Chapter 166: Logical Judgment on War

Zhao: "We have to prepare for war. Zhao Jiaren sat down at a round table on the deck and uttered these short words, then took a sip of freshly squeezed juice. The juice was a little sour, he put down his cup, put a small spoonful of sugar in it, and added, "It's going to be a long war." ”

Li Hongjun, Liu Meng, Sima Kao and others sat around the table. Everyone did not feel the slightest uneasiness because of Zhao Jiaren's words, nor did they have any confusion. The Great Song Dynasty has been in a state of war for hundreds of years, and has had the Khitan as an opponent since the founding of the country, and then the list of enemies has added the Western Xia and Jin Kingdoms. Now that the Khitan, Western Xia, and Jin kingdoms had been wiped out, the Great Song Dynasty faced an even more formidable enemy, the Mongols.

Don't talk about the Great Song Dynasty, only talk about the nautical guild founded by Zhao Jiaren. From the beginning of its establishment, there was a pirate group led by the Pu family, and then they fought swords and did business at sea, and they have offended the forces that can be offended. The people felt that it was not a time to prepare for war, nor was it a long-term war, but that it had been in a state of war for a long time.

Of course, everyone did not object to Zhao Jiaren's words. Even if it is a refutation, I will first listen to what Zhao Jiaren wants everyone to do.

Looking at everyone's expressions, Zhao Jiaren understood that this group of uninformed guys still didn't understand the war. From Zhao Jiaren's point of view, war is not a skirmish, not a fight when the spirit is broken. War is a continuation of politics and is a very rational category. Just like the warship you are on.

With a displacement of 460 tons, three tall masts, located on the bow slash protruding forward, the keel is three times the width of the hull, the underwater part is streamlined, and the surface part is almost curved rectangular. In order to lower the center of gravity, the surface part does not have any protruding shipbuilding, there are only three decks. Tables and chairs were placed on the top deck from the bow to the stern, and Zhao Jiaren and the others sat around the table drinking afternoon tea.

The construction of this ship is based on the summary of the laws of nature, the summary of the experience of manufacturing and use, and finally finalized the product. Such a rational product will also be used rationally in rational strategic considerations.

After tasting another sip of freshly squeezed juice, Zhao Jiaren felt that he had been able to get used to the sourness in it, and he continued: "After the war began, it was necessary to rely on forty such warships to completely block the sea lanes of Mongolia, and not allow any of them to enter the sea to fight. ”

"It's impossible for the Mongols to go into the ocean, right?" Li Hongjun asked puzzled. This was echoed by everyone, who really did not see the possibility of the Mongols entering the sea to fight.

"Why can't the Mongols get into the ocean?" Zhao Jiaren asked rhetorically.

To such a question, Li Hongjun replied without showing weakness: "How can they come to fight us with so few ships?" ”

Zhao Jiaren continued to ask: "They have few ships, is there any logical relationship between them and their inability to fight with us?" ”

Li Hongjun was amused by this question, "Haha, principal, the Mongols are fighting with us, they have few ships, and they can't beat them, are they here to die?" ”

Zhao Jiaren didn't smile, he asked with a calm face: "You are thinking this from the Mongols, not from us." ”

"Huh?" Li Hongjun was stunned, and then said unhappily: "This is human nature, getting on the boat is to hand over your life to the vast sea, and at this time you still touch the stone with an egg, it's strange to do this." ”

Zhao Jiaren was disappointed in his heart, his subordinates had not fought any defeats, so the arrogance of the soldiers involuntarily came out. With the level of Li Hongjun's old qualifications, Zhao Jiaren did not dare to hand over the heavy responsibility to him at all. I didn't want to say more to Li Hongjun, but Zhao Jiaren suddenly wanted to try again in his heart, and he continued: "Whether you come to fight or not, whether you will die or not, that is the decision of the Mongols." We can't think so about war. We ourselves are fundamental, and we must consider our own strength as a starting point, and not imagine what our enemies will think. Therefore, those who are good at fighting are invincible, and they will not lose the defeat of the enemy. ”

The last sentence used the words in "The Art of War", and Li Hongjun didn't understand it. He looked puzzled, but didn't say anything. Instead, Liu Meng opened his mouth and asked, "Taiwei, what does this last sentence mean?" ”

Hearing Liu Meng ask this, Li Hongjun showed a relieved expression on his face. Zhao Jiaren explained, "When fighting, you must try to be invincible, and at the same time, you must be able to seize the opportunity that the enemy will lose." ”

Liu Meng thought for a while and couldn't help asking, "Then what is invincible?" If we can't fight hard, if we can't fight by ourselves, we will lose any battle. ”

"Hehehe." Zhao Jiaren laughed dryly a few times and did not answer immediately. This reaction is not because there is anything wrong with what Liu Meng said, but because what Liu Meng said is too right, and Zhao Jiaren does not want to immediately express his agreement with Liu Meng at this time. Because in the past ten years, he has seen too many unnecessary losses and even tragedies caused by jealousy.

It's easy to get jealous, especially in areas where your understanding is limited. Confucius said, 'When you see the virtuous, you think together, and when you see the unvirtuous, you introspect yourself'. Being able to say this proves that the old man is a man who knows how to learn.

It is human nature to see the wise and think together. However, the so-called insiders look at the doorway, and the laymen look at the excitement. And most people actually won't admit that they are a white neck, and they won't even watch the excitement. But the tragedy of these people is that ordinary people who are white-necked will 'humbly think that they are laymen'. That's the end of it.

This is the huge difference between the 'knowers' and the 'intellectuals'.

The next step is to ask for nothing but not to be able to get it, and then the next thing is to give birth to negative emotions, which trigger the instinctive reaction of human beings to 'eliminate and deny their own rightness', and finally it becomes a tragedy.

Zhao Jiaren has a lot of experience, if he agrees with Liu Meng at this time, Li Hongjun will think that Zhao Jiaren is negating Li Hongjun, in fact, Zhao Jiaren himself does not want to deny anyone. For Li Hongjun, before he became an intellectual, he could easily 'love the house and the black, and hate the master and the servant'. This is not Li Hongjun's fault, because the human thinking mode is analogy.

For example, Li Hongjun encountered an incident that he hated extremely much, and there were three of them in this matter. No matter which of these three beings he sees again, his mind will be painful because of the analogy. To solve this problem, you have to know the pattern of human thinking, you have to be a materialist, that is to say, you know that your emotions are based on the reaction of the body, that you know that you are actually very succumbing to the body, and that the reaction of the body makes people think that this is the reaction that is 'as it should be'.

As a psychiatrist, Zhao Jiaren must know these most basic contents. In fact, even in the United States, because materialist dialectics are not emphasized, in fact, psychiatrists themselves may not really believe this.

Before Li Hongjun and others possessed this basic quality, they, as knowers, would think that they were 'laymen'. And Li Hongjun based on this cognition, learning too much is harmful to him.

So Zhao Jiaren ignored Liu Meng's extremely correct opinion, he gave Liu Meng an incomprehensible 'hehehe', and then continued to Li Hongjun: "Any status quo is the result of the balance of forces and the investment of forces. Therefore, I ask everyone to look at the problem from their own perspective. If we did not have such a strong force at sea and the ability to use it, the Mongols could have sent troops at sea. Hongjun, let me ask you a question, if we don't prepare in advance, if we don't continue to invest, will we be able to maintain the power to suppress the Mongols at sea? ”

There are many advantages to knowing that they are in the field of knowledge, and they are able to react normally when the content of the discussion is within their knowledge. When Li Hongjun heard this, he showed some embarrassment on his face. At this time, he finally understood what Zhao Jiaren meant.

Zhao Jiaren saw that the other people had similar reactions, and he tried his best to lead the discussion towards the dialectic of intellectuals. "This kind of thing lies in the logic of cause and effect, and has nothing to do with our personal thoughts, as long as the Mongolian ship is seen by our ship after it comes out, our ship will destroy the Mongolian ship. Whether the Mongols were afraid or not was not the same thing as that they would be annihilated if they went to sea. It is possible that the Mongols who were afraid to go to sea were because they never came back. But we have to deal not with those who are afraid to go to sea, but with those who actually go to sea. Our aim was that after the war, no Mongol ships would be allowed at sea. Then there can be no mismatch between the causal relationship and the logical relationship. ”

After talking about this theory, Zhao Jiaren asked people to bring paper and pencils, and began to draw logical relations on paper with everyone.

Discerning causal logic, like any other skill, relies on training. After such a training, many factors related to the naval blockade in the war were distinguished. And Zhao Jiaren was able to continue his basic philosophy.

First of all, 60 warships will be built. Secondly, let these military ships patrol in different sea areas, and sink the Mongolian ships when they see them.

After the basic logic is clear, it is time for the specific operation. If you don't play the flag, everyone thinks it is difficult to tell who is the Mongolian ship and who is the ship of the Great Song Dynasty.

At this stage, Zhao Jiaren felt that the discussion was much easier. He offered his opinion, "These things need to go from simple to complex. First of all, in the South China Sea, all ships that are not registered with our seafaring guilds are captured. Those who refuse to surrender are sunk. The means of judging is whether there are any symbols printed by us on their ships, and whether there are flag speakers that we have trained. This system should also continue to expand northward. When the influence of our seafaring guild reaches the area north of my Great Song Dynasty, it will be easier to distinguish who is our Great Song fleet. Of course, in the farther north, all ships that were not shaped by our seafaring guilds were sunk or captured. ”

This method is simple and crude, but after listening to it, the people at the meeting found that it is the most feasible method.