Ordinary people, and even some media commentators who claim to be well-versed in international relations, will have to make an alliance with India to get rid of its economic dependence on China, replace China as India's largest trading partner, and make India attach more importance to its relations with Japan and have enough courage to confront China. 【】

This is the most obvious truth, and it is also the most impossible to achieve.

Japan, like India, is an "export-oriented" economy that relies heavily on imported resources and is in dire need of export markets. To replace China, it would have to digest India's primary industrial products, which is almost impossible for Japan. First, Japan has a large primary industry, and if it imports large quantities of Indian products, it will cause millions of Japanese workers to lose their jobs; Secondly, Japan's market size and domestic consumption capacity are far inferior to China's, and the import products that can be digested are very limited. Third, Japan cannot replace China's position in India's foreign trade system and cannot provide India with high-end industrial products, including electric goods such as electric vehicles and electric aircraft.

Due to these three factors, Japan will never be able to replace China in the economic field.

From another point of view, it will be seen that India's economic dependence on the Chinese market is actually a serious shortage in technology and industrial structure, resulting in India's economic dependence on a certain "market economy" and its economic cooperation with China, so as to avoid political confrontation with China.

Looking back at the process of exhibitions between China and Japan, we can see that this situation exists in almost every country.

After World War II, Japan was completely dependent on the United States, and in addition to the fact that Japan was a defeated country and occupied by the United States, there was a close relationship with the defects of Japan's industrial structure after the war.

It was not until the 9th generation of the 20th century, after the establishment of a sound national industrial system and strong enough strength in high-end fields, that the Japanese economy fundamentally got rid of the United States and gained a relatively independent and important international status.

China is no exception. Prior to the industrial readjustment, China had avoided direct confrontation with the United States, often adopted an evasive attitude on major international issues, and even tolerated the establishment of a strategic blockade network by the United States in the surrounding areas. It was not until the "power revolution" exploded, the use of power technology leading other countries to enter the field of international high-end manufacturing, and the breaking of the monopoly of Western countries on high-end manufacturing, that China really stepped onto the stage of a great power.

As a country of 1.7 billion people, is there a lack of markets?

The answer is obviously a definite one. As long as India's economic strength is improved. India will certainly replace China at some point in the future. Become the world's largest market country.

The question is before that. Printing takes enough time.

More importantly. The exhibition is quite a long process. It can't be done overnight. Decades of exhibition. India needs imported resources and high-end industrial products, and naturally needs export goods. At least to maintain a balance of payments on trade so as not to bankrupt the country. This is because India can only export primary industrial products that have only the added value of labour. Therefore, there is a need for a huge overseas market.

For India, China is irreplaceable.

Turn. For China. India is an alternative.

China can import equally cheap primary industrial products from Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Nepal, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Laos, Vietnam, Cambodia, North Korea, and other countries without cheap products from India. These countries are also more than happy to replace India in China's domestic consumer goods market.

Under such circumstances, does India have the courage to confront China?

It is clear that what India needs is not a market, but the technology needed for industrial restructuring, especially the advanced technology needed to produce high-end industrial products.

The only countries that can provide India with advanced technology are China, the United States and the European Union (at the end of February, the "European Power Technology Laboratory" jointly established by France and Germany made a breakthrough in the development of advanced batteries, and developed the first advanced battery with the performance of composite batteries, and the European Union became the third entity after China and the United States to produce advanced batteries).

China will certainly not provide India with advanced technology, or even related manufacturing processes.

For a longer-term view, the United States has been holding back on the sale of advanced technology. After India took the initiative to improve relations with China, the United States increased its precautions against India.

The EU, on the other hand, has no intention of providing advanced technology to other economies in the interests of its own interests.

Relying on its own strength, it is a question whether India can develop a composite battery within 20 years.

Of course, Japan also has this problem.

Although as early as 20199, the "Electric Power Laboratory" of the University of Tokyo manufactured the first Class 2 composite battery, but in the subsequent research, Japanese researchers encountered insurmountable obstacles. It will not be until 2026, when a Japanese scientist returns home after working at the "European Electric Power Technology Laboratory" for five years, that the Japanese scientist realizes that there is a serious error in the top-secret information provided by the National Intelligence Service several years ago.

The difficulties did not deter the greatest prime minister in Japanese history.

In 20211, Murakami made his first official visit to India, and on an important agreement with India, he provided important technologies needed for economic exhibitions to India by way of transfer, and provided scholarships for 15,000 Indian students to study abroad every year to support scientific research institutions in India.

After more than years of "preparation", after the Korean Peninsula War, Murakami Sadamasa stepped up his "public relations" efforts.

Delay, there is no way to do it. Because the basic industry is too weak, even if Japan provides India with advanced industrial technologies such as high-precision CNC lathes, advanced metallurgical industry, and electronics industry in 20211, India will not be able to turn them into actual industrial production capacity.

In May 2025, Murakami will visit India for the second time.

Taking advantage of this opportunity, hundreds of Japanese companies (most of them state-owned enterprises) sent representatives to New Delhi and signed hundreds of cooperation agreements with the Indian government and enterprises, more than half of which were related to high-end industries. According to the agreement, Japan will provide India with more than 1,000 mid-level and cutting-edge technologies needed to revitalize its industry in the next 0 years, including advanced electronics and automation technologies, which Japan is proud of.

This move immediately yielded immediate results.

In 2C26, Japan's trade volume with India grew by 57%, surpassing Russia to become India's fourth largest trading partner.

“…… According to conservative estimates, trade with India will grow by more than 70% this year, and we will overtake the EU to become India's third largest trading partner. By 2030 at the latest, we will be India's second largest trading partner after China. According to our data on India's exports, the share of high-end industrial products in exports exceeded 1 last year and is expected to reach 15% this year. At this rate, by 2030, India will become the most important exporter in South Asia, and its economic self-sustainability will be increased to ......"

Hearing Murakami's dry cough, Gu Liangping came back to his senses.

The sets of evidence mentioned by Murakami Sakayuan, especially the estimated data, were all "concocted" by the National Security Bureau, and Tani Ryohei is not very clear about how much basis there is.

"When will we be able to achieve a breakthrough in our power research project?" Murakami asked very directly.

"The fastest 203 Kamisakayuan is very happy," since last year, Shina has officially promoted products equipped with 8-grade composite batteries in the civilian market. Although there are still great restrictions on exports, such as all Class 8 composite batteries can only be sent back to China or maintained at overseas factories designated by the Chinese government, China still occupies the largest market share when the United States and the European Union are unable to launch related products. In terms of power technology, the gap between us and China has not narrowed, but is rapidly widening. If China makes a new breakthrough within three years, it is very likely to launch a higher-grade composite battery to the international market and suppress competitors, we ......"

"It's a question of yes and no." Murakami Sadamasa interrupted his distant nephew's words and said, "If we can't even solve the most basic haves and haves, how can we compete with Shina, how can we catch up with Shina?" The whole world knows that China can occupy the high-end market by relying on advanced power technology. Whether it is China or India, if we want to surpass China, we must make a breakthrough in power technology. ”

Murakami Sakatsuki looked at Ryohei Tani.

"We will urge the scientific research department to speed up the research and development progress."

"Scientific research has its own laws, and blindly urging can only be done quickly." Murakami Sadamasa sighed and said, "The intelligence department should think of more ways abroad, not just at home." Since we started late, we should try to make use of the scientific research results of other countries to narrow the gap first, and then try to catch up and surpass. ”

Gu Shu Liangping nodded and didn't say anything more.

Scientific research work has its own laws, and intelligence work also has its own laws. Moreover, China, the United States, and the European Union are all clinging to their technology and are unwilling to share it. The Military Intelligence Agency has not yet figured out the progress of the development of composite batteries between the United States and the European Union, and no matter how powerful the Japanese National Security Agency is, it will not be better than the Military Intelligence Agency.

"Time is running out, and there is growing evidence that China is desperately preparing for war." Murakami glanced at the participants and said, "It's not a war we want to fight, but it's a war we have to fight." Last month, China put forward a bill at the United Nations to reduce nuclear weapons, and the spearhead was aimed at Japan. The Minister of Foreign Affairs and the Minister of National Defense of China have made it clear on a number of informal occasions that if Japan cannot give a positive answer to the question of destroying nuclear weapons in the short term, it is very likely that China will take decisive measures. Needless to say, this is a signal of war from China! ”

Including Gu Shu Liangping, everyone's expressions became serious.

Sadamasa Murakami let out a sigh and looked at Tsukasu Onozuka, the secretary of the Xi Defense, who was sitting next to Murakami Hangao. (To be continued, if you want to know how to know the future chapters, more,!) )