Any team that has experienced a season of 15 wins or more will inevitably face the interference of negative factors such as personnel attrition, energy exhaustion, physical limits, injury effects and other negative factors in the subsequent season, and the performance of the new season will often fluctuate and fall, which is an inevitable phenomenon - this is the case with the New England Patriots in the 2009 season, and the San Francisco 49ers in the 2013 season may also face such a dilemma.

This is the general view of the Alliance, and it is also in line with the statistical law of the view - regression to the average: that is, once it encounters immediate success, it will inevitably return to the average next, and after one year's extraordinary success, most of the next year's performance will return to normal, which is widely applicable to related phenomena in finance.

This is true for second-year syndrome, and it is also true after a strong season.

But Spencer makes a more interesting point, the 2009 New England Patriots didn't play poorly, but other teams played better; The same is true for the Green Bay Packers in 2012, so could the San Francisco 49ers in 2013 be the same?

Spencer is still the same Spencer, always able to find patterns and novelties in the numbers, and give his own perspective, "Let's leave the past cases and focus on the San Francisco 49ers for the time being." Their defensive team is plagued by injuries and the bench will also be a concern; Their wide receiver team was also facing run-in issues, but ......"

Spencer paused slightly, and everyone else smiled, and Spencer himself laughed, "But Trent Balke's smartest move in the offseason was to keep Lu Ke on the team. As if sensing everyone's complaining eyes, Spencer spread his hands and admitted, "Yes, I still think Lu Ke is the most important part of this team." ”

"Ted Jean now, Chad Hall last year, Lu Ke has proven his ability to play out wide receivers through his command, even if the player himself is not outstanding. Now, we should also put more trust in last year's regular season MVP, right? Spencer summed it up.

Nick went on to say, "You mean, you still think the San Francisco 49ers can win, even if it's Aaron Rodgers standing across from them?" ”

Spencer didn't answer directly, but asked rhetorically, "Why, don't you agree?" ”

Nick paused slightly, then laughed dumbly, "Yes, I don't agree. But my opinion is slightly different, it's not that I don't trust Lu Ke, but I trust Rogers more. Or, judging by the form of the preseason, the Green Bay Packers are now the more trustworthy side. I think the San Francisco 49ers' problem is not in the offensive group, but in the defensive group, and the aging of the defensive front and lineback is really too serious......

"No, no, no, if San Francisco's defense is unreliable, then Green Bay's defense is even worse. Although San Francisco's defensive team has declined in form and ability this season, it may not be able to rank in the top three in the league, but it is still at the level of the top five and seven, and they still have the ability to fight strongly. ”

"It's important to note that San Francisco's defensive team is suffering from injuries, with Aldon Smith, who was the best performer last year, missing almost the entire offseason training ......"

This is how the bustling argument began to spread.

In the past two seasons, people have always looked at the San Francisco 49ers with a hint of skepticism, mainly because the cooperation between Hubble and Lu Ke is too short, and even after a winning season, the San Francisco 49ers still have not been able to win the full support of analysts and commentators in the Super Bowl matchup.

But this year, the situation has completely changed, no one regards the San Francisco 49ers as a dark horse anymore, and the outstanding performance of two consecutive seasons is no longer the level of "sudden rise", and now everyone agrees that this team has initially possessed a strong team background, and the relevant analysis has finally become objective.

Someone to support.

There was opposition.

In the head-to-head vote on the opener, the San Francisco 49ers won five votes, and the Green Bay Packers also won five votes, a true tie.

Despite the diversity of opinions, all analytical commentators agree on one:

It's going to be a quarterback matchup, in other words, a head-to-head battle! Not only because of the "highest salary in the league", but the play and performance of the two quarterbacks will be the key to the victory or defeat of the whole game, this game will undoubtedly be very, very good, as a season opener could not be more suitable, definitely worth looking forward to!

……

"Lu Ke VS Aaron Rogers"!

This is definitely the pinnacle matchup that the entire league and the whole of North America are eagerly focusing on, especially what the two quarterbacks can give in their first official regular season game after both renewing their contracts with the league's highest annual salary, which is undoubtedly the most interesting and intriguing part, and in a way, even more interesting than the victory and defeat itself -

After all, winning or losing is just a regular season; But the "league's highest salary" matchup is the first of its kind this season, and it's also a matchup between two relatively young quarterbacks, which represents the future of the league, which makes it all the more flavorful.

Of course, whether the San Francisco 49ers can continue their cross-season winning streak and continue their strong streak is also one of the important points to watch.

From professionals to amateur netizens, from professional players in other sports to top Hollywood actors, everyone is discussing this clash lively, and the topic of "Lu Ke VS Rodgers" has been boiling for more than half a month, and all of them are warming up for the season opener.

At this time, the two "sworn enemies" were standing on the Candlestick Stadium chatting comfortably.

"You say, if I take a victory in the midst of such enthusiastic cheering from the audience, will they refuse to let me go?" Rogers looked up at the raging sea of red in front of him, it was better to see than to hear, and only when he was actually standing on the Candlestick Stadium could he feel the heat wave, dancing happily on the surface of his skin.

Looking at Rogers' smiling appearance, Lu Ke couldn't help laughing, "Haha." Think beautifully. You know, winning at Candlestick Stadium isn't that simple. ”

"Is it easy to win at the Blue Castle?" Rogers complained directly.

Lu Ke spread his hands, "It's not easy, but I won." "Game 1 of the regular season last year.

"Huh. Ha. Rogers deliberately laughed dryly twice, in mockery, and then tossed the football in his hand, "How's that, does what you said before still count?" ”

"Of course." Lu Ke bowed his head lightly and said seriously, "Our team is ready up and down. You remember to have your credit card ready. ”

After Lu Ke and Rodgers completed the contract extension this year, the two shouted at each other through Twitter, which was originally just a joke, but now it has become an official bet: the quarterback who lost the game today paid out of his own pocket to treat the whole team to dinner - the big stomach of 53 football players hurts for the wallet just by imagining.

While the two quarterbacks are rivals, tensions are playing up in a tense atmosphere throughout the league and beyond; But in fact, they have always maintained a peace of mind, not friends but far from enemies, after the game started, they were rivals in a showdown; But outside of the game, they are rivals who sympathize with each other.

Rogers directly threw the rugby ball in his hand to Lu Ke, and said with a smile, "Remember to prepare the check." Be careful, we'll eat up your latest endorsement contract in one go. ”

Lu Ke also did not show weakness, "I hope your combat effectiveness on the court can surpass that of the table." ”

The teasing made Rogers laugh heartily, turned and trotted over to his Green Bay Packers teammates who were warming up.

Lu Ke stood in place, his smile slowly calmed down, and he raised his head again to look at the boiling red sea - the first time in eighteen years to start the season as the defending champion, and it was also against the team led by the league's latest high-salary record holder, the emotions of the nine people began to boil early, and the Candlestick Stadium was full.

In fact, tickets for the opening game have been hyped up to more than fifteen times the original price, but they are still hard to find, even compared to the Super Bowl, giving people a clear sense of the frenzy of the city of San Francisco. They are ready to embark on the journey to defend their title.

So, Lu Ke also turned around and joined the warm-up team of 49 people in San Francisco.

……

This is the third consecutive season that Lu Ke has stood on the court of the season opener as the starting quarterback, and it stands to reason that everything should have been very adaptable, but the mentality and feeling have changed slightly, some familiar but still excited, full of anticipation and still urgent, everything seems to be familiar but new.

It's another fresh beginning.

In the coin guessing session that just opened, Lu Ke guessed the side of the "word" and won the right to pick the edge, and he chose to take the lead in attacking - this is still the game mode of the San Francisco 49ers.

All the members of the attack group formed a circle, including Lu Ke, who looked to the left and then to the right, and said loudly, "Everyone says we are dead." Lu Ke's first sentence made everyone chuckle, "Because we have reached the peak of perfection last season, even we can't replicate it, let alone surpass it, so we can only go downhill this season." ”

That's what the whole league says. Well, I guess, we're going to die. Lu Ke's voice was high-pitched and full, starting from a gentle start and gradually rising, full of excitement/emotion, "But I don't think so." Over the past two seasons, we've been proving that the so-called patterns and curses are just scaring our own demons, they don't think I can pass, they don't think we can win, they don't think we can win the championship, but! We did it! We did it all! ”

"So, it still is."

"No one can decide our fate! Except for ourselves! I'm ready to fight again, who else? ”

The first season without a system has officially begun.