the opportunity of our army's external operations to penetrate directly into the north of Jinbei from the middle road. ”

"Judging from the overall situation at the moment, if Okamura Ninji takes the opportunity to concentrate a few divisions and regiments currently deployed on the periphery, it is indeed possible to carry out a large-scale sweep of our base areas behind enemy lines. But the possibility of translating into actual action is not very big for me. This is because the sweep of the base areas behind enemy lines is unlikely to be effective in a short period of time given the capabilities of the troops in the Sekinai. ”

"If a sweep on the scale of last year is launched, the time required will also be wasted by the Japanese army. The battle situation is changing rapidly, and it is impossible for Okamura Ninji to take the initiative to open up multi-front operations and disperse his forces at this time. I believe that the current posture of the Japanese army is probably limited to the supply dilemma. ”