Volume 5 The Central South Storm Chapter 40 Fundamental Contradictions
Pan Yunsheng, who stayed alone, knew what Zhao Rundong was going to ask.
"These are materials from the top of Malaysia." Pan Yunsheng put a few separate documents on the coffee table in front of Zhao Rundong, "Before coming here, I have contacted the best agent and asked him to be on standby in Kuala Lumpur. β
"The one back from Hanoi?"
"You think I'm the only one I have?"
Zhao Rundong frowned slightly, and said with a smile: "It seems that I have been underestimating the Military Intelligence Agency." β
"I'm not kidding you, I've sent one of my best spies." Pan Yunsheng picked up the cigarette, "I'm also thinking about the question you mentioned at the beginning. Malaysia's willingness to engage with us bilaterally shows that our military operations in Laos and the South China Sea have been effective. Stepping up, Malaysia is likely to make significant concessions. The key is to grasp the balance well, and we must not rush to achieve results. β
"I think so too, that's why I will pressure Lao Peng and not let him dominate our strategy."
"Lao Peng is not a problem, he is just a little anxious, and he will not make a big deal about the country." Pan Yunsheng hesitated for a moment and said, "The key is to understand the purpose of the United States and the strategies that the United States may adopt." β
"The purpose of the United States is simple, let's go to war with Malaysia." Zhao Rundong sighed, "The key is the strategy that the United States will definitely adopt." Asking you to stay is just to discuss this. β
"Without reliable intelligence, we can only guess."
"It's okay to guess. As long as there is evidence. β
Pan Yunsheng took two puffs of cigarette. said: "I think. The United States will make a fuss about trade first. β
Zhao Rundong did not rush to make a statement. motioned for Pan Yunsheng to continue.
"At the beginning of the year. The Senate and House of Representatives of the US Congress have successively passed bills on the imposition of trade protectionist taxes on thousands of commodities in dozens of countries. The bill has already been transferred to the White House. As long as Frederick approves it, it will take effect. on the list of sanctioned goods. Including oil, rubber, pepper, tin, finished wood, polyethylene and dozens of other Malaysian goods. The United States is Malaysia's second largest trading partner. The sanctions will cost Malaysia billions of dollars. Tens of thousands of workers lost their jobs and a large number of peasants went bankrupt. If Frederick Suppresses the Bill......"
"It's unlikely that the bill will be suppressed. At most, specific provisions of the Act will be amended. β
Pan Yunsheng nodded. said: "That's it. The benefits of Malaysia's land are self-evident. The United States will use this to win over Malaysia. β
"Trade is not the deciding factor." Zhao Rundong rubbed his forehead and said, "We are Malaysia's largest trading partner, and 40% of Malaysia's products are exported to our country. Although the United States produces high-end electronic products such as electric vehicles, Malaysia mainly imports high-end products from China. If the U.S. is making a fuss about trade, we can also make a fuss about trade. Malaysia's prime minister is not stupid, and even if we don't take a stand immediately, he will use this to pressure us to get the most out of our game with the United States. When it comes to trade, Frederick can't let his guard down. Imagine that if the U.S. lowers the trade threshold for Malaysian goods, other countries in Southeast Asia, the European Union, Latin American countries, and Middle Eastern countries will all ask the U.S. to lower the trade threshold. When the time comes, what will Frederick do? Say yes all, say yes some, or say no to all? Either way, the United States will not benefit. As long as U.S. trade barriers collapse, U.S. domestic industries will be the first to suffer. Will Frederick make fun of his own interests? If he had the guts, he would not have started the Iranian war at the beginning of his tenure! β
"We can use trade as a bargaining chip."
"That's for sure, I'll discuss this with Pang Xinglong." Zhao Rundong smiled slightly and said, "We have the lowest trade barriers, and our country has the largest demand for land resources. Relatively speaking, the trade problems faced by our country are the easiest to solve. If the United States dares to make a fuss about trade, we will take measures and use a third party to fight a trade war with the United States. Although I don't know much about economics, I think that as long as the trade war starts, the dollar will quickly depreciate and lose its status as a currency for international trade settlements. At this point, Frederick will definitely take the initiative to sue us for peace. β
"Summation?" Pan Yunsheng frowned.
"The problem of the United States, in the final analysis, is that the United States owed too much foreign debt in the decades after World War II, and has been using the world's resources to maintain the advanced consumption of Americans, and the key is that the dollar has an irreplaceable position. After the outbreak of the Great Depression, the status of the dollar was greatly reduced, and the ability of the United States to pass on the crisis to the outside world was weakened. For Frederick, the first issues to be addressed were unemployment, productivity, and domestic consumption.
All three have one thing in common: they must raise workers' incomes, consumers have money to spend, and the dollar must remain strong. If the U.S. can't import resources from outside the world and use its own labor to extract and produce them, will the U.S. be able to increase productivity? Failure to increase productivity will not only fail to raise workers' incomes, but will also make American goods less internationally competitive. β
"That is, the United States needs to compete with us for the resources of the whole world?"
"In fact, many people don't realize that the contradiction between us and the United States is the contradiction of resources." Zhao Rundong sighed and said, "If we want to develop, we must also improve productivity."
It is necessary to transfer backward labor-intensive industries to foreign countries, reduce their proportion in the economy, and use the income from the export of high-end products to purchase resources. In a few decades, China's population will remain above 1 billion, and even if it drops to less than 1 billion or even 700 million one day, a large amount of resources will have to be imported in order for the common people to live a prosperous life. With a population of 700 million, if our per capita consumption capacity reaches half that of the United States, we will need to import as many resources as the United States; If our per capita spending power were to be on par with that of the United States, we would need to import twice as many resources as the United States. How many resources are there in the world? It is not easy to support one United States, can you afford to support two or even three Americans? Until science and technology develop by leaps and bounds and the productivity of the resource industry is greatly improved, we can only compete with the United States for the world's resources. β
"This is the fundamental contradiction between us and the United States."
"Yes, the question of survival is the most basic contradiction. Culture, religion, ideology, and concept of life are all built on the material foundation and survival and development. In the past, China played more of a role as an exporter of resources, exporting our labor resources. The 'electric revolution' has given us the opportunity to change our role, but it has also caused the United States to face the same problem. Under such circumstances, contradictions between us and the United States are inevitable. β
Pan Yunchang sighed, secretly admiring Zhao Rundong's strategic vision.
"Of course, the topic is far away." Zhao Rundong smiled slightly and said, "In addition to trade issues, the United States may also make a fuss about arms sales." β
"Yes, the United States will definitely provide benefits to Malaysia in terms of arms sales."
"A few years ago, Malaysia offered to buy F/A-18E/F fighters, and later it also proposed to buy F-35 series fighters. However, Malaysia has stopped making demands on the United States in recent years. Zhao Rundong was a little late and said, "You seem to have talked about this matter last year, saying that Malaysia contacted the 'Zhongzhong Company' and hoped to purchase weapons and equipment such as J-15 fighters produced in China. β
Pan Yunsheng nodded and said, "At that time, we didn't approve it, mainly because the J-15 had just been finalized and put into production. β
"Now it's time to think about it."
"But ......," Pan Yunsheng said after a while, "the J-15 has a lot of key technologies that are not allowed to be exported, and Malaysia is not our ally......"
"Not now, who can say for sure in the future?" Zhao Rundong smiled faintly and said, "I know what you're worried about. We should take a long-term view. The United States has developed a composite battery, although it has just entered the threshold, but as long as the basic technology is mastered, the United States will soon be able to develop a higher-level composite battery.
In the short term, the contradictions between us and the United States will not lead to war, but the competition between us and the United States in the economic and other fields will become more and more intense. The economic struggle is more brutal than the war, and countries around the world are desperately trying to expand trade. As the U.S. joins the fray, we need to prepare in advance. First of all, we should take out some fist products in arms sales, see how the market reacts, and put some pressure on the United States by the way. When the production line of a private enterprise is put into operation, we will expand the competition to the civilian field. In this way, we will be able to deal the most comprehensive and thorough blow to the US economy and allow the US to stay in the Great Depression for a few more years. β
Pan Yunsheng thought for a moment and said, "I'll do the research as soon as possible and give you a detailed report when the time comes." β
"Remember to discuss with Pang Xinglong, he is better at economic issues than any of us."
Pan Yunsheng nodded and agreed. He is not like Peng Maobang, and he is not disgusted with Pang Xinglong.
"One last question." Zhao Rundong raised a finger, "It is also the most critical question." Malaysia's national conditions are rather special, and the United States is very likely to make a fuss about Malaysia's leaders. β
"I had already thought about it, otherwise I wouldn't have sent someone to Kuala Lumpur."
"That's for the best." Zhao Rundong glanced at his watch and said, "It's not early, you go back early to rest." You don't have a lot of time to prepare, so try to make use of all the conditions that are available. In any case, we must take Malaysia and not let the United States create more trouble. β
"I do my best." Pan Yunsheng extinguished the cigarette butt, got up and said, "As long as Malaysia's leaders are not stupid, they will not become accomplices of the United States." β
Zhao Rundong shook his head with a smile, and did not talk to Pan Yunsheng too much.
After leaving the FΓΌhrer's capital, Pan Yunsheng called the headquarters of the Military Intelligence Bureau and asked if he had received any new information.
That night, Pan Yunsheng gave the latest instructions to the "spies" who had already arrived in Kuala Lumpur.
As Zhao Rundong said, if we want to smash the US conspiracy, we must do our best to peacefully resolve the disputes between the Spratly and South China Seas with Malaysia and avoid going too far in military action.
Damn it**
Starting from today, 1 more at 9 a.m., 2 more at 12 noon, 3 ~ more at 6 p.m., such as a change, unified arrangement between 9 p.m. and 1c o'clock. It's not that I'm lazy, it's that there are too many things at home, so please forgive me, brothers.
Continue to brazenly say, brothers, smash the monthly pass! (To be continued)
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