Volume 8 A Hundred Years of Grudges Chapter 3 The Japan-India Alliance
As is customary, Secretary Xi of the Intelligence, arranged by Murakami Sadamasa, did it at the meeting. 【】
Because the information provided by Secretary Xi for intelligence briefing was provided by the National Security Bureau, he did not let Tani Shuryohi come to power, not because Murakami Sadamasa did not trust the intelligence chief, but because he was wary of everyone around him.
The "Iwasaki Nobukawa Incident" and the subsequent "attempted coup" made Murakami Sadamasa have to be on guard.
Aside from the military, Murakami doesn't even trust cabinet officials. To this end, Murakami has set up four additional secretaries to be responsible for major affairs such as defense, intelligence, security, economy, and foreign affairs. The "Prime Minister's Office Special Advisory Group," which is composed of one secretary, is referred to as Japan's "small cabinet" or "shadow cabinet," and many people believe that the "shadow cabinet" has replaced the cabinet as Japan's highest decision-making body.
Whether this is the case or not, Gu Shuliangping knows very well in his heart.
4 "Shadow Cabinet" Cheng Murakami Sadamasa has an inextricable relationship, including members of the "Murakami family", 5 people are Murakami's early classmates or colleagues, from a large company controlled by the "Murakami family", and the identity of the last one is not even clear to Tani Ryohei. Murakami Sakatsuka, who is doing an intelligence briefing, is from the "Murakami family" and is a distant nephew of Murakami Sadamasa.
Although Murakami is the real leader, all the major decisions made by the minister are related to the "shadow cabinet".
Tani Ryohei listened carefully to the report, and everything introduced by Murakami Hanyuan was provided by him himself.
After entering the decision-making inner circle, Tani Ryohei knew that Murakami Sadamasa had been secretly promoting the "Japan-India Alliance". The purpose is very clear: to use India to contain China.
Although 55 percent of Japan's exports and 65 percent of its imports pass through the Indian Ocean, there is no direct conflict of interest between Japan and India. On the contrary, Japan has a common enemy with India, China. Following the alliance principle that "the enemy of the enemy is an ally," Japan and India have an ideal alliance foundation.
When the Ozawa government actively promoted the "Japan-India Alliance". It is also to deal with the common enemy.
It's just that this Japan is no longer the Japan of the Ozawa period. India at this time is not India at the time of Santos.
If Japan is an "active struggle" nation, India is a "submissive" nation.
In the years following the Fourth Indo-Pakistani War, India was very active. It gives people a feeling of "working hard". It even makes a lot of people think. India will rise rapidly1 to challenge China again. Become the number one power in South Asia and even in Asia. Shortly after the East China Sea War. The assassination of Santos has quietly shifted India's foreign policy. Through negotiations on border demarcation. Take the initiative to improve relations with China. The global economic crisis has exploded. With the advent of the Great Depression, the living conditions in India became worse. It is only then that foreign policy has undergone another shift. Under the guidelines of "Promoting Exhibition, Expanding Influence, and Actively Cooperating". India has put forward the theory of "non-violent survival expansion". Proactive diplomacy. Strive to obtain assistance from other countries, including China, in the mainland.
Peninsular War. This has changed India's foreign policy to a great extent.
For countries that were not devastated by the war, the benefits of the island war were incalculable.
In the year 2025, several international institutions predict that the recession will end by the end of 2025, and the economies of half countries will begin to recover strongly in the fourth quarter of 2025, and the industry will enter a "golden age" of economic exhibitions.
Indeed, China's economy is expected to grow by more than 7% in the second quarter of 2025. The country's economy returned to positive growth in the third quarter, reaching a staggering 37 percent, up nearly 5 percent from the previous quarter. The economy in Europe is also back to positive growth, reaching 21%%. The growth rate of industrial production in all countries is turning red, and international institutions have predicted that the world economic growth rate will exceed 4% in 2026, officially bidding farewell to the Great Depression that lasted for eight years.
The return of the world economy to normal after the end of the war on the peninsula was entirely expected by economists.
In this large-scale regional war, which lasted for two months, China consumed 25 million tons of various materials and spent more than 25 trillion yuan on the war, the United States consumed 18 million tons of various materials and spent more than 8 trillion U.S. dollars on the war, and 15 trillion yuan was needed for the post-war reconstruction of Korea. The huge consumption has not only hollowed out warehouses in China and the United States, but also allowed factories in China and the United States to produce at full capacity. The economies of China and the United States were the first to recover, and the world economy rebounded with them.
Not to mention, during the Peninsular War, international crude oil prices soared by 150%.
Excluding the speculation, international crude oil prices have risen by at least 50%. The main reason for the rise in international crude oil prices is not only the consumption of the war, but also the concern of international investors that after the end of the war, the Sino-US economic inversion and the sharp fluctuations in the exchange rate between the US dollar and the renminbi are closely related to the hedging of value by cashing out.
Because the war consumes not only military supplies, but also the production of military materials requires a lot of resources, it is not surprising that after the war, the production of resources will drive economic recovery, stimulate market growth, expand consumption capacity, and eventually bring the global economy out of the trough and get rid of the impact of the Great Depression.
The economic recovery in China and the United States is directly reflected in the sharp growth in domestic consumption. Affected by the growth of domestic demand
The two countries took the lead in lowering trade barriers and allowing products from other countries to enter in order to satisfy demand.
Driven by China and the United States, the trade war gradually disappeared, and international trade gradually returned to normal, which eventually had an impact on other countries and regions, driving the global economy into a period of rapid development.
The "secondary economy", represented by India, became the biggest gain.
The so-called "secondary economy" refers to a country or region that is dependent on one or several major economies to provide products for other economies in the primary stage of economic development.
By 2026, India will not only overtake China to become the most populous country, but also the largest "secondary economy".
According to the Indian government's statistical report, India's economy is 72% dependent on foreign countries (referring to the proportion of trade in GDP), and its five largest trading partners are China, the United States, the European Union, Japan and Russia. Trade with China accounts for 27 percent of India's total trade, while the United States, in second place, accounts for only 13 percent, less than half of China's. In terms of trade revenues, India's top five trading partners are China, Japan, the European Union, the United States and Saudi Arabia. India's trade surplus with China accounts for 35 percent of India's foreign exchange earnings, compared to 17 percent for Japan, which is still less than half that of China.
It is hard to imagine that in just 1 India has tied itself to China.
According to the non-governmental law, China's imposition of trade sanctions on 1C Indian products will cause 50,000 Indians to lose their jobs and 20,000 Indian families to lose their source of livelihood!
As a "secondary economy", India mainly exports low-value-added primary industrial products to the Middle East.
If it weren't for the opposition parties' obstruction, they would even become the seventh member of the China-South Asian Economic Community in 2026.
In this situation, India is in a very contradictory state.
The huge economic interests have forced India to attach importance to the secondary issue of relations with China and make major concessions. The rapid growth of national strength has made India ignite its dream of dominating the Indian Ocean, and it has to remain vigilant against China.
Affected by the political system, the ruling party always tries to cooperate with the opposition parties in China and always destroys relations with China.
Will India ally with Japan to deal with China?
Gu Shu Liangping is a little puzzled, while India is shouting that it should focus on developing the economy and improving the living standards of its people, and on the other hand, it is vigorously developing its armaments in a vain attempt to revive its former glory.
Taking the navy as an example, in addition to purchasing two aircraft carriers from the United Kingdom in 2018 and 2022, India also intends to purchase a third aircraft carrier by 2030 to build the most powerful navy in the Indian Ocean region. India's frenzied naval buildup, if not resentful of China, will warn Pakistan, leading to a revision of its South Asia policy, with Pakistan providing more military aid and even fighting India as a result.
This ambivalence in India is often manifested in the minds of Indians.
Almost all Indians between the ages of 2C and 35 believe that improving relations with China is a key factor in ensuring India's long-term development, and that gaining great power status is an important means of safeguarding India's national interests.
No world power will allow a regional power to emerge around it.
When Britain became the "empire on which the sun never sets", it first dealt with the rising Russia, then invited many countries to encircle and suppress France under Napoleon's rule, and finally did not hesitate to devote all its efforts to the unified Germany. Before the United States became a world power, it defeated Mexico in the south and defeated the aging Spain through war, becoming the hegemon of the Americas.
China will not be an exception, and on the road to becoming a world power, a strong India will certainly not be allowed.
Taking advantage of this, Murakami has been trying to persuade India to ally with Japan against China. India's national leaders also understand this, and it won't be long before India is again targeted by China. The key question is, is it necessary for India to take the "Japan" tank? To put it simply, should India take the same steps as Japan when it comes to the timing of confrontation with China?
This problem became the biggest obstacle to the Japan-India alliance.
According to the view shared by the vast majority, India will not make enemies with China for the time being, at least until India has to rely on China for the time being, and will not take any substantive action until India has to rely on China for its economic development, let alone risk war with Japan to form an alliance with Japan.
In fact, it is true that India has been neither hot nor cold on the issue of alliance with Japan.
Only by not getting too close to Japan and not being too distant from Japan can we make the most effective use of Japan, so that China will have to win over India through economic means, and only then can India gain the most benefits from it.
This is exactly the same strategy that India adopted in the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union.
Under these circumstances, Japan's policy toward India is particularly important.
Tani Ryohei had to admire Murakami's vision and ability, because Murakami's policy toward India seemed unrealistic, but in fact it was the most beneficial to Japan! (To be continued, if you want to know how to know the future chapters, more,!) )