【Broadcast】Pay attention to "Reading at the starting point", get the first-hand news of 515 red envelopes, and students who have not grabbed red envelopes after the Chinese New Year can show their skills this time.

Everyone was still digesting Zhang Kun's inferences drawn from the economy, and they didn't want to finish what was in his stomach before he finished speaking, so he used words to stimulate everyone's nerves again. "In fact, in addition to domestic tax revenue and the sale of national bonds, there is another way to raise about 10 billion military spending." Zhang Kun said calmly, as if he was talking about a business, not a war with a sea of corpses and blood.

"Last year's figures, for example, the world's oil production was more than 2.2 billion barrels, or more than 310 million tons. Among them, the United States has 185 million tons, China has 45 million tons, Soviet Russia has 31 million tons, and Venezuela has 19 million tons. The remaining Dutch East Indies were 8 million tons, Romania 7 million tons, Mexico 6 million tons, Persia 6 million tons, and Iraq 4 million tons. Then there is a small production area such as Germany, which has an annual output of 500,000 tons, which can be ignored. [note 164]

If we can land in Panama and blockade the Atlantic, we will naturally have 200 million tons of oil at our disposal. If Britain also declares war on us, then 10 million in Persia and Iraq, plus our own 45 million, is equivalent to more than 80% of the world's oil under our control. At this time, the price of oil should be raised together with Soviet Russia and Romania, and the United States exports more than 10 million tons of oil a year[note 165], and Mexico and Venezuela also export more than 20 million tons, and if the oil can be raised to 40 yuan per ton, then it can earn an additional income of 1.5 billion. ”

Zhang Kun finally managed to make a big deal -- to control the world's oil, who expected that it would take half a day to get 1.5 billion. It's really frustrating. In fact, he was only improvised, and he had just learned that the General Staff wanted to blockade the United States in the two oceans. So the first thing that comes to mind is to control the world's oil. The price of crude oil is certainly not high, and if it is refined oil that is exported. Naturally, the increase in revenue will not be 1.5 billion. However, since the words of increasing military spending by 10 billion yuan have been shouted, it is natural that he cannot lose face, so he said again: "Oil is only a very small item, in addition to oil, North American grain, cotton, tobacco, meat, and sugar are also major items. The value of this will not be less than a billion.

The last one is the old routine of the last European war, which controlled world shipping. "Zhang Kun finally found something that could stand, and he was very relieved." The annual value of the world's trade (exports) is about 54 billion Chinese dollars[Note 166], and although not all of this trade is in the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans, at least 70% of the trade involves the two oceans. Britain had 17.7 million tons of ocean-going merchant ships and the United States had 11.5 million tons. Then there are 8.5 million tons for us and Japan, 4.2 million tons for Germany, 2.9 million tons for France, 3.3 million tons for Italy, and 1.3 million tons for Soviet Russia[note 167].

If British and American ocean-going merchant ships withdraw from shipping, the high freight rates of the last war will be repeated; And just now Guangshou said that what he is worried about now is not that there are not enough shipbuilders, but that there are too many shipbuilders and too little shipbuilding. In this case, why not invest more than 1 billion yuan every year and build 10 million tons of merchant ships a year? These ships can be used not only commercially, but also militarily. The return on the one billion yuan invested will definitely exceed five billion. ”

"An increase of 10 million tons of merchant ships is an increase of 7 million tons of steel." Hearing Zhang Kun's idea, Zhou Sixu began to think carefully, "Another thing is that increasing the number of 10 million tons of merchant ships will definitely increase oil consumption. But if these ships burn coal. ......" After thinking for a while, Zhou Sixu nodded and said: "If you burn coal, it is generally feasible to increase the production of merchant ships, and if you increase the production capacity of the steel side again, I don't know if there are so many crews?" ”

"Merchant ships sail in formation. The crew is certainly not a problem, it is nothing more than a hassle to enter and exit the port. Chen Guangshou replied, and he turned to another question. It is warships, and thirty aircraft carriers, sixty cruisers, and one hundred and twenty destroyers are built every year. There are also fifty-five escort formations, as well as a hundred submarines ....... If the additional 10 million tons of merchant ships are for their own use, then they will have to add 100 escort formations: 100 escort aircraft carriers and 200 frigates. It will be necessary to increase the number of 120,000 people here, and the main fleet, including the supply base and submarine force, will only be 220,000 per year. Looking at it this way, the number of naval officers is in short supply. He finally emphasized.

"Can't you cultivate quickly?" Zhang Kun asked, he remembered that there were half-year expedited officers during the previous revolution.

"It's hard!" Chen Guangshou shook his head, "But we can see if Japan has a way, and then there are other allies of ours, such as France, Argentina, Chile and other countries, whether there are talents, and the escort can be handed over to them." He then emphasized: "In terms of human resources at present, there are two kinds of people who are most troublesome: one is qualified naval officers, and it is initially estimated that more than 17,000 naval officers are needed every year, and this number may not be enough; The second is the number of pilots, the problem is not in the number, but in the flight time, the Navy Office believes that 400 flight hours is the minimum requirement to board the ship, but the fleet thinks that the minimum number of hours on the ship is 500 hours......"

"Don't spoil them!" Yang Rui suddenly spoke. "Now Lao Fei's flight time is of course at least 700 hours or more, and some have even exceeded 1,000 hours, and his body is almost as expensive as the same weight of gold. The US Navy's requirement for pilots is only 300 hours, and we have a small number, so it is understandable to have an extra 100 hours, but it is not necessary to have 200 hours more.

In the last European war, pilots took to the skies after 50 flight hours, and lost 70 percent in the first year, 30 percent in the second year, and another 20 percent in the third year. Well, the rest is all trump cards. Our stipulation of 400 hours is already 100 hours more than the Americans, and the rest is left to the battlefield to decide. ”

After Yang Rui finished talking about the pilot, he suggested again: "Since Xingjian's side has raised the budget, the General Logistics Department and the General Staff should think carefully about how to spend the extra money." Whether to build more aircraft carriers, or more submarines, or to find a suitable place to land in the United States. These can be well considered. ”

Hearing that Yang Rui actually proposed to land in the United States, even though Wang Jitong looked at him with some surprise, Yang Rui smiled: "Xingjian's previous words touched me deeply. Since we are already on par with the United States. So what's there to be afraid of? The entire war plan should be completely rewritten, not simply revised. I also have to think about it, this war is really fighting. What our strategic purpose is, it is simply that everyone in the Pacific is at peace. Apparently it shouldn't be. ”

Unexpectedly, Yang Rui meant to change the strategic purpose of the war, and everyone immediately looked at each other. But he was like no one around, so he continued: "I always thought that our war potential was only one-third of that of the United States, but now it is almost one-to-one, I really didn't expect it!" I really didn't expect it! He took the record he had just made, looked at Zhou Sixu and said, "Oil will be settled first, but merchant ships should burn coal as much as possible if they can burn coal, and try to save oil; Steel production of 40 million is obviously not enough. There must be at least 60 million tons, and you will immediately make a plan to expand the steel plant with all your might; In the case of aluminum, ...... should be decided before the new plan comes out. This manganese ......," he asked, looking up, "what is this manganese for?" Manganese steel? 900,000 tons to so much? ”

"Sir, it is high-quality ferromanganese, and manganese ore containing 78 to 82 percent ferromanganese is mainly used for deoxidation and desulfurization in steelmaking, and the quality of steel is difficult to guarantee if there is no ferromanganese." After Zhou Sixu finished speaking, he added: "Because of the high demand, a quarter of our manganese ore comes from Soviet Russia. Most of the rest are from Beiting and Guizhou. There is basically no high-quality manganese ore in the United States, and the daily demand is mainly imported from India, Africa and Brazil. ”

Yang Rui swept the things below and found that most of them were available in China, but rubber still needed to be imported. However, it will soon be able to regain sea control in the western Pacific if it starts a war, so there is actually no shortage of strategic materials. That being the case, he began to question the Americans. "What is the United States missing? The Japanese once told me that they lacked a lot of things, so they strongly recommended a blockade of the United States. ”

"Sir. The United States does lack a lot of things, but considering that it can be transported by long-range bombers. Therefore, some things below 10,000 tons don't need to be considered too much. Zhou Sixu said: "The United States lacks ...... things, the first one is bauxite, his current annual output of aluminum is less than 200,000 tons, although there are a lot of bauxite in the country, but once the war is to mine, it will definitely be too late, so imports are certain." The Americans' thinking is generally that regardless of domestic and foreign countries, where cheap they will use, in terms of the world's origins, Dutch Guiana has the highest output, and they will import bauxite from here.

In addition to aluminum, rubber is also completely imported from the United States......" Zhou Sixu said as soon as Yang Rui interrupted: "Don't consider rubber, it's really not okay, Americans can use artificial rubber." ”

"Then the next thing is lead, and it depends on his relationship with Mexico, Mexico is a big producer of lead, and so are Canada and Australia, but if Mexico will export, plus Canada, there will be basically no shortage of lead; Lead down is chromium, South Africa, Turkey, Rhodesia (Zimbabwe) three places accounted for seventy percent of the world's production, by the way, China's northwest of Beiting proved giant chrome ore, it is reported that the region's chromium reserves account for a quarter of the world's reserves. Zhou Sixu was proud for a moment, and then said: "The chromium production in the United States is very small, only more than 1,000 tons, and the output in Canada is only 1,000 tons.

In addition to Bolivia and Nigeria, the production areas of tens of thousands of tons are basically in the South Seas, mainly Indonesia, Malaya, Thailand, and us. Of the total output of 180,000 tons last year, these four places accounted for 130,000 tons, and Bolivia produced 25,000 tons last year, with the highest output being 47,000 tons; Nigeria is only 10,000 tons.

Canada accounts for two-thirds of the world's asbestos production, and there is no shortage of this (the United States); There is no shortage of nickel in Canada, but the United States produced only 685 tons of antimony used as antimony for anti-friction bearings and warheads last year, and it is estimated that it will be difficult to mine 5,000 tons during wartime. Canada heard that antimony ore had been discovered, but it also said that the reserves were very small, and it was estimated that this production was not enough during the war, and Mexico had 7,000 tons of antimony production last year, so whether the United States has antimony or not depends on the relationship with Mexico.

There is no shortage of molybdenum ore in the United States, and tungsten ore was discovered in the United States a few years ago, but the output is only 1,400 tons, and it may reach 3,400 tons in wartime, but it is certainly not enough; Cobalt is mainly used as knives and motor magnets, Canada produced 403 tons last year, but it is said that the mineral source will soon be depleted, and now the main production areas are the Congo, Morocco, and Rhodesia. That's pretty much it. Zhou Sixu concluded, "The remaining mica, graphite and the like, if we want to blockade us, we can only look at the production area, and prevent these things from flowing into the hands of the United States or Britain, but it is more difficult to do this." ”

"Uranium mines should also be watched!" Yang Rui wrote manganese, aluminum, lead (Mexico), chromium, tin, antimony (Mexico), tungsten, and cobalt on his notepad. Suddenly I remembered uranium ore, and the Americans used high-quality uranium ore from Africa to make atomic bombs in history.

"This... Students understand. Zhou thought sluggishly for a moment before he said. He still doesn't know what the hybrid bomb is, and he knows that it is made of uranium ore. It's not a clams. After a short silence, Zhou Si, who thought of something, suddenly shook his whole body, his face turned red, and he stroked his palms and said: "I want to ...... the extra military spending" He choked for a moment and said: "It should be used to buy long-range bombers!" ”

Yang Rui was lighting a cigarette, and he didn't see his excitement at all, only a little strange: "Why not an aircraft carrier?" ”

"Sir, if we have long-range bombers, then the United States will be short of fuel!" Zhou Sixu's voice was a little loud. And everybody looked at him. He quickly drew a map of the United States on a piece of paper—very rudimentary, and no one knew it was a map of the United States. Near the northeast corner of the map, he drew a large circle that spanned several states; In the lower right of the map, it should actually be the Gulf of Mexico, and a banana-shaped figure is drawn along the bay, and the upper left of the banana, with the 45th parallel as the central axis, and then a fatter banana, and then two bananas - this time the pattern is already like a butterfly with wings spread. A few more dots dotted between the two wings; Then in the fourth quadrant of the map, near the origin, a few pieces of the map are clicked, and finally the lower left edge of the map, which appears to be California, and a few more places are circled.

The map is miserable. It's almost a kindergarten graffiti, and everyone laughs when they look at it. Zhou Sixu said unmeaningfully, "Don't laugh." My plan is extremely important! When he said this, everyone laughed even more, and only after a while did they quiet down.

Cough lightly. Zhou Sixu pointed to the map and said, "This is actually a map of the oil fields in the United States. "This ......," he pointed to the northeast corner of the map, "was the earliest oil-producing region in the United States." For example, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Michigan. Because of the early exploitation, most of the oil fields in the east have been depleted. Now the main oil-producing states of the United States are here," he said, pointing to the butterfly, "along with the Gulf Coast, and Texas and Oklahoma, and then near the coast in California."

As for the Central," he pointed to the fourth quadrant, "Wyoming, Colorado, and Montana produced the fewest of the five oil-producing regions, and I remember that the figures were 21,417,000 barrels in Wyoming, 1,391,000 barrels in Colorado, and 5,691,000 barrels in Montana," and Zhou Sixu finally showed his ability -- an innate sensitivity to numbers and a superhuman memory, "while in the Northeast, Indiana was the least, with only 1,443,000 barrels, and Ohio had 3,156,000 barrels." , West Virginia 3,580,000 barrels, Michigan 22,799,000 barrels, Illinois had the highest at 9,130,030,000 barrels, Kentucky 5,581,000 barrels, Pennsylvania 17,330,000 barrels, and New York 5,961,000 barrels [Note 168].

The total output of the oil producing areas in the Northeast is 150 million... Hundred...... 10...... 59,000 barrels, plus the three Midwestern states, for a total of 17,000 ...... Nine million six hundred and fifty-eight thousand barrels, or two thousand five million six hundred and sixty-five thousand four hundred and twenty-eight tons!! ”

The number that Zhou Si was thinking about touched everyone's hearts, and when he calculated that it was more than 25 million tons, Yang Rui only felt that his brain suddenly 'buzzed' - the Americans' life has finally been found!

"Bomb it! Convince the Mexican government that Pengshi can take off from Mexico and cover the three most important oil-producing areas in the United States! Zhou Si was very excited, but after a while he denied incoherently, "No! No! Just block the Gulf of Mexico, right. Ninety percent of the more than 120 million tons of oil here are transported by tankers to the East Coast states for refining. The East Coast is an old producing area, and the refineries are very dense, but the United States has more than 110,000 tons of merchant ships but has to rely on foreign ships for foreign trade, because many of these merchant ships are oil tankers, and they are built to transport oil, so the tonnage of ocean-going merchant ships is not enough! ”

Regardless of Zhou's excitement, Yang Rui asked a very important question: "How much oil does the United States have in its strategic reserves?" ”

"Strategic reserves?!" Zhou Si was dumbfounded for a moment, and then shook his head heavily, "Sir, not everyone can be as thoughtful as you think, the Americans don't have such a thing as strategic reserves at all!" At best, they have temporary reserves, but also military reserves, and in addition to the oil depots in various military ports, the Navy also has an Elk Hill oil field in California. But that's not a strategic reserve at all, the United States doesn't have a strategic reserve of oil at all! ”

"What about Canada? How much is the production? Yang Rui ignored Zhou Si's sycophancy. He also asked about Canada's oil production.

"Canada? Yes, but very few. Zhou Sixu thought carefully, "There are only 190,000 tons." ”

"How much can wartime oil production increase in the Northeast and Midwest?" Yang Rui was no longer excited at this time, he felt that things were not so simple. There are oil fields everywhere in the United States, and oil workers, oil production facilities, oil production technology, and exploration teams are all readily available. If he had been Roosevelt, the bombing of the oil fields would have ordered the whole country to stop supplying oil to automobiles in order to save military fuel, and would have stepped up exploration and increased production of old oil fields. The Soviet Union survived World War II with more than a thousand tons of oil, and the Americans had no reason why they couldn't get by.

The only possibility is that the lack of oil will make it difficult for the United States to support a large fleet -- an aircraft carrier battle formation (six aircraft carriers) needs 200,000 tons of oil a month, or 2.4 million tons a year. Ten combat formations are 24 million tons (60 ships). Twenty is 48 million tons (120 ships). The Air Force needs to use oil, production also needs oil, and private individuals even more need to use oil, and the sudden drop from 175 million yuan of oil consumption per year to more than 25 million tons is certainly difficult to adapt to in a short period of time. Even if it reduces consumption, explores new oil fields, and increases production of old oil fields, it is impossible for the United States to maintain a navy larger than that of China and Japan.

"It seems that there is nothing to think about," thinking of this, Yang Rui decisively said, "The additional 10 billion military spending should be invested in the Air Force to establish a strategic bomber force." In addition, the production of aluminum will increase. The research and development of anti-aircraft rockets and jet aircraft should also be accelerated; The Intelligence Bureau also had to collate and collect information on the nearby Mexican oil fields. ”

"It has long been handed over to the General Staff." Zhang Shi replied with a smile, "There are even video materials taken during the flight." The oil field is actually very easy to bomb, and the big oil field in East Texas, which was discovered five years ago, can produce 900,000 barrels a day. Just blow this up, and Texas production will come down right away. ”

"Good!" Yang Rui thought for a moment and then asked, "How is the Mexican government?" Is it easy to deal with? ”

"There's a bit of chaos in Mexico." Zhang Shi thought for a moment and said, "The current president, Cárdenas, is old and capable. Last year, he sent former President Calles and others who sent him to power in a vain attempt to control him to the United States by plane. If we promise to help Mexico regain the territory he lost during the Mexican-American War, and at the same time Cárdenas learns of our strength. It will definitely declare war on the United States. He has never had a soft spot for the United States, and is now planning to nationalize Petroleos Mexicanos, which is controlled by foreign capital.

It is also the case that although the left wing prevails in Mexico, he has little connection with Soviet Russia, but welcomes Trotsky, who is now in Mexico. Yes, sir, Cárdenas is supposed... I also respect Mr. ......"

"Ahem......" Yang Rui was drinking tea, and suddenly heard that a Mexican revered him, and he couldn't help choking at once. He coughed several times before he said in laughter, "What, what." This Cárdenas must be a shrewd but measured man, the kind of person who will not let go of opportunities, but also will not trust them easily. Good or bad, bad or bad. After he finished speaking, he asked: "How effective is the Mexican army?" How many people are there? ”

Seeing Yang Rui ask about the Mexican army, Zhang Shi shook his head sharply, "Basically, there is no need to count on it, Mexico's GDP is at most 900 million pesos, that is, less than 900 million Chinese yuan, which is worse than North Korea, and there is no money to support the army at all." I don't think we can spread the news of the bombing of the United States through Mexico, and once the United States learns about it, they will probably bring back former President Calles. ”

"You can submit a detailed plan for this." Speaking of this, Yang Rui paused again and said: "It's not bad for the United States to fight, if Cárdenas really wants to rely on us to get back the lost territory before, then as long as others live, everything will be easy." I'm afraid that if he dies, and then the next president is pro-American, then there is no way. ”

The bombing is closely related to Mexico, and seeing that the situation in Mexico is so complicated, Zhou Sixu asked: "Sir, what about the bomb......ers on my side?"

"How far can Peng Shi fly?" Yang Rui asked suddenly. He felt that his bombing legs seemed to be shorter, but now it was too late to develop a new bomber.

"If the engine is changed, the bombing radius will be 2,200 kilometers if it is lightly loaded." Zhou Sixu replied.

"Go find a map." Yang Rui turned his head and instructed Lu Mei, who had been taking minutes of the meeting, to wait for the map to be found and carefully measured, he clapped his hand on the position of Cuba, and said, "That's it, it's really impossible to take off from here." ”

Ps. chasing more children's shoes, are there any free appreciation tickets and starting coins~ The countdown to the 515 red envelope list is over, I'll pull a ticket, ask for an increase and appreciation vote, and finally rush a handful! (To be continued.) )

PS: Note 164: "New Atlas of the World's Oil and Gas Basins (Volume II)" is the main one.

Note 165: Heavy Industry in the United States - Xiong Shihui (ed., 1946, p84).

Note 166: The data for 1838 have not been changed taking into account the Chinese factor. Fudan Review of International Relations, Vol. 14: International Order and the View of International Order. p26

Note 167: China and Japan originally increased from 4.5 million tons to 8.5 million tons/. The World in March 1939, p550

Note 168: Heavy Industry in America, Commercial Press, 1946 edition, p81. The original book was produced in 1939, and the figure was slightly higher than that of 1936.