It is an eternal truth that historical development has its inevitability.

The vast majority of wars are caused by the disruption of the balance of power. This time seems to be no exception. The anti-Charlemagne coalition led by Albion has largely surfaced, the Church refuses to mediate, the countries begin to control the export of goods to Charlemagne, the establishment of the Dowson Bank, and the price of silver continues to fall...... Charlemagne, who not long ago was unstoppable, has now fallen into the dilemma of being poor and difficult to parry, and unless some kind of "decisive measures" are taken, it seems inevitable to spit out the results of the battle that he swallowed before.

All kinds of games and confrontations are pushing the world more and more into the abyss of all-out war, and every one seems to be an inevitable certainty. However, if Li Lin, as the initiator, is to evaluate it, he will clearly point out: in a country like Charlemagne, where the political ecology is extremely special and the policy coherence is insufficient. It is entirely possible that the cascading effect of a contingency event can transcend necessity and achieve unexpected effects. Charlemagne's aggressive policy was certainly motivated by self-aggrandizement and the inevitability of long-standing expansion plans. But when the decision was made at the last minute to make a move on Albion, it was largely accidental.

Charlemagne's treasury was increasingly empty due to the long period of Castilian quagmire, and the high war expenses consumed 87% of the gold reserves in less than a year, and Charlemagne was unable to carry out international trade in the context of a silver surplus and a sharp decline in the price of silver. At this time, Albion took the lead in announcing that gold would replace silver as the currency for international trade settlements, and that it would issue a credit currency called "bank bills" to replace gold and silver coins in circulation on the basis of the country's gold reserves. To this end, Daosheng Bank was established as a joint venture with other countries to coordinate the transformation of the gold exchange standard and exchange rate adjustment in various countries.

This news was a bolt from the blue sky to Charlemagne, who adhered to the silver standard, and from the beginning when countries began to restrict the export of goods to Charlemagne, the gold standard was already the last card that could be played, and the start of the gold standard almost meant war. Charlemagne was now at a crossroads: either abandon his ambitions to invade Castile and other regions, which would lead to a rebellion by some members of the royal family and the army, or fight to the death with the Alliance. At the worst of all, it is necessary to build a self-sufficient "co-prosperity circle" and form a confrontation posture with the alliance. Moreover, it is pointless to continue the endless negotiations with Albion. This will only keep Charlemagne's military and economic power weakened. And it is difficult to withstand the pressure on the side of Albion.

The stalemate on the battlefields of Castile, the abilities and ways of thinking of Charlemagne's upper echelons and the army, and the covert manipulation of certain forces all determined the fate of the peace that was already far away.

In the chaotic atmosphere, Charlemagne's navy, which had always kept a low profile, began to make waves.

Due to the situation of the geopolitical environment and the deliberate suppression of the prime minister. The Navy has long been subordinate in terms of national strategy. But that doesn't mean the Navy doesn't want to do something. Last year's attempt to force Archduke Maximilian of Ostoria to travel to the colonies of Central South was an attempt to do just that. Around that time, the Navy's hardliners began to set up their own policy research institutes to achieve "change." By the end of the year, the Navy had formed a "National Defense Policy Committee". There are committees 1 (National Defense Policy), 2 (Armaments), 3 (National Guidance), and 4 (Intelligence) with the aim of quickly deciding on policy - national policy in the service of the Navy. And then who are the members of the committee: Lieutenant Colonel Paul Horst, Major Prospa Onfontaine, Major Ferdinand de Lesseps...... The whole club of hard-liners is a hard-liner officer.

In less than a month, the committee quickly issued an opinion entitled "The Attitude of the Royal Navy in the Current Situation" and submitted it to the cabinet for review, which clearly stated: "Even if there is a certainty of victory over Albion, this certainty will become smaller and smaller as time goes by, and military production and shipbuilding will inevitably be severely affected by the impact of the fall of silver." It will already be difficult to hold out in the second half of next year...... Since conflict is inevitable, the later the time, the less favorable it is. ”

At first glance, there seems to be some truth in this passage, and it is feasible to write at this point, and the report turns the pen and writes: "Even if we want to make enemies of the nations and seize the overseas colonies occupied by Castile, there will be no problem until next year." At present, our fleet is comparable in size to the Albiang naval fleet, but if our army invests a small number of troops to attack the sea lines of communication and overseas colonies, Albiang will have to divide its forces to protect overseas interests, and by the middle of next year, the ratio of strength of the two sides in gathering their own fleets will be roughly 7:10, and it must be this time to fight against Albiang, and by the end of the year, the number of ships to be overhauled will increase, and the operation will be difficult."

A group of school officers dared to write such words in an important report to the cabinet, not to mention shocking the little hearts of the ministers, and the army, which had always been coaxed, was shocked. The essence of this passage is that the navy is ready for war, and even the timing of the division has been considered maturely.

This is a typical "lower than the top," but unlike the army, which can make a splash of trouble with only a dozen or so men and seven or eight guns, the navy that does not command a warship without being the captain and does not command the fleet without being the commander can not make an accident just by some fanatical captains and officers. The nature of the navy determines that it is not the business of one or two people to go on a rampage, and if there is really a full-scale war, the commander of the fleet and the naval headquarters must nod their heads. The Admiralty was Marshal Jean-Armand de Maile Blazer, the nephew of the Archbishop of Lai, who had considerable prestige in the navy, and who was so angry at this lawlessness that he rolled up his sleeves to smoke the bastards. War Minister Tylier and Titans Commander-in-Chief Janitov did something that made everyone break through the glasses - they signed a joint letter, strongly endorsing the report as good and powerful, declaring it to be "a necessary act to decide the fate of the kingdom", and whoever opposed it was a non-national, a spy sent by Albion, and must die.

It is surprising enough that these two rivals can get together, and the two armies agree with the opinion of the navy, and they still support the navy with such ruthless words. This is definitely the first time in the world, and people can't help but wonder what these guys are holding back?

In fact, the idea of the army and the Titans is simple, get out of the situation.

It is not a stalemate and stalemate on the battlefield, but an unfavorable form of political struggle. As a result of the success of the Saalbaddu district, the prestige of the fourth prince is skyrocketing, the positions of the crown prince and the second prince are already in jeopardy, and the wind of public opinion is becoming more and more unfriendly to the army's military expansion route. In such a situation, the only way to regain dominance is victory - a victory of pure greatness, a glorious defeat of all enemies in a decisive battle. Other words. Their motivation in support of the Navy's all-out war plan was not based on strategic considerations. It had nothing to do with military reasons, and its core purpose was simply to need a pretext for an all-out war in order to achieve a victory that was crucial to the battle for succession.

The petty calculations of the army and the princes could not be concealed from the old fox Richelieu, and the prime minister was firmly opposed to all-out war. Forced him, the old man really dared to kill a few princes and generals to put himself in a coffin. Anyway, it's also the loess who buries his neck. It doesn't make much difference to live two more days or two days less. But we must not allow these eight lambs to lead the country into the abyss.

It is terrible to risk your life, but Archbishop Lai, who wants to stop the army from going wild at the cost of broken jade, has been defeated. The reason for this is simple: the Minister of War and the Commander-in-Chief of Titans threatened the Prime Minister if any unscrupulous person tried to violate the command of the army. The military will not be able to continue its mission, and as the head of the army, they will have to resign to take responsibility.

To put it bluntly, it is to threaten the prime minister with a picker. We've got the final say on this, don't try to make trouble, if it doesn't work out. I'm sorry, we have no choice but to retire early and go home to play with our grandchildren. As for the Minister of War and the Commander-in-Chief of the Titans, whoever likes to do it will go.

Archbishop Lai, who has always been spicy, was stunned all of a sudden.

Charlemagne practiced the "active military attaché system", according to which the head of the army must be active military personnel, so that as long as the army was dissatisfied with the government, only the Minister of War and Commander-in-Chief Titans resigned and refused to be replaced by ministers, and the cabinet had to resign because of vacancies in important ministers. The new prime minister, even if he has already been appointed by the king, as long as the army does not buy it, and the generals pretend to be sick or pretend to be crazy and stupid, they will not be able to form a cabinet.

This is Yan zhòng's act of threatening the power of the crown and the central government, and if you want to change the time, Richelieu must have let these two bastards drag them out. But now the navy under one-handed control is on the verge of violence, and the two armies that have always been at odds are now united, which means that the royal forces behind them have formed an alliance and are determined to save the decline at any cost. If Richelieu had to forcibly stop it, they wouldn't mind engaging in "heavenly punishment of national thieves" and "Qing Jun's side......

Before the risk of civil war, Richelieu retreated. Charlemagne continued to speed in the direction of destruction, and Richelieu had to steer Charlemagne on this journey of death, which was comical to the point of almost sorrow.

The Army and Titans supported the Navy's plan to go to war, but they were completely different in their specific strategic goal setting.

The Navy envisioned a short-lived "limited war" in which the overseas colonies of Albion would be occupied by force in the event of unfavorable negotiations, looting for gold and other much-needed resources, and forcing the parties to acknowledge this fact. The troops and supplies needed were not too many, and they could be withdrawn immediately once the negotiations were reached or the situation changed, while what the army and Titans needed was a brilliant victory that served the interests of the political clique, and an all-out war in which the whole country was mobilized. The disagreement between the two sides turned into an inexplicable play on words, with the relevant policies being revised almost word for word.

From the beginning of "determined to move forward" to "not hesitate to fight", then to "determined to fight", and finally decided to "go to war against the violent Albion", the above obscure word replacement process can actually be reduced to a clear sentence, that is, Charlemagne's initial "southward advance" against Castile was based on the "Seven Day War" On the premise of experience and absolute confidence in its own strength, the goal was to eliminate the strategic threat behind it and connect the coastline, without expecting to encounter the "international column" with the overt and covert support of various countries, still less did it predict that Albion would collude with other countries to take "drastic measures" to abandon the silver standard and switch to the gold standard; under the violent impact brought about by the collapse of silver prices, the radicals within the navy hijacked the navy and decided not to hesitate to go to war against Albiang. The decision to quickly conquer the southern colonies, the hijacking of the navy by the army and the Titans, and the expansion of a local war with limited objectives and short duration into a full-scale invasion and annexation, and the hijacking of each other's three forces as a whole hijacked the government and used all kinds of means to sabotage the negotiations, making "going to war" the last and only option.

Judging from the whole process, no matter how you choose, you will still inevitably fight in the end. However, Charlemagne's rash decision to go to all-out war without establishing a systematic strategic guidance and embarked on a journey with the mentality of "fighting and seeing" did not fully conform to the "inevitability", but a "non-policy expansion" stimulated by the decline of the silver standard.

Once the situation became clear, things were much simpler after that, and Charlemagne continued to negotiate while secretly preparing for war, and issued a message "Cross the Rubicon, Flower Moon 08." The meaning of the code word is "The combat operation began as scheduled at 0:00 noon on the 8th of the flower month." ”

In this way, Charlemagne's three armies with the missing strategic system, the hijacked government, the inexplicable state of not knowing themselves and the other, the "invincible spiritual atomic bomb", the "blessing of the mother goddess" and the whole country went to the gambling table of the vast ocean, looking fierce and confident, but it was not far from destruction.

"Those who count more temples have more chances of winning, and those who count less temples have fewer chances of winning. ”

In the eyes of Charlemagne's soldiers, Sun Tzu's assertion was tantamount to the Upanishads, and even if they were to explain it, they would probably cry out for injustice. In their opinion, their "temple calculations" are not too many, so what is the reason for "few chances of winning"?

The biggest drawback of those who participate in the "small road" is that they do not talk about the "big road" at all. Charlemagne's soldiers did not understand strategy, let alone war, and the starting point was not the long-term strategic goals of the country, but the interests of the military department and even the services themselves. If it is an army under civilian control, it is not a problem that the combat officers do not understand the war, and their own civilian officials are setting the direction. Today's Charlemagne is a militaristic country, the country has been hijacked by the soldiers, and these bastard soldiers don't understand what war is, they confuse war with combat, and there is no second fate except complete defeat. What Li Lin and the elf camp have to consider is just choosing the most suitable time to make a move and seeking to maximize benefits.

One qiē is carried out according to the plan, no left, no right, no sorrow, no joy.

Live.is.the.void。

Life is nothing but nothingness.

No...... This doesn't seem to be the case for most people.

Human beings will always believe in unfounded "possibilities", pin their hopes on some illusory things, until they finally meet the cruel reality and break their heads, they will reach out in the direction of the slightest "possibility", and from time to time create some unbelievable situation.

For this point, Li Lin once experienced it personally.

So until the final plan is successful, there can be no relaxation and slackness.

If you calculate the time, the arrival of the fugitive real yàn animal in the Saarbadu district has been a matter of the past few days, and now all eyes are more or less focused there, and it is not a good thing to expose what is not visible at this critical moment. In order to avoid this situation, a luxurious search and processing lineup has been assembled, and it stands to reason that nothing will happen......

But.

If it happens and the real yàn animal comes into contact with him—

(If that's the case, you'll have to deal with it yourself.) ）

In the red eyes that stared at the map, there was a detachment that human humble feelings could not match.

La.vie.est.daole。

Life is full of fun. (To be continued......)