Chapter 23: The Lobbyist

Second, there is no suspense in the political outcome of how the press will evaluate the republic's "move to repair the room." [Full text reading]

Relatively speaking, what deserves more attention is definitely the simultaneous arms sales to Afghanistan.

When interviewed by reporters at a press briefing on the morning of last Sunday, Jiao Kuishan, assistant to the state of the People's Republic of China, mentioned the issue of arms sales to Afghanistan by reporters stationed in Beijing. Because on the morning of the same day, the Yuan government had already transferred the arms sales bill approved by the Yuan Yuan to the Military Commission of the plenary session, and the arms sales bill must first be supported by the Military Commission, and then submitted by the Military Commission to the plenary congress for deliberation and voting, Jiao Weishan bluntly replied to the deleted reporter, saying that the Republic's arms sales to Afghanistan did not undermine the relevant international publicity, nor did it endanger the interests of any third party, and that they were normal trade activities protected by international trade norms, and should not and will not be influenced by any country.

time. International public opinion was in an uproar.

Although the specific contents of the arms sales contract will not be announced before it is formally submitted to the plenary session for deliberation, according to reports by the Western news media, Jiao Kuishan's answer has already shown that the true scale of the arms sales is very likely to exceed the official information previously announced. Of course, he did not forget to advocate the argument of war, claiming that Argentina's introduction of advanced weapons and equipment was making final preparations for war.

No one can say exactly how effective the propaganda of the Western news media has been.

Over the years, every time Argentina bought weapons and equipment from the Republic, the Western news media would hype it up and tirelessly predict that war was about to break out. As a result, each prediction was self-defeating. "The wolf is coming. Shouting too much. Nature loses its persuasiveness, when "wolf." It's really coming. No matter how hard you shout, no one will believe it.

"Wolves. Is it really coming?

At about 2 o'clock in the morning of Buenos Aires time, Pei Chengyi, accompanied by the liaison officer of the Argentine army and the military intelligence bureau of the military intelligence bureau, left the Argentine capital and went to the general staff of the Argentine army, located on the outskirts of Mercedes.

Pei Chengyi was also a little surprised by the active actions of the Argentine military.

When he received Alfonso's call, Pei Chengyi was discussing with Dongfang Wen about the accommodation of the other members of the military advisory group who were about to arrive. Fortunately, after receiving a call from Li Cunxun. Pei Chengyi expected the Argentine military to be very active, so he spent several hours thinking about the relevant issues.

On the way to the Argentine General Staff. Pei Chengyi carefully sorted out the things he considered during the day.

There is no need to guess, Pei Chengyi knows that the Argentine army is preparing for war, and he has to do it. It is to play a key role in helping Argentina make up its mind at a critical moment.

Because he had talked to Li Cunxun a long time ago, Pei Chengyi did not need to contact Li Cunxun specifically.

When he came to the Argentine General Staff, Pei Chengyi was invited to the conference room. Seeing the Argentine soldiers sitting and feeling the atmosphere in the venue, Pei Chengyi knew that his guess must be correct, the Argentine military had a real disagreement on whether to recover the Falklands through military action, and needed a convincing person to help them make a decision. In other words, it provides decision-makers with an important basis for making decisions. Although Pei Chengyi did not meet the Argentine president or Argentine government officials, and this is only a closed-door meeting within the army, based on his understanding of Argentina in the past few days, he knows that Argentine President CerrΓ³n is likely to be in the General Staff, but he did not enter the conference room.

After taking a seat, Pei Chengyi decided to take a look first.

The problem was that Alfonso, who invited him to come, did not give him the opportunity to observe the situation.

General Pei is the top military adviser invited by the president, and he is not an outsider, so he doesn't have to worry about anything. Alfonso looked a little excited. It seems that he has only quarreled with someone, "In this room, only General Pei has actual combat experience, and no one can deny General Pei's outstanding military exploits in the Korean War, the Japanese War, and the Indian War." Since we are arguing on key issues, we might as well listen to General Pei's opinions

After speaking. Alfonso turned his gaze to Pei Chengyi.

Pei Chengyi also noticed. It was not only Alfonso who was paying attention to him, but the eyes of other Argentine soldiers were on him. What made Pei Chengyi a little laughable was that Alfonso didn't even introduce the basic situation and began to ask for opinions. Let's make an analogy. Even if Pei Chengyi is a miracle doctor who can get rid of the disease. It is also necessary to look at and hear before you can prescribe the right medicine.

"Actually, we don't have a big disagreement." Teresescu saw Pei Chengyi's embarrassing situation and hurriedly said. "We have just received news that your national dollar has approved the arms sales contract, and if nothing else, the contract will soon come into force." Although we still insist on recovering the Falklands by peaceful means, we have no choice but to consider other options. Truth be told, there are some issues where we have different opinions. The main reason for inviting General Pei here is to hear the opinions of the outside world. As for whether to take military action, it is not yet the turn of the military personnel present to decide. That's a matter for His Excellency the President

After listening to Tresescu, Pei Chengyi nodded slightly, and understood what the other party meant.

Thug "General Pei, do you need relevant information?" ”

Pei Chengyi glanced at the chief of staff of the Argentine Army, who was deliberately making things difficult, and said with a smile: "If I guessed correctly, you invite contemptible people to come here, mainly to understand one thing, that is, how sure is it that the Falklands will be recovered through military operations." Obviously, this is not a question that can be answered in one sentence. Although I can give each stream four without hesitation...", the old advertisement is beautiful, the new association is small, and the name is beautiful; But as a friend of your army, I must be willing to let go of my own words and deeds, and I can't make rash moves. To understand this, we must first know ourselves and our opponents. The situation of your army. I think I know everything better than I do, and I don't have to talk too much. We can take this opportunity to explore the situation of the opponent in detail

Seeing Pei Chengyi go straight to the point, the Argentine soldiers sitting there showed serious expressions.

"As a party to the Falklands dispute, we have to consider Britain's military strength first." Pei Chengyi glanced at the Argentine soldiers around him and said, "There is no doubt that Britain, as one of the five nuclear powers. Possess a strategic strike force that Argentina cannot match. Of course, we don't have to worry about that, because after the London Conference, even if Britain intends to use nuclear weapons in war, it will have to be worried. More importantly, the Republic will not sit idly by and will not use weapons of destruction in wars as long as Britain, and certain Western countries that secretly support Britain, do not want the conflict in the South Atlantic to turn into a global war

For this argument. The Argentine military all agreed.

Although Argentina has not yet joined the intensive group, it is obliged to provide Argentina with a nuclear umbrella in accordance with the bilateral alliance treaty signed between the Republic and Argentina. That is, when Argentina is threatened by a nuclear weapon, the Republic will take-for-tat measures. Leaking tenacity Bashan, Bin is less in the factory, Huang Xinblock, and there are many small members

"In the final analysis, the Falklands conflict is just a regional conflict Pei Chengyi took a sip of tea and said, "It doesn't matter if it's your country or the United Kingdom." Neither the other countries involved in it want to turn a regional conflict into a large-scale war. In fact, there are not many countries that can afford to bear the heavy losses of a large-scale war. Recognize this. We have enough reason to believe it. The only thing Britain can mobilize is its conventional military force. We even have reason to believe that Britain has mobilized the most military forces at sea and in the air. ”

"I said that only the threat of the British Navy had to be considered, and Tresescu said as he spoke. He glanced over at several army generals.

Pei Chengyi secretly smiled bitterly and said, "Ideally. It is true that we are only allowed to consider the British Navy, and the key problem is that even if we only consider the British Navy, we have not allowed the enemy to be careless. In terms of size, the British Navy is definitely in the top five among the world's navies, if calculated by combat strength. The British Navy is likely to be the third largest in the world, after the United States Navy and the Republic Navy. Among other things, the British Navy is the fourth navy with a class of aircraft carriers after the United States, the Republic and Russia. What's more, the British Navy has three class aircraft carriers. Although in general. Only one aircraft carrier battle group is in combat readiness, but according to the intelligence we have, Britain eliminated three medium-sized aircraft carriers ahead of schedule and built a three-aircraft carrier battle group regardless of national strength, the main reason is that the combat readiness rate of the three medium-sized aircraft carriers is not high, and the three-class aircraft carriers have fully considered the wartime mobilization capability in the design stage. If our intelligence is correct, the British Navy can complete the mobilization within a month, sending three carrier battle groups within 45 days. ”

Theresescu was stunned for a moment, then closed his mouth and said no more.

Thugs "except for aircraft carriers." The British Navy also has a strong underwater force. The performance of its 12 two-stage hybrid attack submarines in service is not much worse than that of the US Navy, and has reached the world's advanced level. In addition, the British Navy has a long-established and tenacious Marine Corps. Although, according to my estimates, as long as the republic does not enter the war. The United States would not have entered the war, but if the war was against Britain, the United States would most likely have been like it had been half a century ago. Support for the UK, including military intelligence. Other words. We also have to consider the influence of the United States Pei Chengyi sighed and said, "Considering various factors, we must clearly understand that the ideal situation only exists in the calculation, and the ideal situation cannot occur in reality, so we must consider the worse result."

"General Pei. Your opinion is".

Pei Chengyi glanced at Alfonso, who was asking. said: "In my opinion, no matter how hard your army fights, the military operation to recover the Falklands will not be easy, and it can even be said that if your army does not fundamentally realize the arduousness of this war, it will definitely suffer its own bitter fruits."

So, should we still make a diplomatic effort? ”

"There's no denying it. At any given time, it is worth diplomatic efforts to achieve the goal...... Pei Chengyi glanced at the commander of the Argentine army and said, "The problem is if diplomatic efforts fail to achieve their goals. Should national interests be sacrificed? Although as a military adviser, I have no authority to answer this question on behalf of each other, but as a soldier. I can tell everyone unmistakably that in front of the republican people, there will be no such problem at all, because for the republican people. Defending national interests is its basic duty

The thugs look at the Argentine soldiers! ”

Pei Chengyi smiled faintly and said: "I said a long time ago, no matter what time it is, I will not underestimate your army, let alone underestimate everyone. There is no doubt that the looks of each one speak for themselves. Since we can only defend our national interests by means of war, we must keep a clear head, recognize the reality of the situation, and find out the shortcomings of the enemy. Then concentrate your forces and take advantage of the enemy's shortcomings to crush the enemy and achieve the ultimate victory. ”

"In General Pei's opinion, what is the lack of lambs in the British army?"

Glancing at Teresescu, Pei Chengyi Erding: "I don't need to answer this question at all, I believe that the porches sitting in the "Cup" are the fatal flaws of the British army on the expedition south. ”

As soon as Pei Chengyi said this, Teresescu immediately understood.

Alfonso frowned slightly and said, "In that case, what good advice does General Pei have?" ”

"Suggestions?" Pei Chengyi smiled and said, "I have only one suggestion. That is to say, and we must not turn a small maritime conflict that can be won in a matter of days into a large-scale war that cannot be ended. And don't put your country under too much pressure of war. ”

"According to General Pei, we have a good chance of winning?"

In other words, if I were to command your army to fight, in order to complete the combat operation as quickly as possible, after the battle began, I would attack by surprise. Capture the Falklands with assault troops, eliminate the island's garrisons, control major military objectives, and build defensive positions.

There is no doubt that Britain will react quickly. Send an expeditionary fleet within a month, or even half a month. Britain is also likely to take steady measures, after all, the current Argentina is not the Argentina of the early eighties of the last century, and the British navy rushed into battle and could only suffer a painful defeat. This time. I will do everything I can to force the British to go out early, at least to force part of the British combat forces to move south before they are fully prepared, and then try to annihilate the enemy who is going south ahead of schedule. As long as the British Navy can be inflicted heavy losses in the battle for sea supremacy, I would like to stress that the key is to inflict heavy damage on the enemy, not to seize sea supremacy. As long as this is achieved, victory will be just around the corner

Although Pei Chengyi's analysis was sketchy, it still caught the eyes of the Argentine soldiers.

Thug: "General Pei, how sure are you?" ”

"Sure?" Pei Chengyi smiled faintly and said, "This is just a rough war scenario, and I will not make any kind of prediction without a specific plan." ”

thug" In this way, General Pei was not very sure, and the commander of the Argentine Army, Patos, smiled coldly and said, "Although General Pei led your army to win two wars. But I'm playing to illustrate that this is not the Western Pacific, nor the North Indian Ocean, but the South Atlantic, and we are not dealing with two tyrants, but the historic Britain. In my opinion, there is nothing new in General Pei's vision of war. It is nothing more than a remake of the last Falklands war. What's more, General Pei overlooked one of the most critical issues. Half a century ago, we were able to retake the Falklands by surprise attack because Britain did not believe in our strength and thought that we would never go to war. Britain was preparing for war for a long time compared to half a century ago. The Falklands are much more defended, and even if we were able to launch a surprise attack, it would be unlikely that we would be able to retake the Falklands without any suspense. ”

Pei Chengyi frowned slightly and did not argue with Patos.

There is no doubt that Patos's point of view makes Pei Chengyi a little hard to believe, because according to Patos, it is equivalent to admitting the incompetence of the Argentine Army. In any case, Pei Chengyi did not believe that such words would come out of the mouth of the commander of the Argentine army. If it weren't for Li Cunxun's greeting a long time ago, Patos had always been dissatisfied with the unfair treatment of the army in the modernization of national defense, and used the "crisis theory" to get more funds for the army, otherwise Pei Chengyi would really wonder if Patos was Tian Yi who obeyed people's orders

Also embarrassed are Alfonso and Theresescu.

The reason is simple, no matter how much Alfonso and Theresescu look down on the Army, it is impossible to sell off when they take advantage. The silence of the two also convinced Pei that Argentine President CerrΓ³n must be in a nearby room. He was observing the words and deeds of everyone in the room through CCTV.

After being silent for a while, Pei Chengyi said: "General Patos's words are indeed reasonable, and I also admit that my understanding of the South Atlantic Ocean is far less than that of the Western Pacific and the North Indian Ocean, and more importantly, I am an army soldier, not a Navy soldier. And never commanded a battle at sea. However, there is one thing that must be admitted, and that is that on the issue of sovereignty over the Falklands, both personally and as a republic. There are no conditions to support your country. We must also firmly believe that only the righteous side can achieve ultimate victory. At all times, the reconquest is a righteous act."

Pei Chengyi said so. Patos's face looked much better, and the atmosphere in the room was much more relaxed.

"General Pei is right, we must not only believe in the justice of the war, but also have the certainty of victory. With that, Theresescu gave Alfonso a look.

Alfonso did not hesitate. He whispered a few words to the officer beside him.

Notice the actions of the two. Pei Chengyi knows. Don't think about returning to Buenos Aires before dawn. It was certainly not the Argentine military who convened this military conference, but the president to whom all Argentine military personnel swore allegiance. Of course, it is not the military who actively promotes the war, but the politicians represented by Theron. Bubble tough Bashan, Yao Dianqing factory told Shaoxia new block, at most

If nothing else. Theron is about to step in.

Pei Chengyi still has enough reason to believe that Theron has made a decision, and all he needs is a "lobbyist" who can convince the military to play this role for him, and it is the top military adviser who has come from afar to play this role.