"What if Britain or Italy destroys?" Chen Guangshou, who was kicked out of the position of secretary of the ministry by the new cabinet, asked. Although he did not participate in the war, his specific strategy affected the planning of human resources in wartime. "Needless to say, the relationship between Britain and the United States is very unfriendly to us since the last East African war, Germany ......" he glanced at Yang Rui, "Germany is his friend who supports him to dominate Europe, we are getting better and better with France, and we are at odds with Germany, and his submarines may enter the North Atlantic from the North Sea during the war, maybe there is no need to worry about others, but German submarines ......"

The pre-war diplomatic strategy is always different from the wartime diplomatic strategy, and Yang Rui has always been pro-French, Russian, and far-reaching, German-Italian. It is indeed necessary to stabilize Russia, but Germany may not be completely offended, and China and Japan should ignore the peace in Europe - this idea is almost the mainstream consciousness internally, and there is even a proposal to unite with Germany to suppress Anglo-American law, how can Yang Rui be 'stubborn'. This is an internal high-level meeting, and except for the General Staff Department, all other departments have expired, so Chen Guangshou has this to say.

"It's a question of whether the German Goering had the guts to send submarines out." Yang Rui interrupted Chen Guangshou's speech and began to confess his views on Germany: "If Germany is Juncker in power, then there is nothing wrong with United Germany, but the Nazis ......" He sneered: "Almost as cheap as the Bolsheviks!" It is true that Goering and his wife are pro-China, but the Nazis under him are not pro-Chinese, and what they did to kill Strasser and Roma back then will do what they will do to get rid of Goering in the future. ”

Obviously, Yang Rui once again rejected Liande's strategy, and his gaze made Chen Guangshou and Zhang Kun bow their heads. It's just that he hasn't finished speaking, and after a slight pause, Yang Rui said again: "To put it bluntly, the Bolsheviks are a small number of heretical intellectuals, vagabonds, criminals, bandits, lumpenproletarians, and low-level workers; And the Nazis except for the workers, the lumpenproletarians. There are also some small citizens who have a small fortune but love to see the wind and rudder; France is a hodgepodge of everything. This is also the reason why the current political situation is in chaos.

The Nazis now have a sense of proportion, such as the need to legislate first, not because the Nazis have morality, but because the Wehrmacht still has a large number of Junker aristocrats, and it is for their sake of face that they legislate. When the Wehrmacht was completely tamed by the Nazis, and when was the Nazis' lowly face exposed. It is not appropriate for the Bolsheviks to say that they are inferior, because the Bolsheviks see the working class of the whole world as one family, and we, the nobles, the propertied and the other messy people, are all enemies to them. Do you want to be credible to the enemy? Comrade Li Ning said no!

The signing of the agreement with the Bolsheviks was only a measure to take a stand, and it was not expected that they would actually abide by the treaty, so it was not too important that the Inspectorate did not ratify the Sino-Soviet treaty of mutual assistance against aggression. If we want to fight you, we will fight you, and after signing a treaty, we can still find an excuse to start fighting, just like that canal, if we are weak, will the Russians not find a way to get us?

If, as Kotewa just said, it is better not to fight a land war, then the decisive place for the victory or defeat of the war must be on the route between the North Atlantic and North America and Europe. Support Germany's hegemony over the whole of Europe. Then the rest of Europe and even the rest of the world will have to turn their backs on us, because this is no longer a war against aggression, but a war for hegemony. Don't forget that we are yellows, and a large group of yellows have gone to the territory of the white people to engage in a naval blockade. If you are not careful, you will provoke public anger.

We must be very careful and careful, not only to be honest with the outside world about our strategic objectives, but also to befriend European countries and South American countries. Let them join us against the Anglo-Americans, and not for the Caucasians to unite against us. This is a propaganda war. If we do a good job in publicity, the whole world will support us morally. In this way, the Asian dollar will be used, our national bonds will be bought, and the materials needed for the war will be sold. Moreover, the interests of Britain and the United States in the world can be shared together, you have me, he has it, and then have a meeting, so that Yang Huizi can advocate rebuilding a better world and recasting world peace, so that people will believe it.

The whole world knows what Germany has to behave, and even if it is not clear, as long as we unite with Germany and the Germans as allies to go to war and rob, then we know everything. Is it really cost-effective to lose dozens or hundreds of other countries for one Germany? What the German Navy can do, the French Navy can do. As for Italy, with his virtue, if you slap him and give him a candy backhand, he will also call you uncle. There are so many colonies in Africa, even Abyssinia, which has no oil and water, what kind of virtue is this?! ”

Yang Rui analyzed the pros and cons of Liande, and everyone in Italy laughed. He added: "The logic is very simple, one is like this: we, as the world's policemen, suddenly have bandits at home. If you go with us to fight bandits, not only will your personal safety be guaranteed, but the benefits of the call will be evenly distributed; The other is: as policemen, in order to fight bandits, we suddenly get together with the bandits and Nazis in Europe, you say, are we policemen or bandits? Europe will definitely see us as bandits because of ethnic relations, South America should be suspicious, only Africa will still treat us as police, is it useful?

After signing a naval treaty with Britain, we gave them a set of submarine drawings for diplomatic relations, but they were all old submarines with no air pipes. In the presence of centimeter-wave radars, we do not think what the German Navy can do. And in terms of general trends, until we settle the United States, and if foreign trade is not blocked, there is no benefit at all for Germany to participate in this war. With the virtue of the Nazis, even if the Americans were bought, the money would not be used to build submarines, but to build cannons. The more the Americans bought Germany, the closer countries outside Germany got to us.

What we really want to taboo about is the UK. It seems to me that when we fight the Americans and flee, she will come out to mediate, and if she can't hear it, she will definitely declare war on us. Britain's accession is another variable, and it is worth examining what kind of energy its shipbuilding industry can exert after nearly two decades of decay. ”

Yang Rui paused here, and Wang Jitong next to him said: "It's become that this time it's too much......

According to the rules, the lower level always spoke first, and then the senior management was setting the board, but Yang Rui didn't think that he would make the board first as soon as he was excited. This is tantamount to shackling the thinking of the lower level. Yang Rui was a little embarrassed when he heard this: "It's me who said more, let's go on." ”

Diplomatic strategy: Yang Rui, this is already a clapper. It's good that it's just diplomacy. Zhou Sixu cleared his throat and said, "Mr. just judged right, for a country like the United States that faces the two oceans and has its center of gravity on the east coast. Only by confronting it in the Atlantic can it finally force it to make peace. It is impossible to leave Canada out of the blockade of the Atlantic, so sooner or later Britain will declare war on us.

From this point of view, land war is actually inevitable, especially the three strategic points of the Suez Canal, the island of Malta, and the Strait of Gibraltar, and even in order to prevent Britain from bombing the Mediterranean fleet with bombers, we may have to land on the British mainland......"

"It can't be!" Zhang Kun, who bowed his head just now, said, "How much military will it cost to land?" ”

Zhang Kun is in charge of military spending, and as soon as he opened his mouth, Zhou had to explain: "If the United States builds a bomber with a range of 6,000 kilometers, then almost the entire Mediterranean merchant ship is under the threat of such a bomber. There is also the blockade fleet in the Atlantic. Most likely, the Americans bombed the fleet in a one-way flight. Then there is the blockade of strategic materials, if this bomber is converted into a transport plane, some small weights, such as industrial diamonds, will be transported by transport planes, making the blockade partially ineffective. The General Staff believed that landing in the northeastern part of the United States would not be as good as landing on British soil, and that as long as it landed, British resistance would certainly be weaker than that of the United States. ”

"And what if such a bomber took off from Germany?" Zhang Kun asked again. "There is no weapon to contain this bomber?"

His question could only be answered by Wang Jitong, and when everyone looked over, Wang Jitong said: "Yes, and there is more than one." But it's not mature yet, and it takes time to experiment. ”

"How long will it take? Mr. Xiao Xu. Zhou Sixu asked, the American long-range bomber is his biggest headache, especially the one-way shuttle bombing. This makes the long-range blockade completely ineffective, and extremely lethal to the blockade fleet.

"Probably in three or five years." Wang Ji came to an appointment, and answering was more torturous than not answering.

Yang Rui heard that he said that it would take three to five years. The weapons that come to mind are anti-aircraft rockets, jets with second-generation engines, and ballistic and cruise rockets that use laser gyroscopes for precision guidance. Yang Rui thought about it, and Wang Jitong looked at Zhou Si with a painful face. And again: "When the American long-range bombers come out, our countermeasures should almost come out." After he finished speaking, he looked at Yang Rui again. I think the most difficult route in the Mediterranean Sea is the Eurasian Canal, and if the Treaty Inspectorate does not approve it, when will it be opened? ”

"Sir, the canal will be barely navigable by the end of this year, and it will be officially opened by the middle of next year." Zhang Shi of the Intelligence Bureau said. "Soviet Russia is now preparing to start the third five-year plan, the focus of which is to change some of the projects of the previous two five-year plans into military projects, so there is an urgent need for foreign exchange to buy machine tools."

"What does Russia want to do?" Wang Jitong turned his head to look at Yang Rui, he was not happy about the opening of the canal, but worried about the expansion of the Soviet Union's military industry.

"What else can you do?" Yang Rui didn't care, "It's nothing more than that Germany in Europe is expanding its army on a large scale, and Stalin urgently needs to be on guard; And then there's our side – if you lose, you can bite back. Don't worry, they won't have a chance. If we are not in alliance with Germany, Germany will definitely fight him, and he will demand us at that time. ”

After Yang Rui finished answering Wang Jitong, he just wanted to ask Zhou Sixu about the machine tool, but he couldn't help but hold back when the words came to his mouth, and he said, "You should give a brief introduction to the situation, otherwise there will be a statement and a statement, when will it be finished." ”

"Yes, sir." Zhou Sixu agreed, and he said: "The general logistics basically followed the previous material plan, that is, the main resources were tilted towards the navy and air force. At present, China, Japan, and the DPRK are combined: In terms of ships, it is necessary to build 2.5 aircraft carrier fleets and corresponding supply bases, 100 large and small submarines, 5.5 million tons of merchant ships, and 55 escort formations every year; The Navy and Air Force need to produce 40,000 large and small aircraft every year and train 40,000 pilots for more than 400 hours. Except for the Marine Corps, which has been expanded to 10 divisions, the army will not expand its other units, but the size of 10 armored divisions, 15 motorized infantry divisions, and 30 triangular standard divisions equipped with new combat vehicles still needs to be guaranteed.

At its peak, it is expected that 70 million tons of oil will be consumed, including 40 million tons of military oil; 40 million tons of various steel products are consumed, including 15 million tons of military steel; 600,000 tons of aluminum consumption, including 500,000 tons of military aluminum; 800,000 tons of copper were consumed, of which 400,000 tons were used by the military. In addition, 900,000 tons of manganese ore, 500,000 tons of zinc, 300,000 tons of rubber, 300,000 tons of lead, 150,000 tons of chromium, 80,000 tons of tin, 70,000 tons of asbestos, 40,000 tons of nickel, 20,000 tons of antimony, 15,000 tons of molybdenum, 8,000 tons of tungsten, 5,000 tons of magnesium, 1,500 tons of cobalt, 1,000 tons of vanadium, 1,000 tons of mercury .......

In addition to manganese, rubber, cobalt and mica, the above materials can be produced by themselves; In addition to rubber, zinc, manganese ore. The rest of the minerals were built up for five years in wartime reserves. However, there is still a shortfall of 1,000 to 16 million tonnes of planned oil production and refining capacity from the peak, and 5 million tonnes of steel from the planned output and peak demand......

As of last year. China, Japan and North Korea have 1.3 million machine tools, except for 135 less than Germany. It is higher than the 1.1 million in the United States, 700,000 in Soviet Russia, and 500,000 in Britain; The annual output of machine tools last year was 100,000 and 55 units, lower than Germany's 170,000 units, but higher than the United States' 80,000, Britain's 55,000 units, and Russia's 51,000 units. [note 163]

The numbers are not disadvantaged, but our machine tools are three-thirds of small machine tools weighing two tons or less, and less than forty percent of machine tools of more than ten tons, compared with Germany and the United States, they are at a disadvantage in machining. Fortunately, during the economic crisis, we purchased and reserved about 150,000 machine tools in stock in various countries, plus the 180,000 machine tools ordered in Germany last year will be fully paid this year and next year, these two batches of machine tools will greatly enrich the machining capacity of each factory. In addition, Shenyang and Shanxi machine tool factories are expanding. During the war, production will reach 200,000 units.

In terms of extreme manufacturing, there are six hydraulic presses of more than 10,000 tons and eight hydraulic presses of more than 5,000 tons; two horizontal non-ferrous metal extruders; five sets of 200 mm thin steel continuous rolling mills; three cold rolling mills for 10 to 80 mm steel pipes; three 80 to 150 mm steel pipe cold rolling mills; three 1,500 mm alloy thin rolling mills; three sets of 112-inch hot and cold aluminum plate rolling mills; There are two 30,000-ton forging die hydraulic presses, and a 58,000-ton forging die hydraulic press is being trial-produced in Shenyang Machine Tool Factory......"

Raw materials, machining capacity, technology, manpower, and capital, these five things can only be managed by the General Logistics Department in the first two. The technology is Wang Jitong is responsible for, the manpower belongs to Chen Guangshou, and the funds are asked to Zhang Kun; As for Zhang Shi, the main thing is that he can pass on the news of foreign hearsay through the seams, and the right to make it a reference.

After spending 30 minutes briefly explaining wartime logistics, Zhou Sixu began to ask questions, and he said: "There are three difficult problems at the moment: one of the more pressing problems is high-grade aviation gasoline, and the best gasoline now is only No. 90. The Air Force and the Navy are very concerned about the grade of gasoline, and I would like to ask Mr. if we can improve the grade of gasoline. Another is the number of shipbuilders, the training of workers for warships began the year before last. But what about the workers of the merchant marine? The last question is funding, can Xingjian give a rough table of military spending, and there is a specific table of military spending. It's also good to make overall arrangements. ”

The three questions are divided into three people, and Wang Jitong is an elder. He was the first to answer.

"Of course there is high-grade gasoline, but it's expensive." Wang Ji is the same way. "The main thing is to use platinum as a catalyst, and better catalysts are still improving. Although there was no supply of high-grade gasoline during the non-war period, the engine factories and design institutes used No. 100 gasoline and No. 110 gasoline for finalized flight tests, so there was no need to worry about the gasoline problem. ”

"And ...... And the one hundred and ten? Zhou Sixu's eyes lit up as he listened.

"Hmm." Wang Jitong nodded slightly. High-grade gasoline is as much a focus of the laboratory as the engine, and he believes that China will definitely not be worse than any other country in this regard.

After Wang Jitong answered that it was Chen Guangshou's turn, he smiled and said: "There are indeed problems with shipyard workers, but the problem is that there are too many people rather than not enough. After the sectional shipbuilding, 10,000 welders can build more than 20 10,000-ton ships per month, with an annual output of nearly 300 ships. It is enough for 550 merchant ships to be divided into two shipbuilders, but now there are more than 12 shipyards in Wuhan, Shanghai, Xiamen, Guangzhou, Jiujiang, and Nanjing, ...... Japan, North Korea, and qualified to build 10,000-ton merchant ships. ”

"Ahh Zhou Sixu only knew that the aircraft carrier could be launched in four months at the earliest, but he really didn't expect the merchant ship to be launched twenty times a month, he looked at Chen Guangshou, and found that he was not joking, so he looked at Zhang Kun again, Zhang Kun understood what he meant, and said: "The matter of military spending is ......, it is very complicated, and it is really unclear in one sentence or two." By next year, the GDP of China and Japan will exceed 100 billion Chinese yuan, and it is likely to reach 111 billion yuan or close to 110 billion Chinese yuan.

Even if there is tax evasion in terms of taxation - there are always some people who want money and don't want to die, but at the moment of the great enemy, such people are still in the minority - so the tax revenue in the first year after the start of the war must be more than 20 billion Chinese dollars. The remainder can be raised through bonds and additional banknotes, and it is better not to issue additional banknotes if they are not enough. This can lead to a number of problems. The following year, as a result of the wartime economic stimulus, GDP increased rapidly. Tax revenues are definitely more than 30 billion, and with bonds, military spending can exceed 40 billion. It's hard to say after that, it depends on the situation at the time......"

Zhang Kun confused Zhou Si with a 20 billion yuan, and later heard that it should be more than 40 billion in the second year, and his jaw never closed - this is the first time he has had a formal discussion with Zhang Kun on the issue of military spending, and it was assumed that the annual military expenditure is at the scale of 30 billion, who would have thought that the military expenditure in the second year would exceed 40 billion. In fact, this was also a mistake in the previous judgment of economic growth, when it was judged that the gross domestic product at the beginning of the war was only 82 billion yuan. But now it's all 110 billion.

Zhou was confused, and Zhang Kun continued: "...... Roughly speaking, starting in the third year, military spending should be able to exceed 50 billion. During this period, righteousness is very important, as Mr. said, if most people feel that we are police, then people from all over the world will buy our bonds. For example, the countries of the Americas have been under the authority of the United States for a long time, and if we can occupy Panama, they will definitely buy our Treasury bonds - the United States has investments in all the countries of the Americas. After the wartime confiscation of these American assets, they always had to pay some money for insurance; And then there are the European countries, as long as we can prove that we have the ability and the will to guarantee peace in Europe, France, Switzerland, and the Nordic countries will definitely buy our bonds in large amounts, and the same is true for the Asian countries.

Middle-of-the-road estimates. If the war is provoked by the United States on its own initiative, then the military spending in the first year should be 30 billion, the second year will definitely exceed 40 billion, and the third year will depend on the war situation, if it can occupy Panama. That's definitely more than 50 billion, and the bonds are selling well. Maybe it will reach 60 billion, and after the fourth year, it will depend on the war situation. Normal should not be less than 50 billion. ”

Zhang Kun finally gave a rough estimate, and the data he spit out of his mouth made Zhou Si fidget, but there was something more exciting, Zhang Kun coughed and said: "In fact, in my opinion, our industrial production capacity has begun to surpass that of the United States." Why? Because industrial capacity should not be looked at the amount, but the number of products. Our things are sold cheaply, and the natural amount is less than others, but the amount is less than the quantity. From the point of view of military spending, our aircraft carrier is only the cost of half an aircraft carrier in the United States, and this price is still because of the use of special materials, if it is an aircraft carrier with the same performance, our cost is only a quarter of that of the Americans.

In the case of aircraft carriers, the price of other military products is only one-half or one-third of that of the United States, which means that the military expenditure of 50 billion Chinese dollars is equivalent to the military expenditure of the United States of 500 to 75 billion dollars. The gross domestic product of the United States last year was $75 billion, and this year, as a result of the Roosevelt administration's reduction of the fiscal deficit, the gross domestic product is estimated to be only about $69 billion. With this economic scale, even if Wall Street has an advantage in the world's financial markets, the goods of both sides are basically equal. Now it depends on the competition for mineral resources, if the naval battle does not go well, there are some things that you can't buy if you want to. ”

Zhang Kun's last sentence is very inspiring, Yang Rui seems to have heard the Japanese talk about quantity and amount before. In fact, no matter what the amount of money, the GDP of China, Japan, and the DPRK and the United States is already very close, one is around $55 billion, and the other is around $69 billion, a difference of only 14 billion. Thinking of this, Yang Rui felt that it was wrong again, and he asked: "Xingjian, if the industrial scale is comparable, then why is our steel output less than 20 million tons?" ”

"Sir, the steel output of the United States in the past few years was only 20 million tons, if it were not for the government's deficit and financial infrastructure construction, the output would not have reached 40 or 50 million, for example, this year, his steel output will fall to more than 20 million tons, not to mention that all countries in the Americas have imported his steel." Zhang Kun was a little strange for Yang Rui to ask this question. He doesn't want to say that steel is just one measure of industrial scale, but it's not the whole story. For example, when the United States was booming, aluminum production was only 100,000 tons, but China was close to 300,000 tons at that time; There are also chemicals, the United States produces only more than three million tons of sulfuric acid, but China has more than six million; The same is true for soda ash, one is more than two million tons, and the other is five million tons; The difference between chemical costs and plastics is even greater; Then there are those electromechanical and electrical products with few materials and high unit prices, which are not sold for steel.

Yang Rui didn't think that Zhang Kun still had something to say, but he heard him say that the steel output in the United States is normally more than 20 million tons, and he suddenly felt that he was being chopped by something. In his cognition, the steel output of the United States seems to be the sum of several other countries, and the specific amount is close to 100 million tons, and the real demand at this time is only more than 20 million tons. Thinking of this, he suddenly throbbed a little - if he said so, China's most dangerous time has passed, and from next year onwards, every year after that, the national strength will be stronger than that of the United States?

No wonder the fuck is stirring up trouble now! Yang Rui gritted his teeth and thought viciously. (To be continued.) )

PS: Note 163: Because it is 1939 data, the number of machine tools in each country has been reduced as appropriate. The original record was about 500,000 machine tools in Japan, but China set 800,000 machines, only 100,000 more than the United Kingdom. "Metal Cutting Machine Tool Part 1 Review of Foreign Machine Tool Industry" P12-21]

Another: The hard drive was broken yesterday, and 99% of the data was rescued in one day. But after changing the system, all kinds of discomfort, I hope this computer can support until the end of this book.