Do you think that a war is needed to protect political reform"..."

Pei Chengyi didn't open his mouth because it wasn't a problem. 【Reading.com】

"There is no doubt that there have been enough wars. Now the global economy is improving. The effects of the Great Depression are fading, everyone is pursuing happiness and improving their lives, and who wants to go to war? To be honest, there is a choice, and no one wants to fight. Li Cunxun put down the teacup, his expression darkened a little, and said, "The problem is that in many cases, let alone me, even Yuan has no choice. War is not something that one side can fight if they want to, and neither Britain nor Argentina is likely to gain much from the war. Even if the geologists are right, the Malvinas Islands are extremely rich in reserves. And the rare metal deposits that can change the fate of the country, there is no need to use war to protect political reform. Begin with that question I asked you. That is, whether the internal factors are important, or the external factors are repeated, it is enough to show that this war has nothing to do with political reform. Yuan's vision can't be so short-sighted. ”

Pei Chengyi nodded. That's what he thinks too.

"To put it bluntly, after the war in India. The only factors that can influence political reform are domestic factors, and whether the United States and other Western countries are willing to admit it or not, foreign forces are no longer able to interfere with China's political reform. Seeing that Pei Chengyi was about to speak, Li Cunxun pressed his hand and said, "Obviously." What you're trying to ask now: Why fight this war? I said it earlier. War is not a problem of one side, but the result of interaction between the two sides, if only the United States wants to create a war. And if we don't respond, this war won't break out. So, what is the purpose of our active actions to promote this war with the United States? ”

Pei Chengyi has long been accustomed to Li Cunxun's way of speaking, so he seems to be very patient.

"It's normal to think of it, because I have enough reason to believe that US President Brandino and Dugway, who is in London, didn't figure it out until the other day."

"What do you mean?"

Li Cunxun smiled and said, "I'll talk about this later." In fact, the active planning of this war had nothing to do with the political reform and regime change at home, and Yuan only took advantage of the political reform and regime change, or in other words, he had planned to do it well before leaving office. ”

That is to say. This is part of the meta plan. ”

"Same as the constitutional amendment. It's just part of the meter. Li Cunxun paused a little and said, "To be precise, two years ago, that is, before the outbreak of the Indian War, Yuan considered the Second Falklands War. ”

Pei Chengyi immediately frowned, because he was very aware of the situation two years ago.

"Maybe you won't believe it, but you have to. Yuan knew then that you could surprise us. Li Cunxun smiled. said, "Although I must admit it, not only did I not expect you to defeat India in less than half a year, and even Yuan didn't expect it to be so fast, but you have to believe that according to Yuan's plan." The war in India will definitely end in the first quarter of 6 years, and it will definitely not drag on until the second quarter, and then we will spend half a year to stabilize India, and then it will take a few months to prepare for the conflict here. ”

Other words. The Indian war sheep ended at the end of the year. Just gave us more time to prepare. ”

"Basically, so to speak, of course, there was a reduction in war losses. In any case, before the outbreak of the war in India, Yuan was preparing for the Second Falklands War. Actually, it's not hard to understand. Yuan never thought of seeking a third term, and he would inevitably hand over power this year, so he had to do what he had to do before he left office. In other words, the war in India was actually Yuan's preparation for leaving office. ”

Pei Chengyi nodded, indicating that he understood what Li Cunxun meant.

"Actually. Long after the Japanese War. The world has undergone a major transformation. The prototype of the future world has already surfaced. Li Cunxun took a sip of water, and then said, "First of all, we have to admit that the future international struggle will definitely not be a head-to-head struggle between two major powers, but a struggle between groups of countries with the major powers as the core. Do you know why we are so much in agreement with the United States on the issue of the total elimination of nuclear weapons? ”

Pei Chengyi frowned slightly, waiting for Li Cunxun to continue.

"The reason is the same, the complete destruction of nuclear weapons is just a "conspiracy" made by our two major powers

"What do you mean?" Pei Chengyi immediately asked.

What is "Impotence,? To put it simply, it is an open conspiracy, a conspiracy that the opponent has no way to deal with, and a conspiracy that does not need to be kept secret. So, who are our adversaries with the United States? There is no doubt that countries that have the potential to become a great power, such as Russia, such as Europe, such as Brazil, and so on. Fundamentally speaking, we and the United States have spared no effort to support the comprehensive destruction of nuclear weapons, in order to make the greatest use of our superiority in conventional military forces and to make a country like Russia, which relies on nuclear weapons, become a regional power and lose its voice in international struggles.

Li Cunxun paused slightly. said, "I have to admit that this is the only consensus we have with the United States. In fact, we are not the same as the United States. The United States wants to use this to strike at the European Union, so that the three carriages of France, Germany and Italy will be separated, so that Europe will return to the arms of the United States again. Our aim is to strike at Russia, so that Russia will honestly become a regional power and give up its ambition and dream of world domination. Important: We have chosen with the United States the orange means, or rather the only means, that is, by destroying all nuclear weapons of other countries. ”

"In other words, the creation of a new international order from this is only a by-product?"

"It can't be said to be a by-product, to be precise, it should be an inevitable result. In other words, it is the inevitable direction of the international situation under the joint promotion of us and the United States. Li Cunxun corrected Pei's statement, and then continued, "The agreement reached by the brains of various countries at the London summit has laid the foundation for the future world pattern." Although the London Treaty has not yet entered into force. But there is no need to worry at all, even if one or a few small countries have not signed. The treaty will also enter into force. Of course, if Russia or some other nuclear-armed state is to play a role in this, I can assure you. Even if we do not join hands with the United States, we will have a tacit understanding to deal with those disobedient countries together. The mother is undoubted. In the face of two levels of great powers, not to mention those regional powers, the Russian authorities have to think twice. Of course, that won't come to this. A few years later, before the Treaty of Ethics came into force. Our strategic defense system with the United States is capable of neutralizing the strategic threat of all countries except the other side, including Russia. Thus allowing other countries to make the wisest choice. From another point of view, it is precisely because our strategic defense system with the United States is about to become fully operational capable that the "London Treaty" will be born. ”

Pei Chengyi nodded. said that he understood what Li Cunxun meant.

"I am telling you this to make you understand that the struggle between countries is not important, but the struggle between groups of countries." Li Cunxun smiled and said, "I don't need to say more, you should know the relationship between Xiyue and intensification." If nothing else, after the end of this war, both we and the United States will accelerate our expansion. If you compare the world to a chessboard with four rows horizontally and vertically. One hundred and ninety-six points is one hundred and ninety-six pounds of small countries, before the end of this game, whoever can occupy more points will be the final winner. ”

Hearing this, Pei Chengyi couldn't help laughing.

Although Li Cunxun's analogy is not appropriate, it was very vivid at the time. The Republic and the United States are the chess players, and in this game, both sides have to find a way to eat the opponent's dragon. At the same time, keep the big dragon from the hair.

Now, you understand the significance of this war, right? ”

"If I'm not mistaken. Britain is the valve of the United States, and Argentina is also our valve. ”

"It seems that you still know how to play Go."

I don't know it, but I was exposed to it when I was in elementary school. ”

Li Cunxun smiled and said, "Basically, you can say that. For the United States, Britain is its last bridgehead across the Atlantic, if Britain changes course. It is not Britain that the United States has lost. It's the whole of Europe. Imagine if Britain fell to a continental country. Promoting European reunification with France, Germany and Italy is not a game of chess, but a game with the participation of three parties. Obviously, the EU is certainly not a landlord, and whether we are landlords or whether the United States is a landlord, I am afraid no one can say. ”

"The question is. It is unlikely that the EU will be involved in this game. ”

"It's true, it's not very likely that the EU will be involved, and it will certainly not be able to become a real power for at least the next 20 to 30 years. The question is, can we abandon the EU? Li Cunxun shook his head and said, "In the long run, we can't give up the EU, and we must do our best to help the EU before the United States falls." Over the years, France, Germany, and Italy have come closer and closer to us on international issues because we would rather see a strong and united Europe than a Europe that is at the mercy of the United States. Although no one can deny that a unified Europe is certainly our opponent, our main opponent is definitely the United States, not Europe, and it can even be said that the United States is our common enemy with Europe before losing its world hegemony. As long as this is understood, we have enough reason to strike at the British. Let the United States lose its last ally on the other side of the Atlantic. ”

"Of course, there's more to it than that."

This is true in the same way that the United States cannot afford to lose Britain. We can't lose Argentina either. Li Cunxun sighed. "Although in the short term, maybe in 20 years, we are unlikely to go deep into Latin America, we must clearly understand that any gain we have in Latin America is a loss for the United States." There is no doubt that Argentina is our only foothold in Latin America. Venezuela is also a foothold. It's just not very reliable. Anyway. Venezuela's anti-American stance, based on ideology and dictatorship, is not strong, and if the next dictator is pro-American, we will be kicked out. In other words, Argentina is the only thing we can rely on and we can't give up. ”

From the standpoint of the United States, there will certainly be the same idea.

Li Cunxun shook his head with a smile and said: "Just as we are doing everything possible to make Britain taste defeat, the United States is also doing everything possible to make Argentina be taught and scraped. ”

"That's why we're working with the United States to push this war."

"Or sit at the same table."

Pei Chengyi let out a long breath. I heard another meaning of Li Cunxun's words.

"Since it's gambling, naturally I won't work hard. In fact, a real gambler will never bet all his capital on the gambling table, let alone fight with gambling friends at the gambling table. There is no doubt that the United States is a very good gambler. As long as the United States is willing to play with us at the table, then we can sleep peacefully. ”

"But the United States cannot be underestimated."

"Exactly. Definitely don't underestimate the United States. Even if you don't plan to fight hard, the United States gambles much more than we do, and the odds of winning are much greater.

Pei Chengyi nodded and said, "According to your words, the Fourth Fleet will definitely make a difference." ”

"There's nothing to worry about tactically, I've already arranged it."

Hearing Li Cunxun's words, Pei Chengyi frowned again. If he hadn't heard of Li Cunxun's name a long time ago, and knew the relationship between Li Cunxun and Xiang Linghui, chief of the General Staff, Pei Chengyi thought that Li Cunxun was bragging, after all, the director of the military intelligence bureau was good at intelligence work, not commanding the army to fight.

"I've seen your campaign deployment, and there is basically no problem, except for one thing that I haven't figured out, that is, why do you want to use the Royal Navy's task force as the main target?"

Pei Chengyi hesitated a little and said, "Do I have any other choice?" ”

Li Cunxun quietly picked up the teacup and waited for Pei Chengyi to continue.

This time, Pei Chengyi did not rush to speak, but thought about it quickly. Before that. Li Cunxun has been tirelessly introducing the situation, and he didn't even give Pei Chengyi a chance to interject. The abrupt end now shows that this question is very critical and requires the most accurate answer.

Ponder for a while. Pei Chengyi opened his mouth and said, "Simply put." I really don't have any other choice. Because the information received is very limited. Even if I knew that the U.S. Navy was secretly helping the Royal Navy, I couldn't have taken aim at the Fourth Fleet, and if the U.S. were to be drawn into this war, the consequences would be dire, so I could only concentrate on attacking the Royal Navy. In fact, whether the United States will send troops or not, we will take out the task force. If all goes well, and the Royal Navy's task force is rendered incapacitated, America's choice will determine whether it is a conflict or a war. ”

"Why not choose the cabinet"

"Me?" Pei Chengyi was stunned for a moment. Said. "Lao Li, I'm just a military advisor."

"I don't mean anything else, I just think you should think bigger." Li Cunxun smiled. said, "Of course." I've also overlooked the fact that you have too limited information. If such a major decision cannot be supported, no action can be taken. In other words, let me make the same decision on your personal placement. Of course, if the yuan is changed, I am afraid it will be a different result. In order to become an excellent politician, in addition to having excellent strategic vision and political skills, you must also have extraordinary courage and will. It's a pity that because I don't have these two abilities, I can only be the head of the military intelligence department. ”

As soon as Li Cunxun said this, Pei Chengyi also relaxed a lot.

Although Li Cunxun did not say it explicitly, Pei Chengyi knew that the director of military intelligence was not only hinting at him, but also pointed out the mistakes he had made, and explained the correct method.

"Of course, it must be admitted that in terms of specific methods, you didn't make any mistakes, you just did one thing less."

"What's the matter?"

"Do you need me to say?"

Pei Chengyi did not speak. Because he knew what Li Cunxun was talking about.

According to Li Cunxun's words at the beginning, the biggest mistake made by Pei Chengyi was to hand over the strategic initiative to the opponent and did not take more proactive actions to grasp the strategic initiative, so the only way to make up for this mistake is to seize the initiative through action.

The way to seize the initiative is simple. That is to make the United States have to withdraw from this conflict.

With this in mind, it's not hard to know what to do.

"Looks. You have long known what to do, only to not make a final decision because you didn't get enough reliable information. If Zhang Xiaolong's report is correct, you have already made the relevant arrangements. ”

was broken by Li Cunxun, Pei Chengyi shook his head with a smile.

In fact, Pei Chengyi did think about this problem a long time ago and made arrangements. As Li Cunxun said, because there was not enough intelligence to support him, Pei Chengyi did not take action.

I'll tell you the truth, it was your full deployment that made me take a plane for more than 10 hours, and I had to take a plane for more than 10 hours to go back. ”

Before Li Cunxun finished speaking, the phone on the table rang.

Pei Chengyi was about to get up, and Li Cunxun grabbed the front and picked up the words Jiang. "Yes, I'm "Okay, got it," and you'll come right over. ”

"Whose phone number?"

"Zhang Xiaolong called, he came over immediately." Li Cunxun glanced at his watch and said, "Now I want to ask one last question, that is, if it is up to you to decide, how do you plan to end this war?" ”

Pei Chengyi was stunned for a moment and did not speak immediately.

Although he expected Li Cunxun to ask this question, he did not expect Li Cunxun to ask so directly, or to ask it at this time, because according to Pei Chengyi's judgment, Li Cunxun should ask this question before returning to China, that is, after the dust has settled on the decisive naval and air battle in the South Atlantic.

Could it be that the battle has already begun?

Suddenly thinking of this question, Pei Chengyi was even more shocked, because this is by no means impossible.

looked at Li Cunxun, who was as steady as Mount Tai. Pei Chengyi took a long breath and thought quickly.

There is no doubt that what Pei Chengyi will say next will determine his future.