Pei Chengyi's speech, Li Cunxun pondered for a while

The silence of the director of the military intelligence bureau made Pei Chengyi's heart fluctuate, because he knew that the problem was not Li Cunxun, or that Li Cunxun was just a microphone. The reason is very simple. If the war is ended, it is not a question of generals, but of politicians.

Seeing Pei Chengyi's slightly apprehensive look, Li Cunxun suddenly laughed.

Pei Chengyi didn't laugh. Because he couldn't laugh.

"Don't worry about anything. It's just me asking casually. Li Cunxun said lightly before he turned around and said, "Do you know what the problem is?" ”

At this time, Pei Chengyi secretly breathed a sigh of relief.

Since Li Cunxun took the initiative to mention the problem, it shows that there is still room for negotiation.

"Of course, I'm not a politician and I can't give any good advice. It's just that after so many years in the MIA, plus the experience of being a spy, I can tell you very responsibly that you made a very big mistake. Li Cunxun paused slightly and said, "That is, when you answer my question." There is a very clear utilitarian nature, and it is for personal gain, not national interest. ”

Pei Chengyi was secretly shocked, and at the same time convinced.

This is indeed a very serious mistake, and one that is enough to pronounce a political death sentence.

"Thankfully, I'm just asking, and I hope you don't make the same mistake next time. It's just that," Li Cunxun raised a finger and said, "although it is undeniable that politicians are excellent actors." But you must understand that no matter how good your acting skills are, they are only used to deceive voters, and in front of excellent politicians, there is something and there is nothing, and covering up will only make your inner activities naked. Don't try to cover up anything, all you have to do is give up your childish thoughts and look at the future with the eyes of a soldier as you command a battle on the battlefield. ”

Li Cunxun said this. The meaning is already very obvious.

Pei Chengyi is not a dou who can't be helped, and after listening to the words of the director of military intelligence, his mood is also calm

Come.

It is no exaggeration to say. Li Cunxun's words made Pei Chengyi get out of his confusion and see the future clearly. It can even be said that Li Cunxun's words have influenced and helped Pei Chengyi in any other way, and it is not too much to describe it as "listening to your words, better than reading a book for ten years", Pei Chengyi's bad luck in Argentina has a lot to do with his too obvious utilitarianism. If you can treat it with the normal mentality of a soldier, I am afraid that you will not encounter so much hemp

Finish.

Li Cunxun knew that Pei Chengyi was a smart person who could understand everything, so he didn't dwell on this matter anymore, and said: Xiao Zhang will wait for a while, now let's talk about some practical issues. As I mentioned at the beginning, Blandino and Duchway only saw through our intentions a few days ago. Any idea why I say that? ”

Pei Chengyi adjusted his mentality and waited for Li Cunxun to continue.

"Listen to Zhang Xiaolong. You know about the capture of four special forces on the island. Li Cunxun picked up the teacup, took two sips, and continued, "This is exactly what happened." Let me conclude that Brandino and Duchway have made a lot of detours, and they didn't see our intentions until we had already put on a stance. ”

Pei Chengyi frowned slightly and said, "You mean, the traitor's thing is fake?" ”

"As I said, if you were a member of the MIA, you wouldn't be much worse than you are now." Li Cunxun smiled, and then said, "The traitor is not fake, someone did betray the information, but we have been on guard for a long time. And I know that the four are trying to collect relevant information, so I have been prepared for a long time. To put it simply, the mathematical model of the geological formation of those rare metal deposits obtained by the work is deliberately sent away. ”

"That is to say, the conclusion of the four is completely opposite, there are not many rare metal deposits on the island."

"No, quite the opposite."

Pei Chengyi was stunned for a moment. Then he frowned, not understanding what Li Cunxun meant.

"The so-called desire to cover up. Sometimes, what is false is true, and what is true is false. Li Cunxun smiled. He continued, "Maybe uranium officials care about the reliability of the intelligence and find a way to verify it." But the owners of the White House, and the politicians who plot for them, don't care so much about the truth or falsity of the information. For them, even if there is no intelligence backing up, as long as there is enough political interest, they will still take action. ”

Pei Chengyi nodded slightly. said that he understood what Li Cunxun was saying.

In other words, the decision on whether the United States is involved in a conflict is not whether the Falklands have resources, but whether they have sufficient strategic value. Of course, the president of the United States tried his best to find out the situation on the island and used rare metal deposits as a point of intervention, not because he cared about resources, but because he needed a pound. Reason, a reason for the major interest groups in the United States to support his tough action in the Falklands. Interest groups are not politicians and do not have the long-term vision of politicians, they only see immediate interests, and at most they will only weigh the interests of the foreseeable future, and will not consider them from the strategic height of the whole country. Other words. It is unlikely that American interest groups will be aware of the strategic importance of the Falklands, that is, the importance of Britain to the United States, and the importance of Argentina to us, and to adopt the opposite strategy to the president at a given time. There is no doubt that if the United States does not even have internal opinions, let alone Blandino, who lives in the White House, even if the head is engraved on Capitol Hill

, the core system is resurrected. Yefa led the United States to the final victory" is exactly that, so to send the wrong signal to the president of the United States? ”

"Not the wrong signal, but the right signal."

Pei Chengyi frowned again, still not understanding what Li Cunxun meant.

"Let me tell you, the island's reserves of rare metal deposits are indeed very impressive, and we have analyzed the data brought back from the island by geologists with state-of-the-art computers, and the results are roughly in line with previous judgments. After the end of the war. We will conduct more comprehensive exploration and aim to have definitive results within two to three years to determine whether the island's resources have been exploited. Li Cunxun paused slightly and said. What we have revealed to the United States is indeed correct intelligence. In any case, Four is one of the most powerful intelligence agencies in the world, and although they have not won against us over the years, fake things can't fool Four at all. In other words, reluctant children can't trap wolves. The problem is that if you want to keep the child and trap the porch, you have to find another way. ”

"What Zhang Xiaolong did on the island,"

"You're pretty quick to react, that's how we use it against the United States." Li Cunxun smiled, and then said, "For the squad that attacked Four. We spent a lot of money and took a lot of risks. If it hadn't been prepared, the secondment of Yan Ruilin and others from the special forces of the General Staff would definitely have been a different result. This ambush operation was extremely crucial, and Zhang Xiaolong handled it very accurately. We have received definite information that the four teams were able to return the geological information they had gathered before they were attacked. In other words, the four can use the previously obtained mathematical model to analyze the geological information and thus come to a conclusion similar to ours. Looking at it from another position, if you were Brandino or Duchway, what would you think after receiving the report from Four? ”

"Me?" Pei Chengyi was stunned for a moment, then shook his head and said, "My ears are not beautiful

"Whatever you say, it's hairy

Li Cunxun did not let Pei Chengyi go.

"That's true. The conditions are ripe and it is time to take action, but" Pei Chengyi hesitated for a moment and said, "Is all this coming too easy?" ”

"Exactly, not only did it come too easily. It's too much of a coincidence. Li Cunxun laughed and said, "Such important information is so easy to get your hands on, and it's all when it's needed most, if there is no problem." That's the weird thing. There is no doubt that Blandino must have realized the problem, and Duchway could also see the clue. In this case, it is not easy for Brandino to step down, so there will be no rush to make a decision. Will wait until the second person who sees the truth makes a suggestion before taking action. In other words, at this time, Dudge would recommend avoiding involvement in the Falklands conflict and stabilizing Britain by other means, and Brandino would go with the flow and adopt Dudgway's advice. Of course, if Duchway's judgment is wrong, any consequences arising therefrom will be borne by Duchway, who has nothing to do with Blandino. ”

"In this way, Dudgway is a long way from being a good politician."

"Do you think Dudgway can't see the problem?" Li Cunxun shook his head with a smile and said, "Although Du Qiwei is the same as you. He was also a soldier, and he was defeated by you on the battlefield, but one thing is for sure, Dudgway's political acumen is no worse than ours, not even worse than Blandino. Long before retirement. Dudgway served as a military advisor to Westwood and played a major role during the Japanese War. According to the information we have, the number one contributor to the fact that the United States did not get involved in the war with Japan was Dudgway. In other words, without Dudgway, there would have been no war in India that followed. There will also be no Falklands conflict now, because the war with Japan will exhaust the last bit of capital of the United States. By the time of the Indian War, that is, after Brandino came to power, Dudgway took off his military uniform and joined the Pentagon. You should be well aware of how much of a role Dudgway played in the Indian Wars. Although the war ended in our best interest, it is undeniable that without Duchway, India would have lost much more and the United States would have suffered more. Arguably. Since the end of the Korean Peninsula War and before he decided to enter politics, Duchway has had a very clear vision of the future, knowing that the United States is no match for us in the short term, that is, until breakthroughs are made in the most critical technologies. According to my estimates, it will take about twenty to thirty years for the United States to catch up with us in major power technologies, including composite batteries. That is, during this period, the United States must avoid a direct conflict with us. Exactly. After entering politics, Dudgway behaved unusually, from a hawkish military man to a dovish diplomat. ”

"That is, Dudgway is willing to make sacrifices for the United States?"

"It's not clear if he has such a high level of emotion, but I'm sure that Du Qiwei will never be a doll in Blandino's hands, and it can even be said that if the two of them get into a fight, it won't be Du Qiwei who will be injured." Li Cunxun smiled. "Dudgway must be clear about Blandino's thoughts, but now the United States has no other choice." If it gets involved in the Falklands conflict, the United States will offend all Latin American countries, thus making the expansion of the Western bloc an obstacle. As already said, the struggle for the future will be a struggle between groups of countries, and not between two levels of great power. Although the intensive group has also encountered such as in Southeast Asia, there are Philip and Singapore have not joined the treaty, but the Anju group has encountered much greater trouble than us, and there are Argentina, Venezuela and Colombia in Latin America, and even Brazil wants to set up another door, if other Latin American countries are lost because of the Falklands War, the Western Group is the club of the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Australia, and New Zealand, not a group that includes most of the countries of the Western Hemisphere. Of course. There is also a very critical issue here, which is the focus area for the next 20 to 30 years.

Pei Chengyi frowned slightly, waiting for Li Cunxun to continue.

"In fact, there is nothing to hope for in a country, and in order to become a country, you must first have a clear political position. It is foreseeable that in the next 20 to 30 years, Europe will complete the process of political integration, complete the most basic political reunification, and become the third pole of the world. In the same way, with "Siberia opening up and in full swing, if all goes well, i.e. the geologists of Russia are not lying, then Russia will once again become the richest and, that is, the most resource-rich, country in the world, and thus the fourth pole of the world, and at the same time the weakest

Regarding Li Cunxun's argument, Pei Chengyi did not have any other thoughts.

Although it seems. After all, as early as after the war in India, the major news media made the same or similar predictions, holding that in the future, there will be a multipolar pattern in which China, the United States, Europe, and Russia will compete for hegemony, so that the cold war between the two major powers will become a cold war between the four major powers. In the words of the news media of the Republic, it is from two people playing Go to four people playing mahjong, and the situation will be more complex and changeable. But the comments of the news media are at most just comments, and as the director of the military intelligence bureau, Li Cunxun has first-hand information. When such words came out of his mouth, they must have meant a lot.

"Imagine that. If twenty years from now, or thirty years from now. In the situation I said at the beginning, with four levels of great powers dominating the world, and in addition to these four levels of great powers, there are relatively neutral and relatively powerful regional powers such as Brazil, South Africa, and Iran, and we are not in the worst position, nor is it the most advantageous. ”

Pei Chengyi nodded. said that he understood what Li Cunxun meant.

In fact, if we talk about geopolitics alone, the United States has a unique advantage, and no country is tender enough to compare with the United States.

"Since our situation is the best, we have to find a way to make up for the geographical shortcomings." Li Cunxun paused a little and said, "Mu Yong has no doubt that after the formation of the situation of the four parties competing for hegemony, whoever can control those relatively weak countries will be able to control the whole world. There is nothing to say about the American continent, just as it is impossible for the United States to challenge our hegemony in Southeast Asia and South Asia, and even if we make a storm in Argentina, it is impossible to change the hegemony of the United States in the region. The North African region south of the Mediterranean Sea is certainly the territory of Europe, and in fact, since the end of World War II, European countries have been using their natural geographical advantages to influence North African countries. Russia will desperately control the former Soviet republics, moving south from the Black Sea and the Caspian Sea. Strive to reach out to the Middle East and compete with us in Central Asia. In other words, the real place of use is the most backward, and no one has noticed it now. ”

Pei Chengyi didn't speak, and Li Cunxun said it clearly enough.

"Going back to the topic we started with, will the United States be able to influence the expansion of the Western Group?" Li Cunxun sneered a few times and said, "In other words. If it can't even look at the backyard, why should the United States go to Africa to grab territory? If the opposite is true, the United States can use Latin America as a springboard to land directly on the west coast of Africa, at least to ensure that it does not lose its share in the struggle for Africa. If Dudgway was able to prevent the United States from getting involved in the wars between Japan and India, he could certainly see the importance of Africa, and therefore the importance of this conflict. ”

"You mean"

"If this conflict ends with an Argentine victory, we will be able to land on the African continent from the south and from the east. There is no guarantee that within 30 years, more than half of all African countries will join the intensive group. At that time, not only will the Indian Ocean become an inland lake for the Navy of the Republic, but the South Atlantic will also open its doors to the Navy of the Republic. Got to this point, even if the final duel hadn't started yet. The United States has lost completely. ”

Pei Chengyi was stunned for a moment, and then understood.

"Therefore, the United States can lose the Falklands, but it cannot lose the United Kingdom, let alone Latin American countries." Li Cunxun glanced at Pei Chengyi and said, "If Brandino and Dugway don't see this truth clearly, then what you have to face now is definitely not the Royal Navy Task Force, but the Fourth Fleet of the US Navy." After determining that the Fourth Fleet had not entered the theater of operations, I concluded that the United States authorities had made the decision to sacrifice the Falklands. In other words, the US authorities did not fully understand this game of chess until this time. It's a little late, but it's not the latest. ”

Pool is to say. Will the conflict end soon? ”

Li Cunxun nodded, and before he could speak again, the phone on the desk rang again.

Pei Chengyi was stunned for a moment and didn't answer the phone, because it must have been Zhang Xiaolong's call.